Met Office Afternoon Weather Forecast 16/10/24 - Southerly winds
Low pressure to the west resulting in southerly winds, bringing warm and humid conditions, but fronts producing outbreaks of heavy rain across Wales, northern and western parts of England and southern and eastern parts of Scotland. A yellow warning for rain across parts of southwest England, Wales, the West Midlands and northwest England. Some sunny spells for Northern Ireland and western Scotland but eastern England seeing the best of the dry and sunny conditions. Mild for most, and warm towards the southeast - This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the afternoon of 16/10/24. Bringing you today’s weather forecast is Alex Deakin.
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NewsTranscript
00:00A very warm day for some, a very wet day for others.
00:04And for all, a pretty humid feel, all thanks to southerly winds.
00:08The big picture shows the UK smothered in clouds.
00:12We've got a large area of high pressure sitting to the east,
00:15but ambling away.
00:16Low pressure systems sitting to the west,
00:18and that's generating southerly winds.
00:20They're bringing the warmth and the humidity.
00:23But with these weather fronts injecting the moisture,
00:26they're also bringing some pretty heavy downpours.
00:28We've seen some very wet conditions already.
00:31Met Office yellow warnings in place.
00:33The heavy rain extending north into parts of northern England
00:36and parts of eastern Scotland,
00:38also looking pretty soggy this afternoon.
00:40Not everywhere seeing the torrential rain,
00:43but pockets of very heavy rain that could cause some issues,
00:47some local flooding,
00:49and certainly some disruption to the transport network.
00:51Much of western Scotland staying dry,
00:53actually a largely dry but cloudy afternoon in Northern Ireland.
00:56It's eastern England where we're seeing the driest
00:59and brightest weather, some sunshine here.
01:02Likely to see temperatures top out at 20, 21,
01:05maybe even 22 degrees Celsius.
01:07Not unprecedented for October,
01:09but still pretty warm for the middle of the month.
01:12And even where it's raining, temperatures 17, 18 degrees,
01:15that humid feel likely to continue.
01:18And the wet weather will continue
01:20through the evening and overnight.
01:21There's warnings in place into the evening as well.
01:24As the rain pushes again into parts of Northern England,
01:27then into eastern Scotland.
01:28Eventually we'll see some rain this evening
01:30across eastern England,
01:31but tending to clear away from the west.
01:34So by dawn, Northern Ireland, Wales,
01:36southwest England should start to see some clearer skies.
01:39Temperatures still staying pretty high though overnight,
01:42still warm air in place.
01:43So pretty much everywhere in double digits
01:45and many places staying in the teens through the night.
01:48So not a cold start to Thursday,
01:50a fairly glum one for east Anglia,
01:52the southeast of England, northeast England,
01:54and much of northeast Scotland
01:55with outbreaks of rain lingering
01:57in that far northeastern corner until around lunchtime.
02:00And most of the day, in fact, in Shetland.
02:02But elsewhere, it brightens up quite nicely actually.
02:05And for many, it's a good looking day.
02:07There will be a sprinkling of showers
02:09dotted across Northern Ireland, southwest Scotland,
02:12maybe one or two for Wales and western England
02:13come the afternoon.
02:14But they will be well scattered, much of the day dry,
02:18some good spars of sunshine,
02:19perhaps a bit more high clouds spilling back
02:21in towards east Anglia and the southeast later on.
02:23But overall, a fine autumnal feel.
02:26And although it won't be as warm and humid as today,
02:30temperatures will still be above average
02:31getting up to the mid or even high teens
02:34across the southeast.
02:36A bit breezy come the afternoon
02:37across Wales and southwest England
02:39as we see a few more showers drifting in here
02:41through the course of the evening
02:43and a few more getting going over southwest Scotland
02:46and northwest England too.
02:47But again, many places will stay fine.
02:49Just need to watch this area of rain,
02:50looks like sticking away from the far southeast.
02:53Many places having a dry end to Thursday.
02:56Notice behind me though, there is a line of rain.
02:57That's a weather front approaching
02:59from this large area of low pressure,
03:01I should say, heading up towards Iceland.
03:03The isobars squidging together as well.
03:05So some potentially strong winds
03:07across the far northwest on Friday,
03:09coupled with some high tides,
03:11that could cause a few issues.
03:12And then look at this,
03:13an intensifying area of low pressure.
03:15This one really does need watching.
03:17This is for Sunday coming in.
03:18Again, a lot of isobars on the chart,
03:20a spell of wet and potentially very windy weather
03:24during the second half of the weekend.
03:26One we'll be keeping a very close eye on.
03:29Aidan will have more on that in the 10-day trend forecast.
03:32That'll be available on our YouTube channels
03:34by Wednesday afternoon.