IHSG +0,6% ke 6.574,814 sesi I Rabu (12/2). IDX Sektor Infrastruktur +2,11%, TLKM +5,17% usai koreksi dalam dan di tengah penantian rilis kinerja 2024. IDX Sektor Teknologi +1,46%, BUKA +12,23%. IDX Sektor Kesehatan +0,61%, IDX Sektor Perindustrian +0,55%, ASII +0,86%. IDX Sektor Keuangan +0,33%, BBNI +2,46%.
Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street berakhir variatif, Selasa, karena lonjakan saham Coca-Cola dan Apple mengimbangi kejatuhan Tesla, sementara investor mengurai komentar terbaru Chairman The Fed Jerome Powell.
Dari global, Bursa ekuitas Wall Street berakhir variatif, Selasa, karena lonjakan saham Coca-Cola dan Apple mengimbangi kejatuhan Tesla, sementara investor mengurai komentar terbaru Chairman The Fed Jerome Powell.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us and in this segment, we will review the trading path throughout today's session.
00:12And we remind you again, you can still participate in our interactive WhatsApp at 0812.8788.3723 as shown on your television screen later.
00:22And right now, we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Dharma Putra Hendi Santoso, branch manager of JUSS Kurita Sudirman.
00:29We will get straight to the point. Mr. Hendi, good afternoon. How are you, sir?
00:33Good afternoon, Mr. Dev. How are you? I'm fine.
00:36Thank you, Mr. Hendi. This is our first meeting, maybe in 2025, right?
00:41That's right.
00:42Thank you for taking the time, Mr. Hendi, and good news for the Samkabungan family.
00:46Finally, the decline in the past five days has stopped.
00:51The trend is back to 1.47% right now and has returned to the level of 6,600.
00:57How do you see the technical reversals that have occurred throughout today's trading?
01:03Thank you, Mr. Dev.
01:06Technically, if I look at today's IHSG, the bounce is very good in the strong support area, which has been formed since 2022.
01:17Then it bounced a few times in 2023, and now it's retested again and it's proven that today's candle is green.
01:28If I look at it, I hope this will be the bottom of IHSG because if you look at it, this is a strong support.
01:36If it reaches the level of 6,500, then actually IHSG is a big trend, it has entered the downtrend period.
01:46Like that, Mr. Dev.
01:48Yes, the rise of the Samkabungan family over the course of the recent days. Is the position of IHSG already profitable, sir?
01:56Okay, it can be seen that IHSG is already profitable because in terms of stochastic, in terms of RSI for the indicator, it can be seen that it is already oversold.
02:07And it can be seen that there is already a potential direction reversal that I see.
02:13It is possible that there will be a sideways for the next week or even the next two weeks.
02:21Because the rise of IHSG is also supported by the big banks. If I look at it from today, big caps and big banks are holding IHSG like that.
02:33Okay, in the short term, where will it go, sir, for IHSG?
02:38My prediction for IHSG is around the level of 6,830.
02:45That's for the short term, where yesterday at the time of trading on February 7, the gap down was opened.
02:53Yes, yesterday it suddenly opened below.
02:58That created a gap and I think it should be closed first at 6,830.
03:08Then if it succeeds, it will be retested in the area of 6,950 to 7,000.
03:16Like that, sir.
03:17Okay, outside of the technical side, investors are still waiting for the release of US inflation data.
03:23There is Richard Wilde, this is Rabu Malam, at the time of West Indonesia, sir.
03:27The expectation will still be high.
03:29How big is the impact, sir?
03:31Or maybe the scenario is below expectations.
03:35It means that the US inflation rate is more towards the downside.
03:39Yes, in terms of CPI, if I look at it, it is likely to increase in terms of core CPI.
03:53Because if I look at the data that has been released, such as jobless claims and so on,
03:59I see that the jobless claims that occurred in January experienced a decline.
04:06Where many people have gotten a job.
04:11Well, if people get a job, it's actually a good sentiment.
04:16Economically, it means the economy can rotate.
04:19But there is one condition where it becomes a double-edged sword.
04:24Because in my opinion, if the jobless claim goes down,
04:31it means that there will be a financial revolution and it will become bigger.
04:35Automatically, it can lead to an increase in inflation.
04:41If it turns out that it is below expectations,
04:48it means that it is not good for the US dollar.
04:53But if it turns out that it is above expectations,
04:57then it will have a high impact on the US dollar.
05:04So if the US dollar rises, it means that our rupiah can weaken.
05:09Automatically, there can be another correction for our IHSG.
05:14Mr. Hendy, aside from the fundamentals,
05:16before we look at the stock market,
05:19the infrastructure sector seems to be the strongest today.
05:23The strengthening and also reversing the position of the deepest weakness in the previous trading days.
05:29And this is also followed by the movement of some of the stocks.
05:32You said earlier that it seems that people are starting to come back,
05:35especially to the stocks that have undergone a fairly deep correction.
05:38Let's go to Telkom first, sir.
05:41Today, it also supports the strengthening of the joint stock price
05:46from the point of view of the highest index, especially in the first session.
05:50Previously, Telkom has undergone a fairly deep correction.
05:53It has not yet released its performance in 2024.
06:01Hello, Mr. Hendy.
06:02Sorry, my signal is a bit bad. This is Telkom.
06:06Yes, please, sir.
06:09Okay, for Telkom, technically, it has already oversold.
06:12Because yesterday, technically, it came out of the downtrend channel.
06:21But now it is pulled in with a fairly large volume.
06:25But what I want to wait for is for the financial report to be released.
06:30If I'm not mistaken, it will be around Friday, March 2025.
06:38So I want to see the movement in terms of revenue and earnings in Telkom.
06:47Because I saw in the last few quarters,
06:51if you look at the Telkom financial report,
06:56Telkom's earnings continue to decline.
07:02If we look at quarter 4 of 2023, it was minus 24 percent.
07:07Quarter 1 was minus 7 percent.
07:09Quarter 2 of 2024 was 11 percent.
07:12And quarter 3 was minus 8 percent.
07:14Then, in terms of income, if we also look at the revenue that occurred,
07:22it was mostly from others.
07:25It was mostly from other earnings.
07:28In terms of mobile and consumer, it was not too big.
07:32Because if I look at it, the more competition there is,
07:39Telkom must be more competitive.
07:42If I look at it technically.
07:45So if you look at it today,
07:49if Telkom wants to return to the uptrend,
07:52the uptrend potential must return to the area level of 2,500 and above.
07:58Okay.
07:59Today's closing at 2,480.
08:01Strengthening at 6.90 percent.
08:03How about those who have taken positions and just entered?
08:05Briefly, sir.
08:11Okay.
08:12If you have already taken a position,
08:15just keep it at 2,500 to 2,550.
08:21But if you don't have a position and just want to take it,
08:24my suggestion is to keep it at 2,300.
08:28Okay.
08:29Today's closing at 2,480.
08:30Strengthening at 6.90 percent.
08:33Let's move on.
08:34Still from the same sector, sir.
08:35And the same field.
08:36For ISAD.
08:37Today, it also turned to strengthening above 7 percent.
08:40ISAD, in the previous few days,
08:42has experienced quite a deep pressure
08:44since they released their work in 2024.
08:48Technically, ISAD with today's strengthening.
08:55Okay.
08:56For ISAD, technically,
08:58it has been a downtrend since July 31.
09:03Since July.
09:05Not July 31.
09:07Since July 2024.
09:09Where the first financial report was released.
09:13If you look at the revenue,
09:16it was minus 16 percent.
09:18And in terms of earnings,
09:20it was minus 16 percent.
09:21And in terms of revenue,
09:22it was minus 0.11 percent.
09:25Then there was a stock split.
09:27And then yesterday,
09:29it was minus 24 percent in terms of earnings.
09:32Which actually, fundamentally,
09:35it's not too good.
09:37But technically,
09:39it managed to bounce in FIBO dual.
09:42In the area of 1,600.
09:44Where if we want to speculate for technical rebounds
09:49up to 2,100,
09:51maybe it can still do it.
09:552,000 to 2,100 technical rebounds,
09:57maybe it can still do it.
09:58But it has to go through the resistance level of 1,920.
10:03With a strong support at 1,600.
10:06If it can't break out of 1,920 closing,
10:10then the potential of ISAD for a downtrend is still very large.
10:15Okay.
10:16Do you want to buy on breakout when it goes up to 1,920?
10:22I'm like that.
10:23I'm waiting for 1,920.
10:25But for those of you who like fast trading,
10:28I think you should wait for a breakout of 1,800.
10:32Because 1,800 to 1,920 is still okay.
10:35120 points.
10:36Okay.
10:37From the infrastructure,
10:38we move to the pick-up bank.
10:39There is BBRI.
10:40Let's just go over it technically.
10:42Strengthening in reverse direction.
10:44The volatility today is quite high,
10:464 to 3,950.
10:47And coincidentally,
10:48today they also released their Kinerja.
10:50The growth of earnings is also underestimated by many.
11:01Yes.
11:04Go ahead, sir.
11:06Okay, good.
11:07For BBRI, I see when IHSG made a new low,
11:12I see that this BBRI is a correction that does not make a new low.
11:16Instead, it seems to make a potential higher low.
11:22Because I see that in the area around 3,950,
11:27there is something like that.
11:30Well, if it's like this,
11:32then technically it's very interesting.
11:35Because for the Dow Theory process,
11:38it's already happening.
11:40Where it has to make higher high, higher low, higher high, higher low.
11:43So, if it turns out that BBRI manages to maintain the area of 3,950
11:49and no longer fluctuates,
11:51then in my opinion, BBRI can return to the uptrend.
11:54With the note that it must break out from the level of 4,400.
12:00Okay.
12:01It's still quite far from today's closing level.
12:04In the 4,030 analysis,
12:05BBRI and earlier also discussed the infrastructure
12:08and again, the investment decision is still in the hands of Mr. Hendy.
12:12We will be back later,
12:13we will see what samples you have recommended.
12:16And we will be back in a moment.