After Philippe drenches New England, there's a chance we could see a new tropical storm in the Gulf of Mexico.
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00:00 Here's a look at Philippe.
00:01 This is going to be adding to some of the tropical moisture we get right now.
00:04 Winds of 50 miles an hour near its center.
00:06 It's moving north at 14 miles an hour and as it makes its way into north northeastern
00:11 Maine as we head into the early in the middle of the weekend, it will bring impacts, especially
00:17 with heavy rain 2 to 4 inches in areas around Vermont and down into the Berkshires of Massachusetts.
00:23 That's where the worst of the flooding is expected.
00:25 OK, as we continue to track Philippe, October could still be a busy month for tropical development
00:31 as the Atlantic remains active.
00:32 Bernie Rayno takes a closer look at what we can expect and what we're keeping an eye on
00:37 for next week.
00:39 Well there's no question that we are well beyond the heart of the hurricane season,
00:43 which is mid to late September.
00:46 Take a look at the rest of the hurricane season during the month of October.
00:50 You will note though that there's a few bumps in activity early October and late October.
00:56 While we're already getting the early October storm with Philippe, we may be looking at
01:01 something mid to late October as well.
01:03 But again, October can be a very busy month for tropical activity, although it changes
01:08 a little bit.
01:09 It's different than September.
01:10 September, you have the entire Atlantic Basin open for business.
01:14 But once you get into October, you start shrinking the area that you look for development.
01:20 And we start talking once again about homegrown development here.
01:24 That's close development, close to the United States.
01:28 What are the main areas that we look for that in October?
01:31 Northwest Caribbean, mostly the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and the southwest Atlantic.
01:37 How does that happen?
01:38 When you get an interaction between the jet stream and the tropics, when the jet stream
01:42 comes southbound here.
01:43 Now the other thing to be a little concerned about is still how warm the waters are in
01:49 those development areas.
01:50 Not so much off the southeast coast of the United States, because don't forget we had
01:55 Ophelia, we also now have Philippe.
01:58 But the area that's really been untouched by tropical systems, northwest Caribbean and
02:03 parts of the Gulf of Mexico here, where waters are running well above normal.
02:07 So that's a concern.
02:09 Next week, we have a big dip in the jet stream.
02:11 We're going to get that interaction between the jet stream and the tropics because we
02:15 have a stalled front.
02:16 Also what's a little unique, we're going to have a big trough along the west coast of
02:20 the United States.
02:21 So these tropical systems in the east Pacific that usually move to the north and west are
02:29 coming east.
02:30 And some of that moisture interacting with this boundary, this is an area to keep an
02:34 eye on.
02:35 We already have a low possibility of tropical development as we get into the late week.
02:38 Let's watch that area.
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