The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has not ruled out the possibility that Severe Tropical Storm “Leon” (international name: Kong-rey) could intensify into a super typhoon. If this happens, Wind Signal No. 5 may be issued as it approaches extreme Northern Luzon.
READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/10/28/pagasa-not-ruling-out-leon-super-typhoon-status
READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/10/28/pagasa-not-ruling-out-leon-super-typhoon-status
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00:00As of 4 a.m., this is the last time you saw the center of the León Flood,
00:05645 kilometers east of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan.
00:10And this severe tropical storm is still going on,
00:12although it's getting stronger.
00:14There's a strong wind of 110 kilometers per hour.
00:18There's a thunderstorm of 135 kilometers per hour
00:22and it's moving west-northwestward at a speed of 10 kilometers per hour.
00:26If we can see here in our latest satellite image,
00:29the rainbands of this León Flood are affecting parts of Bicol Region
00:34and also some parts of Eastern Visayas.
00:36And as this storm is getting closer,
00:39the rainbands will most likely fall during the rainy season
00:44here in the eastern part of Luzon.
00:46That's why our people are continuously being careful
00:49because there are still possibilities of rain today.
00:52Especially in areas that are currently experiencing flooding.
00:57Later, we will know the areas that may experience heavy rainfall
01:02in the next few days.
01:05Let's know what our latest track forecast has as of 5 a.m.
01:10We have the forecast track or the central track
01:13or the movement of this León Flood in the next few days.
01:17We also have what we call the forecast probability cone.
01:21That's the area that is shaded or highlighted in white.
01:24That's where the center of this León Flood may pass in the next few days.
01:30We also have the forecast intensity.
01:32That's what is expected to be the strength or category of the storm
01:35as it continues to move inside our Philippine Area of Responsibility.
01:42And the area that is highlighted in yellow or shaded yellow,
01:46that's the radius of the storm
01:48or that's where you will experience the strong wind that this León Flood brings.
01:53Based on our latest forecast track,
01:55this León Flood will continue to move
01:57generally north-westward.
01:59And because this León Flood is inside the forecast probability cone,
02:03we do not exclude the possibility of landfall.
02:07This León Flood in Batanes,
02:09even if it does not landfall,
02:11it is possible that it will approach the center.
02:13Our next landfall scenario
02:15is here in the southeastern portion of Taiwan.
02:20Meanwhile, based on our intensity forecast,
02:23there is a high possibility that this León Flood will get stronger
02:27as the east coast of our country continues to move.
02:31We do not exclude the possibility
02:33that in the next 12 hours,
02:35it may reach the typhoon category
02:38and it will continue to grow
02:40as the extreme northern Luzon area moves.
02:44This León Flood may come out of our Philippine Area of Responsibility
02:47on Thursday night or Friday morning.
02:50And while it continues to move north-westward,
02:53we do not exclude the possibility
02:55that this León Flood will get stronger
02:57if it is in the area of Batanes
02:59or the southeastern portion of Taiwan.
03:01This León Flood may reach the super typhoon category.
03:05Based on our latest track forecast,
03:08the radius of this León Flood is also wide.
03:11Some parts of the Libicol Region
03:13are within the radius of the León Flood.
03:15And as the León Flood continues to move,
03:18more areas will be able to enter the radius
03:22or the strong winds that this León Flood brings.
03:25That is why the Tropical Cyclone,
03:27wind signal number one,
03:29is high in the provinces of Batanes
03:31such as the Baboyan Islands,
03:33Isabela, Quirino,
03:35as well as Nueva Vizcaya,
03:37Calinga, Abra,
03:41as well as Apayao,
03:43Mountain Province, Ifugao,
03:45Benguet, Ilocos Norte,
03:47Ilocos Sur, La Union,
03:49Aurora, and the northern portion of Quezon
03:53along with the Polillo Islands.
03:55Signal number one is also high
03:57in Camarines Norte,
03:59the eastern portion of Camarines Sur,
04:01in the province of Catanduanes,
04:03the eastern portion of Albay,
04:05in the northeastern portion of Sorsogon,
04:07and in Visayas,
04:08signal number one is high
04:09in the eastern portion of Northern Samar
04:11and the northern portion of Eastern Samar.
04:14This is the highlighted area of light blue
04:16for the next 36 hours
04:18while the León Flood is approaching.
04:20We will possibly experience
04:22the strong winds brought by this storm.
04:26When it comes to the rains
04:28brought by the León Flood,
04:30there is also the trough or extension
04:32of this storm.
04:34Today until Thursday,
04:36mostly portions of Northern Luzon
04:39as well as the western portion of our country,
04:41there will possibly be heavy rains
04:43brought by this storm.
04:46This is based on our latest weather advisory
04:50as of 5 a.m.
04:51Based on our weather advisory,
04:54this is the forecast,
04:55accumulated rainfall for the next 24 hours.
04:58This is totally accumulated for the next 24 hours.
05:02Possibly more than 200 mm
05:05will be experienced today in Batanes
05:08and also in Cagayan
05:09along with the Baboyan Islands.
05:11Heavy to intense rains
05:13will be experienced today
05:15in Ilocos Norte, Apayau,
05:17Occidental Mindoro and Antique.
05:19Meanwhile, moderate to heavy rains
05:21in Ilocos Sur, Isabela, Abra, Calinga,
05:24Calamian Islands, Romblon,
05:26Negros Occidental, and Aclan.
05:28We will notice that not only areas
05:30of Northern Luzon,
05:31but also some areas of Central Luzon
05:33will experience heavy rains,
05:35as well as in the western portions
05:37of Mimaropa, Central Luzon,
05:39as well as Western Visayas
05:41until Thursday.
05:44Starting tomorrow,
05:45there will also be heavy rains
05:48around moderate to heavy intensity
05:50in the areas of Bataan, Cavite, and Batanga.
05:53These are three consecutive days of heavy rains.
05:55There is a high possibility of flooding
05:57or landslides.
05:59That is why, for now,
06:01our people are being careful
06:03especially in the areas
06:05that are currently experiencing floods.
06:09Outside the areas where
06:11the Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal No. 1
06:13is high,
06:15it is also possible for the winds
06:17that are being monitored by the typhoon
06:19to blow.
06:20There is a chance that we will still experience
06:22winds until Thursday,
06:24especially in the areas of Bataan,
06:26Metro Manila, Calabar Zone,
06:28Mimaropa, Pico Region,
06:30Visayas, Dinagat Islands,
06:32Surigao del Norte, and Quinguin
06:34until Thursday.
06:38In the state of our ocean,
06:40there is a high possibility
06:42of flooding due to the effects
06:44of this typhoon
06:46in the coastal areas of Batanes,
06:48along with Boboyan Islands,
06:50Isabela, Ilocos Norte, Aurora,
06:52Quezon, along with Polilio Islands,
06:54as well as the coastal areas
06:56of Camarines Norte and Catanduanes.
06:58It is very dangerous,
07:00especially for our countrymen
07:02who have small ocean vehicles,
07:04because it is possible for the typhoon
07:06to reach up to 8 meters.