Wednesday afternoon forecast 16/02/22

  • 2 days ago
16 February - National weather forecast presented by Aidan McGivern.
Transcript
00:00Hello again. A severe 48 hours of weather to get through. Two named storms, two amber
00:05warnings and on Friday the risk of disruptive snow in places. Two named storms starting
00:11with Dudley, that's already moving into north-western parts of the UK to bring disruptive winds
00:16especially to central southern Scotland, Northern Ireland and Northern England through the rest
00:21of Wednesday. That then moves through and for Thursday a brief respite before the next
00:28storm very rapidly deepens as it gets spun up by a powerful jet stream. Storm Eunice
00:33comes out of nowhere, pushes into south-western parts of the UK early hours of Friday and
00:38brings disruptive, even damaging, even dangerous wind speeds for Friday morning and early afternoon.
00:45Spells of rain ahead of Dudley meanwhile for Wednesday afternoon push through northern
00:49and western England, parts of Wales and heavy and persistent wet weather in places and a
00:53strong wind blowing up from the south-west. Really quite blustery afternoon to come for
00:58many places and temperatures will be, well, they'll be relatively high in the south because
01:04of that south-westerly wind but it will be colder for northern Scotland and in between
01:08persistent rain and hill snow for parts of central and northern Scotland. But it's in
01:15the north-west where the winds will really pick up later in the afternoon and through
01:18the evening. A yellow warning for central and parts of northern UK with wind gusts of
01:2360-70 mph in places. But it's within the amber warning area where the risk of disruption
01:29is greatest with the risk in places of 80 mph wind gusts. Disruption, damaging wind
01:35speeds in places and the risk of dangerous conditions around coasts, particularly for
01:39south-west and west Scotland and parts of northern Ireland with some very large waves.
01:45Into the evening the wind speeds peak and then slowly start to come down again overnight
01:51but it remains very windy overnight following the persistent rain which continues for parts
01:55of Scotland along with some hill snow. Showers follow and it's a blustery night with those
02:01showers on and off in many places. Clear spells in the south and the east. Enough of a wind
02:06to stir the air up and to prevent a widespread frost but colder air is pushing its way south
02:12and so it's not going to be a particularly mild start to the day and it will certainly
02:16continue to be a windy period as we begin Thursday. There's winds coming in from the
02:20north-west, particularly strong around north and western Scotland but the severe wind strengths
02:25of the overnight period will be moderating. And by the afternoon some sunshine coming
02:30through however further showers will affect many parts and those showers will be falling
02:34as snow above 200 metres for the northern half of the UK. Best chance of sunny spells
02:40in the south and the east. It's not going to be mild though, it's going to be colder
02:44compared to Wednesday with temperatures in the south up to 10 to 12 Celsius, further
02:49north 6 or 7 degrees. Then the winds becoming lighter ever so slowly during Thursday evening
02:57and if you're heading to bed on Thursday evening it could be quite calm out there but Storm
03:02Eunice will rapidly turn up overnight and you can see it's bringing this very, very
03:08strong swathe of winds on its southern flank. The winds colours here correspond to the key
03:13over here so you can see widely 50 to 60 mile per hour wind gusts out to sea and even in
03:18some places over the open water 100 mile plus. Now there's still some uncertainty about the
03:23track and depth of Eunice and so this shouldn't be taken too literally but this is the most
03:29likely considered track and depth at the moment and that through the early hours of Friday
03:36would potentially bring 80 to 90 mile per hour wind gusts even slightly more for some
03:42of the more exposed coasts of West Wales, Bristol Channel, South West England. And that's
03:47why there is an amber warning and why Storm Eunice has been named. For much of central
03:53and southern UK inland gusts a risk of 60 to 70 miles an hour, 80 miles an hour for
04:00some but coastal gusts around West Wales, Bristol Channel and South West England of
04:0590 perhaps even as high as 100 miles per hour in some of the most exposed spots. So these
04:12would be disruptive, damaging and certainly dangerous wind speeds especially around coastal
04:17parts of the west and south west in the southern half of the UK. Not only that but as Eunice
04:23crosses the country or dragging colder air across the north, central southern Scotland,
04:27Ireland and northern England there's the risk of significant snowfall 0 to 5 centimetres
04:31inland at lower levels and significantly more 20 to 30 centimetres possible for the higher
04:38parts of northern England, central and southern Scotland and with the strong wind risk of
04:42blizzards and drifting of any lying snow. So really quite serious weather potentially
04:49on Friday. We're still nailing down the track and depth of Eunice so still some uncertainty
04:55about the details but we'll keep you updated right here at the Met Office and you can follow
04:59all of those updates on social media. Bye bye.

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