Thursday afternoon forecast 28/10/21

28 October - National weather forecast presented by Aidan McGivern

Transcript

00:00Hello again, an amber warning remains in force for Cumbria because of the exceptional amount

00:05of rain that's fallen here since Wednesday morning with more rain to come during the

00:09rest of Thursday. This is the rainfall radar for the last 24 hours and you can see spells

00:15of rain for many north-western parts of the UK but Cumbria in particular catching that

00:19heavy rainfall and it's really persisting throughout the last 24 hours if not more.

00:24And since Wednesday morning, parts of Cumbria have seen more than 300mm of rainfall. Western

00:31fells have experienced the worst of that. Southern Scotland has also seen some very

00:36wet weather and the rain now increasingly pushing into parts of Wales as well as Cornwall.

00:42But it will continue across Cumbria so the amber warning remains in force. Risk of further

00:47flooding for Cumbria as another 50, perhaps 100mm falls during the rest of Thursday here.

00:55But the rain finally eases across southern Scotland, stays damp into the south-east of

00:59Scotland and there will be some rain there for the east of Scotland. Otherwise a lot

01:03of cloud for Scotland, some brighter skies and some showers in the far north-west. Northern

01:07Ireland is seeing some brighter skies and the odd shower. And there will be plenty of

01:11sunshine for East Anglia and the south-east. We keep that very mild south-westerly breeze

01:16here and as a result temperatures peaking at 16, 17, could still see an 18C on Thursday

01:23afternoon. Thirteens and fourteens further north even behind that weather front it is

01:29very mild. But the rain this evening becomes increasingly focused across parts of Wales

01:34and the south-west. A very wet end to the day here and through Thursday and the first

01:39part of Friday we can expect 20-40mm widely across Wales and the south-west. As much as

01:4580mm over the higher parts of say Dartmoor into the Welsh mountains and Snowdonia could

01:50see even more than that. So risk of disruption from this rainfall in Wales and the south-west,

01:56risk of localised flooding. By the end of the night the rain turns more showery for

02:00a time, still some heavy bursts around. East Anglia and the south-east largely avoiding

02:05it. Western Scotland and Northern Ireland seeing some clear spells and here perhaps

02:09a few fog patches forming under those clear spells and temperatures dipping into the single

02:13figures. But otherwise a cloudy, wet night for many, a windy night and a very mild night

02:19once again. The weather front is finally starting to push through on Friday but you

02:24can see this next system, this next wave in it pushing it further north once again. And

02:30so we're not out of the woods yet on Friday morning, a wet start for many. The rain pushing

02:35into East Anglia and the south-east, mainly light showers. But it's going to still be

02:40heavy rain for Wales and then further heavy rain pushes back into Scotland and Northern

02:45England for a time before it finally eases east by the afternoon. Brighter skies return

02:50for Northern Ireland, South Wales, south-west England by the end of the day, albeit with

02:55a few showers and much fresher air here. We've lost that very mild feed of air, 12-14 in

03:02the south-west, 15-16 further east. The rain finally disappears from the east of the UK

03:11during Friday evening but the next system arrives into the south-west. Further heavy

03:17rain, perhaps some very pokey showers into Cornwall, Devon, West Wales as well as eventually

03:23Northern Ireland by Friday evening. So more rain or showers to come through Friday and

03:29the weekend. I will keep you updated right here at the Met Office. Bye bye.