Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00the 2 15 start from ST louis. It's over. It's Palante. Take a look at this
00:04total. Open up at eight. We're now seeing 8.5 now tom on the board and a
00:08favorite at minus 1 26 at the opening number at Fandle for Minnesota has
00:12dropped a little bit more of a pick them here. Minus 1 15 minus 1 25. Now
00:17the key ingredient today could be tom. We love weather windy with chances of
00:21heavy rain and also 70 degree temperatures. But that wind tom blowing
00:27out in ST louis today. How about that?
00:30Yeah, a little bit of a delay. Possible always important and it's always
00:33important to note when the rain comes, which will obviously touch on it as
00:37you know, circumstantially throughout the year. But if rain's coming in the
00:40middle of game, we can look to picture under because if we get an hour delay,
00:43pictures don't come back at times. That's not having today. Just a side
00:46point. But I am on the twins money line. Part of me just doesn't expect teams
00:51to get swept. I like to bet on teams that I think early is good to bounce
00:54back after a couple losses. Minnesota yet to win the season. I'm on their
00:57money line. Bailey over is a good picture. He may not be amazing, but he's
01:01good enough. Last year we're looking at a 26.9% striker, which is certainly
01:05solid. The fly balls are an issue. The home runs at 1.36 last year are an
01:09issue with the wind blowing out, does put things in question when you have a
01:1250% fly ball rate. The hard contact rate wasn't too bad last year at 30%.
01:16So I'm on the twins to win. I think Bailey over is a solid picture. You can
01:20rack up the strikeouts. I'm also as we spoke about on the previous show, I'm
01:24not convinced about the Cardinals. I think there were a bad team. I don't
01:27think you're gonna be winning multiple games in a row too often this year. So
01:30I'll be looking at a very close to even money line price about Bailey over
01:34coming away with not coming with the wind, but the twins coming with wind,
01:37not him specifically. And by the way, maybe not a household pitching names
01:41per se, unless you're a handicap or a fan of the team. You take a look last
01:43year at over 3.83 X fifth number, which isn't bad. Palante 3.89. You also take
01:49a look at Palante last year. 509 batters. He's face time is ISIL
01:53against 0 98 and a weighted on base percentage of 2 95. That is phenomenal.
01:57Then you flip it over to oversight there and you say to yourself, well,
01:59what did he do last year? A 1 83 ISIL combined through 710 batters, which
02:03isn't bad. It's slightly elevated, but a 2 85 waited on base percentage. We'll
02:07see what we get today out in ST louis. But for me, I go through my notes and I
02:11just keep on turning the page gone. I don't know if I would get involved
02:13because the weather's coming in some rainy chances. Now the wind could help
02:17the offense as we know, and maybe it's a longer bullpen day. But if it
02:19follows where both of these pictures going up against these lineups, maybe
02:22you start to get a little bit of unders. But as I say that there's a
02:26little chance that I'm going to sell you something on this game that says
02:30Donnie, that doesn't make any sense. Yeah, why? Because I got to sell myself
02:33on it along with selling the good people out there as well. Keep moving
02:36down the list. Boston and Texas 9 67 9 68 on the rotation to 35 start fits
02:42going up against the ground. Look at this number overnight. Tom minus 205 as
02:46a favor towards texas. Now down to that 1 80 range depending on where
02:49you're shopping at in the total that opened up at 8.5 now drops to eight
02:53boston and texas. The Grimes on the mound and away we go.
02:57If the Grimes on the mound, obviously it's a big storyline, not just for the
03:00Rangers, but for MLB overall. Like we we see the Grimes name up there when it
03:05comes to the A. L. Cy Young, his line is sitting at 6.5 and minus 1 34. We
03:09have seen that's his strikeout prop. That is we have seen the Red Sox
03:13strike out a lot to start the season. If you're interested into Grom, you
03:18could certainly take the 6.5. I'm very cautious, especially with the picture
03:21coming back from injury picture that we have not seen put up a sustainable
03:25strikeout rate just because he also has been healthy. So I'm very cautious on
03:29the Grom. I have no place in this game. If you want to take plays on the
03:33Rangers side and listen, I may end up on plays. What is this a to whatever
03:36start? I mean, may end up on some Rangers RBI props just because I'm not
03:40convinced that Fitz is a good picture. I know his name is up there. If we have
03:43the rookie of the year odds for the A. L. Like I think Fitz is on that list
03:47somewhere. But again, he's an unproven young pitcher. And when you have a
03:51Corey Seager, you have an Adoles Garcia, Marcus Simeon on the other side,
03:55white lane for like we have some real power on the Rangers and they could
03:58certainly get through there. Yeah, Fitz is up there for a rookie year. So like
04:02he's not an unknown name, but I'd rather decide with the bats than trust
04:05either of the pictures when I have big question marks about both of them.