This is the Met Office UK Weather forecast for the week ahead 23/12/2024. It’s going to be a very mild Christmas with no snow expected. Bringing you this weekend’s weather forecast is Alex Deakin
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00:00Hello, a fairly straightforward festive forecast this year.
00:05Think mild, think cloudy, and think dry.
00:08You probably won't go too far wrong.
00:10Here's the bigger picture, because as always,
00:12there's always some good detail to pick out
00:14in a weather forecast.
00:15We've got low pressure up across Iceland,
00:17high pressure down to the southwest.
00:19We're in between.
00:19And tucked in here, this is called a broad, warm sector.
00:24And that air will be sitting over us,
00:26moving in and sticking around throughout the Christmas
00:29period.
00:30Yes, we get this weather front at times,
00:32wiggling down across northern and western Scotland,
00:35bringing a little bit of rain, and trying
00:37to bring some cooler air in.
00:38But most of the time, we are in that milder air,
00:42and high pressure is dominating.
00:45So yes, it will be mostly cloudy,
00:46but it is going to be mild and dry for the vast majority.
00:50Notice the ice bars, still quite tightly packed together,
00:53certainly for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.
00:55So it will be quite windy.
00:56But these are the Christmas Eve temperatures,
00:58getting up to 11, 12, 13 degrees in a few places.
01:02Maybe even 14 Celsius, where we see a little bit of sunshine.
01:06So well above average for the time of year.
01:08Most places, about 3 to 6 degrees
01:11above the mid-December average.
01:13And parts of Scotland, especially mild,
01:15more than 6 degrees above the average here.
01:17So yes, a very mild Christmas Eve,
01:21leading into a very mild Christmas period in general.
01:24It is going to be predominantly cloudy, though.
01:26And it's not going to be completely dry.
01:27There will be rain at times in Western Scotland,
01:29particularly over the hills, but even at lower levels for a time,
01:32Christmas Eve morning.
01:33Drizzly conditions over the Pennines,
01:35and maybe over the hills of Wales and southwest England,
01:38too.
01:38But the vast majority, I suspect, will stay dry.
01:41Also, the vast majority staying cloudy.
01:43But there'll be some breaks in the cloud generated
01:46to the east of Wales, and parts of the West Midlands,
01:48northwest England.
01:50May see some sunny spells, along with parts of northeast England.
01:52And northeast Scotland should also
01:54do OK for brighter spells and a bit of sunshine.
01:57It will be quite windy at times across northern Britain,
02:00but staying very mild.
02:01Even as we head into the big day,
02:03these are the kind of temperatures
02:04that Santa will experience during his deliveries.
02:08Double digits still across the board
02:10as we head into Christmas morning.
02:13He's also not going to encounter too much in the way of wild,
02:16windy weather.
02:17Yes, it'll still be breezy with lots of ice bars across the UK.
02:20The jet stream is pushing the low pressure systems up
02:23to the north.
02:24That's where the really strong winds will be high in the sky.
02:26But for us, as I say, no real problems
02:29for Father Christmas.
02:30Maybe a little bit of mist here and there,
02:31maybe some low cloud.
02:32And this weather front will still
02:34provide some rain on the big day over the Western Isles,
02:37and at times over the Northern Isles.
02:39And maybe parts of the far northwest
02:41of the mainland of Scotland could
02:42be a little bit wet at times.
02:44And it will still be quite windy here, too.
02:46In fact, generally, quite a blustery day
02:48across northern parts of the UK.
02:50The winds lighter in the south.
02:52Again, most places cloudy.
02:53Some breaks are likely perhaps a little brighter
02:56compared to Christmas Eve.
02:57But mostly, it'll be a grey Christmas.
02:59But temperatures will, again, be in double digits
03:02across the board.
03:0310, 11, maybe 12, 13 in a few spots.
03:07Not a great deal of change, even as we head into Boxing Day.
03:09High pressure dominating down to the southeast.
03:12Now, this weather front's just wiggling its way around.
03:15So Boxing Day won't be completely
03:16dry for traveling in Western Scotland.
03:18It will be wet here.
03:20And also, chances of that weather front
03:22just slipping a little further south,
03:23bringing some rain at times to the north
03:25and the west of Northern Ireland.
03:26It may actually turn a little drier
03:28across the far north and slightly cooler
03:30as the cooler air tries to push in.
03:32But certainly nothing cold.
03:34And further south, again, temperatures
03:36mostly in double figures.
03:37Mostly, it's just cloudy and dry.
03:39But notice temperatures just dropping down a degree or so
03:42after being at 12 or 13 on Christmas Eve.
03:45A degree or so down each day for Christmas Day and Boxing Day.
03:48But the mild air is still in place,
03:50even as we head into Friday.
03:52Now, weather front perhaps just trying to slip
03:53a little further south.
03:55And the cooler air also trying with it.
03:57But generally, it's going to be another mild day on the 27th.
04:01Again, a lot of people will be heading to the road.
04:03So nothing too troublesome from the weather
04:05for traveling around.
04:06It will still be quite soggy over the highlands of Scotland.
04:09Maybe some blustery showers across the far north.
04:11A little bit of showery rain at times elsewhere,
04:13but fairly light, mostly only over hills and around coasts.
04:16Again, for the vast majority, just dry and cloudy
04:19kind of sums it up.
04:20Could be some fogginess in the mornings
04:22as well and the influence of that high pressure
04:24where we've got lighter winds.
04:25Signs of a bit of a change.
04:27The jet stream just tending to dip a little further south
04:31as we head towards the weekend.
04:32And that could start to mix things up a little bit more
04:35as we go towards the last weekend of the year.
04:38From everyone at the Met Office, I'd
04:40like to wish you all a very happy Christmas.
04:42Of course, we'll still be here throughout this week
04:44keeping you updated.
04:46So never miss a forecast by hitting
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