• last month
The Boston Herald's Doug Kyed returns to the show to look back on what he and Andrew got wrong about the Patriots and a few things they got right. Later, the guys preview Sunday’s game against the Rams.

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Transcript
00:00I'll be right back. Okay so the
00:22last time I did this I killed
00:24the Brent Musburger who is very
00:25much alive but I wanted to
00:26steal his opening live of you
00:28Today instead of Derek Clawson
00:30who we had on a month ago we
00:31had the people's favorite
00:32guest Doug Kaya from the Boston
00:33Herald and a good teammate
00:35because he knows he's coming on
00:36today to admit what we both got
00:37wrong. The central theme of my
00:39column today which is not
00:40exactly the most fun thing to
00:41talk about. Lucky for him
00:42though Christian Barmore is
00:44back but lucky for the Patriots
00:45as well. We're going to get to
00:46that. We're going to preview
00:47Pat's Rams and as I said get to
00:49things that we believe we knew
00:50about the 2024 Patriots or
00:52predicted and ended up being
00:54completely wrong. But the best
00:55part of this podcast and maybe
00:57you disagree. Is that we are
00:59going to help give away two
01:00tickets to Pat's Rams this
01:03Sunday. Now it will be an
01:04auction. The deadline is
01:06Saturday at ten AM. All of the
01:08money goes to the Leukemia and
01:09Lymphoma Society which you can
01:11donate to and help people fight
01:12cancer. Obviously again two
01:14tickets end zone Pat's Rams
01:16Sunday at one o'clock. This is
01:17courtesy of a listener Nick
01:18Roy who's been on the show and
01:20we'll be back next week as a
01:21thank you to him. Section 120 I
01:23think it is or 101 row 20. You
01:25can go to the game. Reply to my
01:27ex. Reply to my Twitter. My blue
01:29sky with a figure. Right now
01:30the lowest bid is $200. If you
01:32can top that you can go and sit
01:34with two end zone seats at Pat's
01:35Rams on Sunday. The highest bid
01:37at 10 AM Saturday. We'll get
01:39them once you prove you donated
01:40after the fact and I DM you.
01:42You get the tickets. You go to
01:43the game. And who knows maybe
01:44you'll see us there. Was that
01:46wrong? Is that the best part or
01:47are we going to do something
01:47better than that? No absolutely.
01:49And obviously LLS is a campaign
01:51very close to my heart. Lost my
01:53daughter uh in uh in uh January
01:56to AML. So absolutely yeah great
01:59cause um money goes to LLS which
02:02is a yeah like I said campaign
02:03that I support fully. So yeah
02:05that'll be that's huge. Yeah
02:07it'll be great and you're gonna
02:08hear more from LLS uh over the
02:09coming weeks and months from
02:10this podcast and from Doug. In
02:11the meantime Christian Barmore
02:13as I said is back. He has been
02:15out since late July. Got two
02:17practices in. Felt sick. Went to
02:19the doctor. They said you got
02:21blood clots. And five years ago
02:22that meant David Andrews was
02:23sidelined for the entire season.
02:25Christian Barmore is now back.
02:26He is not practicing pad once.
02:28He's been working out for weeks
02:29and months. We do not have a
02:30clear timeline about when or if
02:33he could return. But obviously a
02:35great sign that this dude is
02:36back on the football field and
02:37has 21 days for the team to
02:38either activate him or just
02:39shelve him for the year based
02:40on how he looks. And you wrote
02:41about this today. I didn't. So
02:44tell us about it. Yeah I mean I
02:46would say that overall the
02:47messaging from defensive
02:49coordinator Demarcus Cummington
02:51and from defensive line coach
02:52Sherry Montgomery is to temper
02:54any sort of expectations about
02:56what the Patriots could be
02:57getting from Christian Barmore
02:59this season. The way that
03:00Demarcus Cummington put it was
03:01like if he plays one snap, if
03:03he plays 50 snaps, if he
03:04doesn't play this week, which I
03:05think would be the expectation
03:07based on the fact that he was
03:08not in a padded practice this
03:10week. I think that they should
03:12be trying to ramp him up at
03:13this point. Uh, but yeah, just
03:15the fact that it seems more
03:17likely than not at this point
03:19that he will actually be on the
03:20field for the Patriots is huge
03:22because this is something that
03:23has sidelined as you said David
03:26Andrews for a season. Um, it's
03:28even sidelined players for their
03:30careers. So for a Christian
03:32Barmore to return to practice is
03:34a massive first step. And I
03:36would say that, uh, Devon
03:38Godshaw, fellow Patriots
03:39defensive tackle wasn't
03:41tempering expectations quite as
03:43much. So at least on the player
03:44side, they're like, Hey, we can
03:46get this like great pass rusher
03:48back in there. You can help on
03:49the run, run defense. If he's
03:51in the middle, then you can't
03:52double team or edge defenders
03:53anymore. So I think that they're
03:55like really planning on, on
03:56getting him back in the field.
03:57So maybe that speaks more to the
03:59way that Christian Barmore is
04:00speaking to his teammates. Uh,
04:02but at least from the coach's
04:03side, as I mentioned, definitely
04:06they're saying that like
04:07anything that we can get out of
04:08this guy, even the fact that
04:09he's returning to practice is, I
04:11think as, as DeMarcus Covington
04:12put it like perfect, anything is
04:14perfect at this point. Just the
04:16fact that he is healthy enough
04:17to do this. Yeah, it's, it's a
04:18blessing. And that's true. Like
04:21him just being on a football
04:22field again is a great thing
04:24unto itself, whether he plays
04:26another game, frankly, for the
04:26rest of his career or not given
04:28where the trajectory could have
04:30gone with that kind of
04:31diagnosis. I will say though,
04:32when they talk about taking
04:33things day by day, that is very
04:35often a media stiff arm and
04:38cliche that you go to. But in
04:39this case, Christian Barmore for
04:41the entirety of this year, going
04:43even back to the winter has not
04:44practiced in pads once. So he
04:47needs to feel, look himself and
04:50say, how do I feel the day
04:52after a practice like today,
04:53which again, he has not done
04:54basically since late July or
04:55actually since late July. And
04:57then when it comes time to
04:58practice and pads, I'm sure
04:59he'll be limited that first
05:00practice, but there's going to
05:01be a long ramp up period here
05:02because you just don't get into
05:04football shape. Even if his
05:05cardio is in a good place, like
05:06it's a, it's, it's totally
05:07different for every other part
05:09of his body. Yeah. And
05:10obviously I know nothing about
05:12blood clots. I'm not a doctor,
05:14but even just like seeing how
05:15he would react after like a week
05:17of practices might be good. Uh,
05:19so I really have no idea, but
05:20like you said, it really did not
05:22feel like, as you mentioned, a
05:23media stiff arm to be saying
05:25that he's day-to-day. I think
05:27truly he's day-to-day because
05:29they just don't know how he's
05:30going to respond. You know,
05:31who's happy about this. So like
05:32on, on multiple levels is, uh,
05:33Daniel Echewale, who I think I
05:35hear his knees Creek every time
05:37we go into the locker room.
05:38Cause the poor man has already
05:39surpassed, as I've noted on this
05:40podcast before a career high for
05:42single season snaps. And he did
05:44that a couple of weeks ago. Uh,
05:46so whenever Christian does come
05:47back, it'll be limited in
05:48practice, full practice,
05:49limited in games, full games,
05:51fingers crossed. And then that
05:53will put everyone else in the
05:54depth chart. Like we always
05:55talked about if what number one
05:57receiver ever got to new
05:58England, everyone else goes back
05:59to their rightful spot, right?
06:00Where they should be, you know,
06:01receiver two or three or four or
06:02five, that'll happen here with
06:04Christian Barmer right to the
06:05top. Everyone else below him
06:06goes back to the roles. If, and
06:08when that happens, we don't
06:08know, but obviously it's a good
06:09thing. Now I would not expect
06:11him to play on Sunday, but
06:12again, if you want to go and you
06:14do not find a way to get these
06:15tickets, you get outbid for the
06:16two tickets. Again, we're
06:17giving away to Pat's Rams. The
06:19auction ends 10 AM on Saturday.
06:21Go to my ex, go to my Twitter,
06:22go to my blue sky reply with
06:23your bid. If you come up short,
06:25you can still go to the game.
06:26If you go to game time, because
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07:14Download game time today. What
07:16time is it? Game time. All
07:18right. Our game today is, uh,
07:21how much egg is on our face and
07:22my column today was what I got
07:25wrong about the 2024 Patriots.
07:27And the origin of this is really
07:28simple. One of the ugliest perks
07:31about being in the media is that
07:33you never really have to own up
07:34to your mistakes because the new
07:35cycle, especially now move so
07:37fast that time just passes on
07:39and you don't have to own your
07:40mistakes in a way that we all
07:41make players and coaches face
07:42the music six days after a game
07:44happens. Then the new one comes
07:45around and we all move on. And
07:48my, I don't know whether it's a
07:50brown egg or white egg. I don't
07:51know how big these eggs get or
07:53if the color even matters. The
07:54largest medium large. Yeah,
07:56yeah. Yeah. Uh, is that I
07:58thought it was short sighted.
07:59It was a word that I use in a
08:00column about a month ago to
08:02start Drake May in week six.
08:04Not only has that proven wrong,
08:07he is lifted up the entire
08:08offense. He's taking control of
08:10the team. He's taking a
08:10leadership and you knew better
08:12than I did Doug Hyde. So let's
08:13hit this one first and then
08:14we'll get to your number one
08:15thing that you got wrong
08:16already. Just 10 games in about
08:18the 2024 Patriots. Yeah, no, I
08:20mean, it's proven correct that
08:22they're putting them in, that
08:23they put them at the right
08:24spot. I think that if anything,
08:25maybe they should have put them
08:27in even earlier. It's certainly
08:29possible that they would have
08:30won that game against dolphins.
08:32If Drake may was a starting
08:33quarterback. And I think that
08:35the big thing is that, you know,
08:37Drake may was impressing
08:40basically from, from the
08:41beginning of his starting
08:42career, but it took possibly
08:45until it really did take until
08:47this week for him to win a game
08:49for him to win a start for me to
08:50not have those backbreaking
08:52mistakes they did against the
08:53Titans. And I think that if you
08:55had sort of started him even
08:56earlier, then like maybe he
08:58could have progressed even
08:59faster. But I mean, Alexander
09:01Pelt was talking about how good
09:02his foot footwork was against
09:04the bears. Uh, we're still
09:05seeing some rookie mistakes, but
09:07they're not like, they're not
09:08rookie mistakes that Caleb
09:10Williams was even making, uh,
09:11in this loss of the Patriots
09:13where he's running into sacks
09:15and doesn't look comfortable
09:16back there. Drake may really
09:17has looked comfortable. So I
09:19think that, you know, I think a
09:21lot of people were on your side
09:23and saying like, why the hell
09:25would you start Drake may
09:26against a team as good as the
09:27Texans? This doesn't make any
09:29sense, but like in the long
09:31term, it didn't make a
09:33difference and you've got to
09:34throw them out there at some
09:35point anyway. And at some point
09:37he's going to be playing a good
09:38team and it didn't hurt his
09:40development by putting them out
09:41there. And so the Texans,
09:42the funny thing was, you know,
09:44is it was a Tuesday. You and I
09:45are supposed to mostly be off,
09:47but of course nobody is. I was,
09:48I was out literally running the
09:49news breaks. I stop and I go,
09:51he's going to be doing a lot of
09:52what I just did, which is
09:53running around, trying to get
09:54home, feeling frantic behind
09:56that offensive line. Because my
09:57line always was just, can we do
09:59better than the worst past
10:00protection in the league, which
10:01the Patriots no longer in that
10:03company, certain metrics would
10:04have them there. But last since
10:05he started, it's gotten better.
10:06And that is not a function of
10:08just, Hey, the mobile
10:09quarterback, isn't taking as
10:10much pressure because he can
10:11run away. It's not that it's the
10:12actual pressure allowed by the
10:14offensive line. Um, yeah. And
10:16they said, look, talking to
10:18people, the difference in their
10:19mind was we would rather have
10:21him here at home than care that
10:22much about the opponent. And I
10:23wasn't that far away. I had
10:25always circled that first, that
10:26second jets game defense he's
10:28seen before similar system of
10:30the Niners and the Texans. They
10:31said, we're going to go ahead
10:32and put them behind the worst
10:33offensive line in the league.
10:34And what matters more to us is
10:36not only being at home, but the
10:37development you just hit on,
10:39like Drake has shown us in
10:40practices, not only from first
10:42three weeks in training camp,
10:43when he was definitively the
10:44worst quarterback when compared
10:45to Jacoby preset, but after
10:47that, and in the preseason
10:48games, better than Jacoby. And
10:50then he got better and better
10:51and better. And they say that
10:52development, the foundation
10:54that Alex Van Pelt has laid for
10:55him, we'll get him through the
10:57danger and his instincts and his
10:59playmaking we'll do the rest. So
11:01we might as well do it now.
11:02What's one or two weeks. We're
11:03at home. Let's go. Let's roll.
11:05And they were right.
11:06Yeah, absolutely. And, uh, the,
11:08the first thing that I got
11:10wrong is actually also, uh,
11:12quarterback related and heading
11:14into the season. I was
11:16convinced. I think it wasn't
11:19exactly a controversial opinion
11:21that the quarterback play for
11:22the Patriots would be
11:23significantly better with
11:25Jacoby reset than it was in the
11:26past years with Mack Jones and
11:28Bailey's happy. And this is
11:31still pertinent to this
11:32conversation right now, because
11:35I, the Patriots made that switch
11:36to Drake may because the
11:38quarterback play wasn't
11:39significantly better with
11:40Jacoby preset at quarterback.
11:42And yes, it was in the way that
11:44I was talking about before the
11:45season that he wasn't turning
11:48the ball over at the same rate
11:49that Mack Jones and Bailey's
11:51happy were. He wasn't making
11:52those backbreaking game ending
11:54mistakes that those guys were,
11:56but as a whole, the Patriots
11:59offense was just, they could not
12:01move the ball with Jacobi
12:02preset at quarterback. He's
12:04averaging 130. He's averaging
12:05138 yards per game to passing
12:09touchdowns in six games, the
12:11one interception, but like, I
12:13don't think that I certainly
12:15didn't, I can't speak for
12:16everyone else, but no part of my
12:19mind would have said at the end
12:21of the season that Jacoby
12:23preset is going to start five
12:25games. He's going to play in the
12:26majority of six games and he's
12:27going to come out of those
12:28games with two passing
12:31touchdowns. As I mentioned
12:32earlier, 138 yards per game. So
12:35yeah, I mean, egg on my face, I
12:37expected Jacoby reset to be more
12:39that guy that we saw in the
12:40past. Let's say like with the
12:42Colts, with the Browns, his
12:44supporting cast in new England
12:46absolutely did not do him any
12:48favors. As you're mentioning
12:49earlier, I think that there is
12:51an element that the offensive
12:52line plays better with a
12:54quarterback as mobile and
12:56talented and can throw down
12:57field as Drake may. But I also
13:00think that the offensive line
13:01was worse, especially in that
13:03middle section of Jacoby reset
13:04where like the, and the step
13:07that I point to is in the game
13:09against the jets, when Jacoby
13:11reset and Drake may both played
13:13significant snaps in that game.
13:15The pressure rate was almost
13:16identical. Like the pressure rate
13:17for Jacoby preset was 30.8. The
13:19pressure rate for Drake may was
13:2030%. So like, I do think that in
13:24all Drake may can help the
13:25offensive line, but the
13:26offensive line was worse for
13:28Jacoby preset. They hadn't
13:30figured out their wide receiver
13:31competent, their wide receiver
13:32situation, the way that they
13:34have now. Uh, but still the
13:36quarterback play wasn't
13:38significantly better, which
13:39could be resetting your center
13:40than it was with Nick Jones or
13:41Billy's Abby.
13:42So a couple of things on this
13:43number one, just to put a bow on
13:45my point about like the reason
13:46they felt confident was the
13:47progress he had shown in
13:49practices towards the end of the
13:50preseason and continued to
13:52ascend is that that development
13:54was the difference between him
13:56and Caleb Williams on Sunday,
13:58Drake May's old bad habits did
14:00not surface in a way that not
14:02only undermined the bears
14:03efforts with Caleb Williams,
14:05bad habits, but completely
14:06sunk them. Like, yeah, the
14:07bears offensive line is bad.
14:08It's not world's worse than the
14:10Patriots. Their pressure rates
14:12were almost identical last
14:13Sunday. And you look at their
14:14pressure to sack ratio. Those
14:16were worlds apart, nine sacks
14:17for Caleb Williams, one for
14:19Drake May. And it wasn't all
14:20often just Keone white or July
14:23to buy bursting through and
14:24immediately getting a pressure
14:25or sack or unblocking Del
14:26Pettis's case. Drake may has
14:27improved in a way been developed
14:29that you have not seen with
14:30Caleb Williams in Chicago,
14:31despite more talent around him.
14:33And that's the importance and
14:34the difference of development
14:35versus support to the point
14:37about Jacoby Brissette and
14:38Mack Jones. It's, it was
14:40similar. It was also much more
14:42boring because like as
14:44disastrous as that was, you had
14:46no idea where the ball was
14:47going to go about, I don't
14:48know, 20% of the time when he
14:50dropped back to pass. What
14:52we're seeing now though, is I
14:53think a really important
14:54difference is the passing
14:55production from Drake May and,
14:58uh, Jacoby Brissette, when you
14:59remove the scrambles is actually
15:00very similar. And it's not
15:02because the yards or the
15:03touchdowns are there. They're
15:04not Drake may as far away
15:05already with the touchdowns.
15:07It's that he's having a much
15:08more high variance play. Like
15:10Jacoby Brissette was right on
15:11the path of mediocrity, did not
15:13take a step or a toe off of
15:14that. Yeah. Drake may is
15:16scrambling all over the place.
15:17He's throwing deeper
15:18touchdowns. He's also making
15:19mistakes like that. Give me
15:20interception to TJ Edwards. So
15:22the Patriots are willing to
15:23survive and deal with those
15:25mistakes because unlike Mack
15:27Jones and Bailey's happy a Drake
15:29may has a plan B. I will just
15:31run and run by you and get 19
15:33yards, a big up first down and
15:35be, he unlocks a deep passing
15:37game both on schedule and off
15:39platform. So the production
15:41really, and the deeper metrics
15:42isn't totally different between
15:43Drake may and Jacoby Brissette
15:44from strictly in the pocket
15:46passing, but his new dimensions,
15:48what he brings just by being
15:50himself is worth it. Not only in
15:51the present, but obviously in
15:52the future when he gets to
15:54mature and then you use those
15:55extended plays to break perfect
15:58defense. Cause that's where
15:58we're at in the league. Like
16:00great offense beats good
16:02defense every time.
16:04Absolutely. And I did think one
16:06interesting thing before we go
16:07on our next topic is something
16:09that Alex and Pelt said today is
16:11that Drake may is going to make
16:14downfield throws like that's the
16:16kind of quarterback he is. But
16:17he also said that the defense is
16:18occasionally going to make plays
16:20on those downfield throws as
16:21well. So I think that Alex Van
16:23Pelt and the Patriots are very
16:24self-aware that there are risks
16:27involved, like turnover risks
16:28involved with a quarterback like
16:30Drake may, but overall, like you
16:31said, you'll take those mistakes
16:33when you throw in all the play
16:34making ability of Drake may.
16:35Yeah, because his turnover
16:36worthy play percent and shout
16:37out PFF for you and I both, you
16:39know, mostly on the same plane,
16:41uh, about it is right where Mac
16:43Jones and Bailey's happy was
16:43last year. Right. Right. But the
16:45reason they sunk is because they
16:46didn't have a plan B right. And
16:47they could not create on their
16:48own. So in that sense, he's
16:50actually very similar to what we
16:51saw last year, just in the
16:52complete opposite way that
16:53Jacoby preset is, um, you take
16:55the worst of the two of them and
16:56then you have the quarterback.
16:57Like no one wants to watch play
16:58anymore. All right. Number two
16:59for me is very quick. I'm going
17:00to read this from a July 21st
17:02story, X amount of thoughts
17:03before training camp contract
17:06issues arise every year on some
17:07level for every team. The bet
17:09here is Matt Judon gets his
17:10race, especially after
17:12suggesting in a recent radio
17:13interview, he doesn't have the
17:14appetite to hold in like he did
17:17last summer. Well, Matthew,
17:18thank you very much for that.
17:20When the lesson learned here, as
17:21much as you talk to a guy and
17:22interview a guy and talk to him
17:23and be around him, I even saw
17:24him at some, um, event that was
17:26out in the seaport a couple of
17:28years ago. It was, it was great.
17:29It's good to chat with him. Um,
17:31he preferred to posture rather
17:34than produce when it came to his
17:35contract, seemed to lose a
17:36little bit of his marbles. And
17:38I've already said the Patriots
17:39won the trade, but I just
17:41figured you would keep the asset
17:42even to deal him later on in the
17:44meantime, you know, keep a guy
17:46like his caliber around. They
17:48didn't, they got what they
17:49wanted anyway. And, uh, I
17:51completely whipped.
17:53Well, I, I think that even
17:54within the organization, they
17:55figured that Matthew Judon would
17:57accept one of the offers that
17:59they put out there and that they
18:01would be able to keep them
18:01around. And obviously that
18:02didn't happen. Matthew Judon bet
18:05on himself. And up to this point,
18:08it's, I mean, obviously there's
18:09still half the season left, but
18:11he's kind of lost the bet on
18:12himself because he's not playing
18:13well with the Falcons. I don't
18:14think that he's going to get a
18:15better offer once he's a free
18:17agent, uh, than, than what the
18:19Patriots were willing to give
18:20him. So, uh, certainly
18:22unfortunate for Matthew Judon,
18:24but the Patriots, as you
18:25mentioned, have come out looking
18:26pretty good by taking a
18:29depreciating asset like Matthew
18:30Judon, trading him for a 2025
18:32third round pick, which is
18:34ultimately like great value for
18:36what they were trading away for
18:38Judah. Yeah. Great. Very, very
18:41like arguably outside of
18:44drafting Drake may possibly like
18:46the second or third best thing
18:48Elliot Wolfe has done for the
18:49Patriots since becoming the
18:50executive vice president of
18:52player personnel.
18:53What else is on that list?
18:55Resigning Christian bar more,
18:56but I mean, we don't know what
18:57that looks like at this point,
18:58uh, because he hasn't been back
19:00on the field. Um, I don't know.
19:04I mean, it probably is number
19:05two. I just, I was, I was saying
19:07two or three, just in case
19:08there was something that I was
19:09forgetting. Um,
19:11there are multiple ways to be
19:12facetious, like, you know,
19:14cutting Juju after one preseason
19:16game. Now, lo and behold, he's,
19:17he's producing in Kansas city,
19:19which is just something I can't
19:20wrap my head around based on all
19:21the football we watched him play
19:22in practice and in games. Um,
19:25but yeah, it's not, it's not
19:26that long of a list.
19:28No, I mean, obviously they
19:29re-signed a lot of their guys,
19:31but like Kendrick Bourne just got
19:33benched. Obviously the situation
19:35with Jabril Peppers was something
19:36that they couldn't envision was
19:38going to be occurring in like
19:43real time, but that has worked
19:45out for captain reliable target,
19:48et cetera, et cetera. Yeah. And
19:49I mean, Devon gotcha. I don't
19:51know where they would be without
19:52him, but he was gonna stick
19:53around anyway. He was under
19:54contract, but yeah, I don't know.
19:56I mean, it probably is number
19:56two. It's probably far and away
19:59number two. Yeah. Yeah. All
20:00right. What's the number two in
20:01your list? Number two on my list
20:02is that, uh, I, and a number of
20:05other people expected Jalen Polk,
20:08uh, to be much better this
20:09season. And so far that has not
20:12been the case. Uh, J Jalen Polk
20:14has, has really struggled, uh,
20:16to find his footing in the NFL.
20:18And I think that maybe this
20:20teaches us something looking
20:22forward about training camp and
20:24OTAs and minicamp because early
20:27on in training camp, I was like,
20:29I was waiting for that next shoe
20:30to drop for like, or I was like,
20:33he was being Jalen Polk was
20:34being targeted on, on downfield
20:36plays and he wasn't making them
20:37and he wasn't making them and he
20:38wasn't making them. And then
20:40finally he broke through, made a
20:42couple of downfield plays, had
20:44some impressive catches during
20:46joint practice with the Eagles
20:48overall looked like their most
20:49dependable best outside receiver
20:51by the end of training camp.
20:53And maybe I was just overrating
20:55the competition that he was
20:55facing, uh, in the Eagles during
20:57practices. Maybe I was overrating
21:00some of the things that he was
21:01during doing during seven on
21:02sevens. Uh, maybe I was
21:04overrating when he was getting
21:05those catches, but he just hasn't
21:07looked like the same player so
21:08far this season. He has 11
21:10catches on 28 targets for 80
21:13yards. This season, uh, has not
21:15even broken the century mark as
21:18far as yards go. And he's a guy
21:19who's gotten a ton of playing
21:20time. And once again, like to
21:23play this kind of hypothetical,
21:24like if you had told me in the
21:28end of August that midway through
21:30the season, Jalen Polk would be
21:32trending to have a worse rookie
21:33season than Taekwon Thornton. I
21:35would have said that is
21:36impossible, but it's currently
21:38the case. I mean, Taekwon
21:39Thornton, at least he had like
21:40260 yards as a rookie. Jalen
21:43Polk currently is on pace for 160
21:45yards. And I think that he will
21:46improve. I think that things
21:47will get better as the season
21:49goes along and he gets even more
21:50opportunities. But like that's
21:52currently the reality of the
21:54situation right now, as I look
21:56it up right now. Yeah. Taekwon
21:58Thornton had 22 catches, 247
22:00yards, two touchdowns. Polk
22:02already has two touchdowns, but
22:04he's not even on pace for 247
22:06yards right now.
22:07It's, it's bad. 11 catches, 80
22:09yards. Uh, he had that stretch.
22:11I repeated the stat to death,
22:1213 targets. He had two catches
22:14and three drops. And before the
22:16win at Chicago ranked dead last
22:18by pro football focus receiver
22:20grades, which I always say, like
22:21you take with a, I don't know, a
22:23bowl full of salt. Uh, but when
22:25they're at the extremes, they're
22:26not wrong. Like the, the eye
22:28test, whatever metrics back that
22:29up. He was also dead last by
22:30average separation of the catch
22:31point when targeted, according
22:32to the next gen stats did have
22:33the touchdown in Chicago. Yada
22:35yada. That was number three for
22:36me. And I was never a big Jalen
22:38Polk guy. I just thought that he
22:40was talented enough. He had what
22:42I described as a mature game, uh,
22:44from a route running standpoint,
22:45versatile enough to play inside
22:47the slot and outside strong can
22:49win and contested catches. And
22:50that maturity just says has never
22:51shown up. There are still seven
22:53more games. Um, he will have more
22:55opportunities. So for my number
22:57three, it was, I thought once
23:00Elliot Wolf took not only Polk
23:01and Jayvon Baker, but also laid
23:03in Robinson in the fourth round
23:04last April, I go, okay, this is
23:05putting the last Belichick draft
23:07class on alert. Like, Hey,
23:09Keisha, I'm booty into Mario
23:10Douglas. You might want to pull
23:11up Zillow here in a second here,
23:13but you know, late summer,
23:14because we've got new guys in
23:15here city. So you might not be
23:17around and city. So then it
23:18starts at left guard for the
23:19entirety of training camp. All
23:21of the preseason gets hurt in
23:22that game for whatever reason.
23:23It's not been the same player
23:24since even when he's played in
23:25regular season games, Keisha
23:27and booty has been their most
23:28consistent receiver the last
23:30four or five weeks. I still
23:31think tops out. It was like a
23:32number four, number five, but
23:34we'll see. He keeps ascending
23:36into Mario Douglas is quote Mr.
23:37Consistent according to ABP
23:38today. So those guys, even
23:42though you had a new regime,
23:43which happens every single team,
23:44every single sport held like in
23:46government. Now new person comes
23:48in, cleans out, you pick your
23:50own people, put them in those
23:51spots. It seemed like Elliot
23:52Wolf was doing that, but Polk
23:54has struggled. Baker can't even
23:55see the field. And you cannot
23:57say either of those things for
23:58booty or Douglas. Um, even
24:00Linden Robinson's getting more
24:01playing time in the city. So
24:02right now, so yeah, I mean, I
24:05wasn't doing it during the
24:05summer, but yeah. Yeah. I think
24:07that they really tried. They've
24:09tried to, to give their own
24:11rookies as, as much, you know,
24:13runway as possible. And it just,
24:15it hasn't paid off. Like how
24:17many times has Leighton
24:18Robinson now been benched? Is
24:19it like two or three times
24:20essentially? Um, and yeah, it's
24:23at least twice. Uh, Michael
24:26Wenu has been obviously a
24:28better option at right guard,
24:29but essentially what they're
24:30saying is that Michael Jordan
24:32is a better option at left
24:33guard than Leighton Robinson
24:34would be. And that DeMontre
24:36Jacobs is a better option at
24:37right tackle than Leighton
24:39Robinson would be at right
24:40guard. So on one hand, good on
24:43Elliot Wolf and his staff are
24:44finding someone like DeMontre
24:45Jacobs who could come in and
24:46start right away, but bad on
24:49them for drafting someone in
24:50the fourth round and Leighton
24:51Robinson who can't start and on
24:54the last regime on city. So
24:56who's the guy who did the
24:56draft in the fourth round and
24:58currently can't start. Um, so I
25:01think the, the idea, the
25:02thinking was right, but in the
25:04case of booty and DeMontre
25:06Douglas, they've just been
25:07significantly more consistent,
25:10uh, more dependable than Jalen
25:11Polak and Jayvon Baker. I mean,
25:13Jayvon Baker doesn't have a
25:14catch yet. We're talking about
25:15Taekwon Thornton and Jalen
25:16Polak. Like Jayvon Baker has
25:18gotten four snaps the last two
25:20weeks. He hasn't been targeted.
25:22I'm still wondering what the
25:23plan there is because like I
25:25said before to media members,
25:26like clearly good enough to be
25:28on the field, working hard
25:30enough to deserve that
25:31opportunity yet. Not good
25:33enough to get a target, not
25:35good enough to play more than
25:36four snaps. So at some point,
25:38like the, I feel like something
25:40has to break there where he's
25:41either going to be back as a
25:43healthy scratch or suddenly
25:45deserving of like 20, 30 snaps
25:46and some actual targets because
25:48right now I don't think it's
25:49really accomplishing anything
25:50for Jayvon Baker.
25:51No. And it's, uh, it feels very
25:54much like a case when you check
25:56in about him, that it's like,
25:58if you don't have anything good
25:59to say, don't say anything at
26:00all. And I think that sometimes
26:03takes players to mature a little
26:04bit behind the scenes. And I
26:06think they would like to give
26:08him those stats, but have not
26:09seen enough either in the
26:10classroom or on the field to
26:13grant him that opportunity,
26:15which he was only a fourth
26:16round pick. But when you have
26:17the talent, the raw physical
26:19talent that he has, like you'd
26:20need to get reps to develop
26:22that. And he's not getting them
26:23because in their minds, he just
26:24hasn't earned it. Or as Alex
26:25van Pelt said six weeks ago, he
26:26doesn't know the playbook
26:28basically, just not, not great.
26:30Um, and it's also the
26:31combination of his talent plus a
26:33strongly, a roster that lacks
26:35talent overall is, is I guess
26:37the way I would say it. Yeah.
26:38Right. Um, you mentioned
26:39Demontre Jacobs. I want to
26:40detour quickly because Alex
26:42van Pelt also said today, why
26:43did Alex van Pelt talk, um,
26:45today? It's a good quote. Good,
26:46good quote. He told us there's
26:49this thing called the pickup
26:50award and they chart not only
26:52plays and personnel and targets
26:54and all the other stuff that you
26:55and I do, uh, and every football
26:57team does. They chart how often
26:59players, meaning the Patriots
27:00pick up other players off of the
27:02ground after a play. And this is
27:04it's not, it's not been picking
27:05up people at the bar. This is,
27:07this is on the field. Yes.
27:08Thank you. Thank you.
27:09Different kind of pickup.
27:10In that case, Demontre Jacobs.
27:11Oh, I don't want to say that.
27:13I, someone else might lead them,
27:14but in any case, on Sunday,
27:16Demontre Jacobs was the pickup
27:17artist of the week, the pickup
27:19award winner. Okay. Um, and he
27:22had 11, which brings me to the
27:24obvious question of if we had a
27:26pickup award for the Patriots
27:27beat, why is Dan Roach winning
27:30and Mike Reese second and no one
27:31else even close?
27:33Yeah, no, I mean, I will, I
27:34might even say that Mike Reese
27:35might be number one, but yeah,
27:37no, certainly. Um, yeah, I think
27:39that they would get that they're
27:40the Demontre Jacobs of the beat.
27:42Absolutely.
27:43I mean, very comparable in size
27:45to, to do my great whole
27:46community. Um, no, we'd have a
27:48lot of people that were close.
27:49Mike, you already, obviously at
27:49the bottom, but that's, that's
27:50just about it. Uh, last thing
27:52you got wrong. And then we'll do
27:53a couple of things we got right
27:54and get to pass ramps.
27:55This one's boring. It doesn't
27:56have to be that long, but I just,
27:57I thought the run game would be
27:59significantly better. Like I know
28:01that it's not based strongly on
28:03the offensive line, but it's
28:05something they really worked at.
28:06It's something that they hyped up
28:08during the summer was going to be
28:10the strength of the team. Something
28:11that drawed Mayo hyped up after
28:13week one, that they were a team
28:14that was going to run the ball.
28:15Uh, they've got the two tight ends.
28:17They, they have still been leaning
28:18heavily on two tight end sets. And
28:20yes, it got better in week 10, but
28:23I've mentioned this before. There
28:24was a four week stretch for
28:26consecutive weeks where running
28:28backs were averaging less than two
28:31yards per carry. That feels almost
28:33impossible in the NFL. The fact
28:35that they even won a game during
28:37that stretch is, is amazing enough.
28:39Uh, it seems like maybe it was just
28:41the bears being dysfunctional, but
28:43the, the, the Russian game did look
28:45better against the bears, but still
28:48I expected it to be the strength of
28:49the team. I expected them to be
28:51relying on it, especially with a
28:53rookie quarterback. And it just, it
28:56hasn't, it hasn't worked so far. So
28:58yeah, that's a, that's the last
28:59thing, last thing I got wrong. I got
29:01nothing else wrong. That's the only
29:02thing I, yeah, I ran out faster than
29:05I thought. And I went back to stuff
29:07I had written in the draft and this
29:08was just contained to things that
29:09I've written, not necessarily said
29:11on radio or podcast or TV or
29:12whatever. Uh, but, but felt pretty
29:14good. There was also this one, which
29:15I've said on this podcast before.
29:16And I told everyone this season could
29:18be worse than last year. We don't
29:20know what's going to happen, but I
29:21will guarantee you this. And this
29:22is the one thing I got right. And
29:23you come up with one, as I explained
29:24here now, the upset is coming. Okay.
29:27Even the teams that pick number one
29:29overall in the draft, the last five
29:30years beat a playoff team on the way
29:32to getting that number one overall
29:33pick, even the bears from three to
29:35three years ago, beat the Niners who
29:37went to the NFC championship game in
29:38their opener and then sunk the rest
29:39of the season. Here's what I wrote
29:41in July 21st. It could be week one
29:42at Cincinnati or when they take one
29:45or two shots at Buffalo in December.
29:46But one of these Sundays, the football
29:47world will turn to Foxborough and
29:49ask in United astonishment, the
29:51Patriots did what we've had two of
29:53those. If you make the qualifier
29:55winning as six point underdogs or
29:57more, it was eight and a half at
29:58Cincinnati. Granted, we don't know
29:59if the Bengals are going to the
30:00playoffs. The jets definitely are
30:01not, I would assume are not either.
30:03Um, but I think it's just a reminder
30:06that not only was just a last year
30:08difficult because it was four and
30:0913, it was one score wins over bad
30:12teams. That's, that's an outlier this
30:15season, even for bad teams is more
30:17representative of what it's going to
30:18be like. And it's nice to have that
30:20kind of surprise back with your
30:21Sundays and it happened.
30:23Yeah, no, absolutely. And I think,
30:24you know, they could certainly
30:25surprise more teams here moving
30:27forward. I think they are an
30:28improving team. I don't think it's
30:29all Drake may. I think overall the
30:30defense has been playing better. Um,
30:33the offensive line has been playing
30:34better. The receivers are kind of
30:36running a little bit more into
30:37shape. So, uh, yeah, no, absolutely.
30:39They, um, they, they've, they've
30:41surprised some people and I think
30:42they could continue to surprise some
30:44people. Uh, one thing that I got
30:47right. So the Drake may would play
30:49early. I think week six qualifies is
30:51pretty early in the season because
30:52other people were saying, you know,
30:54maybe the bi-week maybe like halfway
30:56through the season. Um, maybe London,
30:59whatever it was. And I, and
31:01obviously I came at that with some
31:03inside knowledge. Uh, but it was like,
31:07it was a matter of, it was a matter
31:09of when not if, and it was expected
31:12that Drake may would be taking over
31:14those starting reigns early. So I
31:16certainly was not surprised when that
31:18did happen. I didn't know that it was
31:20exactly going to be against Texans,
31:22but you know, it Jacoby presets
31:26performances obviously didn't help
31:28matters. And we've gotten into this
31:29obviously early in the podcast, so we
31:31don't need to go too deep, but yeah,
31:33it, it ultimately was the right
31:35decision. And, um, I think that based
31:37on how he played at the end of
31:39training camp in the preseason, that,
31:42that showed them that it was going to
31:43be pretty early that he was gonna be
31:45starting.
31:45Yeah. And I want to say too, you
31:47know, not as a way to backtrack,
31:48because again, the title of this
31:49episode is what I got wrong. Everyone
31:51look at the egg on my face, but it
31:53wasn't underestimating Drake may who
31:55we knew as a smart quarterback, a
31:57tough kid, exceptionally physically
32:00talented. As far as we heard fast
32:01learner, because we saw that learning
32:03transpire in training camp, even though
32:05he wasn't getting any starting reps
32:06and it wasn't until the end that he
32:07was better than Jacoby preset, but he
32:09was in a way that was indisputable over
32:11those last two weeks. What I overrated
32:14was the history of quarterbacks playing
32:16in situations like these and didn't
32:18believe that this kid, as much as I
32:19think of him as a prospect or thought
32:21of him as a prospect, think of him now
32:22could overcome that at 22, the league's
32:24worst past protection, arguably the
32:26worst receiving core in the league and
32:27offensive staff that had given us
32:29reason to doubt them in certain
32:30situations. Even Alex Van Pelt after
32:32week three being like, man, I screwed
32:34that one up, you know, score three
32:35points at the Jets with this play
32:36calling. He has, he's exceptionally
32:38secure. He's tough. He's confident.
32:41And like I said, smart, and he's going
32:43to make stupid mistakes. He's a rookie.
32:44That's what all of them do. Um, but it
32:46was never, it was much more about the
32:47situation than it was about him. All
32:49right. He is going to play on Sunday
32:50when the Patriots ran, so which I
32:51will remind the people who just tuned
32:53in again, we are live here. This will
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35:15run your game. All right, Pats or Amps.
35:18So the Patriots, as we know, three and
35:20seven, 30th by DVOA. DVOA says, we
35:24still, thank you, stink. Uh, slight
35:26winning two of the last three, 29th in
35:28offense, 30th in defense, 12th in
35:31special teams. The Rams, not that much
35:33better. Four and five overall, 19th in
35:36DVOA, 13th in offense, 20th in defense,
35:3927th in special teams. Their last four,
35:41they just lost to Miami Monday night,
35:4323 to 15. Before that big win at
35:45Seattle, 26 to 20. Before that 30 to 20
35:48win over Minnesota on Thursday Night
35:49Football and 20 to 15 versus the Raiders
35:52again at home for the Rams who are,
35:55you know, season is not over, but it's
35:56getting tight out there and a very
35:58competitive NFC West. Uh, so we're just
36:01going to do the traditional three, two,
36:02one preview here, three matchups, two
36:04keys, one wildcard thought and a game
36:06pick and get out of here. Uh, but first
36:08just big picture thought about this
36:10matchup. Like it's not the wildcard
36:12thought we'll save something weird for
36:13the end, but you think about this game
36:15and what comes to mind first?
36:17Uh, past matchups between these teams
36:20for two teams that like AFC East and
36:22NFC West don't play each other very
36:24often, obviously two Superbowls Patriots
36:28have won, uh, two Superbowls against
36:30the Rams. So just like a lot of weird,
36:33cool history, uh, in this matchup. And
36:36I, I mean, there's players left on, on
36:39the Rams or there's at least coaches
36:40left on the Rams who played in that
36:42Superbowl, uh, 53 game, a couple left
36:45on the Patriots. So not a lot of
36:46connections there, but just a cool
36:49matchup that you don't see very often.
36:52And, uh, a lot of history there.
36:55I will tease a story I have coming out
36:57Saturday morning, the bostonherald.com
36:58and then in print Sunday for the, the
37:01tiniest Venn diagram possible of people
37:03who listened to this podcast or watch
37:04on YouTube and actually still pick up a
37:05physical newspaper that will be out
37:07Sunday in print of a forgotten detail
37:10about that Superbowl that I picked up
37:12in a talk to players and coaches about
37:13this week. So if you want to relive
37:15something about Superbowl 53 that I
37:17had not known, and as far as I can find
37:19has not been reported yet, look for my
37:21story Saturday morning online or Sunday
37:23in print. Uh, it's a good point though,
37:25because we get these, you know, giant
37:27media packets and it's got all of the
37:28stats and the biographies and the
37:29backgrounds of all the players and the
37:31coaches and yada yada. And I think it
37:32was a Rams that I was flipping through
37:33today in our little office at Gillette
37:35and they use the word rivalry. And I
37:38was like, well, this is ridiculous.
37:40They're not rivals. So we see you every
37:42four years looking at them. I was like,
37:45I don't know, man. Like you play two
37:46very consequential Superbowls. Um, I
37:50don't know. It's not rivalry, but it's,
37:52but it's close enough. So Rams media
37:53guide, you get a pass. I'm sure that I
37:56know there's not a ton of them out
37:58there, but I'm sure Rams fans don't
38:01like the Patriots very much. So it's
38:03kind of like a, it's a rivalry, but
38:06it's a, it's kind of one-sided and
38:08honestly, you know, rivalry means a
38:11lizard up kids. Like you have to take
38:13something from them and they have to
38:15take something from you. Right. That's
38:16rivalry. It's gotta be, it's gotta be
38:17mutual. Um, Rams kicked their ass in
38:202020, which is a season. Everyone's
38:21forgotten. It was a Thursday night
38:22game, 24 to three. Bill was, was, was
38:25very flowery in his praise to Sean
38:26McVay. I think one of them was
38:27miked up. Um, just kind of curious now
38:29because we were in the middle of
38:30COVID anyway, there, there has been
38:32some back and forth here, even though
38:34the big wins obviously belong to the
38:35Patriots, which is interesting to me
38:36though, this week is not just the
38:38Matthew Stafford angle or the pass at
38:39home. Can they win three out of four,
38:41no matter who has spoken to us,
38:43everyone brings up their front four.
38:45And it's very young and you don't have
38:47these big names, even though they
38:48drafted Jared verse, who's going to be
38:50one of my matchups. Spoiler alert,
38:51Byron young athletic third round pick,
38:53I believe out of Tennessee, they're
38:56elite at rushing individually. And
38:58they've got some problems structurally,
39:00I think, and just kind of fitting
39:01everything together. But I look at
39:02this game and go, both of these
39:04offensive lines stink and pass
39:05protection. They've got a very good
39:07rush. The Patriots are good at
39:08scheming up enough pressure. Um,
39:10which crazy thing to see, say after
39:12they get nine sacks, if I said over
39:15under for sex for this game, total
39:17sex is six and a half, right?
39:21Um, yeah, I might take the under,
39:25but that, that is, that seems right.
39:28Um, just because I don't know the,
39:31the nine sacks last week was like a
39:35way more of a Caleb Williams thing
39:36than it was a Patriots pass rush
39:37thing. Uh, and it was more a Patriots
39:39coverage thing than a Patriots pass
39:41rush thing. But yeah, I mean that,
39:44that feels right. Uh, Drake may only
39:46sack once last week, but that was
39:48also less than you would expect from
39:50the Patriots offensive line. So I
39:52don't know, maybe I'd go five and a
39:53half, but that's kind of being that
39:54picky, which, which still though is
39:56exceptionally high. And that's an
39:58obvious point. Both teams struggle
39:59in pass protection. I'm just saying
40:00when you, when we've listened to guys
40:02this week, that's what they bring up.
40:03This front is really, really good.
40:05And it's across the board. They want
40:06to get to, they play a lot of five
40:08men front, um, to create those singles,
40:10those one-on-one blocks that they
40:11know inevitably someone's going to
40:13break through. Now it's really just,
40:14you know, the four, which I mentioned
40:15on the ends and young and various that
40:17I think really have your attention if
40:19you're the Patriots, because it was a
40:20decent day in past protection with the
40:22exception of the tackles who obviously
40:23are going to have verse and Byron
40:25young across from them. Um, so versus
40:26my first matchup, he's got four and a
40:28half sacks as rookie one in each of his
40:30last three games, along with a fourth
40:31fumble and a pass deflection. And
40:33again, these four guys are in the top
40:3550 of not just total sack production,
40:37but true pressure rate, which is
40:39courtesy of Brandon Thorne, a D
40:41Lyman alignment expert who is watching
40:43and telling you exactly the pressure
40:44that people earn and those that they
40:45don't key on white, by the way, also
40:47high in these rankings. So verse,
40:48whether he's opposite, but area and
40:50low or Demetri Jacobs pickup award
40:53winner. Um, it's, it's huge because
40:55if you negate him, you buy Drake
40:57May time. And that obviously leads
40:58to good things.
41:00Yeah, that was actually a Jared
41:01verse verse. The daring low was one
41:03of my matchups as well, but I picked
41:05two because I'm smart and figured
41:06that you might pick that one. Uh,
41:08but Jared verse does primarily line
41:09up on the defensive, right? So he'll
41:11mostly be going up against the
41:13daring low, which ultimately, if you
41:15had said that last year would not
41:16have been a good thing this year.
41:17It is a good thing because I think
41:20it's still a mismatch on the Ram
41:23side, but bid area and low has
41:25perhaps one healthy been their
41:28second, most dependable and
41:29consistent offensive lineman, um,
41:31behind Michael Wenu on the offensive
41:34line. So I it's, it's one that
41:37veterinarian low, it will at least
41:39be competitive in. And, um,
41:41obviously Drake may will help as
41:43well. He can scramble, move around
41:44the pocket. Uh, he can negate some
41:46of that pressure and that pressure
41:49does not always turn into sacks.
41:51Uh, but yeah, that's, that's
41:52definitely one of the more
41:53intriguing matchups for me in this
41:55game. Uh, but the one that the
41:57other one was Christian Gonzalez,
42:00a Patriots cornerback who he's
42:01going to be facing off against. If
42:03I had to guess, I would say Puka
42:06Nakua in this matchup. Um, because
42:08Puka Nakua and Cooper cup, those
42:10are the two big Rams wide
42:11receivers. Puka Nakua was better
42:14last week against the dolphins.
42:16Uh, then Cooper cup, both of those
42:17guys have been dealing with
42:18injuries, but really the big thing
42:20is that Cooper cup does line up in
42:21the slot. The majority of offensive
42:23snaps, whereas Puka Nakua does
42:25sometimes slide in the slot, but
42:27primarily does line up more outside.
42:29I'm curious to see if the Patriots
42:31do just kind of like leave Christian
42:32Gonzalez on one side, like they did
42:34last week against the bears. But.
42:37That made sense to me last week
42:39because the bears really have the
42:40big three there at wide receiver
42:41and DJ more Romo Dunzey, uh, and
42:43Keenan Allen this week. I think
42:46that you can probably just say,
42:48all right, Christian, follow Puka
42:49Nakua. Um, we'll leave, you know,
42:52Jonathan Jones, Marcus Jones,
42:53whoever else against Cooper cup.
42:55And then like the other outside
42:56receiver is a lot more
42:59inconsequential, but I do think
43:01that it would be massive if
43:02Christian Gonzalez probably won't
43:04be able to like completely
43:05eliminate Puka Nakua, but if he
43:07can limit him to, let's say,
43:08like five catches, 50 yards,
43:10which is about what you can expect
43:11out of Christian Gonzalez. So far
43:12this season, I think that would
43:13go a really long way towards
43:15the Patriots winning this game.
43:17Yeah. It's also a size thing,
43:18right? You know, if you want to
43:19try Puka Nakua, who's not only
43:20just like six, two, but
43:22exceptionally strong, like that
43:23dude is coming down and cracking
43:24people in the run game and he's
43:26winning at the top of his routes
43:27and just kind of bodies you out
43:29with his ass on these core routes.
43:30Like I don't want my five, eight
43:32corner. Marcus Jones played
43:33exceptionally well in Chicago and
43:35especially in man to man coverage.
43:36And I talked to Mike Pellegrino
43:37today, their corners coach, and
43:38just said, Hey, who's a, who's a
43:40guy in your group who's just
43:41improved the most and what's the
43:42player and what's the skill?
43:43And he said, Marcus Jones and
43:45off coverage. Look, that's great.
43:47And it's true. And we've seen it.
43:48And that lets them play man
43:49coverage more than 70% of the
43:51time, which they did in Chicago.
43:52And I wouldn't be surprised to
43:53see it get close to there again
43:54against the Rams, but matchups
43:56matter. And that to me also, I
43:58think is not only the size thing
44:00with Christian Gonzalez, but you
44:01can double a little bit more
44:02easily against the guy in the
44:03slot and deny some of those
44:05easier access throws. And I
44:07think it would be wise. And this
44:08is kind of, this is my matchup,
44:10which is very broad, but to
44:12Marcus Covington has had games
44:13where he's been way ahead. And
44:15that helps. There are also the
44:16games when you can tell he's
44:17playing catch-ups, like even
44:18Seattle in week two, and that's
44:19a while ago, but he needs to at
44:21least be even with Sean McVay
44:22here in terms of control of the
44:23game. And if that's doubling
44:24Cooper cup in the slot, that to
44:26me is pivotal. And I think
44:27something you have to test and
44:28find out what their answers are.
44:30So you can come up with counters
44:31or have a different strategy
44:33that catches them off guard,
44:34but still somehow manage either
44:35with droppers off of the edge or
44:37some sort of SIM pressures just
44:39to make them a little uneasy.
44:40So that to me, I'm very, very
44:41curious how to Marcus Covington
44:43obviously rolls out the game
44:44plan, but adjusting and Sean
44:45McVay, who didn't have a great
44:46game against Miami, but over
44:48time, we know is one of the
44:48better offensive coaches in the
44:49league. For sure. A hundred
44:52percent. Cool. That was easy.
44:54Thank you. Key two keys, three
44:56matchups, two keys, Mikey. They
44:58have to activate their
44:59misdirection in screen game.
45:00And we saw more misdirection
45:02here with not only the touchdown
45:04pass delayed release to Jalen
45:05Polk, a little bit more play
45:07action. We saw that double
45:08reverse screen play that went
45:09for like eight yards, which Alex
45:11van Pelt, another reference
45:12mentioned today. I love calling
45:14that play. The guys love running
45:15it. The average that we gain on
45:17that play just about eight yards
45:19and you're like, okay, should
45:21probably be more. You need more
45:23of that. Cause the Rams are a
45:24bottom 10 tackling defense
45:25according to PFF. They do a lot
45:27of cool things schematically.
45:28We just talked about their
45:29password. They don't have to
45:30blitz a whole lot and I don't
45:31think they will, but what you
45:32need to do is get easy yards.
45:34So their screen game has not
45:36been great this year, but I want
45:38to see more of the misdirection,
45:39not only because it worked
45:40against Chicago, but those are
45:41the type of plays you should be
45:42running against the Rams to get
45:45extra yards after the catch.
45:46When normally against better
45:47tackling defenses, you wouldn't
45:49have them. Yeah. I mean, the
45:51Patriots have been kind of
45:52allergic in the last, let's say
45:54like four or five weeks, uh, in
45:56getting their running backs
45:56involved in the passing game.
45:57I think that that would be a
45:58big thing, at least in the
45:59screen game is to try to get
46:00them a little bit more involved.
46:01I mean, we saw earlier in the
46:02season, Antonio Gibson ripping
46:05off two 40 plus yard plays.
46:06One of them was a run. One of
46:08them was a catch and run. Uh, I
46:09thought that Antonio Gibson
46:11showed some fresh legs at the
46:12end of that bears game.
46:13Surprised to see him in there
46:14in that moment, since he hadn't
46:15been playing all game. Uh, but
46:17if you could get him a little
46:18bit more involved in the passing
46:19game as a former college wide
46:21receiver, I think that that
46:22would certainly help. And
46:24Michael Hastie hasn't been bad
46:25in the, in the passing game as
46:26well. He had a touchdown in
46:28London against Jaguars. And, uh,
46:30I mean, and then obviously
46:31Romandre Stevenson historically
46:33has been a good pass catching
46:34back for the Patriots as well.
46:36But whether it's those guys
46:37with a pop Douglas, I know that
46:39a lot of Patriots fans, I don't
46:40expect this to happen, but like
46:42no, a lot of Patriots fans would
46:43advocate to maybe get like
46:45Marcus Jones involved in some of
46:46those plays as well, because
46:48he's such a dynamic playmaker,
46:49but they do have guys who can
46:50make those plays, um, you know,
46:53using screens, using, um, motion
46:56using misdirection, uh, and
46:58getting some, some free and
46:59cheap yards that way. Uh, my
47:01key is a defensive one, which
47:03works out well since yours was
47:04offensive and it was generate
47:06some God damn turnovers. And
47:09like they against the bears,
47:11they won without generating a
47:12single turnover, no takeaways.
47:14And like, Hey, that's, I'm
47:17shocked that they won that game
47:18without that with Caleb Williams
47:20playing like a chicken with his
47:22head cut off and with the Rams,
47:24Matthew Stafford, five fumbles
47:26so far this season, seven
47:27interceptions. He is 11th out of
47:2940 plus quarterbacks in
47:32turnover where the play rate on
47:33PFF and Kyron Williams has also
47:36fumbled the ball three times,
47:37which was basically enough for
47:39a monetary Stevenson yet bench
47:40earlier in the season. So there
47:42are opportunities against this
47:44Rams team to force some
47:45turnovers. Matthew Stafford
47:46historically has been pretty
47:48good about protecting the
47:49football, but that has changed
47:50the season. I'm sure a lot of
47:52that is the Rams offensive line,
47:54but I don't think, I don't think
47:56I'm going to put myself out
47:58there. The Patriots cannot win
47:59two straight, two straight games
48:01without generating any turnovers.
48:02And I would say that they will
48:03have to win the turnover battle
48:05in this game if they do want to
48:06beat the Rams. Um, and just
48:09because like Drake may is
48:10probably going to turn the ball
48:11over at least once, at least
48:13that's what we've seen so far
48:14this season. Uh, that that's
48:16been what he's been doing. So I
48:18think that you'll, you'll have
48:19to get at least two turnovers
48:20off this Rams team to win the
48:22game. Fair. I, um, it just hit
48:25me. I have two wildcard thoughts.
48:26So we go three, two, one here,
48:28and then we'll do a game pick.
48:29One of which is you would think
48:31as a Rams team that as much has
48:33been made about the marrying of
48:34the past and the run, it's a
48:35deep play action. And like the
48:36bones of that offense are still
48:37very similar to what Sean McVay
48:39unveiled and just hit the league
48:40over the head with in 2017 and
48:422018, they want to run the ball
48:45and they're good at it, but
48:46playing on a Monday night, losing
48:48three hours, flying East, all of
48:50that travel that time, that lack
48:52of practice. I am curious what,
48:54if any toll would be taken and
48:56our pal, Mike, you already had
48:57this debt that they're five and
48:58no one short restaurant or McVay,
48:59whatever, like that has to count
49:01physically materially in a real
49:03way, starting on their 10 AM
49:05local time, uh, body wise.
49:08And so how does that show up?
49:10Can they quote unquote, establish
49:11the run early? And if this game
49:12is close to the fourth quarter,
49:14do you see the Patriots? Let's
49:15have a throwback here. Take them
49:16to the Hill. I don't know. I
49:18wouldn't, I wouldn't count on it.
49:20Again. I think this is a more
49:21talented veteran well-coached
49:23team. You're not going to win
49:23the way you did in Chicago. Um,
49:26but that's on the top of my mind.
49:27The second one is this, and if
49:28you don't want a wild card, fine,
49:29but I'm going to get a wild card
49:31on this one. Anyway, Nick Kaley
49:33is coming back to New England.
49:34Tight ends coach for the Rams
49:36very nearly as I reported and
49:38gotten offer. He was a finalist
49:39for the Patriots offense
49:39coordinator job, turned it down.
49:42And what if, what if Nick Kaley
49:46came back after one season in LA?
49:48Because we've seen what happened
49:50with Shane Waldron and Luke Getsy
49:52also involved in that
49:53coordinator search. Uh, they've
49:55both been fired and Alex
49:56Impel 12th guy to 12. We've all
49:59seen this. I think it's ended
50:00up being a good hire because
50:01development Drake may manage
50:02more than anything else. Any
50:03scheme, any play, call anything
50:04at all. Not to mention he's
50:06also a culture guy. The numbers
50:07are bad. The offense is bad,
50:08but he's a stat. Where would we
50:10be with Nick Kaley? Offensive
50:11coordinator. It's a good
50:13question. And like, I, I, I hate
50:16to have like a cop out on this,
50:17but there's honestly no way of
50:19knowing, like we've never seen
50:20Nick Kaley as an offensive
50:21coordinator. So I think that
50:23I think that they'd be more, I
50:25think they'd be more creative
50:27potentially. Um, I think it
50:28would be a different system. Um,
50:31but overall I do think that it's
50:34possible that Drake Mays
50:36development could have taken a
50:38hit because Nick Kaley hasn't
50:40worked with quarterbacks as much
50:41as Alex van Pelt has. He doesn't
50:44have that track record that
50:45Alex van Pelt does. So it's
50:47certainly possible that we
50:48wouldn't be complaining about
50:49the, the offensive play calling
50:50as much as with Alex van Pelt
50:52in there, but he's also just
50:54less experienced, less
50:55experience with quarterback.
50:56So I don't know. It's not a
50:57sure thing that things would
50:58look different in my opinion.
51:00I would love that. And then
51:04one of them was that Nick Kaley,
51:06Ryan Wendell, and Jerry
51:07Sheplinski, three former people
51:09who've been in the Patriots
51:10building are all on the staff,
51:11but I have a hot take. Super
51:12Bowl 53 was good. I know a lot
51:14of people like after that game
51:16were like, that was a terrible
51:16super bowl. And when they were
51:18saying that, I was like, I
51:20disagree. That game was cool.
51:22Like defense is fun. Sometimes
51:24there was some fun plays made
51:25in that game, uh, by like,
51:26certainly by Jason McCourty in
51:28that game. Like overall, I came
51:30away from that game being like,
51:31wow, that was a good super bowl
51:32and everyone else was
51:33complaining about it. So that's
51:34my wildcard thought on a
51:35Patriots Rams. Yeah. Uh, how
51:37many Hall of Famers were in
51:38that game? I mean, start with
51:39Belichick, Brady, Gronk's in
51:42there, Aaron Donald's in there,
51:44Sean McVay, probably on his
51:45way. Like I think it will age
51:47well. Yeah, absolutely. Um,
51:50Cooper cop, probably not, but
51:51like another really good player.
51:53He actually didn't play in that
51:53game. So nevermind. Um, but
51:55yeah, no, a lot of, uh, a lot
51:57of good players in that game,
51:58a lot of big names, especially
51:59on defense. Doug McCourty, uh,
52:03Rams when 20 is 20 to 17. What
52:05was it? No, it's, are we just
52:07naming defensive players? We
52:08can keep doing it. Um, uh, Rams
52:12went 2017. The Patriots have
52:15not done enough for me to pick
52:17them to win this game. I think
52:18it's possible that they win this
52:20game, but overall I think the
52:23Patriots defense will be better
52:25than it had been in the past.
52:26Not as good as they were against
52:27the bears because he got Matthew
52:28Stafford in there and the
52:29Patriots couldn't score a couple
52:30touchdowns, but overall I think
52:32the Rams squeaked this one out.
52:34I'm with you. I think it's a
52:35little uglier than that. 1613.
52:38This just reeks of a Stafford
52:40does enough, drives them down,
52:42gets a field goal and they kick
52:43one at the end of the buzzer.
52:44And it's not like a moral
52:45victory, but it's something
52:47close to that. And the Patriots
52:48covered, I think the spread is
52:49like four or four and a half
52:50through the Rams on the road.
52:52And look, I said a lot of stuff
52:54about talent and desperation
52:55against the bears. We saw how
52:55that went, but like this team
52:56is so far away, better coached
52:58than the bears are. And I think
53:00that is ultimately, we'll put
53:01some over the top in addition
53:02to the veteran quarterback, but
53:03hard to see a blow either way,
53:05which is crazy considering where
53:06we were four weeks ago with
53:07Patriots. Absolutely. And uh,
53:10yeah, I mean, I think it'll at
53:11least be like a good game. You
53:13were mentioning, you know,
53:14people, uh, donating to LLS for
53:16these tickets. Like it's a good
53:19game. It's going to be a good
53:19game out there. You'll have to
53:20see Drake may coming off a win
53:22potential for the first winning
53:23streak of the season for the
53:24Patriots. So, uh, it's certainly
53:25a good one, a good one to go to
53:27and the weather is going to be
53:28warm. So it's either this folks,
53:30or you're going to go see the
53:31Colts in December, the chargers
53:33or the bills in late December,
53:35early January. Uh, I would say
53:36go now. Definitely. Now's the
53:39time. Okay. So reply to me with
53:41a bid for two tickets end zone
53:43Sunday, 1 PM. The auction ends
53:44at Saturday at 10 AM. He is the
53:46people's favorite guest. I'm
53:48and of course at the Boston
53:48Herald, leave us a rate review.
53:50If you enjoyed this podcast,
53:51thank you to everyone who watched
53:52live or listened or did whatever
53:53you're going to do. Uh, we will
53:55be back Monday, film Mondays and
53:57then another guest to preview
53:59Pat's dolphins next week. So
54:01then thank you.

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