Thursday morning forecast 29/09/22
29 September - National weather forecast presented by Alex Deakin
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00:00Welcome to your national weather update.
00:02Don't forget to hit subscribe if you're watching on YouTube
00:05and you'll never miss a forecast.
00:06And there's plenty going on over the next few days.
00:08Out in the Atlantic, things are developing.
00:11But ahead of that, actually, our low pressure system
00:14is sitting still out to the east.
00:16And we've still got the air coming down from the north,
00:18hence why it's been so chilly for much of this week.
00:20This little weather front is just pepping the rain up
00:22during the night, initially across southeast Scotland,
00:25northeast England, but spreading south across northern England
00:28into the Midlands, parts of Wales,
00:30and eventually parts of southern England,
00:32seeing that rain by dawn.
00:33A few showers coming on behind across the borders
00:36and northeastern England.
00:37But otherwise, most places will be largely dry overnight.
00:42And temperatures stipping down to single figures
00:44for England and Wales, parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland,
00:47staying a little bit milder in double digits.
00:50Onto the details for Thursday, we
00:51are going to start with a lot of cloud
00:53and some outbreaks of rain, especially for Pembrokeshire
00:55and southern counties of England.
00:57But I think quite quickly, that rain should fizzle out.
01:00It may take a while before it clears completely
01:02from Cornwall and the Channel Isles.
01:04And we will see a few showers following on behind
01:06across, again, southeast Scotland, northeast England.
01:09They may drift towards east Anglia and the Midlands
01:11by the afternoon.
01:13Some scattered showers for eastern Scotland,
01:15but I say for many places, certainly western Scotland,
01:18much of northern Ireland, and much of southern England
01:20and south Wales.
01:21Once that early rain has cleared, most of the day
01:24will be dry and bright.
01:26And a touch warmer, perhaps, than recent days.
01:29Temperatures getting close to average 17 or 18 in the south.
01:32And for most, the winds will be a little lighter,
01:34but still feeling fairly fresh on some of those North Sea
01:37coasts with a brisk wind bringing a few scattered
01:40showers in here, which will continue into the evening.
01:43The odd one keeping going over the Midlands,
01:45but quite rapidly tending to ease off.
01:47And then we'll see largely clear skies for most of the night
01:51across England and Wales.
01:53But notice behind me something rather more dramatic.
01:56We talked at the start about things
01:58developing in the Atlantic.
02:00And this bank of wet and windy weather is going to swing in.
02:03It will bring slightly higher temperatures,
02:06certainly compared to England and Wales,
02:07with those clear skies.
02:08A fairly cold start to Friday, well down into single digits.
02:12But we will start Friday across a good part of England
02:15with some sunshine, but fairly rapidly
02:17clouding over across Wales.
02:19A wet and windy start for Scotland and Northern Ireland.
02:23Some bright colours there, heavy rain.
02:25It does move through reasonably rapidly,
02:29spring to most areas by the end of the day.
02:31East Anglia in the southeast will cloud over.
02:33May not see the rain here until tea time,
02:36but it could be a very wet Friday evening
02:38across the southeast.
02:40Behind it, brighter skies for Scotland and Northern Ireland
02:42on Friday afternoon, but also a fair few blustery showers.
02:46Temperature-wise, well, again, mid to high teens.
02:49You're actually starting to see warmer air come in
02:51with this wet weather, but it's not
02:53going to feel very pleasant at all with the rain
02:55and those strong winds.
02:57Speaking of the winds, the strongest gusts
02:59are likely to be across Scotland.
03:01It's that weather system arrives through the early hours,
03:03the gusts of wind of 50 to perhaps 60 miles an hour,
03:08maybe a little more in exposed places.
03:10And then the strong winds transfer from the Western Isles
03:13to the Northern Isles during Friday afternoon.
03:15But everywhere it will be windy.
03:17With this wind direction, we could
03:18see some really strong gusts along the south coast
03:21and particularly across the Dover Strait
03:23late in the day on Friday.
03:24Bear that in mind if you're traveling on Friday,
03:27getting a ferry across the channel.
03:29As for the weekends, well, the weather should be calming down
03:32a little bit, but you can see a bit more about that
03:34if you watch our 10-day trend video.
03:36That's available on YouTube and on Facebook.