Tuesday afternoon forecast 30/01//24
30 January - National weather forecast presented by Aidan McGivern.
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00:00Hello, and welcome to the latest forecast from the Met Office. We're going to see fine
00:05weather in many places on Tuesday, although lingering cloud across parts of the East Midlands,
00:11East Anglia and the South East throughout much of the afternoon will be thick enough
00:14at times to give a few spots of light rain and drizzle. Elsewhere, much brighter skies
00:20and for Western Scotland we've got a few showers moving in with a blustery breeze, but otherwise
00:25actually the best of the sunshine will be across Wales, the Midlands, Northern England,
00:29Eastern Scotland and Northern Ireland as well, with light winds generally it's going
00:34to be feeling perfectly pleasant, highs of 7 to 10 Celsius. Into the evening, that clear
00:41slot continues to edge slowly south-eastwards and as a result we'll see increasingly clear
00:48spells developing in the south-east corner. Where we do get some clear spells towards
00:53the south and south-east, winds will be light enough so that temperatures will fall, a touch
00:57of frost and some patchy fog and mist will form in places. But for parts of Wales, the
01:03south-west, Northern England, Scotland and Northern Ireland, it will turn cloudier and
01:07breezier through the night, with the winds really picking up across the north-west of
01:11Scotland along with some heavy rain arriving. So of course that's going to keep things frost-free,
01:165 to 7 Celsius in the north-west, the coldest conditions will be further south-east. But
01:22the wind and rain really getting going through the morning because of a very lively storm
01:28that's developing out in the Atlantic. Now this is midday Tuesday and here's the area
01:32of low pressure that's going to turn up to the north of the UK on Wednesday. It's being
01:36picked up by a powerful jet stream which itself is being caused by an intense temperature
01:40contrast from Canada and the Atlantic. So the jet stream picks up this low, moves it
01:47across the Atlantic and then when this low moves onto the cold side of the jet stream,
01:51that's when it really starts to deepen and as you can see the isobars becoming very tightly
01:56packed together as that low passes to the north of the UK, eventually bringing the worst
02:01of its wind and rain to parts of Norway. So this low is following a north-shifted storm
02:06track compared with the storms that we saw earlier last week, but it's still going to
02:10pack a punch across the far north of the UK. This is the wind gust graphic for early Wednesday
02:15and as you can see a broad sway, the 50 plus mile per hour gusts and 65, 75 in places with
02:22the risk for parts of the far north of Scotland for a time of 85 mile per hour wind gusts.
02:27That could cause some damage, could cause disruption to transport, ferries and bridges
02:31and so on. So yellow warning in force for much of Wednesday for the northern half of
02:36the UK, northern England, parts of Northern Ireland, much of Scotland. The very strongest
02:41winds will accompany the heaviest rain as well across the far north and north-west of
02:45Scotland during Wednesday morning before blustery showers follow the main band of rain. That
02:50rain sinks south, a wet day to come for much of northern UK and some heavy rain over western
02:57hills in particular. It's all accompanied by 65, 75 mile per hour wind gusts and as I
03:03mentioned 85 in the far north. Now the showers will be coming along in colder air as well,
03:09so hail, sleet and hill snow likely across northern parts of Scotland by the end of the
03:14afternoon. Further south we've got increasing cloud through the day, a few spots of rain
03:19over the Welsh mountains and the south-west but otherwise mostly dry until the end of
03:24the afternoon and increasingly breezy as well. But that breeze is going to be bringing mild
03:29rare so 11 or 12 Celsius, feeling colder further north as the front clears away and those winds
03:35continue to be strong. Finally the winds do eventually relent later in the evening
03:40although it stays blustery in the north. The rain sinks south as a weakening feature, so
03:45patchy on and off rain for the Midlands and East Anglia although largely quite damp across
03:49Wales and the south-west as it arrives and that clears through. So the UK weather continuing
03:55to deliver some very changeable conditions over the next few days. And speaking of deliveries,
04:01if you are a fan of stamps, just to make you aware that the Met Office has teamed up with
04:06the Royal Mail to issue a series of special weather stamps and they celebrate the history
04:13of weather forecasting because the Met Office of course is celebrating its 170th anniversary.
04:20So these are available for pre-order now if you are interested in them.