• 4 months ago
BetQL betting experts weigh in on where you should place your money on the upcoming MLB and WNBA games
Transcript
00:00Welcome to the BetQL Daily Boost. I'm Lucy Burge of BetQL and I am joined by
00:08Matt Horner and Kate Constable and we have an MLB Haunts boost for all of you
00:13today on a guy you may have heard of, Paul Skeens. To record 10 or more
00:17strikeouts and the Pirates to win against the Reds this is boosted to plus
00:22450 at Bet Rivers. What do you think of this boost? I mean this one like it's
00:27great because it goes hand-in-hand. If Paul Skeens is striking out 10 batters
00:30Pirates are most likely going to win right so that just kind of makes sense
00:34and Paul Skeens has only struck out 10 I believe once this season but he's gotten
00:40close plenty of times finished with 8 K's 9 K's on various occasions actually
00:44you know he has gotten to that 10 mark twice struck out 11 batters in both of
00:48those games. Tonight I mean right now he has an expected opponent batting
00:54average of 198 which is extremely good and a 31.8 strikeout percentage so
01:00Skeens one of the best arms right now even though he is a rookie in baseball
01:04again like we always say a little coffee money little sprinkle because these two
01:08go so well hand-in-hand together it's not like you're asking two guys on
01:12separate teams to hit home runs like this is if Paul Skeens strikes out 10
01:16Pirates are most likely going to win. Right Matt? Am I wrong? Yep no I pretty
01:20much agree exactly Skeens we all know how good he is at striking guys out he's
01:24taking on a Reds team tonight with a 25% strikeout rate against right-handed
01:29pitching which is the fourth highest in all of baseball against righties plus
01:32they're terrible against right-handers with only a 91 WRC plus taking a look at
01:37the other side the Pirates actually have a better offense against left-handers
01:40Nick Lodolo going for the Cincinnati Reds tonight they have an 82 WRC plus
01:45against righties the Pirates but that skyrockets all the way up to a 96
01:50against left-handers so they have a much better offense against left-handers like
01:53Lodolo overall here I don't mind this at all I think this is definitely worth a
01:57bet. Very nice get in on this odds boost plus $4.50 at Bet Rivers and take
02:02advantage of our offer from Bet MGM bet $10 get up to $1,500 back in bonus bets
02:08if your first bet does not hit by entering code Lucy when you sign up for
02:12a new Bet MGM account now and head to betql.com check out our exclusive
02:17sportsbook offers there as well and of course follow us on Twitter at
02:21kateconstable at sharp underscore side underscore and at LucilleBird favorite
02:27bets for today I'm going back to Francisco Lindor I feel like I take
02:30Francisco a lot and have been lately but he has been pretty hot lately so I'm
02:34taking him over one and a half total bases this is plus $1.35 at Bet MGM if
02:39you can still find it at that price I think that's pretty good he has hit this
02:42in his last two games with a home run yesterday he has hit this in four of his
02:46last six games as well and he also has two home runs in those last six games
02:51and against Dylan Cease he has three hits all of them home runs which you
02:56could go over this with a home run so I think he can go over at least go over
02:59one and a half roll bases tonight love that Lucy I'm gonna go back to the WNBA
03:03we've been hitting those dogs pretty hard and they've been winning outright I
03:08don't think this dog's gonna win outright tonight but I'm gonna take the
03:10Dallas Wings plus 14 they're playing the New York Liberty again tonight who they
03:15who Matt's like I don't bet the WNBA you're the expert here that's just a
03:21huge spread that's what I know the Liberty just beats the Wings by 20
03:27though two nights ago so they're playing again little mini series here but when
03:30the Liberty have played these back-to-back series with opponents
03:33they've blown them out in the first game and then I mean still won pretty
03:38handily in the second game but not by as much back when they played Atlanta they
03:42won the first game by 21 the next game by 6 against Indiana the first game by
03:4736 the next game by 11 so New York tents have let it put up the gas a little bit
03:52against teams on the second leg of those mini series and Sabrina Nescu she is
03:57game time decision tonight but the line is indicating she's going to be back I
04:01kind of feel like even though she's one of their best players and that would
04:04make sense that okay she's back on the floor they play even better sometimes
04:08getting a star back some of the role players kind of take their foot off the
04:11gas a little bit and so I think that could happen tonight especially after
04:14you just beat a team by 20 so I'm gonna take the Wings a little bold pick here
04:18but take them plus 14 tonight there you go love it WNBA going back to the
04:23diamond for me I'm going to take the Astros on the money line tonight plus
04:27136 over at Fandor getting some good plus money against the Baltimore Orioles
04:32take a look at the starting pitchers you've got Spencer Argetty another
04:36Italian dude going for the Astros tonight 5.20 ERA but he's been due for
04:43positive regression pretty much all year 396 expected ERA 408 expected FIP in his
04:49last nine starts three of those he's had over double-digit strikeouts in the
04:54second half he's been a far better pitcher than he was in the first half of
04:57the season the one issue with him is command but he does have a 10.90
05:01strikeout through nine rates and a 330 Babbitt which is just insanely high
05:07that's going to come down for him so I expect some good performances moving
05:10forward on the other side Corbin Burns is going the ace of the Baltimore staff
05:14I honestly am NOT that high on Burns like he's still an above-average arm but
05:19you can see from some of his stats he has a 310 ERA in his last game he had a
05:24271 ERA heading in against the Red Sox and he got blasted for eight earned runs
05:28and four innings got completely destroyed 310 ERA now still some room
05:32for regression 324 expected ERA 355 expected FIP his strikeout to walk ratio
05:39has declined dramatically over the past couple years 2021 is Cy Young season he
05:44had a 30% strikeout to walk ratio which is insane that's down to 17% this year
05:50far worse he's just been declining quite honestly and if you take a look at the
05:54two offenses pretty similar against right-handers Baltimore 116 WRC plus
05:59Houston with a 111 WRC plus so both top 10 against right-handed pitching then in
06:04the bullpen I expect Houston to have the advantage not only are they a better
06:07bullpen but they're more well-rested than Baltimore I don't think Baltimore
06:11is gonna have Sayonara Perez I don't think either going to have Craig
06:15Kimbrell and I also don't see them having Sir Anthony Dominguez Sir Anthony
06:19I love that name all three of those guys have been working quite extensively
06:23recently three out of the last four days so without them I think we'll have
06:27a reduced bullpen for Baltimore so overall I love getting plus money on the
06:31Astros here I know that was a lot but I love the plus 136 what fan bill for the
06:36Astros no one thing about Arrighetti is when he was in the minors some of his
06:40teammates made t-shirts that said spaghetti and meatballs whenever he was
06:44pitching I don't know why like wouldn't you say like a play on his name like
06:48Arrighetti and spaghetti but they just said spaghetti and meatballs I don't I
06:52don't know why but they don't sell them anywhere either I was just checking they
06:54don't sell them I think would be a great shirt but yeah Arrighetti yes
07:02yep spaghetti and spaghetti for Arrighetti I think we should get those
07:06shirts and wear them on the daily boost so get in on all of our bets especially
07:11that one and the odds booze plus 450 at that rivers and subscribe to the bet QL
07:16daily boost wherever you get your podcast
07:22you

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