IHSG +0,56% ke ke 7.104,29 di akhir sesi I Jumat (10/1). Sektor barang baku +2,02% BRMS +9,42%. Sektor energi +1,48% PTRO menguat di atas 9%. Saham PTRO melaju kencang usai stock split per 03 Januari 2024. Sektor keuangan menguat 0,24% BBCA +0,51%. Sementara Sektor teknologi -3,23% GOTO -2,50%. Sektor properti dan real estat -0,54% PANI -2,89%.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for staying with us and we remind you that you can still participate in interactive WhatsApp at 0812.8788.723, as shown on the television screen and later.
00:18And now we are connected through Zoom with Mr. Philip Jermy, Financial Educator and Technical Analyst at Sucor Security.
00:25We will go straight to Mr. Philip, good afternoon, how are you Mr. Philip?
00:30Good afternoon Mr. David, how are you Mr. David and the whole IDX Channel team?
00:34How are you? Thank you for spending your time on IDX Channel.
00:38It doesn't feel like we're back at the end of the week trading, Mr. Philip.
00:43Technically, the Indekargasam Kabungan today, the movement is quite different, sir.
00:48Where in the last few days, Indekargasam Kabungan, when it touched the level of 7,100, then turned around, became stagnant.
00:57Even on the previous trading day, it tends to experience pressure.
01:01Your analysis, the technical differences in the movement of Indekargasam Kabungan throughout the day.
01:07Yes, throughout the day, we noticed that it touched the price of 7,121, but now it's back to close at 7,090.
01:16For ISG itself, there are several areas of level resistance that must be broken.
01:217,100 is one of the most crucial areas.
01:25The second crucial area will be at the level of 7,189.
01:29Those are the two crucial areas that must be closed for IHSG so that IHSG can return to the uptrend.
01:35Because so far, based on the movement of the candle today,
01:39because we see a lot of rejection in the area of 7,100,
01:43it still indicates a strong selling pressure or IHSG is still moving in the downtrend area.
01:50Actually, how much resistance does IHSG must go through when trying to be stable?
01:58Hopefully, it will be closed at 7,100 on the second day.
02:03Yes, we should pay attention to 7,180.
02:07However, the closest target now is 7,120.
02:11That may be one of the most important. 7,120 is the closest.
02:15What are your plans for trading next week while waiting for the November data from the US on Friday night?
02:26While waiting, if we pay attention,
02:30while waiting, it will move relatively quite sideways.
02:35That's why I think there will still be rejection around 7,120.
02:39We haven't started trading next week.
02:43Maybe we will start trading above 7,100 for IHSG.
02:51How do you see the position of IHSG in the last week, sir?
02:56The movement seems to be more stagnant.
02:58Is it true that from a global point of view,
03:01this is a very influential movement in the household, especially during this week?
03:08Yes, in my opinion, the global sentiment is of course influential.
03:12Because it looks very much like Net Forensics.
03:15If we look at Net Forensics, the banking is still quite large,
03:18especially BBI, which still leads the position of Net Forensics.
03:22So we do need to examine whether Net Forensics is still large enough.
03:28Because when Net Forensics is still large,
03:31it will be difficult for IHSG to break from the level of 7,100 to 7,120.
03:37Okay, throughout today's trading,
03:39Mr. Philip, the Sam Keapungan Index tried to stay in the green zone.
03:44Even though Samsung's support for pickup banking is very minimal today.
03:49There is the energy sector and also the steel industry,
03:52which are trying to support the strengthening.
03:54Outside, I want to go to the energy sector first, Mr. Philip.
03:57Mr. Philip, coincidentally, you also conveyed the information from the price of commodities.
04:02It looks like the news is not too good.
04:05Even earlier, coal has been corrected for six days in a row
04:10and is far below the level of US$120 per ton.
04:14But throughout today's trading,
04:16coal shares also experienced a significant increase.
04:20Your analysis?
04:23Yes, if we look at it ourselves, from the price of coal itself,
04:26I think this Sam Sam Batubara has been priced in
04:29with the coal correction a few days ago.
04:31In my opinion, if we pay attention,
04:35Sam Sam Batubara, in my opinion,
04:37has definitely taken into account the coal correction
04:40up to around US$120 per barrel.
04:43If we look at the correction of some Sam Sam Batubara,
04:46for example PTBA, which corrected from 3,000 to now at level 2,700.
04:51We also pay attention to other Sam Sam,
04:53such as ITMG, which corrected from 28,000 to 25,000.
04:57In my opinion, it has been priced in.
04:59So if the price of coal is below US$120,
05:03in my opinion, it is already leveling.
05:05Because the price of coal is already leveling,
05:07in my opinion, this is why there is a rebound
05:10from the price of Sam Sam Batubara.
05:13Okay, let's go straight to AADI, sir.
05:15Today, the direction reversal is very significant
05:18and coincidentally, there is an entry question
05:20also related to this AADI stock.
05:23There is Mr. Frans from Jakarta.
05:25Thank you for participating.
05:27Holding AADI at 11,000, sir,
05:30is it still good to hold this year
05:32or just cut low for AADI?
05:35Yes, throughout this year,
05:37Sukor's own target is still quite far.
05:39Sukor's own target is up to level 30,000.
05:43This is based on PER and PBV from the industry.
05:47Industry Average.
05:49If we pay attention, it is still graphed at 8,500.
05:52In my opinion, this can still be held
05:54throughout this year for AADI itself.
05:57However, we pay attention now,
05:58the crucial area that must be broken is at 8,700.
06:02There, it just confirms the rise of this AADI.
06:06Is it recommended for averaging down, sir,
06:08with a position of 11,000
06:10or the range is quite far
06:12with the closing position today?
06:15Yes, in my opinion, it can be averaging down.
06:17With 11,000, I think it can be averaged
06:20down to around 8,000, 9,000, maybe 9,000, 10,000.
06:25In my opinion, it's a good buy for AADI
06:27considering if we compare it with the average industry,
06:30it is still quite cheap.
06:32Okay, the answer for Mr. Frans from Jakarta
06:35for AADI is stuck at 11,000
06:38and again, the investment decision
06:40is still in the hands of IDX Channel.
06:42Let's go back to the other energy stock, Mr. Philip.
06:46Coincidentally, someone also asked about PTRO, sir.
06:49And PTRO is also included in our company update list today.
06:53When the stock split, the stock continued to grow fast, sir.
06:57And coincidentally, PTRO was also asked by Mr. Shobha from Bali.
07:02PTRO already has a price of 2,900.
07:06The profit is already quite significant.
07:08Is there a strategy to secure the existing profit?
07:12Yes, as for me, since PTRO is still very uptrend,
07:17I will not recommend selling stocks that are very uptrend.
07:22What I usually recommend is to use a trailing stop.
07:25So when the stock has fallen below a certain point, we take profit.
07:28So for example, now at 3,400,
07:30maybe I will install a trailing stop at around 3,200.
07:34If it falls below 3,200, we take profit
07:36As long as it is still above 3,200, we let the profit run, like that.
07:40Okay, the level of support at 3,200 that needs to be paid attention to,
07:44or the level of stop loss,
07:46PTRO has experienced significant strength today.
07:50Just now, Mrs. Shobha from Bali already has a good price at 2,900 rupiah.
07:56Still from energy, sir.
07:58In addition to Petrosia, Samsung, Bakri Group,
08:02today also continued quite fast.
08:04We switch to BUMi, Mr. Filip.
08:06Coincidentally, there is also an entry question related to BUMi.
08:10This time, Mr. Inder from Bali,
08:12BUMi shares are already at 146.
08:15Today it has increased significantly, but still quite far from the entry level.
08:18Analysis and recommendations.
08:21Yes, for 146, this is still quite far.
08:24The area that needs to be noted is if BUMi manages to break 130,
08:29then we can be confirmed.
08:32What to do now?
08:33Because there is a rebound, there is a potential to increase the rebound next week.
08:37So, in my opinion, it's wise if it drops below 113 in the cut loss first.
08:44Later, if it breaks out from 126, it may be able to catch up again.
08:49Because to 140 is still quite far.
08:52Maybe if it breaks to 140, the time gap will still be quite long.
08:57So, we haven't recommended averaging yet.
09:00Maybe wait and see first, as long as the movement is still above the support area of 115.
09:05Okay, BUMi is now faster at 12.96% at IDR 122 per share.
09:10Earlier, Mr. Inder from Bali was stuck at IDR 146.
09:14And again, the decision to invest is still in the hands of IDA General.
09:19Mr. Filip, from energy, let's try to move to finance, sir.
09:23Again, Big Cap Bank.
09:24Today, it seems that it doesn't have the power to be a supporter of the joint stock price index.
09:30In fact, BBCA, which previously dominated in the green zone, today corrected to 9725 again.
09:38Analysis for BBCA.
09:39Coincidentally, there are also questions coming in, sir.
09:42Asking for this BBCA share.
09:45Mr. Jason from Jakarta, thank you for joining.
09:48Can the BBCA share reach IDR 1,900?
09:52Maybe this is also stuck.
09:53Mr. Filip, please, sir, for BBCA.
09:56Okay, maybe IDR 10,900.
09:59Maybe IDR 10,900.
10:01Now it's still at IDR 9750.
10:03This BBCA is indeed testing.
10:05If we look at it, the movement is still very uptrend.
10:07As long as it moves above the support area of IDR 9,500, we still consider it uptrend.
10:11IDR 10,900, it must be possible.
10:14Because if we look at it historically, BBCA has never been uptrend.
10:18So above IDR 10,900, it can be.
10:20But for the time period, maybe it will be quite long.
10:23Maybe we expect it to be uptrend again in Q2-Q3.
10:27Also see how the economic condition is.
10:29Is the net forensic still big?
10:31Because this banking is very dependent on foreign investors.
10:35Like that.
10:36Okay, but the point here is in the short term, maybe, sir,
10:39Mr. Jason was asked for IDR 9,900 first.
10:42Today's closing at 9725.
10:45IDR 9,900 will be achieved in the short term.
10:48There may be a potential rebound too.
10:50Maybe up to IDR 10,125.
10:52Okay, analysis for BBCA, Big Cap Banking.
10:56Today, it became the main investor of Samkabungan.
10:58After moving to the green zone, to IDR 9,925.
11:02And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the shareholder, IDH.
11:06Mr. Filip, let's hold for a while, sir.
11:08Later we will try to see what Samkabungan recommends.
11:12And at the same time, the trade closure update in the second section at the end of this week.
11:16And we will be back as soon as possible.