BetQL Boost of the Day: Insights on Pete Alonso & J.D. Martinez
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB and NCAAF games
Category
🥇
SportsTranscript
00:00Welcome to the Beck UL Daily Boost.
00:06I'm Lucy Burge of Beck UL and I'm joined by Matt Horner and we have a Mets Odds Boost
00:12for all of you today on Pete Alonso and JD Martinez to each hit a home run tonight.
00:17This is boosted to plus 2000 at Caesars.
00:19Matt, what do you think of this boost?
00:22Yeah, well, don't mind this at all.
00:24They're going up against the team that I am wearing a hat for currently, which is the
00:28Chicago White Sox.
00:29That's 104 losses on the season.
00:32We have now out of they're getting swept by the Texas Rangers.
00:35It's the worst record in baseball history at this point through this many games.
00:40Baseball has been around since before cars.
00:42I don't know if you know that, but this is true.
00:44This is an absolutely historically terrible team.
00:48They're going up against Jonathan Cannon tonight.
00:49Cannon hasn't been that bad.
00:51I'd say he's an average to below average pitcher.
00:54You look at his advanced metrics.
00:57What I would be more concerned of is the White Sox bullpen.
01:01These guys can definitely tee off on the White Sox bullpen because the White Sox bullpen,
01:06our entire starting bullpen when we started the season has been DFA.
01:11It's been that bad that we have completely changed our entire bullpen from the start
01:16of the season because they're so horrible.
01:18They're the worst bullpen in the league by a mile.
01:21So yeah, you're giving me 20 to one odds for these guys to do damage against the White
01:25Sox.
01:26I'll take it.
01:27Put a little sprinkle in there.
01:28Don't mind that at all.
01:30Love that.
01:31Pete Alonso, too, hit a home run yesterday, was the only bet I hit yesterday.
01:35So all night through two sports, college football and baseball, only Pete Alonso stood strong
01:40and won.
01:41You had Colorado, right?
01:42You talked about Colorado.
01:43Matt, I thought about you the entire time.
01:45I was like, Matt was right.
01:46Matt was right.
01:47So yeah.
01:48You are right.
01:49Listen to Matt, guys.
01:50Everybody listen to Matt when it comes to everything and get in on those odds moves
01:57plus 2000 at Caesars and take advantage of our offer from BetMGM.
02:00Bet $10.
02:01Get up to $1500 back in bonus bets if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy
02:06when you sign up for a new BetMGM account now and head to betql.com and check out our
02:12exclusive sports book offers there as well.
02:14And of course, follow us on Twitter at sharp underscore side underscore and at Lucio Merge.
02:20Our favorite bets today.
02:21I'm sticking with New York and I'm going with Jazz Chisholm to hit a home run against
02:26the Cardinals.
02:27This is plus 520 575 at BetMGM.
02:30He hit a home run yesterday.
02:31He's got two home runs in his last three games.
02:34He's got four in his last 1013 this whole season.
02:37So he's been hitting a few of his home runs lately and against Eric Fetty.
02:42He has two home runs and also two singles.
02:45So he's been hot against him and I think he can be hot again tonight and hit a home run.
02:49Eric Fetty, former White Sox.
02:52This is very true, Matt.
02:54Lots of home runs.
02:55Eddie Walker players are former players today.
02:57We're rooting for it.
02:58We love it.
02:59All right.
03:00I am going to go.
03:01We're going to take the Dodgers money line tonight going up against Arizona Diamondbacks.
03:06I don't particularly love backing Clayton Kershaw.
03:09His fastball velocity is under 90 miles per hour.
03:13That is just never going to get it done in Major League Baseball.
03:17He's 36 years old, so, you know, it's really starting to get to him.
03:20But his curveball and his slider have still been quite effective when he uses it.
03:25And I anticipate that he will be using them quite a bit tonight against the Diamondbacks
03:30who crush lefties.
03:32But if he sticks to those, I think he can have relative success.
03:353.81 expected ERA.
03:37That's still not that bad.
03:38So if he utilizes those, which I anticipate he will, I think he can have a little bit
03:42of success.
03:43More so, I'm fading Zach Gallin, who's on the mound for the Diamondbacks tonight.
03:47The guy, after his injury stint, has had serious issues with command.
03:53He has generated a walk rate of almost 5.0 walks through 9, which is insane.
04:01He's just been walking everybody.
04:02He's struggling to find the zone right now.
04:04And that is a guy I typically want to fade.
04:06When he's walking a lot of people, that means more runs are going to be scoring on him.
04:10Going against the Dodgers lineup, which is starting to get healthy, they're starting
04:12to hit again.
04:14I just think the Dodgers, at this type of price, around minus 115, minus 120, is way
04:18too low.
04:19And they just have too much talent.
04:21And I just want to fade Gallin.
04:22So give me the Dodgers on the money line here.
04:25And then I'm also going to give out some college football bets real quick.
04:30Texas A&M this weekend against my Notre Dame Fighting Irish.
04:33I got them minus 2.5.
04:35Anything under 3, so Texas A&M money line or whatever, under 3, I think they're going
04:39to win the game.
04:40So I would take them for sure.
04:42Notre Dame at plus 3 or anything above a field goal, I'd probably lean towards their side.
04:48But overall in this game, we've seen reverse line movement.
04:50We've seen the public.
04:51We've seen all this money flowing in on Notre Dame.
04:53They're the 7th ranked team in the country.
04:55They're the higher ranked team and they're getting points.
04:58The public absolutely loves teams like that, so they're going to be taking the plus money.
05:01They're going to be taking the plus points all over Notre Dame, the higher ranked team.
05:05And yet we've seen the line continue to move towards Texas A&M.
05:09So all this money's going towards one side, but the line's moving the other side.
05:13Reverse line movement, that means the pros are all over Texas A&M here.
05:18I think Texas A&M's going to win the game, but I think this is going to be a defensive
05:21type of matchup.
05:23Both defenses are great.
05:25Some of the best in the country.
05:26And if you're giving me 3 points or 3.5, I'd probably take that with the Irish if it moves
05:30that far too much.
05:32But Texas A&M I think is going to win the game.
05:34So give me the Aggies there as my best college football bet of the weekend.
05:40Very nice.
05:41Get in on all of our bets and the Odds Boost plus 2,000 ad teasers and subscribe to the
05:45BetQL Daily Boost wherever you get your podcasts.