• 5 months ago
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games
Transcript
00:00Welcome to the bet. QL daily boost. I'm Lucy Burge of betql.com and I am joined by Matt
00:09Horner and we have an MLB odds boost for all of you today on Reese Hoskins and Jackson
00:16Cheerio to each hit a home run. This is boosted to plus 2200 at Caesars. What do you think
00:22of this one, Matt? Yes, 22 to one. So obviously you guys out there don't be putting much on
00:28this beer, pizza money, as we always say, just a little bit of sprinkle. But obviously
00:32I think it's worth it just putting a little bit down because they're playing in cores.
00:35And as we know, playing Coors Field, this just bombs away for pretty much anybody. Quite
00:40honestly, they're facing Austin Gomber, who's on the mound for the Colorado Rockies. He's
00:46terrible. He's got a 489 expected ERA. He's just awful at home, especially because he
00:52plays in cores and he allows a lot of home runs. So if you want to put a little sprinkle
00:56on this, I definitely wouldn't mind it. But just a little bit, obviously, 22 to one longer
01:01odds. But yeah, could be worth it. I love this. And this goes with my my bet as well,
01:06because I will get to Austin Gomber and how bad he is when it comes to my bet. So he's
01:10there for coming up in about 30 seconds. Get it on this odds boost and take advantage of
01:14our offer from the MGM bet. Ten dollars get up to fifteen hundred dollars back in bonus
01:19bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy when you sign up for a new bet MGM
01:25account now and head to bet. QL dot com. Get your free three day trial today and check
01:31out our exclusive sports book offers there as well. And of course, follow us on Twitter
01:36at Sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucille Verge. Favorite bets today. I am going
01:42with Kristen Yellen to have over one and a half total basis. This is minus one thirty
01:47five. I bet I'm jamming is my lock of the day and our expert locks of the day article
01:52for today. QL dot com. Check that out every day. We're doing very well in those picks.
01:57So we're planning to keep that up. Exactly. We are killing it. So check that out for sure.
02:02But also this bet. So he just hit this on Sunday with six total bases, a home run in
02:07that game. He has hit this in two of his last three games with three total bases four games
02:12ago against Austin Gomber, who, as you said, is not great. He's bad. He's batting to eighty
02:18six against him with two hits. And Gomber gave up eight hits and five runs in his last
02:23start. Just last start. Zara is just under five. So that's not so great. So I like Christian
02:29Yellen's chances for over one and a half. Yeah, I love that. Definitely can hit inside
02:35cores against Gomber. He's just terrible. I am going to I'm not going to go to that
02:40game. I'm going to one of the three games we have today. Really not three games. Yeah.
02:46Three games. There's really not much to be picking from today, but I'm going to go with
02:50the Mets on the money line here. Minus one. Oh, six. Kind of a surprising price, honestly,
02:54if you look at facing the Nationals, who are just not good. Never buys high on the Mets
02:59right now. But I am going to go with the Mets here. And I think the reason why they're priced
03:03this way is because David Peterson is on the mound and everybody knows David Peterson is
03:07a huge negative regression. Kennedy is a three sixty seven era, but he's got a six twelve
03:13expected era, a four eighty five expected FIP and eighty point four percent strand rate
03:19and a six sixty seven K through nine and a four thirty three BB through nine. Basically,
03:24he walks a ton of people and he doesn't strike out a lot of people. He stinks. And Mackenzie
03:28Gore is on the mound on the other side, who's a lot better. Three sixty era, three seventy
03:32nine expected three fifty six expected FIP and a really high three fifty nine Babbitt.
03:37So I think maybe a little positive regression for Gore, who's clearly the better starting
03:41pitcher here. But the Mets have advantages pretty much everywhere else across the board
03:46except for starting pitching. Huge advantage offensively. One twenty five WRC plus versus
03:51lefty is one of the best in baseball against left handers like Gore, whereas the Washington
03:56Nationals are having eighty one WRC plus against left handers like Peterson. They're terrible
04:00against left handers. Bullpen. Huge advantage once again going to the Mets defensively.
04:06Huge advantage once again going to the Mets. The Nationals are fifth worst in defense and
04:09defensive runs scored. So, yeah, I'm going to go with the Mets here at this minus one
04:15or six price. I think we're getting a discount because they're just way better in everything
04:19except the starting pitching in this game. Love that the Grimace Mets. Hopefully in July
04:23they can keep that up because they had a massive June. So hopefully Grimace comes along for
04:28the ride in July. I like that bet very much. Going to tell you on that. I think get in
04:32on those bets and the odds boost plus twenty two hundred at Caesars and subscribe to the
04:36BQL Daily Boost wherever you get your.

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