Thursday afternoon forecast 17/02/22
17 February-National weather forecast presented by Alex Deakin.
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00:00Met Office, red weather warnings are rare.
00:03We only issue them when we think there's a threat to life
00:06from the severe weather that's on the way.
00:07And this is all tied in with storm Eunice
00:09arriving on Friday.
00:11We've got a fair few showers across Scotland
00:13early on on Thursday across northern parts of the UK.
00:16But out in the Atlantic, doesn't look much at this stage.
00:19But this massive cloud is developing at the moment
00:22into a potent storm.
00:25Eunice will be spreading its way up
00:28towards the islands through the course of the night.
00:30And then look at the isobars really squeezing together
00:32on that southern flank.
00:33And we're particularly concerned about those winds
00:36as they pick up, particularly across South Wales and parts
00:38of southwest England.
00:39But everywhere, we'll experience some very strong winds
00:43from storm Eunice during Friday, with the possible exception
00:47of the far north of Scotland.
00:48We'll get on to the details of the warning in just a moment.
00:51We've got to get through the rest of Thursday first of all.
00:53There are some showers still across northern Scotland,
00:56some wet and at times windy weather here.
00:58Not as windy as yesterday, of course.
01:00Storm Dudley has now cleared away.
01:01But blustery, but bright for eastern Scotland,
01:04northeast England.
01:04Some good spells of sunshine across the south.
01:07A few showers drifting into northwest England
01:09and northern Ireland.
01:11Temperature-wise, about average for the time of year
01:13across the north, feeling colder with the breeze,
01:15a little bit milder further south.
01:17And as I said, those winds quite a bit lighter
01:19than they were yesterday, easing down through the day.
01:23But then they're going to pick up tonight
01:25as we start to see storm Eunice arriving.
01:27The cloud moving in initially through the evening,
01:30then the wet weather spreads in.
01:31Some heavy rain for northern Ireland,
01:32really quickly turning to snow here overnight.
01:35That could cause some disruption.
01:37And we'll also see snow over the hills of northern England
01:39and southern Scotland, perhaps some getting down
01:42to lower levels.
01:43But it's the winds that really are
01:44the cause for concern through the night,
01:46and more particularly on Friday morning
01:49as they start to strengthen.
01:50Bringing mild air, so it's going to be a mild air
01:52across the south.
01:53We could see temperatures as low as minus 6
01:55in some rural parts of northern Scotland with a frost here.
01:59But as I said, it really is all about the winds
02:02through the morning as the storm system itself heads its way
02:04across northern Ireland into southern Scotland.
02:06It's on the southern flank where that's
02:08squeezing the ice bars through tomorrow morning, 5, 6, 7
02:12o'clock in particular, pushing those winds up
02:14through the Bristol Channel.
02:16Then we'll see some strong winds developing
02:18as the storm starts to head out into the North Sea
02:20across northwest England, and they'll
02:21push down into the Midlands and southeast England as well.
02:25So it's going on through most of Friday,
02:27an amber warning covering most of England and Wales,
02:30a yellow warning further north for snow.
02:34But it's really this red weather warning
02:36that's giving us, as I said, the most cause for concern,
02:38a rare red warning for the coastal strip of Wales
02:41and the coast of southwest England,
02:44the north coast in particular.
02:45Gusts here, 80, 90, maybe more than that.
02:47We could easily see in exposed areas,
02:49gusts up to 100 miles an hour.
02:51Along with that, a storm surge, dangerous waves,
02:54coastal flooding is likely.
02:56Right across this amber warning area,
02:58though, we could at times see gusts even
03:00in land of 60 to maybe 70 miles an hour,
03:03potentially stronger than that as the storm starts
03:05to clear away later on.
03:07Then we have the yellow warning further north,
03:08some strong winds here, but also that snow, an extra hazard.
03:12Low levels, hard to say, but we could see as much as 5
03:15centimetres in some places.
03:17More of a higher level issue over hills
03:20where that snow will be blowing around,
03:22so blizzards and some pretty treacherous conditions
03:24on the higher routes.
03:26But further south, a real risk to life
03:28with that red warning in place across parts of the southwest.
03:31There's the picture for the morning.
03:33Wet weather across eastern parts,
03:35snow moving northwards across eastern Scotland,
03:37so there could be some problems here as well.
03:39Another band of rain swings through
03:41as the winds then start to strengthen
03:42over northwest England, down through the Midlands
03:44and in towards the southeast later on on Friday,
03:47sort of late morning into the middle of the afternoon
03:50before the whole system starts to pull away.
03:53Still some snow falling across eastern Scotland,
03:55but the winds just steadily easing that notch,
03:57so no longer becoming damaging and dangerous
04:01by the end of Friday.
04:02But a lot to get through before then, of course.
04:05Plenty of sunshine actually in the afternoon
04:06across parts of the south.
04:07Obviously, it's going to be very gusty indeed,
04:09and that will have an impact on the temperatures early
04:11in the day.
04:11We could get to double figures, but by the afternoon,
04:14five to eight degrees further south,
04:16just one or two further north and feeling colder,
04:19obviously, with the strength of the wind.
04:21We're not done there either,
04:22because more wet and windy weather
04:24will swing in through the weekend.
04:25Yes, Storm Eunice clears away on Friday evening,
04:28but plenty of showers packing in with the colder air.
04:30They'll have some snow mixed in,
04:32northwest England, Northern Ireland, western Scotland,
04:34so things could well turn icy on Friday night.
04:37And then we are looking at further spells
04:39of wet and windy weather during this weekend,
04:42so we need to keep an eye on these weather systems
04:44continuing to come in.
04:46A strong jet stream at the moment
04:47powering further low pressure systems,
04:49bringing strong winds, spells of rain,
04:51and yes, a bit more snow in places as well.
04:54Please keep up to date with the Met Office weather warnings.
04:59They're there for you to view at any time.
05:01If you download our app, visit our website,
05:03and of course, we're always updating things
05:04across social media.
05:05Subscribe to our YouTube channels
05:07so you really do keep up to date with the forecast.