BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Aaron Judge, Juan Soto & Gleyber Torres
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB games
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00:00Welcome to the Beck UL Daily Boost.
00:06I'm Lucy Burge of Beck UL and I'm joined by Matt Horner and we have a Yankees Odds Boost
00:12for all of you today.
00:13Last time we did a Yankees Odds Boost, they got rained out.
00:16This one I don't think is going to get rained out.
00:18I think the weather will be perfect for this boost that is against your white socks, but
00:22it is on Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, and Gleyber Torres to each record a hit.
00:28Aaron Judge's odds is boosted to plus 160 at Caesars.
00:31Matt, what do you think of this boost?
00:34I mean, it's the white socks, it's like, you know, they allow a million hits.
00:39I mean, the only positive for my white socks tonight is that Kai Bush, who's making a second
00:43start ever at the MLB level, by the way, against this Yankees team, is a left hander and the
00:49Yankees are not as good against left handers.
00:52They're still good.
00:53They're just not as good.
00:55But all we need is these guys to hit, get a hit.
00:58I'm really not asking a lot.
00:59That's why we're only at plus 160 here.
01:01Honestly, if it wasn't for the boost, it would probably be even odds or maybe even a little
01:04juiced for these guys to get a hit.
01:06Plus the white socks bullpen, once Bush is out of the game, they are horrible, horrendously
01:12bad.
01:13So, yeah, just for these guys to get a hit, don't mind this at all.
01:16Plus 160.
01:17I don't know.
01:18You might even throw like a half unit, a full unit on that because it's only plus 160 here.
01:22So yeah, I don't mind it.
01:23Yeah, don't mind this at all.
01:25Get in on this odds boost plus 160 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
01:31Bet $10.
01:32Get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy
01:37when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to betql.com.
01:42Check out our exclusive sports book offers there as well.
01:45And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucille
01:51Verge.
01:52Favorite bets today.
01:53I'm sticking with this game and it is on a guy who is also in the boost.
01:56It is Aaron Judge.
01:57I don't know if anyone out there has ever heard of him, Aaron Judge, who have over one
02:01and a half total bases in this game.
02:03This is minus 125.
02:04BetMGM.
02:05He has gone over this in two of his last three games, six hits in those last three games.
02:10And he's gone over this in five of his last nine with 10 hits in his last seven games.
02:15And as you said, Kai Bush, starting for the White Sox tonight, just made his debut last
02:19week.
02:20He has a 6.75 ERA.
02:21He's allowed three runs in that debut.
02:23So I think Judge can get a hold of at least one pitch from Kai Bush, maybe three or four,
02:30and go over on total bases.
02:33And even if he does against Bush, he's got that terrible bullpen.
02:36So this is true.
02:38I don't think it's possible to argue against that, quite honestly.
02:42So yeah, love that one.
02:44I'm going to head to the Minnesota Twins game they're taking on Kansas City tonight.
02:48We're going to go with the same game parlay here, of course.
02:51As always, you can play these separately.
02:53Twins money line.
02:54Twins first five money line.
02:56And the over seven and a half, you combine all three of those, you get plus 214 over
03:00at DraftKings.
03:01I quite love this one because the Twins are just better in every way in this game than
03:06the Royals are.
03:08First you got for the Kansas City Royals, Brady Singer is starting.
03:12Singer's been a regression candidate all season long.
03:153.03 ERA, .457 expected ERA, .361 expected FIP, 80.2% strand rate going up against a
03:23Minnesota offense with a 113 WRC plus against right handers this year.
03:27So they're great.
03:28It's going to be a tough test for Singer on the road here.
03:31On the other side, Pablo Lopez has a much higher ERA than Singer does, 4.74, but he's
03:36a substantially better pitcher than Singer is.
03:403.50 expected ERA, 3.32 expected FIP, so he's due for positive regression, 68% strand
03:46rate there.
03:47Looking at the home and road splits, noticeable difference here for Kansas City, 108 WRC plus
03:54on offense at home, only an 88 on offense on the road, so they are a much worse offense.
03:59Bobby Witt, same thing for him.
04:01He personally, a 217 WRC plus at home, falls all the way to 121 on the road.
04:06So on the road, Kansas City is a much worse team than they are at home.
04:10Take a look at the bullpens as well.
04:12Minnesota eighth in XFIP, top 10 bullpen in the league.
04:16Kansas City 26th in XFIP.
04:18They are a bottom five bullpen in the league.
04:21So everything here tells me the Minnesota Twins are a much better team at home than
04:26Kansas City.
04:28And I love that.
04:29And I love the over seven and a half year banking on some regression from Singer and
04:33that bad Kansas City bullpen.
04:35So plus 214, I don't mind all of those.
04:37Twins money line, Twins first five money line, the over seven and a half, four play
04:41them separate.
04:42Love it all.
04:43Very nice.
04:44Get in on the odds boost plus 160 at Caesars and all of our bets for today and subscribe
04:48to the BetQL Daily Boost wherever you get your podcasts.