• 21 hours ago
ありえへん∞世界 2024年11月5日 成田&村上のニッポンの未来を考えまSHOW
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Transcript
00:00The new common sense special that is embarrassing if the grown-ups don't answer!
00:04Yay!
00:06Dad, don't be ashamed and answer all the questions!
00:09Thank you!
00:10You answered all the questions!
00:12Seriously, I have to say that I don't have support from the kids this time.
00:16Right.
00:17I have to say it in one shot.
00:19I always drag the end of the show.
00:22I'm going to do it with one eye.
00:23With one eye?
00:24I'm going to do it with one eye today.
00:25You said you liked it.
00:26I said I liked it.
00:28Meanwhile, actor Atsuhiro Inukai has an exciting story on the plane.
00:35I was on the plane the other day.
00:38I was a little tired and I was sleeping.
00:41I was knocked on the door.
00:43I wondered what it was.
00:44When I woke up, it was the CA.
00:46He said,
00:47I remember it.
00:50I was like,
00:51No way.
00:52I was scared.
00:53I was thinking about what it was.
00:55I couldn't remember.
00:56Then,
00:57I was told it was my elementary school classmate.
01:00It was a girl from my classmate's school.
01:03We had a reunion in the sky.
01:07As a result,
01:09I was scared of the broadcast.
01:11I panicked.
01:13I was scared at first.
01:15What was it?
01:16Was there something with CA?
01:18With CA?
01:20It's okay.
01:21I'm sure it's on the Internet.
01:24I was thinking about it.
01:26I couldn't remember it.
01:28But I remembered it.
01:30It was a very nostalgic story.
01:33I'm glad I landed on the plane.
01:35That's right.
01:37Mr. Niwa, are you watching this?
01:39No, no, no.
01:40Did you hear what I just said?
01:42Mr. Murai,
01:43It's usually embarrassing when you're on the plane.
01:45It's embarrassing.
01:46I was like,
01:47Ouch!
01:48I was like,
01:49Ouch!
01:50I was ready.
01:51Ms. Yuka Sugai,
01:54former captain of Keyakizaka 46 and Sakurazaka 46,
01:59is from a girl's school.
02:01Until recently,
02:03she had a stupid misunderstanding.
02:07When I was in college,
02:09I was in the magic club.
02:11I used to say,
02:12I have an OB today.
02:13I have an OG today.
02:14I was preparing for it.
02:16I thought OB and OG were
02:18old men and old women.
02:21I thought it was an abbreviation.
02:23I thought it was an abbreviation.
02:24I thought I'd have to serve tea
02:26because there was an old man.
02:28Didn't you know when you were in the club?
02:32I didn't know.
02:33Did you know that?
02:36I heard that OB was coming when I was in junior high school.
02:40When did you know that?
02:41OB is always OB.
02:44When you graduate,
02:45you'll be called an old woman and an old man.
02:47When I graduated,
02:48I was told that.
02:49I thought it was cruel.
02:52I see.
02:53I was embarrassed to hear that on the radio.
02:56You said that when you were in college, didn't you?
03:00Didn't people around you react to that?
03:03I didn't talk about what OB and OG were.
03:05I was just having a conversation as usual.
03:08Did you make it?
03:09I managed to make it.
03:11I didn't have a chance to know.
03:13OB and OG are young.
03:17When did you think they would come?
03:21They are young,
03:23but when I graduated,
03:26I thought they would come.
03:28I thought their names would change.
03:30I thought I didn't want to be an OB and OG.
03:35Alco and Peace's Hirako bought a shocking present for her wife on a live broadcast.
03:44It's a little different.
03:46There was a live broadcast of Rabbit the other day.
03:51I bought a 1.2 million yen painting and came here.
03:54What?
03:55Did you have to buy it?
03:57I made a request to see the work of this artist.
04:01When I was lined up,
04:02I happened to see a painting that my wife was interested in.
04:07I bought it.
04:10I couldn't help but buy it.
04:12I called my wife and told her that I would buy a 1.2 million yen painting on a live broadcast.
04:18It's only been two hours since I bought it.
04:21It's very fluffy.
04:24That's right.
04:26It's supposed to be more delicate.
04:29That's right.
04:30I have no choice but to buy this painting.
04:32I don't think so.
04:34It's only 12 yen.
04:36I'm sorry.
04:39It's nice to have a hobby of painting.
04:42That's great.
04:43I thought it would be a good opportunity.
04:46We've been friends for a long time.
04:47I envy you.
04:48It's been 17 years since we got married.
04:52You love your wife very much.
04:54I don't know.
04:57I used to be ridiculed.
05:00I was told to play more with a comedian.
05:02I was asked to play the game of Oni-Ome-Mitsui.
05:05I said I didn't have it.
05:06I was told that I was a comedian and I didn't have a game of Oni-Ome-Mitsui.
05:10I refused all the offers to be friends with my wife.
05:15The times have changed.
05:16The times have changed.
05:18It's amazing.
05:19The times have changed.
05:22As a woman, it's safe.
05:25That's right.
05:26As a man.
05:27I don't go out to play.
05:32The smell is dangerous.
05:36Is that so?
05:37That's the advantage of this tank top.
05:40That's it.
05:41If you expose this part, it's still in full swing.
05:45The spice of this part.
05:47If you expose this part, it's too calm.
05:50I see.
05:51If you expose this part, it's still in full swing.
05:56This is the only part I play.
05:59It's safe.
06:01It's still in full swing.
06:03Why do you play like an apple?
06:05It's like a garden.
06:07It's like a garden.
06:08He is a dangerous man.
06:09He is a dangerous man.
06:11In addition, there is a hidden technique that can solve personal problems.
06:18It's a capsule that's hard to drink.
06:20It's a hidden technique that can drink it.
06:27It's a cardboard that's heavy.
06:29It's a hidden technique that feels very light.
06:34It's light.
06:35It's amazing.
06:36It's amazing.
06:38It's a surprise factory.
06:41It's a secret of the Kappa shrimp.
06:44It's obvious how to make it impossible.
06:48It's a secret.
06:58Let's think about the future of Japan.
07:06He wears glasses that are asymmetrical.
07:11He is a great economist.
07:18He is interested in the economy.
07:23He discusses various problems in Japan.
07:26He tries to improve the future of Japan.
07:31What is the theme of this time?
07:34What will happen to KABUKA?
07:43What should we do with KABUKA?
07:49In July of this year, KABUKA recorded 42,224 yen.
07:56However, in August, it fell to 4,451 yen.
08:01KABUKA recorded the lowest price in the past.
08:05KABUKA recorded the highest price in the past.
08:09KABUKA fell to 2,000 yen in September.
08:16KABUKA is very unstable.
08:18This is a very simple structure.
08:22The lower the yen, the higher the KABUKA.
08:25The higher the yen, the lower the KABUKA.
08:27What does the general public want to sell?
08:31If the yen is low, the export industry will be advantageous.
08:36Exports will increase.
08:38In Japan, the export ratio is higher.
08:43The GDP of Japan will increase.
08:46Japan is an island country.
08:48However, if the yen is low, the import price will increase.
08:52The import price will increase.
08:54The price of the whole country will increase.
08:56There are many factors.
08:59In terms of trade, countries with low import prices are more likely to sell cheaply overseas.
09:08If the yen is low, the sales of Japanese companies will increase.
09:13KABUKA tends to rise.
09:17On the other hand, the yen is high.
09:20It is difficult to sell overseas.
09:23The stock price will go down.
09:25The KABUKA of companies will also go down.
09:30Why is KABUKA unstable?
09:37Hasn't it changed a lot recently?
09:40The reason why KABUKA is unstable is that there are many factors.
09:45Many people are more likely to enter the stock market.
09:51In the old days, it was easier to trade stocks.
09:53More and more amateurs came in.
09:55If you have a brother, you will invest a lot.
09:58People who don't know the reason will come in.
10:01It's unstable because it's noisy.
10:05It's easier for foreigners to come in.
10:09It's easier to trade stocks across the country.
10:12About 30% of the Japanese stock market is owned by foreigners.
10:17Most of the global companies are owned by foreign investors.
10:23The situation has changed depending on what is happening overseas.
10:27There is also a problem of exchange.
10:29There was a war and an infection.
10:31If China is in trouble, the funds invested in Chinese companies will flow to Japan.
10:36The price will rise.
10:37So, it's not the traditional stable investors in the stock market.
10:44Various noises are coming in.
10:47I think it's a strange movement.
10:50I think so, too.
10:52One of the reasons is COVID-19 and the war in Ukraine.
10:57There were various factors that changed the international politics.
11:02The exchange is moving.
11:05If the exchange moves, the exchange rate will increase accordingly.
11:16The decline in economic activity due to COVID-19 and the acceleration of inflation due to rapid recovery.
11:25In addition, the influence of trade by the Ukrainian government.
11:31The rise in the price of stocks due to AI industry and global semiconductor demand is the cause of the downturn.
11:42In general, I feel like I'm being manipulated.
11:47The stock market is always manipulated.
11:50Is it better to be in the stock market than to be in the stock market?
11:55I can't say that in general.
11:57For example, when the growth is very significant, it goes up all the time.
12:04But in the process, it goes up while falling.
12:09I can't say that in general.
12:11There is a good future ahead of us while we are falling.
12:15There is such a possibility.
12:19So anything is fine.
12:20What I just talked about is the movement of the exchange.
12:25It's very sensitive.
12:28It's a short-term downturn.
12:31As Mr. Narita said, the stock market investment was a principle of long-term ownership.
12:37There is a future for the company.
12:40It's a company that collects a lot of money from a certain number of people to develop the company.
12:47It's a company that you want to support.
12:50It's not a profit at the end of the day.
12:54It's a company that has long-term ownership and makes a lot of money.
13:00But those people are not the main players in the current stock market.
13:06It's a short-term downturn.
13:08It's a fast exchange rate.
13:10There is no rule on how long it will last.
13:14There is no such thing.
13:16It's a very high-frequency trading.
13:18You can trade in the world of a few seconds.
13:21If you have a computer, you can earn money by holding it for decades like Buffett.
13:26There are many types of players.
13:29And the situation in the world is so uncertain.
13:33I don't know what to do anymore.
13:36In such an unstable stock market, the Japanese government recommends investing in investment from the stock market.
13:45Among those who started the elementary investment tax system, Shinnisa,
13:51Received the recent historical fall of the stock market.
13:55Shinnisa was wiped out.
14:00Everyone around me said they quit Shinnisa.
14:05Is it really okay to start investing as the government says?
14:12So, as an individual defense measure, I think we should be very careful.
14:18In other words, the stock market is very different from before, so I don't think you know what will happen.
14:23It's possible that something like the fall of the stock market will happen at any time.
14:27So, instead of betting too much on the Japanese stock market, let's balance with other countries.
14:32Not only the stock market, but also reconstruction is important.
14:37I don't expect a certain stock market or a certain reputation.
14:43It's a distributed investment.
14:46So, how do you read the market?
14:50Whether it goes up or down is a simple story.
14:54If you can judge it accurately, you will definitely make a lot of money.
14:59But it's not easy to make such a judgment.
15:03If you know it, you'll make a lot of money.
15:06It's a bit like gambling.
15:09It's a bad way to say it, but the stock market is going up and down.
15:13There is no stability in itself.
15:16For example, if it goes up, you'll be happy.
15:19If it goes down, you can say it on social media.
15:23If you want to gamble, it's like what Tetsuya said earlier.
15:27You want to make a lot of money.
15:32But if you really want to support this company in the long run,
15:35I think it depends on what you want to do.
15:38The difference in the consciousness of the participants is completely different.
15:41It has changed.
15:44It's the same with the Ishiba administration.
15:46That's right.
15:48The Ishiba administration, which was born last month,
15:51has adopted the policy of the Kishida administration
15:54and is aiming to revitalize the Japanese economy through investment.
15:59What happens to stocks if you invest more than stocks?
16:02Of course, it will go up.
16:04Everyone buys it.
16:06If it is persuaded, it will go up.
16:09If it is persuaded, it will go up.
16:12If it is persuaded, it will go up.
16:16It will go up.
16:18I have to think about whether this is a good thing or a bad thing.
16:23Including the investment.
16:26But I don't think I'll get any interest even if I save this much.
16:32If the stock price keeps going up,
16:36I think it's an investment.
16:39It's a human nature to think so.
16:42Then the pressure to make money will work.
16:44I'm buying foreign stocks in exchange for the yen I originally had.
16:50S&P 500, one of the most popular names of new investors,
16:54is made up of stocks of major American companies.
16:58In fact, the funds invested in Japanese yen are exchanged for dollars
17:03and used to buy stocks of American companies that make up this number.
17:08When Japanese investors focus on S&P 500,
17:11the demand for dollars is concentrated and the price of dollars goes up.
17:17Then, the yen will go up,
17:21so it is said that the price of dollars will go down.
17:26When the yen goes down,
17:29Japanese stocks and stocks of Japanese companies will go down.
17:33Japanese stocks will go down and Japanese stocks will go up.
17:37So I don't know how it will affect Japanese stocks.
17:43So is it better to buy Japanese stocks now?
17:46No, I don't know.
17:49First of all, it's dangerous to buy Japanese stocks
17:54if you don't recognize the obvious.
17:57So it's natural that Japanese stocks will go up or down
18:01if you don't recognize the obvious.
18:06In addition, you have to understand that the stock market
18:10is very different from what it was a few decades ago.
18:15Various things are connected,
18:18and the war in the Middle East is affecting your life.
18:22So it's a very difficult game,
18:25and it's not something that amateurs can win
18:28if you don't recognize the obvious.
18:33In that sense,
18:35I think it would be good for the government
18:38to do something about the government
18:41that promotes investment from the beginning.
18:44A little more explanation, intention, direction.
18:48It's not good to explain the risks properly.
18:51If there is something to recommend,
18:54the reason for recommending it,
18:57and the risks associated with it.
19:00If you explain it clearly,
19:03the people will move, and the way of thinking will change.
19:06There is a risk of investing,
19:09but there is also a risk of not investing.
19:13In fact, there is something like
19:16not being able to reap the benefits.
19:19You have to explain both sides.
19:22Why don't you do it?
19:25I think it's easier to move if you explain it.
19:28I think there is no other way to convey it.
19:31If you go to the website of the Ministry of Finance,
19:34there are a lot of materials on finance education.
19:37In addition, the curriculum of the school is gradually changing,
19:40and in recent public classes,
19:43there are more and more classes on finance education.
19:46However, the classes that reach here are
19:49the classes that receive education at school,
19:52but there are more than 50 people
19:55who have a Japanese personality,
19:58so if you try to change the knowledge and attitude
20:01of those middle-aged people,
20:04you have no choice but to go a little bit.
20:07But if you say it,
20:10it's easy to say,
20:13so I don't recommend it.
20:16In the past, I used to look at newspapers and news
20:19and see the changes,
20:22and I was able to choose what to buy,
20:25but now I can't use it as a reference.
20:28In the first place, until about 30 years ago,
20:31Japanese people couldn't buy foreign stocks.
20:34If you look at it as a country, as a government,
20:37I think it's pretty packed.
20:40In other words, it's not possible at all
20:43to create a new industry, make things,
20:46and earn money from overseas.
20:48Japanese people have over 2,000 trillion yen in personal assets.
20:51How to roll up these assets
20:54and make a profit from investment
20:57is the only way to maintain this country.
21:00I can see it clearly.
21:03But there was a bitter lesson.
21:06There was Lehman Shock.
21:09Before that, the American Bush administration
21:12encouraged investment.
21:15That's the result.
21:18This is the policy of President Bush
21:21who took office in 2001.
21:24In order to restore the economy in the United States,
21:27President Bush actively
21:29dealt with tax issues
21:32and strongly promoted
21:35the policy of promoting low-income housing.
21:38Then, the number of people
21:41who buy a house
21:44increased dramatically.
21:46As the housing price rose,
21:49the economy turned upside down
21:52as Bush expected.
21:55However,
21:58in 2027, the housing bubble in the United States collapsed.
22:01Low-income people who bought a house
22:04faced a tragic end
22:07called bankruptcy.
22:10The next year,
22:13Lehman Brothers, the fourth largest
22:16company in the world,
22:19went bankrupt.
22:22Later, it became the third
22:25Lehman Brothers.
22:28I see.
22:31They stepped on a woman's iron.
22:34In order not to step on iron,
22:37they did it over and over again.
22:40When a country induces high-income people,
22:43unexpected effects occur
22:46and it smells dangerous.
22:49It's difficult.
22:52It's a macroeconomic problem.
22:55It's closely related.
22:58It's not a single cause.
23:01There are various factors
23:04that lead to the world's situation.
23:07It's not a question of making money.
23:10It's not a question of making money.
23:12We have to live in peace
23:15without any conflicts.
23:18How far will the recognition of the people be?
23:21It's hard to start a war in the Middle East.
23:24The United States is also in a state
23:27where the civil war is likely to occur.
23:30Compared to that, Japan is peaceful.
23:33Is Japan a good country?
23:36There are few countries like Japan.
23:39Our suffering is from the late 20th century
23:42when the happiest society
23:45in the history of mankind
23:48was born.
23:51It's rich, safe, beautiful,
23:54and has culture and history.
23:57It's hard to accept
24:00that it's about to be destroyed.
24:03As a project to think about the future of Japan,
24:06we have to think about it in the future,
24:09but we have to think about
24:12what we will do in the future.
24:15We have to think about what we will do in the future.
24:18We have to think about what we will do in the future.
24:21It's better to know than not to know.

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