Wednesday afternoon forecast 19/10/22

19 October - National weather forecast presented by Alex Deakin.

Transcript

00:00Hello. The outlook for the next several days and nights is for things to be quite a bit

00:05milder than you'd expect at this time of year. Milder but also often wet and windy. And this

00:10big swirl on the satellite image is a big area of low pressure that's throwing up the

00:15air from the south, hence why it's mild, but also throwing up bands of heavy rain. We've

00:19seen some thunderstorms today across parts of Wales and a pretty wet afternoon across

00:23Northern Ireland. Heavy bursts of rain likely here. On to watch. It could cause a few problems,

00:28rain edging into parts of northwest England, southwest Scotland by the end of the day. A

00:33few showers following for south Wales and southwest England, but generally turning

00:36drier here. Some brightness across the southeast and a fine day for much of western Scotland.

00:42The breeze is coming in from the east, so the east coast is rather chilly and that wind

00:47going to get very gusty at times over parts of Wales, particularly the west coast and to the

00:52north of the mountains. So that's something also that could cause a little bit of disruption this

00:57afternoon. It is quite mild, though. Look at the temperatures in the south, 18, 19, possibly 20

01:02Celsius, where we see some sunshine. As I mentioned, it does feel a little cooler on those North Sea

01:06coasts. Through this evening, that rain is going to march northward. Some heavy bursts for northwest

01:11England spreading eventually into parts of Scotland. Further pulses of heavy rain for

01:15Northern Ireland as well. Some showers this evening for Wales and southwest England, but

01:19they do tend to ease off and much of the south will have a dry night, quite misty and murky

01:24because we've got this warm air sitting in place. Temperatures holding up in the teens, maybe in

01:29some towns and cities across the south. A little cooler further north, but still temperatures well

01:34above average. The winds will ease for Wales and southwest England, but it will get windier

01:40across Scotland and quite a wet start to Thursday here. Some heavy bursts of rain through the central

01:45belt marching their way slowly northwards, but tending to ease off across northern England and

01:51southern Scotland. Certainly a much drier day for Northern Ireland and Wales with some sunny spells

01:56to come tomorrow. But notice further east, there's this line of rain that may even develop into an

02:01area of low pressure, a little hook of rain across initially southeast England, spreading into East

02:06Anglia and up towards Yorkshire. Some uncertainty about the extent of that rain, but it could easily

02:11curl back inland a little bit more if it develops. And we'll see temperatures ranging quite a bit

02:17again on Thursday with more cloud in the east. Probably a cooler day, but still above average

02:21and probably feeling quite a bit warmer for Wales and southwest England, with lighter winds

02:25up to 18 or 19 degrees Celsius. As we go through Thursday evening, the likelihood of some more of

02:31this rain just getting into parts of northeast England and returning to parts of eastern Scotland.

02:36But as I say, some uncertainty about the extent of that rain. So if you've got plans tomorrow afternoon,

02:40just keep up to date with the forecast. A drier slot before another band of rain approaching from

02:45the southwest, and that's a signal for more bands of showers to come across the country on Friday.

02:51For a longer term outlook Friday, the weekend and even beyond, if you're on half term

02:55next week, make sure you check out our 10-day trend video that'll be available on YouTube

03:01come Wednesday afternoon.