IHSG -0,05% ke level 7.092,827 sesi I Selasa (24/12). IDX-Techno -1,37% GOTO -2,82%, IDX-Cyclic -1,09% AMRT -4,08%, dan IDX-NonCyc -0,67% ACES -1,23%. Sementara IDX-Kesehatan +1,26% KLBF +2,63%. IDX Energy +1,18% ditopang saham AADI bangkit menguat 3,95% usai koreksi dalam pasca tembus level ATH pasca IPO.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for staying with us and in this segment, we will review how the trade is going throughout the day.
00:12Where today, Kargasam Kabung was able to give hope after the opening.
00:16However, it is more prone to fluctuating movements, even entering the second trading session.
00:21It is more tense and we remind you again, you can still participate on WhatsApp Interactive at 0812 8788.723
00:29as shown on the television screen later.
00:32And right now, we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Ahmad Yakiye, the Head of Online Trading at BCA.
00:38Our security will go straight to anyone.
00:40Mr. Yaki, good afternoon. How are you, sir?
00:42Good afternoon.
00:43Good afternoon, Mas.
00:45Thank you, Mr. Yaki, for spending your time on IDX Channel.
00:49After the Christmas holiday, two days, Rabu and Thursday, Kargasam Kabung was more prone to fluctuating movements.
00:57Kargasam Kabung was able to give hope in the first session this morning and reached 7,100.
01:03What is your analysis of the movement throughout the day?
01:06Is it true that the investor is doing profit-taking?
01:11Yes, the movement is more because of profit-taking.
01:16Because we know that today's transaction will be settled on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.
01:21So, yesterday's transaction, the rebound was very fast.
01:24Yesterday, the time was also on Friday.
01:26So, it was more profit-taking.
01:28And yesterday, it was also more profitable.
01:30If you look at the pattern, the bullish abandonment failed.
01:33So, we still have to be optimistic because if we look at the first minute,
01:39sorry, in the 60-minute chart, there is support in the 70-40 area that is still strong enough to survive.
01:44So, there is a chance for the ISK to rebound on Friday and Monday.
01:49Does it mean that the support is still maintained, sir?
01:52The lowest intraday today is only at 7,600.
01:56Yes, if you look at the ISK chart, it is still optimistic.
02:01The ISK support is still in the area of 6,968 to 70-40.
02:05And 70-40 is still maintained because the ISK is still strong.
02:08So, we are still optimistic.
02:10There is still a chance for the ISK to rebound on Friday and Monday.
02:13With the potential rebound on Friday and Monday next week,
02:18the last day of trading in the Indonesian stock market,
02:20where is the direction of the movement near the joint stock market, Mr. Yaki?
02:26The potential is more bullish with the target at the end of the year,
02:30the closest is in the area of 7,100.
02:34In the range of 7,200 to 7,300.
02:39With the position of 7,200 to 7,300 from the BCA Securities,
02:45is this in line with expectations, sir?
02:48Or has the BCA Securities revised the ISK target until the end of the year?
02:55Fundamentally, the target is still high at the end of the year,
02:59still in the area of 7,400.
03:01But technically, today the ISK failed to close the gap in the area of 7,108.
03:08And the potential correction is minor for tomorrow, on Friday,
03:11to test the area of 7,040.
03:14But in terms of price movement since the beginning of September 2024,
03:19the ISK can still be bullish at the end of the year,
03:22in the last two trading days, on the 27th and 30th.
03:26Okay, good.
03:27In terms of the market movement in the Samkabungan area,
03:30which is more of a fluctuation and tends to be under pressure,
03:33Mr. Yaky, how do you see the momentum of Santarelli, Windrush Racing,
03:37not happening this year?
03:41For Santarelli, maybe it's a bit heavy, because it's really close.
03:44But maybe for Windrush, there are still two days left
03:47before the technical event,
03:49because if we look at the ISK movement,
03:53at the end of November, it dropped to the level of 7,045.
03:58Then the fluctuation was also fast,
04:00in one day it could go up by 1-1.5%.
04:03So there is a possibility that this will happen.
04:06Because if we look at the transaction pattern,
04:08when it was on Friday, it was just settled at the beginning of the year.
04:11And likewise, when the transaction was on December 30,
04:13it was just settled at the beginning of 2025.
04:15So I think the trading pattern will change.
04:18So based on Santarelli, we are hoping for the January effect.
04:22Because there is a position of strengthening the gap.
04:25January effect, right?
04:28Yes.
04:29What is the target?
04:31The contribution to the exchange rate from the current price position
04:35or the target from 700 to 7,200 earlier?
04:40The potential for the January effect, maybe there are two gaps.
04:44So the first gap could be at 7,258,
04:49and the second gap could be at 7,324.
04:53Okay.
04:55Mr. Yaki, today several stocks are trying to support
04:58Mr. Indekar Gasam Kabungan so that the internal pressure does not occur.
05:02I want to go to Telkom first, sir.
05:04Today it is stronger than 3%.
05:06As we all know, Telkom has experienced quite a deep correction.
05:10It even touched the lowest level in recent years.
05:14What is your analysis for Telkom and its recommendation?
05:17The strengthening that happened today, then the price prospects in 2025, Mr. Yaki?
05:23Yes.
05:24Technically, we have recommended Telkom this morning
05:26to buy on break above 2660.
05:28And for the next two trading days,
05:31Telkom has to confirm to break above 2760.
05:38If Telkom can break above 2760,
05:41there is a potential for Telkom to return to level 2900 to 3000 again.
05:44But if Telkom still breaks above 2760,
05:48better take profit first to buy back Telkom,
05:50which is close to 2660 to 2660.
05:54This is just starting to rebound in the area.
05:56And if we look at the movement of MICD and RIC,
05:59this tends to be divergent.
06:02So there is a potential for bullish divergence.
06:03So it's still running for Telkom accumulation or hold.
06:06Okay.
06:07What is the target until the beginning of January, sir?
06:12The potential is in the area to confirm.
06:16If we make a target, it should be 2860 to 2900.
06:25For the beginning of the year.
06:26Okay.
06:27The closing today at 2740 is strong at 3.40%.
06:31There is Telkom which today is one of the supporters of Indekargasemkabungan
06:35so that the pressure is not too deep.
06:38Let's move on to energy, sir.
06:40There is AADI which happens to be our main topic,
06:45one of the main topics, I mean.
06:46AADI today experienced a rebound,
06:50although its strength is more towards the limit.
06:52Intraday was reduced to 7,225.
06:56It has undergone quite a deep correction,
06:585 days profitably,
07:00and further from the highest level ever achieved after the IPO.
07:04What is your analysis for AADI today?
07:09Actually, if we look at it, it's interesting for the technical rebound,
07:12but we have to be aware that this pattern is similar to December 16, 2024.
07:16So if the AADI tomorrow, on Friday and Monday,
07:22fails to survive above 7600,
07:24there is a potential for AADI to try to go down again
07:27with the closest support in August until 7400.
07:29But if the AADI can survive above the area of 7600,
07:33there is a potential for a reverse or continued rebound
07:35quite good with the closest support in August until 8150,
07:38and a potential for a gap in the area of 8650.
07:43So it's still a bit tricky.
07:45Because if we look at the movement,
07:47maybe with the movement on December 16,
07:49so it has to be confirmed tomorrow, on Friday and Monday,
07:53whether AADI can survive above 7600 or not.
07:57The conclusion today is still at 7725,
08:01strengthening at 1.64%.
08:03The support that must be monitored is
08:05whether AADI can survive below 7600.
08:07When the scenario is that AADI cannot survive at 7600,
08:11where will it go?
08:13The pressure will continue to what level?
08:15What is the next support for AADI?
08:17The closest support above 7600 is in the area of 7000 to 7400.
08:22And if the 7000 is a break,
08:24the next support is at 6550 to 6775.
08:28What do you think of the position of AADI
08:31when it touches the highest intraday level when it was IPO?
08:35A few moments ago, you also managed to chart the direction, sir.
08:38Then the position,
08:40reversing to the lowest level of 72 today
08:43and 8050, the highest intraday today.
08:48Yes, the scenario is still bad.
08:51And the selling pressure, if we look at it,
08:54actually, if you look at the last two days,
08:56there was an accumulation of price movements.
09:00And if you look at it from yesterday,
09:02the selling pressure is quite high,
09:04so it has to pay for itself.
09:06And as we discussed earlier,
09:07today's movement is similar to the movement in September
09:10where the volume is peak up, but the candle is 2G.
09:13So there is a two-way potential.
09:15That's why the level of 7600 support must be observed.
09:18Don't let it reach 7600,
09:20the potential of the stock market will continue.
09:22Okay.
09:23Again, 76 investors must pay attention to the support from AADI
09:26as a signal or a sign or a level
09:29that indicates that the stock market will continue for AADI.
09:32And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the investors.
09:36Mr. Yaki, we will look at the data later.
09:39We will look at what you recommend
09:42and at the same time update the trade determination in the second session today.
09:45And investors, we will be right back.