• 4 months ago
Transcript
00:00It is deadline day in Major League Baseball
00:03Will players be treated while games are being played on this Tuesday evening?
00:08Will they have to say their farewells in the fourth inning in the dugout as we saw Christopher Morrell have to do over the weekend?
00:15For the Cubs as he was dealt to Tampa in exchange for Esau Parady's
00:20That is all that is at stake today, which makes the handicapping a little bit unusual
00:26Instead of your usual full 15 game Tuesday slate in Major League Baseball
00:31We start with a potential World Series preview continuing today in Philadelphia
00:36The Yankees matching six home runs last night in Philly for a 14 to 4 win
00:42Over the Phytons the Phil's just three and seven since returning from the all-star break
00:46They turned to Aaron Nola today, but on the other side in this ace affair
00:51It's Garrett Cole for the pinstripes minus 118 Philadelphia a slight home favorite at the bank today
00:58the total is
01:00Nine, we have seen a lot of line movement from the overnight numbers that you were seeing there earlier this morning on
01:07Your screen. What do you make of all this market movement DRS?
01:11And when 18 runs yesterday scored in a pitching matchup that had Zach Wheeler coming in with like a homey
01:171.5 and you take a look at heel who's pitching much better easily going over that number you have similar conditions weather-wise today 82 degrees with a
01:24Double digit win blowing out the center field if we're all looking from a pitcher to pitcher matchup
01:29Theoretically Aaron Nola is the better pitcher at least over the past 60 days since Garrett Cole has come back and also keep in mind
01:35You're a call. We did have a decent little stint of a couple games got blown away in this last starts
01:39He's looking for a bounce back
01:42Offense is looking for a bounce back effort today
01:45If we're going lineup by lineup, there's stars all across the board on both teams. One team is hitting that's the New York Yankees
01:51They crushed one of the best pitchers in baseball yesterday. One team is not that's the Philadelphia Phillies
01:56So you're measuring yourself. Can the Phillies hit Garrett Cole has been struggling at the Garrett call that we know
02:01I would give a slight edge once again to the Philadelphia Phillies today
02:04But these are hard ones
02:05Sometimes you just go up against a team where it's like we don't have our a game
02:10It looks like the other team is rounding into form. So it's a tough handicap, but the Phillies are at home slight favorite
02:15I would go that direction, but the total also is interesting
02:18I told you yesterday good weather conditions for hitting great pitchers 18 total runs
02:22You're probably more likely to get runs today then not so maybe an over as well
02:27Drs. Garrett Cole, of course made his debut in the middle of June in this
02:322024 MLB campaign has only had seven starts in in two of those seven starts
02:37He's faced the New York Mets in the subway set
02:41He has given up six earned runs against the Mets in each of those two in four of the other five
02:47To earn runs or less in three of those five just a single earn run allowed
02:52But of course when you haven't started all that many games the ERA is going to reflect those bad outings
02:58He is three and two this year with a 5-4. Oh
03:01ERA
03:02Philadelphia needs to start their winning ways. Once again will the offense be on the uptick today for the fight?
03:09Now we go to Southern, California and a California rivalry between the San Diego Padres and the LA Dodgers
03:15San Diego playing some great baseball since the break same for LA
03:20They are seven and three since returning from the all-star break Tyler glass now goes up against Matt Waldron
03:26Glass now in the Dodgers a slight road favorite at minus
03:29134 on the road in San Diego total at seven and a half when you like tonight in this, California clash
03:36Glass now last 60 days out here
03:3963 X fit minus which is a very good number and also in a pitchers ballpark
03:43You might be finding yourself saying okay glass
03:44That was the best that the Dodgers have to offer and the Dodgers are a very good team
03:48Why are they going up against the Padres who have been playing better baseball as you pointed out them?
03:51But maybe not that pedigree pitcher on the mound
03:54It should be 150 or higher at this point
03:56Well, the reason being is the Padres are playing very good
03:58Also, the Padres are at home if we're lining up this team, too
04:02because Matt Waldron will be on the mound last 74 batters he's faced from the left-hand side a
04:06116 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of 215. That's Ohtani. That's Lux. That's Hayward. That's Altman
04:12That's Biggio in that lineup. So you're gonna focus on the right-handed batters who on this season?
04:17Waldron has been really good against Ben a 129 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of 288
04:22Let's flip it over to the last 30 days that completely changes that 129 ISO power number Ben
04:27Elevated to a 333 that 288 weighted on base percentage on the season now elevated to a 491
04:34I know it's a square play here in this environment
04:36I'll trust glass now and the Dodgers lineup more so than that Waldron on the mound. That's the way I'd go in this one
04:42The Dodgers avoided a sweep in their weekend set against the Astros had Monday off
04:48The Padres nearly had a sweep over Baltimore in Camden the O's taking the finale
04:53San Diego had won seven consecutive games entering their weekend finale in Baltimore now return home the opener of a series
05:02Yesterday in Wisconsin getting started with the brew crew landed on the Braves in eight to three victory for the Brewers
05:09They're a home favorite today against the Braves at minus one
05:1322 the over-under is
05:16Nine what's the play today between the brew crew and the Braves?
05:20Yeah, not a lot to trust here with the land of Braves just yet
05:22I know they're getting some help on the way
05:24I don't know if Jorge Soler is gonna be able to get into that lineup and pay any dividends for them
05:28But Bryce Elder will in the mound the right-handed pitcher his last 45 batters
05:31He's faced a 195 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of 353
05:35If you look at this season as it played out a hundred eighty batters elders faced a 160 ISO, which is okay
05:41But an elevated weighted on base percentage of 371 now you flip it over and say, okay
05:45What's the Atlanta lineup going to do against Joe Ross? No statistics over the past 30 days on the season?
05:51He does have some decent numbers
05:52But if we are looking at the lineup today going up against right into pitching past 30 days
05:56Riley is elevated Ozuna's elevated and Travis Darnell is elevated here the rest of that lineup a lot to be desired
06:02I know it sounds like a broken record on a day-to-day basis
06:05We don't have great pitchers here, but it's really hard to back in over and or the Atlanta Braves in this type of spot
06:10I think Milwaukee probably picks up the victory and I think this game probably stays under the totals
06:16yesterday a slight over because of the eight runs a three-run shot off the bat of Willie Adamas Jackson Churio adding in a late to
06:24run bomb as
06:25Well now let's go to a matchup and a midweek series that features two teams in the thick of wild-card
06:31contention in their respective leagues the twins and the American League the Mets in that very
06:38Contested and tight race in NL wild-card
06:41Contention the Amazons a slight favorite at home today inside city field minus
06:46124 total eight and a half yesterday
06:48The Mets scored 15 runs to win 15 to 2 in the opener does the offense continue on this Tuesday evening at City Field?
06:57They should score again talking about the Mets
06:59But let's focus on the pitching matchup here to start man
07:01I have a left-handed pitchers gonna be on the mound for the New York Mets past 30 days
07:05124 bad as he's faced a 165 ISO very manageable
07:08How about a weighted on base percentage of 302 very manageable?
07:12You also take a look at that twins lineup that I do like but games left-handed pitching
07:16I don't like all that much you take a look at Royce Lewis Carlos Santana and Christian Vasquez everybody else
07:22Really struggling against left-handed pitching now, let's go over to the grimace mess at this point
07:27They've been having quite some fun here at the plate as of late and also David Festa on the mound
07:3243 batters over the past 30 days. Check out these numbers Ben ISO power number against
07:39463 weighted on base percentage against
07:42474 the New York Metropolitans again in the win column tonight for me Ben. I
07:48Like that look for you DRS the grimace Mets in this era
07:5228 and 13 since June 12th a day that will be revered in
07:57Metropolitan history for a very long time
08:00That's when grimace throughout the first pitch at City Field a proud organization
08:0516 and 8 in the month of June off to a 16 and 9 start here in July with more baseball
08:12to be had the New York Mets have been sensational here as of
08:19Late and Donnie. I think it's a really interesting day for teams like the Twins and the Mets
08:25Are they going to buy ahead of the deadline Craig mesh did not break any news for us?
08:31Sadly during the daily basis, but before he departed and of course newswire coming up in less than 20 minutes
08:37He said a surprise team to keep an eye on
08:41He expects the New York Mets in the heat of a wild-card race in the National League to buy at the deadline
08:48We know uncle Steve Steve Cohen the owner of the Amazons has the largest pocketbook in
08:54Major League Baseball could be very interesting to see what New York does on this Tuesday
08:59Now it does I'm interested again. There's gonna be some surprise action the teams that we always thought we're gonna make moves here
09:05Just a few weeks ago. Why would the Mets buy anything when baby's talking about selling?
09:09You know, you know Pete Alonzo with the deadline. That's no longer the case
09:12They're playing just as good at baseball as anybody certainly much better than the first place, Philadelphia Phillies
09:17That is very true for MLB plays up next a
09:21Mid-reach series continues under the arch on deadline day in Major League Baseball the counter now just over seven hours
09:29Until the 6 p.m. Eastern Time Tread deadline in the bigs
09:33Well, the Rangers make some moves the Cardinals have already made some acquisitions acquiring Eric Fetty and Tommy Pham from the Chicago White Sox
09:40Yesterday the two teams face off once again today, Texas takes the opener in the loo
09:466 to 3
09:47Yesterday the Rangers were swept this weekend by the Blue Jays
09:51They entered victorious in five straight seven of their last nine
09:55So a much-needed win to start off this new week over the Redbirds yesterday a road favorite under the arch today
10:02Max Scherzer who was brilliant in his most recent start last week gets the nod once again today for the Rangers
10:09Yeah, how about this, you know getting a little more length there from Max Scherzer
10:12I think this is gonna help them out and if you get to the sixth and the seventh innings here
10:16maybe there's something to the Texas Rangers bouncing back from that terrible weekend that they had if we're just looking at pitching matchups over the
10:22Past 60 days exit minus numbers here Scherzer's a 93. Very good. You take a look at Lance Lynn a 109
10:27That's above average and also taking good Lance Lynn over the past 30 days 89 batters that he's faced
10:32How about this to excuse me?
10:34I still power number of 208 weighted on base percentage of 357
10:38but let's do a lefty righty breakdown here lefties and I still power number of
10:42314 over the last 46 at bats against last land and a weighted on base percentage of 459 right-handed batters not faring all that
10:49Well, so if you're looking to take a look and say I don't want to bet this game just by side or total
10:54Take a look at Corey Seager 70 at bats against right-handed pitching over the past 30 days a 286
10:59I saw in a 438 weighted on base percentage. It is dinger Tuesday at the Fandu Sportsbook
11:04There's a legitimate chance Corey Seager gets a dinger tonight, but maybe an RBI option might be the best look there
11:09I would still go if you're just looking to take a side
11:11I think you got the better picture right now on the Texas Rangers and Max Scherzer. I would go that way with that cheap price
11:17Corey Seager got this scoring started yesterday in st
11:21Louis in RBI double to open up the offense a doubleheader yesterday at Camden Yards
11:27Between the Orioles and the Blue Jays high scoring affairs in both
11:32Baltimore takes game 1 11 of 5 or catcher James McCann got belted in the face by a pitch
11:39His nose was going away
11:41No nose should ever go was bleeding
11:44Put a couple of tissues up there and stayed in the baseball game and caught behind the plate
11:49What a warrior that guy is the Blue Jays responded with a victory to split the doubleheader on a Monday 8 to 4 in the
11:55Second game are we going to see the offense continue?
11:58You would think probably not
12:00With Corbin Burns on one side getting the start for Baltimore the O's now a full $2 favorite inside Camden
12:08By the way, it's certainly a tough guy award yesterday
12:11but let's have some sanity within the organization for the Baltimore Orioles the dude is a catcher a
12:1795 mile-an-hour fastball to the face probably had a concussion obviously not going to admit it and the guy couldn't even see at the end
12:23Of the game and what we actually doing at that point is ridiculous stuff, but certainly a tough guy here
12:29I mean Ben look we can litigate it
12:30You know what?
12:31I mean
12:31So down the road McCann's probably gonna make himself an extra 5 million bucks on that game when he does say he has a concussion
12:36Or it comes up today's on the seven-day IL on that concussion list now will the runs continue today probably for Baltimore?
12:42That's it. Not a great pitcher last 30 days. He's been hammered by lefty and righty batters yesterday
12:47I thought Anthony Santander and game number two was a great look there for an RBI
12:51he didn't get one but through his last 71 at-bats against right-handed pitching a
12:55328 ice on a 450 waited on base percentage in the middle of that lineup as a switch hitter
13:00I think he certainly does some damage
13:01But we were talking about one player who maybe if Toronto was selling was Vladimir Guerrero jr
13:07He looks like he's ready to get back to his MVP quality self been bombing
13:12baseball as of late
13:13315 ice on a 420 waited on base percentage over his last 81 at-bats against right-handed pitchers
13:18But granted this isn't your normal everyday right-handed pitcher that you're getting on the mound of Corbin Burns
13:23Which is why they're a $2 plus favorite at this point Baltimore is going to win
13:28But I do think we will have some offensive fireworks possibility here on the side for Baltimore 83 degrees down there Camden Yards
13:34Nine mile an hour wind blowing out. We should get some runs from an Oriole perspective today
13:39We saw runs yesterday in Baltimore. We saw some runs yesterday in
13:45Boston the Red Sox knock off the Mariners to start off their midweek set
13:4914 to 7 a football score as Donny right side shared earlier in the show
13:55How about this the Red Sox debut of one James Paxton?
14:00Who of course was pitching for the Dodgers this year his most recent start his last start in LA
14:06Was against the Red Sox wasn't all that bad. The Dodgers won that baseball game
14:12James Paxton might come back to reality a little bit
14:15If you are a Fenway fan, you are saying to yourself guys got an eight and two record
14:18We're winning this baseball game. We're booked as a home underdog
14:21Against Seattle will be good, but he's got a 4-4 era. He's eight and two because he played in LA
14:27Well, the good times continue for Paxton in Fenway
14:31Now I think the good times are gonna continue for that scoreboard
14:34Which should get worked on today 80 degrees out there Fenway 10 mile an hour winds blowing over the monster and Paxton is a left-handed
14:40Pitcher which means Seattle is going to line up nine right-handed batters to go up against him
14:45and if you're wondering how Paxton has done over the past 30 days against right-handed batters close to a
14:49300 ISO and a
14:51500 weighted on base percentage Paxton once again
14:54Just like every single time he pitches is the worst analytical pitcher on the card
14:59Now you look at that Seattle lineup. It's not exactly murderers row out there
15:03You got a Rosarena and Raleigh with really high numbers along with Carver
15:06Everybody else is flat-out stunk against left-handed pitching, but this isn't your normal left-handed pitcher
15:11This is a terrible left-handed pitcher
15:14So we should get runs today
15:15And if you want to take a look at maybe a sneaky team total with a team that doesn't really have great bats
15:20It just might be the Mariners today
15:22It's a perfect matchup for them today to let you say score five to six runs if they can
15:28Seattle confounds me. They swept the White Sox this weekend. Great. We'll talk Chicago in just a moment outside of that though
15:35The Mariners have dropped nine of their last ten games speaking of Chicago. Oh boy. Will it be?
15:4216 consecutive losses for the White Sox
15:46Against the Royals. Why can't I find it?
15:48There it is minus 190 Casey the favorite today against Chicago eight and a half is the total
15:54I wonder if Luis Robert jr. Is gonna be there by the time this game takes off
15:58I wonder if Garrett crochet will be a member of Chicago by the time we reach first pitch 8 11 p.m.
16:04Eastern time will it be 16 straight losses for the White Sox?
16:08Yeah, it might be and you're right about it too because the one thing we do have the deadline coming in at what I think
16:13It's four o'clock this afternoon
16:14So you will know who the players will be playing tonight like to say if Robert stays
16:17So he's not gonna be pulled out of the game because the deadline would have already happened
16:20But if he has gone before the game, I don't know how they score the morale has got to be terrible in Chicago
16:26There's no way like Michael Walker should have an easy time with this lineup and the Royals to get this easy victory
16:31Bobby Witt jr. 2 plus total bases minus 1 a rack from heat plus total bases is plus 115

Recommended