This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the week ahead 03/02/2025. After a changeable start to the week, the weather settles down as high pressure arrives. Bringing you this week’s weather forecast is Aidan McGivern.
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00:00Hi there and welcome to the Met Office forecast for the week ahead. A big change
00:04this week for the UK's weather as high pressure builds by the end of the week
00:07bringing a return to overnight frosts and widespread settled weather but for
00:12the start of the week we've still got low pressure in charge in fact this low
00:15is a very deep feature moving to the north of Iceland on Tuesday morning and
00:20swinging a weather front into Scotland and Northern Ireland a wet night to come
00:24here and as we start off Tuesday the wet weather is pushing through the south and
00:28southwest of Scotland could be some issues with a yellow warning in force
00:32until lunchtime and then it's Western England and Wales that see the rain move
00:37in during Tuesday morning and early afternoon eventually that rain pushes
00:41into the rest of Northern England as well as the Midlands and central
00:45southern England ahead of that some sunshine 11 degrees but increasingly
00:48breezy behind it we've got some sunny spells returning also some blustery
00:52showers and feeling a little colder in the northwest of Scotland now the front
00:56tends to fizzle away as it moves through the southeast of England later
01:00Tuesday so not much rain here and indeed it's moving into an area of high
01:04pressure which is building from the south and that's the high that will come
01:07to dominate things for the rest of the week and in fact potentially beyond so
01:12actually we start off with plenty of fine weather across the south on
01:16Wednesday just one or two showers into Wales and the southwest more frequent
01:20showers for northwest England Scotland and Northern Ireland on a blustery
01:24westerly breeze and those showers falling as sleet and snow over the hills
01:28of Scotland but they'll be interspersed by sunny spells and by the end of the
01:32day for many parts of certainly England or Wales it's settled it's dry it's sunny
01:36temperatures around average for the time of year meanwhile on the other side of
01:41the Atlantic a deep area of low pressure is moving through Greenland and then
01:46into Iceland and in the wake of that we've got this cold plunge over the
01:50West Atlantic that helps to force the jet stream to dive south that has a
01:53ripple effect around our neck of the woods because it pushes the jet stream
01:57to the north of the UK and to the north of the Norwegian Sea sending all this
02:01warm air up into Norway and the Arctic meanwhile that helps to build this very
02:08large area of high pressure over the UK itself and keep it in place for some
02:13time so the jet stream becomes very very amplified and as a result we end up with
02:19high pressure sitting over us and blocking Atlantic weather and that means
02:25clear skies on Wednesday night will lead to a widespread frost on Thursday
02:30morning with temperatures several degrees below freezing in rural parts so
02:34chilly start but a bright start some freezing fog patches around they'll be
02:37slow to clear where they do occur but otherwise you can see up and down the UK
02:42it's sunny skies from Shetland to the Outer Hebrides, Northern Ireland, Wales
02:46the southeast it's mostly dry and settled just some patchy cloud coming
02:51into the southeast and that thickens a bit more by the start of Friday along
02:56with an increased breeze that will lead to potentially less frosty conditions
03:01towards the southeast but otherwise under clear skies and light winds
03:04elsewhere it's another widespread frost again some freezing fog patches to wake
03:08up to on Friday but we do have a bit more cloud across much of central and
03:13southern England as well as East Wales on Friday still some holes in the cloud
03:17could bring one or two showers into the south coast otherwise for the vast
03:21majority it's another dry bright and increasingly cold feeling day now by the
03:27end of Friday we've got this increasingly breezy weather coming in
03:32from the east and the Easterlies are the results of high pressure relocating from
03:38the UK into Scandinavia. Easterly winds at this time of year are always going to
03:43be cold and indeed through the weekend this particular Easterly will be cold
03:48enough to give some sleet and snow showers especially across eastern and
03:53southern parts of the UK but not all Easterlies are the same not all Easterlies
03:59can be likened to 2018's beast from the east and certainly for the time of year
04:05you'd expect even colder air to be upstream of the UK than what we're
04:12seeing through the weekend so this isn't going to be nearly as cold certainly at
04:16first or as widely disruptive as the beast from the east of 2018 but it will
04:23still be cold and if it continues throughout next week there's always the
04:28possibility that even colder air will arrive and with the additional risks of
04:35wintry weather and in fact it does look like this Easterly wind will continue
04:41throughout much of next week this is a chart showing the most likely weather
04:44patterns each day going out to the next two weeks and what's strongly coming out
04:49of this chart is that once we get that high pressure over Scandinavia which is
04:54this color it's the dominant weather pattern throughout next week this color
04:59comes in as an also a possible scenario and that's high pressure to the north
05:04which will also give us Easterly winds and the Atlantic weather highlighted by
05:08these blue colors only start to make a reappearance around the middle of
05:12February so it looks likely that will start off next week with high pressure
05:17to the east of the UK and east to south easterly wind and it's going to feel
05:21cold with some wintry weather around but not as cold as it could be
05:27nevertheless if that easterly continues throughout next week there is always the
05:31chance of a situation like this where we get even colder air coming from the east
05:36but it is of course way too early to give specifics on all of that will keep
05:40updated right here at the Met Office and you can find all those updates in our
05:44usual channels. Bye bye.