Week Ahead – Turning warmer (but with rain for some) 11/04/22
The weather turns warmer this week, especially towards the south and east. Towards the north and west, there’ll be some rain at times. Met Office meteorologist Aidan McGivern has the Week Ahead forecast.
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00:00Hello, and welcome to the Met Office Week Ahead forecast. It's the lead up to the Easter
00:05weekend and the weather in many places is turning warmer and drier. In fact, it's already
00:11warmer than it has been for some time with warmth spreading up from the south around
00:16this area of low pressure. But with low pressure to the southwest, we're also seeing weather
00:21fronts move north across the country and that's how we start things on Tuesday. A mild start
00:25but a lot of cloud in the sky. Outbreaks of rain pushing through northern England into
00:30southern Scotland, parts of northern Ireland and then further rain to come for parts of
00:36eastern England into the afternoon. So, some persistent rain for many on Tuesday afternoon
00:42but particularly for central and eastern Scotland, northern and eastern England. Otherwise, the
00:46skies brighten across western parts of England, Wales, perhaps northern Ireland and as the
00:52sun comes out, the clouds bubble and we're going to see some lively showers take place,
00:57perhaps even some thunder and hail for Wales and the southwest. That's actually where the
01:02warmth will be focused on Tuesday afternoon, mid to high teens. Otherwise, it's going to
01:08feel quite cool, I think, towards the northeast with this onshore flow and the persistent
01:13rain there for eastern Scotland, making it feel quite unpleasant. That rain's still there
01:18across northern and eastern Scotland on Wednesday morning. It's eventually petering away to
01:23the north and then for many, lighter winds and a bit more sunshine to come. So, on the
01:28whole, feeling more pleasant. High teens, low twenties. Some showers developing though
01:35on Wednesday afternoon, some heavy downpours in places and then on Thursday, this low starts
01:41to approach and it's moving into a ridge of high pressure so it's slowing down but it
01:46brings its weather fronts in from the west. So, for many, it's a dry start to Thursday
01:51but it's a gloomy start. A lot of low cloud, mist and fog, particularly around western
01:55and southern coasts. Now, through the day, the skies will brighten for many. Sun will
02:00come out but in the west, the clouds thicken, if anything, and we'll see some outbreaks
02:05of rain into northern Ireland, perhaps a few spots for western Scotland and then later,
02:10the far southwest. Feeling cool under that cloud cover towards the west but otherwise,
02:15looking at mid to high teens widely, perhaps as high as 21 Celsius for London or just to
02:21the north of London but still this cool northeast or southeast of the airflow for the far northeast
02:26of Scotland. This weather front, as I mentioned, it's slowing down as it pushes into high pressure
02:32as it's moving in from the west. So, really, it's bringing cloud and outbreaks of rain
02:37to similar areas for Good Friday. Again, a grey and misty start for many. A lot of cloud
02:43around for northern and western parts of the UK and some outbreaks of rain. Some uncertainty
02:48at the moment, how much rain exactly we'll see, especially towards Wales and the southwest.
02:54Could even see one or two showers elsewhere as well as the afternoon warms up. But towards
02:59the east, once again, the greatest signal for sunny spells and higher temperatures.
03:0522 Celsius there for London and the southeast, mid to high teens elsewhere, this warm southerly
03:12airflow. And we keep the similar airflow heading into the long weekend. High pressure forming
03:19over Scandinavia around that high, generally fine weather for much of the UK and a warm
03:27airflow from the near continent. But towards the northwest, away from that high, we could
03:32still see some thicker cloud and outbreaks of rain at times. So, on the whole, Easter
03:37weekend is looking drier, more settled and warmer for many, but still some rain in a
03:43few spots.