Tuesday morning forecast 15/02/22
15 February - National weather forecast presented by Aidan McGivern.
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00:00Hello. A severe week of weather ahead with two named storms. First one Wednesday night,
00:07Storm Dudley, an amber warning for this, and then Storm Eunice with yellow warnings for
00:11the southern half of the UK. The jet stream, a very powerful streak of the jet stream comes
00:17out of North America during Tuesday, 200 mph plus winds high up in the atmosphere helping
00:23to spin up various areas of low pressure, in particular Storm Dudley as it arrives across
00:28the Atlantic and then affects northern parts of the UK during Wednesday night into the
00:33start of Thursday. Meanwhile, on Thursday itself, very quickly, another area of low
00:38pressure rapidly gets picked up by that powerful jet stream, spins up and pushes into the southern
00:44half of the UK for Friday morning. More on that in a moment, but for the UK on Monday
00:49night at least, clear spells and lighter winds for a time, so a touch of frost out there
00:54the first half of the night before the next batch of rain moves in from the west, this
00:59falling as snow over the higher parts of Scotland above mainly 300 metres, and it will be heavy
01:05and persistent across western hills first thing on Tuesday. So temperatures actually
01:10recovering through the night after that touch of frost early on, but it's a cold start nevertheless
01:16and a wet and windy start in the west and the south first thing as that rain moves through.
01:22It does clear Scotland, northern and western England as well as Wales during the morning,
01:27but pushes into the Midlands, East Anglia, southern counties where it sits for some time
01:33into the afternoon, also quite a breezy along that rain in the south, so an unpleasant day
01:38to come for southern counties, but it does brighten up elsewhere behind the rain, further
01:43wintry showers falling as snow above 200 metres for parts of Scotland, in between drier for
01:49a time with lighter winds and temperatures 6 or 7 Celsius in the north, 10 or 11 further south.
01:57Quite soon though, clouding over across Northern Ireland, the next area of rain moves in for
02:01Tuesday evening, so it doesn't stay clear for long and it's a damp night for many with
02:07some heavy and persistent rainfall once again over western hills, that accompanied by a
02:12strong breeze pushing it through, and once that area of rain clears through on Wednesday
02:18morning, a mild night to come, frost free for most of us, with a start off damp in many
02:24places on Wednesday with that rain in, well, northern and eastern parts first thing, and
02:29soon enough further cloud and rain push in for Wednesday itself, another couple of weather
02:34fronts bringing heavy and persistent rain for a time. This feature, accompanied by increasingly
02:40strong southwesterlies, brings milder air with it, so 14, 15 Celsius in the south, but
02:46increasingly windy coastal gales developing, and those develop very widely across northern
02:51parts of the UK later Wednesday as Storm Dudley arrives, and Storm Dudley likely to bring
02:59some very serious weather to the northern half of the UK during Wednesday night. Really
03:03it's into the evening of Wednesday that the tightest isobars push into western and southern
03:09Scotland, northern Ireland and northern England, so winds peaking during the early hours of
03:13Thursday as Dudley moves through, and a yellow warning has been issued for the northern half
03:19of the UK. Within the yellow warning area, 60 to 70 mph wind gusts, 80 within the amber
03:25warning area, or even 90 around exposed coasts and hills. Friday, Eunice, and this as well
03:32has a yellow warning attached with the risk of widespread gales in the south, 70, and
03:38in some spots the risk of 80 mph wind gusts, leading to damage to structures as well as
03:44disruption to travel and power supplies, and risk of dangerous conditions around coastal
03:48areas as those winds move through during Friday morning. Also on the northern flank of these
03:55weather warnings, the risk of disruptive snowfall and blizzards for the likes of north Wales,
04:00northern England, southern Scotland. So an awful lot of severe weather coming up this
04:05week. Stay across the Met Office weather warnings and forecasts. You can do that by
04:09following us on social media or checking the app and the website. Bye bye.