• 2 months ago
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games
Transcript
00:00Welcome to the Beck UL Daily Boost. I'm Lucy Burge of Beck UL and I am joined by Matt Horner
00:10and we have an odds boost on three Mets tonight to each get hit. This is on Francisco Lindor,
00:17Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil to each record hit boosted to plus 180 at Caesars. What do
00:23you think of this one, Matt? Yeah, plus 180. I don't mind it. I mean, all three of these
00:27guys, the Mets have been hot. Honestly, they've been crushing it in the second half since
00:31the All-Star break. Yeah, they just need a hit. Honestly, that's all you need is a hit.
00:36So plus 180 for these guys to get a hit. I'll say my best bet, I'm going to be on the opposite
00:42side in this game. But at the same time, you just ask them to get a hit. So plus 180. I
00:47don't mind it for just a little sprinkle. You got Joey Estes on the mound who I'll talk
00:52about here in a minute. He gives up hits, but I don't think he'll give up a lot of runs.
00:56So just to preview that. Perfect. Get in on this odds boost and take advantage of our
01:01offer from BetMGM. Bet $10, get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does
01:07not hit by entering code Lucy when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now. And head
01:12to betql.com and check out our exclusive sportsbook offers there as well. And of course, follow
01:17us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucille Burge. Favorite bets today.
01:24I am on Juan Soto, another New York player to go over one and a half total bases. He has gone
01:30over this in two of his last three games. And he went over this by a lot in those games with 12
01:35and eight total bases and five home runs. So he has been hot lately and against Davis Martin. He
01:40was starting for the White Sox. He is batting 333 with a double off of him. So I think Juan Soto
01:46can have another big night tonight and go over on this. Yeah, I watched that game last night.
01:51Three home runs for Soto is unbelievable. By the end of the game, all the White Sox fans
01:56were gone and you had a reliever in there pitching to Soto in his fourth at bat and
02:00they walked him and then the booze rained down because they want to see him get four home runs
02:04at the game. So they walked him at the end there. Yeah, he could definitely get over one and a half
02:09total bases. No question. So I just said I'm going to the opposite side of that next game.
02:14I'm going to take the Oakland A's tonight. I'm going to take the A's first five money line,
02:19their full game money line and the under eight and a half in the game. It's a plus
02:23four fifty five parlay over at DraftKings. Of course, you can play these separate. As I always
02:28say, you don't have to do the parlay. Basically, here you got Joey Estes on the mound for the
02:34Oakland A's. He's not fantastic. Four point thirty five expected ERA. Five point seventeen expected
02:40FIP. Sixty eight point one percent strand rate, though. So that's due to go up a little bit.
02:45His stuff isn't fantastic and he isn't as good away from home. I know you're saying here,
02:49why am I backing this guy? It's mostly because the Mets are actually in their far weaker split
02:55recently against right handers. They've started to decline a little bit. They're down to a one
02:59oh seven WRC plus that was up towards one sixteen one seventeen territory. So they're a little cold
03:04against right handers right now compared to left handers where they have a one twenty WRC plus.
03:09So they're much better against lefties than they are righties recently. And on the other side,
03:12I've been looking for opportunities to fade David Peterson at pretty much every chance I get
03:17against an offense that's good against lefties. The Oakland A's are not good against right handers.
03:22Ninety seven WRC plus one eleven WRC plus against lefties. Their offense has been smacking lefties
03:28around all season long. Peterson, prime regression candidate. You take a look at some of his
03:33numbers. He's a three thirty four ERA, but a five forty two expected ERA, almost two runs higher
03:39and a four forty eight expected FIP. He has an eighty one point five percent strand rate and he
03:44walks everyone four point eighteen walks through nine. His stuff has not been there. He's stranding
03:50a lot of people. He's been really, really lucky in that regard. And that is bound to come crashing
03:55back to earth at some point. And I think the Oakland A's can do that. Plus, we're getting some
03:59serious plus money with the A's tonight fading Peterson. Any time I can get huge plus money
04:03fading a guy that's due for a lot of regressions, I'm going to take that almost every single time.
04:08So give me the Oakland A's tonight. First five money line, full game money line. I like the
04:13under here at eight and a half. I don't see them putting up tons of runs in this game,
04:17but I just think there's so much value here on the A's that I just want to back all this. So
04:21plus four fifty five over DraftKings if you want to parlay or play it separately.
04:26Very nice. Get in on our bets and the odds boost plus one eighty at Caesars
04:30and subscribe to the BetQL Daily Boost wherever you get your podcast.

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