Week ahead – Warming up with some rain
A strange week of weather with temperatures trickling into the teens by the end of it but also this week features slow moving weather fronts strong winds and rain, more especially in western parts. Alex Deakin explains.
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00:00Hello. A slightly strange week of weather ahead. It's going to turn milder, but it's
00:06often going to be windy. But we're also talking about slow-moving weather fronts quite a lot
00:10of the time. The main reason is this area of high pressure sitting to the east and blocking
00:16weather fronts from making much progress in from the Atlantic. We are going to see them
00:21gradually encroaching, but day after day we see these weather fronts edging in and then
00:26just kind of fizzling out in situ across the UK. The isobars are often pretty close
00:32together so it is at times going to be quite windy. If we just rewind though and see where
00:37that wind is coming from, up from the south, it is wafting with its relatively mild air.
00:43So after a cold start to the week, for many of us it's going to be pretty mild, certainly
00:48by Thursday and Friday with those winds coming up from the south. But obviously with the
00:53strength of the wind that will temper those temperatures somewhat. And certainly on Monday
00:59night it's going to be pretty cold if we start the details on Tuesday. A frosty start on
01:03the spine of the country. Plenty of sunshine again across the Midlands, Northern England,
01:08Eastern England, most of Scotland on Tuesday morning. Gradually though the first of those
01:13weather fronts is edging in, increasing the cloud in the west and bringing some rain by
01:17the afternoon to Northern Ireland. By the end of the day just a few showers edging into
01:21Western Scotland, West Wales, South West England too. It will be turning milder as
01:27that weather front pushes in, but obviously with the cloud and the rain and the increasing
01:30wind it's not going to feel all that mild. And we're still only looking at 10, 11, maybe
01:3412 Celsius and quite chilly despite the sunshine on the eastern side of England and across
01:39North East Scotland. With more cloud coming in though from these weather fronts it won't
01:43be as cold on Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. And then we're looking at the next
01:48set of weather fronts edging in. The isomars pretty close together again. So another fairly
01:53windy day, especially in the west on Wednesday. Blustery conditions once more around western
01:59coasts. And where that weather front lies, well it will be quite a wet day because it's
02:03pretty slow moving. Could be some snow on the hills as it edges its way in across Northern
02:09Ireland, Western Scotland. Now it could be a little bit further east, but at the moment
02:14it looks like just a bit of rain for West Wales, South West England. Most of England
02:18and Wales having a dry day again on Wednesday with hazy sunshine. A brisk wind, yes, but
02:24again coming up from the south. So bringing pretty mild air and temperatures could get
02:28into the teens in one or two places. Obviously cooler with the wet weather across Scotland
02:33and Northern Ireland and there will be snow on the hills as that weather front then kind
02:37of just grinds to a halt and fizzles out, again bumping up against that area of high
02:42pressure. So by Thursday it's really just going to be a line of cloud with some patchy
02:48rain on it certainly early on over parts of Northern England and Wales. But again it could
02:52be a little further east, could just be a little further west. In the east however,
02:57east of England in particular, we should see some good spirals of sunshine on Thursday
03:01and that's when we may well have the peak of the temperatures as well. Ticking up day
03:05on day so that by Thursday we could easily be at 13, 14, possibly 15 or 16 Celsius if
03:12we see long spirals of sunshine across say Cambridgeshire down to the London area. It
03:18is a cold front that's edging in there so cooler air will be across Scotland and Northern
03:22Ireland. Temperatures here more likely to be 8, 9 or 10 Celsius and there will again
03:26be a fairly brisk wind coming up from the south. By the time we get to Friday a cold
03:32front continues to edge its way in and again those isobars pretty close together. So another
03:36windy day again really does depend on exactly where this weather front lies as to the type
03:42of weather you'll see but it could be a pretty soggy day across parts of the west, maybe
03:46a few more showers across the east on Friday and all the while we'll have those southerly
03:50winds which will be noticeable but still bring milder air. So again temperatures likely to
03:55be double digits across the board and into the teens in one or two places, maybe mid-teens
04:01if we see some sunny spirals. So a bit more uncertainty as we get towards the end of the
04:05week about the position of these weather fronts and exactly what happens on Friday, whether
04:09this one clears away or has a bit of a wave on it and that generates a bit more rain across
04:15the south into Saturday or whether we're keeping a closer eye on this air of low pressure approaching
04:20from the southwest. It does look as if there will be a bit more rain around as we head
04:24into the weekend but all the while the winds coming up from the south so certainly a milder
04:29end to the week compared to the start. Keep up to date day on day by following the Met
04:33office across social media.