Super Typhoon “Julian” (international name “Krathon”) left the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Tuesday, Oct. 1, but the State weather bureau said there is still a possibility that it could re-enter on Wednesday, Oct. 2.
As of 11 a.m. on Tuesday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Julian was located 235 kilometers west of Itbayat, Batanes, and is moving slowly westward.
PAGASA said the super typhoon is expected to recurve towards the sea southwest of Taiwan until Wednesday morning, before making landfall over southwestern Taiwan.
READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/10/1/julian-exits-par-but-may-re-enter-on-october-2
As of 11 a.m. on Tuesday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Julian was located 235 kilometers west of Itbayat, Batanes, and is moving slowly westward.
PAGASA said the super typhoon is expected to recurve towards the sea southwest of Taiwan until Wednesday morning, before making landfall over southwestern Taiwan.
READ MORE: https://mb.com.ph/2024/10/1/julian-exits-par-but-may-re-enter-on-october-2
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NewsTranscript
00:00Bagyong Hulyan is still strong and now has a strong wind of 195 kmph near the center
00:10and gustiness of 240 kmph.
00:15And now, earlier at 9 in the morning, it came out of our area of responsibility.
00:22His eyes are outside the PAR, but we expect that this is just a temporary exit
00:29because we're expecting a possible re-entry of Bagyong Hulyan's eyes in our area of responsibility,
00:36most likely tomorrow.
00:38We will explain that in the next slide.
00:41But this is what we are showing now, the satellite imagery.
00:44We can see that although his eyes are outside, his diameter is still extending or expanding.
00:51So now, this storm is still affecting a large part of Northern Luzon.
00:57That's why the extreme northern Luzon and some parts of the northern Luzon are still exposed to strong rains
01:04even though Bagyong Hulyan also has strong winds and gustiness.
01:09And earlier, as of our latest location, we saw this at a distance of 235 kmph,
01:15gustiness of 8 BPM, and his movement is still very gusty and very slow.
01:21Even though this is one of the not-so-good scenarios of this storm because it is slow,
01:26our landmass here in the extreme northern Luzon and some parts of the northern Luzon are exposed to strong rains and strong winds.
01:42In the latest expected track, we can see that earlier at 8 AM, this is still within the boundary of our area of responsibility.
01:50Then by 9 AM earlier, his eyes or the center of his eyes came out of our area of responsibility.
01:57And if his direction does not change and it becomes a track,
02:02it is possible that by tomorrow, it will most likely enter or have a re-entry into our area of responsibility.
02:10And then generally, his movement is already north-eastward until it comes out of our area of responsibility.
02:16But if you will notice, even though his movement is like this,
02:21our issue of the Tropical Cyclone Bulletin is still continuous
02:27because we expect that it will still have an effect on a large part of the northern Luzon in the coming days.
02:36And by the way, we will still continue to monitor the expected updates on this track
02:43because the changes are still possible because this storm is now outside our area of responsibility.
02:55Cognizant of Signal No. 2, it is still high in Batanes, Babuyan Islands, northern portion of Ilocos Norte,
03:02and in the northwestern portion of mainland Cagayan.
03:05Meanwhile, Signal No. 1 is now high in the remaining part of Ilocos Norte,
03:11in Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Apayau, Calinga, Abra, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Maguinsa, Binguet.
03:22Signal No. 1 is in the remaining part of mainland Cagayan, in Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya,
03:29northern portion of Aurora, and in the northern portion of Nueva Ecija.
03:34So mostly, northern Luzon and some parts of central Luzon now have wind signals
03:40because they are the ones affected by this storm.
03:45And this data that we are showing is the highest or 24-hour highest rainfall.
03:53So, it's September 30, so over the past 24 hours, and we saw based on the data,
03:59Basco Batanes recorded 727.8 mm of rainfall.
04:05That's a lot. And so far, it's the highest in history, according to our initial report.
04:12And then, in Lawag City, Ilocos Norte, 481.6 mm.
04:18Calayan, Cagayan, 201.5 mm of rainfall.
04:24Baguio City, 120 mm of rainfall.
04:27While in Sinait, Ilocos Sur, 97.4 mm of rainfall.
04:34The highest I'm saying in history is only in Basco Batanes.
04:39But that's just the initial report.
04:42But what is the purpose of showing this data?
04:45To inform us that because of the strong torrential and intense rains that were experienced
04:52over the past 24 hours, the land is very saturated.
04:57And the landslides are possible.
05:00Our landslides areas are very prone to continue flooding.
05:07Meanwhile, the strong to gale force winds are still possible in Ilocos Region,
05:12Cordillera Administrative Region, northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan,
05:17eastern portion of Isabela, Aurora, Zambales, Bataan, Metro Manila, Calabarzon,
05:24Romblon, and even in Camarines Norte.
05:27By tomorrow, the gust winds are still possible in Ilocos Norte,
05:31Ilocos Sur, Abra, Apayau, Batanes, Baboyan Islands,
05:36the northern and eastern portions of mainland Cagayan,
05:39even in the eastern portion of Isabela.
05:41And by October 3, the gust winds are still possible in Batanes and Baboyan Islands.
05:51As for the rainfall amount, the heavy to intense rainfall,
05:55100 to 200 mm of rainfall is still possible in Batanes, Baboyan Islands, and Ilocos Norte.
06:04So, we still have to be very careful with our countrymen.
06:07We cannot be complacent because the rains are still continuing.
06:11Even the gust winds are still possible in this area.
06:16And the signal number 2 is still higher in this area.
06:23As for moderate to heavy rainfall, 50 to 100 mm of rain is still possible in mainland Cagayan,
06:30Cordillera Administrative Region, and the rest of Ilocos Region.
06:35Tomorrow, heavy to intense rain is still possible in Batanes and Baboyan Islands,
06:40while moderate to heavy rain is still possible in Ilocos Norte and Ilocos Sur.
06:47Then, generally, the forecast rainfall is higher in elevated or mountainous areas.
06:58And under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are possible,
07:02especially in susceptible areas or highly or very susceptible to these hazards
07:08as identified in hazard maps and in areas with considerable rains for the past several days.
07:14Our gale warning is still high in Batanes, Cagayan, along with Baboyan Islands,
07:20Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur.
07:22Therefore, sea vehicles are still not allowed to cross these areas
07:28due to the danger of flooding.
07:44For more UN videos visit www.un.org