A dry but increasingly cloudy morning as a weather front arrives rapidly from the west. This weather front brings widely wet and windy weather, with strong winds bringing disruption to coastal parts of Wales and southern England where a yellow weather warning is in force, and some snow across higher ground in the north. Turning drier from the west during the afternoon, though showers still linger across Scotland, and remaining breezy for all. - This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the evening of 23/01/2025. Bringing you today’s weather forecast is Alex Deakin.
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00:00Not quite the calm before the storm today, because we are actually going to see some
00:04fairly lively weather in the coming hours.
00:06But we're still really concerned about the developments out in the Atlantic and Storm
00:10Aon arriving through tonight and into Friday.
00:14Before that, this weather front will bring a spell of wet and windy weather, but the
00:18storm is brewing off the eastern seaboard of North America.
00:22It doesn't look much at this stage, but it's been intensifying as we've been through the
00:26night and will continue to do so during today, becoming a fully blown storm by the time we
00:33get to this afternoon.
00:34And interacting with the jet stream, a really powerful jets coming across the North Atlantic
00:40and in particular, this little jet streak picking up below and intensifying it further
00:45as it approaches the Republic of Ireland during tonight's, then pushing it across Northern
00:50Ireland and into Scotland.
00:52The exact track may vary a little bit, but we're pretty confident the strongest winds
00:56are going to be in this zone where the isobars are really squeezing together.
00:59So for Northern Ireland, central, southern Scotland, northern England and parts of North
01:03Wales, that's where we have an amber warning in place.
01:07More on that in just a second.
01:08But first of all, let's get through today.
01:10As I said, this weather front is moving in, bringing a pretty wet and grim morning rush
01:15hour across Northern Ireland, some heavy bursts of rain as that edges in and then it pushes
01:20into Wales and southwest England.
01:22As it does so, the winds will really start to pick up around the west coast of Wales,
01:26southwest England.
01:27And then as it moves along the south coast of England, we'll see gusty winds as that
01:31rain band moves through, staying pretty wet through the afternoon across northern England,
01:35Scotland, some snow over the Pennines, certainly some snow over the hills and mountains of
01:39Scotland as it stays fairly soggy here into this evening.
01:43A blustery, gusty day everywhere, but we're a little concerned about the winds really
01:48whipping up as that rain band moves through.
01:50We do have a Met Office yellow warning in place, the winds really whipping up this morning
01:54over west Wales, southwest England and then strengthening through the day also along the
01:59south coast.
02:00So a spell of gusts of 40, 50, potentially 60 miles an hour that could cause some disruption.
02:07Temperature wise, well actually it's going to turn a little milder.
02:09Skies brighten through this afternoon over the Midlands, Wales, southwest England, 8,
02:139, maybe 10 Celsius, feeling cooler with the breeze and certainly another chilly one over
02:17much of northern England and Scotland as that rain and hill snow continues.
02:22Now that will steadily fizzle out as we go through Thursday evening, a few showers following
02:26on behind, many places dry for a time.
02:29But here comes that storm we saw earlier, you can see that circulation, damaging gusts
02:35of wind, certainly across the Republic of Ireland as that storm system moves in during
02:40Thursday night.
02:41But then continuing to bring strong winds, potentially disruptive winds for southwest
02:47England, Wales and then strengthening once more through the Irish sea coast during Friday
02:53as the low itself heads across northern Ireland up into parts of Scotland.
02:58There'll be more wet weather as well.
02:59Notice how the rain swings through there across England and Wales pretty smartly.
03:03So a good chunk of Friday actually just dry and gusty over England and Wales.
03:08There will be some snow mixed in again over the hills across northern Ireland and northern
03:13England through the night and then lasting for much of the day across the hills and mountains
03:18of northern Scotland.
03:19So that's another thing we need to watch by the end of Friday, a further 15, potentially
03:2320 centimetres of snow.
03:26Obviously with the strength of the wind, it's not going to feel all that mild, but look
03:28at the temperatures.
03:29Emptiness for a while, maybe double digits for much of the UK, perhaps 11 or 12 across
03:34parts of the south.
03:35As I said, feeling cooler with the winds, although the breeze will be easing down somewhat
03:39across southern areas once that rain has moved through.
03:43Let's take a closer look, though, at the winds, because they are the biggest issue with this
03:47storm system as it continues its track across Scotland.
03:52If we rewind and put the gust of wind on, you can see the ice was really close together
03:56there in its southwestern quadrant.
03:59That's where we like to see the strongest winds hitting the Republic of Ireland first
04:03through the early hours of Friday morning, damaging gusts of wind likely here and then
04:07spreading across into Northern Ireland.
04:09Another pulse of strong winds for north Wales, northwest England that will then push across
04:15southern Scotland through the central belt potentially as well.
04:19Now, this storm could be a little further north, could be a little further south.
04:22So these gusts still open to some doubt, but we are now pretty confident that there will
04:27be some significant disruption over parts of central and southern Scotland, northern
04:32England, north Wales and northern Ireland.
04:35Then the storm heads its way up towards Norway and still some gusty winds even into Saturday
04:41across northern parts of Scotland.
04:43Elsewhere, the winds will be easing.
04:45So the warnings, yes, we've got an amber warning in place.
04:48That's where we're most confident we are going to see disruption.
04:51Gusts of 60 to 70 miles an hour quite widely, gusts of maybe 80 miles an hour and potentially
04:57in exposed areas, coast and hills, we could see winds higher than that 80 to 90 miles
05:00an hour.
05:01So likely to cause structural damage, bring down power cables, bring down branches, certainly
05:07widespread disruption to the transport network is expected.
05:10That's in that amber warning zone.
05:12But everywhere we'll see gusty winds for a time further south and further north.
05:17So we have yellow wind warnings covering pretty much all parts of the United Kingdom for the
05:22winds during Friday and also rain warning.
05:26With that rain coming in today and then further rain across Wales, southwest England, that
05:30could cause some issues.
05:32And as I mentioned, some significant snow over parts of Scotland also.
05:35There's also a wind warning into Saturday across Scotland, because as we saw, that storm
05:39will continue to cause some problems here even then.
05:43Plenty going on.
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