This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the next 10 days 26/02/2025.
There will be lots of fine, settled weather as we head towards Spring, though we could see some fog and frost.
Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Honor Criswick.
There will be lots of fine, settled weather as we head towards Spring, though we could see some fog and frost.
Bringing you this 10 day weather forecast is Honor Criswick.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Hello there and welcome to this week's 10 day trend. We've had a mixed bag of
00:05weather over the last few days, some heavy rain, also some sunshine and as we
00:09head towards spring we have high pressure building which means lots of
00:12dry and bright weather to come but a few differences here and there. Let's start
00:17off then by taking a look at the bigger picture. So this starts off on Wednesday
00:21where we did have some heavy outbreaks of rain this morning, that was as a
00:23result of this frontal system that's cleared its way nicely to the southeast
00:27now. High pressure out into the Atlantic beginning to build, this is the Azores
00:31high which eventually stretches its way towards the country as we head towards
00:36the end of the week and into the weekend mostly keeping any frontal systems at
00:40bay but we do have a low pressure system just crossing towards Iceland trying to
00:45drag its way in some frontal systems and a slight squeeze in the isobars here
00:49too so perhaps a slight difference across the northwestern parts of the
00:52country but largely high pressure dominating for the end of the week into
00:56the weekend. Before we get on to that though let's take a look at Thursday so
01:00a chilly start, some frost and also some fog in places. Also can't rule out a few
01:04showers particularly around North Sea coast, a fair few showers moving through
01:08here and it could be a little bit breezy at times as they move through too. Also a
01:12few showers starting to move into parts of the northwest but for the bulk of the
01:15country as we see that high pressure build it's going to be a largely fine
01:18day, lots of sunny spells and lots of dry weather too. Temperatures just about
01:23average for the time of year, highs around 10 possibly 11 Celsius across
01:28the south so feeling pleasant where you catch the sunshine. Then later into the
01:33evening we'll see that high pressure build more and more that's going to ease
01:36away any showers that we see overnight, perhaps a fair few still across the far
01:40northwest not really easing until the early hours of the morning but with
01:44clear skies, light winds that means temperatures are going to soon dip away
01:48likely to see quite a widespread frost as we reach Friday morning. Also some
01:53patchy fog possibly even freezing fog where we see those temperatures dip
01:56below zero so quite a chilly start for the end of the week and the last day of
02:00winter. But through the course of the day once again that high pressure still
02:05clinging on across the country so there's going to be plenty of sunshine
02:09around, plenty of dry weather, still a chance we could see a few showers across
02:13the northwest but you'll probably be quite unlucky if you catch any of those
02:16mostly confined to the coast. Now for the beginning of the weekend still high
02:21pressure largely dominating yes the jet stream to the north of the country which
02:26really allows that high pressure to build as we head towards the weekend but
02:29you notice there's still just this cold front trying to drag its way through
02:33that high pressure as we go into Saturday and that just means that there
02:37will still be a little bit of cloud, some light outbreaks of rain and drizzles
02:41steadily pushing their way southeastwards across the country so
02:44perhaps a bit more cloud around on Saturday compared to Thursday and Friday.
02:48A little bit wet at times particularly across northern parts of Wales, northern
02:53England but elsewhere across central and southern parts of the UK it should be
02:56mostly dry, hazy sunshine as we see a build of high cloud and yes there's
03:01still one or two showers feeding into the far north of Scotland but it's going
03:05to be largely bright across Northern Ireland parts of Scotland too so still
03:09lots of sunshine around and temperatures remaining around the same highs of 10
03:13possibly 11 Celsius if we see that sunshine stick around. Then there are
03:18to Sunday we can see this band of cloud here that's just the remnants of that
03:22of that frontal system once again most of the rain generally fizzling out and
03:25that cloud should break up nicely as we head into the afternoon allowing a few
03:29more sunny spells, more hazy sunshine starting to clip into the northwest this
03:33time just as this next frontal system tries to edge its way in but once again
03:37a dry and bright second half to the weekend highs of around 10 to 11 Celsius
03:41too. Now this next frontal system across the northwest once again it does try to
03:47push its way southeastwards across the country fairly slow moving and a fairly
03:51weak feature too as it tries to do so. We can also see once again a good squeeze
03:55in the ice bars to the northwest of the country and that just means it's going
03:59to be turning a little bit wet and windy for parts of Scotland, Northern Ireland
04:02as we head into Monday but still once again pushing up against that high
04:05pressure so it doesn't really move very far and it doesn't really bring much
04:09weather as it moves southeastwards largely just some cloud. However that
04:13cloud is going to be really dependent on the conditions we see over the coming
04:17days as we move forward because we see those cloudier skies that's going to
04:21stop any fog and frost formation. So we need to take a look at whereabouts that
04:25frontal system is going to sit. So here we have a spaghetti plot and what we
04:29basically do is run our European model this one is we run it a few times over
04:34slightly changing the initial conditions of the weather and this shows us just
04:38about whereabouts these the frontal system could possibly sit so if the
04:42lines are quite close together that's quite good confidence of where the
04:45frontal system is going to sit but if they're quite spread apart that means
04:48there's a good spread in the model data whereabouts that frontal system could
04:51sit. So this is for midnight on Monday and you can see most of our models
04:55largely showing it to the northwest of the country so that's likely where that
04:58frontal system is going to sit. But as we move our way into Tuesday we can see
05:03there's actually quite a few different locations whereabouts that frontal
05:07system could sit and as I've already mentioned as it moves its way
05:10southeastwards it's probably gonna be quite a weakening feature so more a band
05:13of cloud but that means that's where we're unlikely to see any fog or frost
05:18form. But just bringing you back to Friday and over the weekend it's likely
05:23we could see some quite foggy mornings particularly on Friday taking a look at
05:27our global model the kind of probability of visibility less than a thousand
05:31meters so where we where there's a good indication we could see fog. So Friday
05:35morning we could see Northern Ireland, western parts of Scotland, northwestern
05:39England, parts of Wales, Devon and Cornwall, perhaps even central areas could see
05:43some foggy conditions and on Saturday it looks like more of the fog confined
05:46across parts of the southeast. As we head through Sunday and into Monday once
05:51again a good indication that we could see quite a bit of fog perhaps not so
05:54much on Monday at first glance but this is just more where we've got slight
05:58uncertainty as to whereabouts that band of cloud is going to sit so that means
06:02whereabouts the clear skies are going to be and whereabouts the fog could
06:06potentially move through as we head into the morning. So by first glance yes
06:10it doesn't look like there's going to be a lot of fog on Monday but it's not to
06:13be taken for gospel and it's a good chance that anywhere we see any clear
06:17skies that we could see some fog during the morning. Now also it really depends
06:22whereabouts that cloud sits and that's going to have an impact on temperature
06:25so it's likely we'll see some clouds, some outbreaks of rain across the northwest
06:28so that's where we're not going to see temperatures dip away as much. These are
06:31temperature anomalies compared to average so across
06:35the northwest these slightly redder colors which means they're going to be
06:38these are overnight minimum temperatures slightly above average for the time of
06:42year so it's not going to get quite as chilly across the far northwest but a
06:45slight hint of some blues across parts of Wales parts of the southwest on
06:48Thursday night perhaps a little bit more widespread on Friday night where we are
06:52expecting quite a widespread frost under those clearer skies and it's fairly
06:56similar on Saturday on Sunday but on Saturday night you can see once again
06:59obviously indicating whereabouts this cloud could sit where temperatures
07:03aren't going to dip quite as low so perhaps a bit more frost across
07:06southern areas parts of Northern Ireland, Northern England as we head through into
07:09Sunday night more confined to the south and southeast but as I've already
07:13mentioned it will really depend on whereabouts that cloud is going to sit
07:16but nevertheless over the weekend and into the weekend a chance of frost
07:20and also some fog as we head through the early hours of the morning. So into next
07:25week there is actually going to be lots of settled weather around some frost and
07:29fog during the morning but it's a good chance that we could see most of the
07:32wet and windy weather confined to the northwest at times next week and as
07:36those frontal systems move into that high pressure there is a good chance
07:39that we could see some cloud at times but very little rain on the cards. And
07:43now what about temperatures? Well temperatures widely look like they're
07:47going to be above average as we head into the next couple of weeks this red
07:52line here kind of indicates the average temperature as we go into the next
07:56couple of weeks and these kind of box and whisker plots they're called this
07:59kind of shows the spread of temperatures as we head into the middle
08:03part of March so we can see particularly at the beginning we can see the most
08:06spread of temperatures it's widely above this red line so widely above average
08:10and then even as we head in towards the beginning of March a slightly bigger
08:15spread yes as we see these slightly bigger boxes but still widely above that
08:20red line and these are minimum temperatures so once again this red line
08:23slightly below the other one showing kind of average minimum temperatures we
08:27see that slight cold dip we're expecting that frost the frosty weather
08:30as we head into Friday but still even so as we head towards March most of those
08:36boxes widely above the line so widely above average so some mild nights on
08:40their way and it's similar across southern areas to most of the boxes if
08:44not around the line just above the line so some mild temperatures by day and
08:48also by night but it is likely that they could dip away for the beginning of the
08:52period particularly under those clear spells now how warm exactly is it going
08:58to get well there's a good indication as we head towards next week that we could
09:02actually see some pretty mild temperatures for the time of year this
09:05is the probability of seeing 15 degrees or more from our European model so for
09:10the beginning of the week there's not much indication of any kind of colors
09:14perhaps a slight green tinge across parts of the southeast as we head into
09:17Tuesday but it's really as we move through the week as we head towards
09:21Friday that there is actually quite a good indication across parts of the
09:25south and southeast that potentially we could just about reach 15 degrees which
09:30is a good five degrees above average for the time of year with the dry settled
09:34conditions it's likely that's going to feel rather pleasant where you do catch
09:37the sunshine but that's still a few days away so still a good chance it could
09:41change but on the whole largely settled but is there any indication that we
09:46could see a change well taking a look at the probability stacked plot of the kind
09:51of a low pressure or high pressure that we can expect we can see at the
09:54beginning of the period mostly these yellow colors dominating this indicates
09:59the Azores high so the conditions we're seeing towards the end towards the end
10:03of this week so high pressure largely dominating largely settled and then as
10:07we head towards the middle part of March more of these blue colors and that
10:10indicates low pressure dominating so some slightly unsettled conditions so
10:14some wet and windy weather perhaps this time not quite just confined to the far
10:18northwest and we can also see this taking a look at our pressure pattern
10:22over the next couple of weeks so starting off the period largely red
10:26colors high pressure settled conditions and then a change to more of the blue
10:30colors towards the middle part of March so low pressure unsettled conditions but
10:34what we can see is up here we have the most recent model runs and as we head
10:38further down these are later model runs and what we can see is a slight
10:41diagonal direction of these bluer colors so that just means that any kind of low
10:45pressure dominating with newer model runs it's actually being pushed a bit
10:49further out so a bit further into March rather than the beginning so it's a good
10:53indication that actually that high pressure is going to stick around and
10:56we're not really going to see anything more unsettled until kind of the
10:59beginning or middle part of March so high pressure yes lots of dry and settled
11:04conditions but a good chance we could see some fog and frost in the morning
11:08perhaps a little bit wet and windy weather confined to the northwest too
11:11that's it from me bye bye