Week Ahead – Typical autumn weather 07/10/19
A week of blustery autumnal weather. Often windy and showery with some longer spells of rain later. Met Office meteorologist Aidan McGivern has the week ahead forecast.
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00Hello and welcome to the Met Office forecast for the week ahead. A week of
00:04classic autumnal weather and by that I mean it's going to be often blustery.
00:08There'll be some heavy showers over the next few days and then by the end of the
00:11week perhaps some more prolonged spells of rain. Leaves will be blown off trees,
00:16there'll be puddles around. Nothing says autumn more than a deep low to the
00:20northwest of the UK. That's sent some weather fronts across the country on
00:23Monday, more prolonged rainfall. That clears through for Tuesday and then with
00:27that low pressure staying close by over the next few days essentially it's going
00:30to drive more and more showers our way. Virtually anywhere could see a shower
00:33first thing Tuesday. But the heaviest and most prolonged showers likely northern
00:38and western Scotland. Coastal gales here as well, some very lively conditions.
00:41Eastern Scotland, southern Scotland, Northern Ireland relatively unscathed
00:44but showers possible here as well and then we come further south. By the
00:48afternoon into England and Wales and some heavy rain clears through along
00:52with a gusty wind. In fact the wind gusts around the Pennines in particular,
00:55something to keep an eye on through Tuesday. 40-50 mile per hour gusts
00:59possible in places. Cool with that blustery wind as well but still high
01:04teens possible in the southeast. Now the jet stream at the moment is wriggling
01:09its way across the North Atlantic and pointed in our general direction but
01:13subtle changes in the shape of that jet stream over the next few days make a
01:17difference in terms of shower distribution. A subtle dip in the jet
01:21stream crossing the country through Wednesday, you can see it there, crossing
01:25the UK means an increase in showers for the middle part of the week and in fact
01:29I think that many areas will be very lively on Wednesday. Some particularly
01:34potent downpours coming through as that dip in the jet stream crosses west to
01:39east. Especially west-southwest Britain, hail and thunder possible in some of the
01:43heavier downpours and those showers crossing all parts through the day along
01:47with a blustery breeze and it will feel cool. But still some sunshine away from
01:51the showers, umbrellas going up and down I suspect through the day. Now that jet
01:55stream dip moves away and then a brief bump edges north helping to kill off
02:01some of the showers through Thursday but you'll notice the jet stream also en
02:06route to the UK collects a couple of weather fronts and sends them to
02:10southern portions of Britain and that means that south and southwest England
02:15as well as South Wales could see some more prolonged rainfall for a time on
02:19Thursday and some thicker cloud. Further north fewer showers compared to Wednesday
02:23an increase in sunshine particularly in the east but it's still going to be cool
02:28it's still going to be essentially a showery changeable kind of day. After a
02:34few days of showers the weather turns a little bit more unsettled as it heading
02:38into Thursday night and Friday. This low pressure starts to move in and there's
02:43some uncertainty about the track and depth of this but it could lead to some
02:47very windy weather for southern parts of Britain especially south and
02:51southwest England, Wales and those winds and outbreaks of rain crossing many
02:56parts of the UK through the day on Friday but it's a little uncertain at the
03:00moment in terms of the depth and the track of that low and therefore the
03:03strongest of the winds and so on so certainly something we'll keep an eye on
03:06over the next few days. Another question mark is about how quickly the rain
03:11clears from the south you can see the front there just lingers into the first
03:14part of the weekend whilst another low develops to the west of the country so
03:20low pressure never too far away into the weekend but it could be a wet start in
03:25the south we'll keep an eye on that over the next few days and keep you updated
03:28of course. Now once that rain gets out of the way well back into those blustery
03:34showers but also some sunshine in between along with the keen breeze. In
03:38other words well it stays autumnal into the weekend as well nothing unusual for
03:43October of course but if you want to stay up to date with all the juicy
03:47details you can always follow us on social media. Bye bye.