Thursday morning forecast 12/01/23

12 January - National weather forecast presented by Aidan McGivern.

Transcript

00:00Hello, yet more wet weather on the way for parts of the UK that have seen so much wet

00:06weather so far this month. I'm talking about Wales and the southwest in particular. These

00:12weather fronts are arriving for Wednesday night. You can see how they line up and push

00:16into southern parts of the UK initially at first and then actually the rest of the UK

00:21affected as we head into Thursday. But the wet weather already arriving by the end of

00:26the afternoon into Wales, the southwest, as well as northwest England, parts of southern

00:30Scotland and Northern Ireland. But really the heaviest and most persistent rain is going

00:34to be affecting south Wales and the southwest of England, especially the Bracken Beacons

00:38and Exmoor where we're likely to see 60-80mm rainfall falling onto saturated ground and

00:44of course with the rivers so high as well that could lead to further flooding. That's

00:49accompanied by a strong wind, gales around exposed southwestern shores, 50-65mph wind

00:55gusts. So across England and Wales as well as parts of Northern Ireland with the wet

01:00and windy weather through the night, it's going to be frost free. 11-12C first thing

01:05in the far south and southwest on Thursday. But a different story for Scotland, in particular

01:10northern Scotland. Clear skies, light winds and a frost here, I think around coasts and

01:17urban areas at 0-1C but in some sheltered glens it looks like we'll dip to minus 3 or

01:23minus 4C. A chilly but bright start for northern Scotland. The bright weather in Scotland doesn't

01:29last long because the next bout of rain or showers is moving in. Northern Ireland initially

01:34then into western Scotland by the middle of the morning, spreading across the rest of

01:39Scotland, turning more showery but bumping into the cold air so likely to see some snow

01:43at 400-500m through the day. And then the showery weather replaces the rain further

01:49south as well. So a brighter afternoon to come for parts of England and Wales but staying

01:55blustery although the strongest of the winds will have moved away. 12-13C with that southwesterly

02:00wind in the south, feeling colder in the far north, 5-6C at lower levels, lower than that

02:07over the hills. Into the evening then on Thursday, the weather turns even more unsettled for

02:12Scotland and Northern Ireland. This area of very lively rain or showers accompanied by

02:16strengthening winds, gales or severe gales around the northern Irish coast as well as

02:21western and southwestern Scotland, those gales then pushing into the Irish Sea through the

02:25night. And the main areas of rain replaced by showers as the night continues but still

02:31a blustery night to come and as a result frost free, 7-8C on the thermometer first thing

02:37Friday in the south, 2-3 in the far north and northeast. But although it's going to

02:44be feeling colder in the south compared with Thursday, there'll be some brighter weather

02:48out there, some sunshine and it's really a day of sunshine and blustery showers for many.

02:53The showers focus towards the northwest, the best of any sunny spells and drier weather

02:58towards the south and the east. And it's going to stay gusty with that wind coming in but

03:03the wind does lessen through the day so I think a more pleasant afternoon although temperatures

03:09not quite as high as Thursday, 11 degrees in the south, 6-8 further north. So closer

03:15to average for the time of year and then the next area of rain starts to move in for Friday

03:21night and into the start of the weekend so yet more wet weather on the way for the beginning

03:26of the weekend before it eventually turns colder and brighter for Sunday and Monday.

03:32More on that in the 10 day trend which you can find on the YouTube channel.