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00:00We'll be right back.
00:03Win number 50 for Cleveland yesterday, six straight wins.
00:07The Guardians the best winning percentage in the American League.
00:10The Orioles trending the other direction in the last few days.
00:13They have dropped four in a row, but a favorite today to snap that skin.
00:17Will the odds makers be correct?
00:19Will Baltimore buck both trends tonight inside Camden Yards?
00:23I think we'll get some runs in this game.
00:24We're close to 90 degrees at first pitch down at Camden Yards
00:27and also wind blowing out to dead center field at 10 miles an hour.
00:29Good hitting conditions.
00:30Logan Allen, who is a left-handed pitcher that struggles against right-handed batters.
00:34That's usually a recipe for disaster.
00:36However, all throughout the season, we would take a look at this Baltimore lineup
00:39and say to ourselves, man, it looks great on a night-to-night basis.
00:42And against a lefty, they should be able to stack right-handed batters
00:45and absolutely hammer away.
00:46But check out this lineup.
00:48If we take a look at the anticipated nine that are going to come up,
00:51you take a look at Rutschman, killing it right now.
00:53473 weighted on base percentage through his last 31 at bats against lefties.
00:57You take a look also a little bit down that line, Austin Hayes,
00:59a 401 weighted on base percentage through 22 at bats.
01:02Everybody else, Ben, below the average of weighted on base percentage
01:05against left-handed pitching.
01:07And again, we're not talking about Tarek Skubu in town like,
01:09oh, they're just going to be dealt with anyway.
01:11Allen's not a great pitcher.
01:12And so you say, well, Donnie, why would you actually lean on total runs?
01:15You're just trying for those expectations of what we anticipate
01:18because on the opposite side, Cole Irvin's on the mound,
01:20a left-handed pitcher that really struggles again with right-handed batters.
01:23We just talked about that a second ago with who's going to be on the mound here
01:26in the Cleveland Guardians, but not a great presentation
01:29for the lineup for the Guardians.
01:30I'm just expecting the law of averages.
01:32Two average pitchers on the mound, two good hitting lineups
01:35in a ballpark that is conducive to hitting and does have those temperatures
01:38around 90 degrees and that nine mile an hour winds
01:41or 10 mile an hour winds blowing up the center field.
01:43I'll take the runs in this one.
01:44If I had to lean, it's probably the Baltimore Orioles bouncing back,
01:47but I don't love the presentation of their lineup.
01:49I'll just stick with the total.
01:50I think we get runs today in this game.
01:52We'll be right back.