IHSG -0,09% ke 7.073,76 sesi I Selasa (7/1). Sektor kesehatan +0,63% HEAL +1,91%, sektor barang baku +0,58% AMMN, sektor teknologi +0,50% DCII +2,16%. Dari sisi saham, emiten BREN jadi penopang terbesar IHSG 16,2 indeks poin dan makin kokoh dipuncak kapitalisasi Rp1.388,38 T. Sementara sektor keuangan -0,58% BMRI -1,32% dan sektor energi -0,42% PGAS -3,50%.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us and in this segment, we will review how the trade is going throughout the day.
00:12It's moving slowly, but it's more likely to move slowly.
00:16Especially entering the trade in the second session and the closing of the trade today.
00:21We will remind you that you can still participate on WhatsApp Interactive at 0812-8788.723, as shown on your television screen later.
00:31And now we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Chris Aprilioni, who is the Chief Business Manager of Capital Security.
00:38Let's get to know him. Mr. Chris, good afternoon. How are you?
00:41Good afternoon, Mr. David.
00:43Thank you, Mr. Chris, for spending your time on IDA channel.
00:47Let's get straight to it. Today, Samkabungan has experienced quite a high volatility, Mr. Chris.
00:53It was up to 7,209 earlier, then back to 7,100.
00:57However, entering the trade in the second session, the range of movement is quite narrow.
01:02Instead, it moves to the red zone, then moves back to the green zone with a strength of only 0.0% or so.
01:10Mr. Chris, what is your analysis?
01:12Yes, if we look at it, yesterday the ISK decline was quite deep, around 1.17%.
01:20And this morning, we saw that the ISK correction was quite deep.
01:25However, there is a support area, around 7,025-7,023.
01:31Those areas are quite strong resistance areas.
01:34Maybe the psychological area is also around 7,000.
01:37So, this is what makes the ISK go up again.
01:41And now, we can see from the second session, the movement is not too significant, the change.
01:47We can see that the seller has started to decrease.
01:53So, there is a high possibility that the ISK contraction can get stronger again.
01:58Is there a potential for 6,900, Mr. Chris?
02:02There is a potential, but if we look at the movement in the past few days,
02:07the 7,000 area should be a strong enough area.
02:12Okay, Asing, it looks like you are still selling, right?
02:16If we look at yesterday, Asing did a net sell, which was around 300 billion yesterday.
02:26But if we look at today, it seems that even if there is, it will not be too significant.
02:34Okay, in the middle of the volatility in the trading market today, Mr. Chris,
02:40how do you see the future?
02:42In the short and medium term, some US macroeconomic data is still being used as a reference,
02:49to see the direction of the Fed's policy in January,
02:52and still waiting for Trump's policy to take effect in January.
02:59Yes, if we look at it, maybe the closest is the Fed on January 29th.
03:04If we look at the consensus of the analysts,
03:08it is very likely that the Fed will not decrease its flow rate in January.
03:13So, it is very likely that the market will be volatile,
03:18it is likely that it is still under pressure to get back to the 7,400-7,500 area,
03:24which is a bit difficult.
03:26But the decline is not too deep,
03:29the maximum is probably the last area of ​​the ISG in the 1,800 area,
03:33which is quite an interesting area to buy blue chip stocks at a cheap price.
03:39Okay, from the side of the stock movement, today's big cap bank seems to be a burden again.
03:45Weaknesses continue from the previous trading day.
03:48Whether you like it or not, despite the big cap bank,
03:51almost every day we discuss this, Mr. Chris,
03:53because the capitalization is large and determines the direction of the joint stock price index.
03:58We want to go to the BBRI first, Mr. Chris.
04:01The BBRI seems to be the focus of investors,
04:04because so far there have been three questions that have entered our interactive WhatsApp.
04:08I will try to read them one by one.
04:10The first is Mr. Kasmuddin from Medan,
04:13asking where the BBRI stock will go.
04:17And then the BBRI is also asked.
04:20I will try to check first.
04:27I will try to check first, Mr. Chris.
04:29I will try to check. This looks like ...
04:32Oh, from Mr. Robertus, it turns out.
04:34It doesn't surprise me, but the WhatsApp ID is there.
04:36The BBRI already has at 4,275, sir.
04:39Then the BBRI is also asked.
04:42I will try to check again.
04:49Next, Mr. Randi from Medan, asking the BBRI.
04:52The BBRI is higher at 4,500.
04:54What is your analysis and recommendation for the BBRI?
04:56Okay, the BBRI, in terms of short-term, may be under pressure.
05:00Still under pressure.
05:02If you notice, I have been in DX for the past few months,
05:05and in the last few months, I have always said that the BBRI
05:08may have the lowest value at 3,800.
05:14But if we open a fairly long range,
05:18actually the initial 4,000, even if it is bought,
05:21it is still quite interesting,
05:23by giving a dividend of around 7%.
05:26In my opinion, that is quite large for a class of BBRI banks.
05:30So maybe if it is going to be averaged down
05:33when it is put at 4,000,
05:35it is quite an interesting area for the BBRI.
05:37Even if it is held, maybe the average is still high at 4,500,
05:41the charge will be long-term,
05:43the BBRI will strengthen again, like that.
05:45Among the four BBRI pick-up banks,
05:48the largest foreign net sale, it seems.
05:51Mr. Chris, what causes this condition?
05:54Yes, if we look at it,
05:56usually the largest capital market is the BCA.
05:59While the BCA itself, if we look at it,
06:01is the bank whose performance is the most stable.
06:04Well, the BBRI itself, if you look at it,
06:06indeed the issue, in a short term,
06:08yesterday, like the President wanted to
06:10erase the debts of farmers, like that,
06:14it also made, actually,
06:16in a sentimental way, not good for the BBRI.
06:19And with the rupee and performance,
06:23the weakness of the economic data in Indonesia
06:26compared to the US,
06:28then, of course, the foreign will sell the stocks
06:31that have a large capital market,
06:34and there are also many foreigners in there.
06:37And one of them, the BBRI,
06:39becomes the main choice, because the BCA,
06:41in terms of performance, may still be quite stable.
06:44Okay, let's go straight to the BBCA, sir.
06:46Today, the correction is quite deep
06:49compared to the previous trading,
06:51and is already at the level of 9,500 for the BCA.
06:56Yes, the BCA itself, if we look at it,
06:58all the banks are experiencing a correction.
07:00Under these conditions,
07:02banking should still be under pressure.
07:06But for the BCA, maybe if we compare it
07:09with other banks, maybe the decline is
07:11around 20, 30, even 40%.
07:14The BCA is quite low,
07:17the decline from high to now is still around 12%.
07:21And actually, as I said,
07:24based on the performance of the BCA at the moment,
07:26the BCA should not be corrected quite deeply,
07:29maybe a maximum of 20%.
07:31Okay, Mr. Inder from Bali,
07:33just entered our interactive WhatsApp,
07:35has the BBCA at 9,575,
07:37the loss is still minimal,
07:39compared to today's closing at 9,525.
07:42Is it still recommended to hold, sir?
07:46Again, it depends on the investment timeframe.
07:50If it is short-term,
07:52maybe it can be released earlier,
07:54because maybe the correction from this bank
07:57can still be done in the next 1-2 months,
07:59depending on our economic data as well.
08:02But if it is indeed for the long term,
08:04to be held,
08:06maybe in the long run,
08:08the BCA will be able to strengthen again
08:10above 10,000.
08:11Right now, the entry area,
08:13then it will drop about 5% or 10% more,
08:16it can be sold again,
08:18so it can be bought gradually.
08:20Okay, from the big cap bank,
08:22which has become a burden,
08:24we move on to the next stock,
08:26which this time has become a supporter
08:28of the joint stock market,
08:29so the correction is not too deep.
08:31There is a brand, sir,
08:32a stock from the Ryogo Pangestu Group,
08:34earlier when the update was in the afternoon,
08:36it was still stronger than 6%,
08:38now it is stronger than 7%.
08:40It has returned,
08:41far above this 10,000 level.
08:44And the brand is also listed as a market cap
08:46with the largest capitalization value
08:48when the BCA shares are more stressed.
08:50Your analysis and recommendation
08:52for the brand in the midst of the strengthening.
08:54Yes, if we look at the trend
08:57in the past year,
08:592024-2025,
09:01with a bad economic condition,
09:03we must see
09:05which shares have the largest cash reserve
09:08in a group or in a conglomeration,
09:11they have money,
09:14or resilience, or performance,
09:16or even if we look at the brand itself,
09:18the future view is still quite interesting
09:22with the acquisition of new energy
09:26for the brand later.
09:27So the trend of emittance
09:30in 2024 and now 2025
09:32still continues,
09:33it tends to be emittance
09:35that has a fairly large base of conglomeration,
09:40and they have a story
09:42and have a plan for the future.
09:45So if we look at it,
09:47the brand is still strengthening
09:49in the past 1-2 months,
09:53the brand is experiencing an increase.
09:55So if the trading is for 1-2 months,
10:00it's better to look for emittance like this.
10:03Okay, a technical recommendation, sir,
10:05with continuous strengthening,
10:08has exceeded 10,000,
10:10even 10,500 today.
10:12Yes, technically,
10:14there is a gap that may be closed tomorrow
10:17in the 10,725 area.
10:19Be careful, because today it increased by about 7%.
10:23Usually, if there is a significant increase,
10:26there will be a short-up tomorrow,
10:30then it will return to the red area of ​​the correction.
10:33So maybe it can take profit
10:35near the 10,700 area,
10:37and maybe later it will be in the 10,400-10,500 area.
10:42Okay, today the brand became a supporter,
10:45Indekar Gasem Kabungan,
10:46when the Big Cap Banking became a burden.
10:49Closed at 10,550, strengthening at 7.65%.
10:53Potential to all-time high, to 11,000,
10:56just briefly, Pak Kris.
10:58If we look at it from now,
11:00there are no signs of direction reversal yet.
11:03So if it's 11,000, it should still be achievable.
11:07Okay, again, the investment decision
11:09is still in the hands of the IDI Channel.
11:11Pak Kris, we'll hold for a while,
11:12we'll be back soon,
11:13we'll try to see the shares
11:15recommended by analysts.
11:17Maybe it can be a reference for you.