MEDI1TV Afrique : Midi infos - 01/07/2024
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00:00Hello and welcome to Medea TV. It's a pleasure to have you back to talk about the news. Here are the headlines.
00:20In France, the National Assembly is leading the first round of legislations.
00:26Back to the issues of these elections in this newspaper.
00:31In Mauritania, after the depletion of more than 90% of the votes,
00:34the outgoing president is in the lead with more than 56% of the votes.
00:38We'll talk about it in a few moments.
00:42We will finally go to Tunisia to understand the reasons for the decline of political parties.
00:46Here are the headlines from Tunisia.
00:52We start this news with this statement from the Ministry of the Royal House, the Protocol and the Chancellery.
00:57Following the announcement of the death of His Royal Highness Princess Lalala Teffa,
01:01that God has mercy on the murderers,
01:03it has been found a misuse of non-authentic photographs and lies on social networks.
01:09Following the announcement of the death of His Royal Highness Princess Lalala Teffa,
01:12the Ministry of the Royal House, the Protocol and the Chancellery
01:15call on all citizens to respect the afferent laws and the mourning of the illustrious royal family.
01:23Here is our special report on the legislative elections in France.
01:27FRENCH NEWS
01:38After the victory of the RN, the time has come for the second round.
01:42Carried by a participation rate of more than 66%,
01:45the RN has elected 39 deputies since the first round,
01:49started by Marine Le Pen in her fiefdom of Pas-de-Calais.
01:52With 27% of the votes, the Nouveau Front Populaire already has 32 elected.
01:57The presidential camp confirms the defeat of the Europeans
02:00and arrives in third position with nearly 20% of the votes.
02:04Some candidates of the ex-majority, although they arrived third,
02:07refuse to withdraw, assuming that they have more votes than the left,
02:11to beat the RN in the second round.
02:14The candidates are still in the race until Tuesday 6 p.m.
02:18to decide whether to stay or not.
02:23After the victory of the RN in the first round,
02:26several meetings took place in France last night.
02:29In Paris, Lyon, Nantes or Lille, the demonstrators built barricades.
02:33The confrontations between protesters and law enforcement quickly degenerated.
02:37The police used tear gas and water cannons
02:40to disperse the demonstrators and dismantle the barricades.
02:43Several people were injured and arrests also took place.
02:47The tense political climate in France in particular
02:50is affected by the controversial positions of the RN
02:53on immigration and Islam, which remain at the center of tensions.
03:00In this context, the leader of France Insoumise,
03:03determined to blockade the far right, Jean-Luc Mélenchon,
03:06announced that the candidates of the Nouveau Front Populaire,
03:09arrived third, will withdraw in case of a triangle.
03:13For the second round, the Nouveau Front Populaire
03:17is present in duel in most cases,
03:22most often against the RN.
03:26It is then possible to vote directly
03:30to give us an absolute majority.
03:34In a number of cases,
03:37triangles are possible,
03:40according to our principles
03:43and to our constant positions
03:46in all previous elections.
03:49Nowhere, we will not allow the RN to win,
03:54and that's why,
03:56in the hypothesis that they would arrive in the lead
03:59while we would only be in third position,
04:02we will withdraw our candidacy.
04:06A rise of the far right, confirmed in France
04:09after these anticipated legislations,
04:12according to Zakaria Boudaha,
04:14professor of international relations.
04:16What emerges from this scrutiny, he says,
04:18in the hexagon, is also the division of the presidential majority.
04:21I propose to listen to him.
04:23Firstly, it is a trend that is confirmed
04:25following the European elections.
04:27We have seen a clear progression of the National Assembly,
04:33which ultimately constituted a kind of political surprise.
04:37But today, well yesterday, June 30,
04:40the trend is confirmed,
04:42or even a little more.
04:44Moreover, we see that there is a crack in the Macronist bloc,
04:48with a regression, if you will,
04:52and finally, it shows that the downward trend is confirmed.
04:57In relation to a popular front,
05:00the new popular front has been revised and corrected.
05:04The idea by Mr. Mélenchon,
05:06who tries to take advantage of the conjuncture
05:09to constitute majorities,
05:11sometimes I would say conjunctural,
05:13maybe we will come back to it,
05:15because there is a certain technicality
05:17in relation to formulas that viewers
05:19must easily understand,
05:21especially what is called the triangular,
05:23that is, alliances that can be led
05:27by a candidate even if he does not have
05:29a general ideological seat,
05:31shared by several parties
05:33who decide to support him.
05:35So, presumably today,
05:37we are in a political turnaround,
05:40in relation to French political life,
05:42but with regional implications,
05:45maybe we will come back to it,
05:47but it is clear that today,
05:49the time of political alternation has sounded,
05:51according to the French,
05:53but we still need a little back,
05:55we need a little modesty,
05:57but also humility
05:59on the intellectual level,
06:01because we need to go back
06:03on the level of sociological analysis,
06:05of political sociology in depth.
06:07It must also be said that there are other ways
06:09that are being counted
06:11in the so-called overseas territories,
06:13and so finally, in a few hours,
06:15maybe we will have exactly clear
06:18the electoral political cartography
06:21of today's France,
06:23of the June 30, 2024 scrutiny.
06:26Obviously, we have to wait for the second round,
06:28soon, on July 7th.
06:30It is now time for political calculations
06:32and alliances,
06:34to potentially reduce the chances
06:36of the National Assembly and its allies in France,
06:38but for Zakaria Bouda,
06:40professor of international relations,
06:42the real issue is that of the presidential election.
06:44I suggest you listen to her.
06:46It will be difficult,
06:48because the scores, we will say,
06:50National Assembly, about 33%,
06:52the Popular Front,
06:54it is at 28-29%,
06:56the presidential majority,
06:58that is to say, a bit of the party,
07:00or the Macronists, if you will,
07:02at 20-21%, but we must not forget
07:04that there are the Republicans,
07:06who still had 9%,
07:08and there, when I say the Republicans,
07:10there is a kind of confusion
07:12in relation to this party,
07:14since its president is always considered
07:16so, even though he left,
07:18not that he left the party,
07:20he decided to put himself in the
07:22National Assembly's shoes.
07:24So, the first scenario,
07:26it is a bit of a blockade,
07:28no party, or not a bit,
07:30will have the absolute majority.
07:32Consequently, it will pose a lot of problems
07:34in terms of majority.
07:36Finally, the question arises,
07:38Mr. President Macron,
07:40what kind of majority will he govern with?
07:42Secondly, I have to believe it,
07:44at this moment, to go back a bit
07:46to the French constitutional text,
07:48and see what it allows
07:50in terms of escapism
07:52or solutions
07:54in relation to fundamental questions.
07:56But, personally,
07:58we are in a deep political
08:00and social transition
08:02at the level of France.
08:04We may have to look beyond
08:06today, or even in 2027,
08:08with the presidential election,
08:10which will access the Elysée,
08:12and subsequently, we can imagine
08:14the scenario of a dissolution
08:16of the national assembly,
08:18of course, with the Senate,
08:20we are talking about the French Parliament,
08:22of new elections.
08:24So, finally, today,
08:26there is the short, the medium,
08:28but there is the long term,
08:30but it is difficult,
08:32all the experts,
08:34French or others,
08:36that today it is difficult
08:38to speak about the political configuration
08:40of July 7th,
08:42but it will be extremely difficult.
08:44It is a moment of reflection,
08:46but a government
08:48that will try to manage
08:50the transition to speak
08:52for the presidential elections
08:54this time.
08:56This is where the issue is fundamental,
08:58that of 2027.
09:00The political scientist Mustapha Schimi
09:02is with us to continue
09:04this decryption of the definitive results
09:06of the first round of anticipated legislative elections
09:08in France. Hello.
09:10Hello.
09:12So, we are on the eve
09:14of the unprecedented score of the far right.
09:16The time is for political negotiations
09:18and the objective of the left
09:20and the presidential majority
09:22is to form a republican front to prevent
09:24the RN from having an absolute majority
09:26in the second round. So, what
09:28reading do you make, Mustapha Schimi,
09:30of this first scenario in the first round
09:32of the legislative elections?
09:34I would like to start by saying
09:36that it is not a political transition
09:38that France knows,
09:40it is a rupture.
09:42President Macron talked about
09:44a dissolution of the convention
09:46out of concern for clarification.
09:48It turns out that
09:50this initiative gave
09:52very contrary results
09:54and it leads to a complexification
09:56of the political situation
09:58in France and a lot of uncertainty.
10:00Among these uncertainties
10:02there are, of course, the results
10:04of the second round,
10:06on Sunday, July 7th,
10:08the difficulty
10:10now, and the question,
10:12is to know if the
10:14assembly movement
10:16will reach
10:18an absolute majority
10:20or not. The absolute majority
10:22being 299 seats
10:24out of
10:26577
10:28that the national assembly counts.
10:30For the moment, the estimates
10:32give it less
10:34than that.
10:36The numbers are between
10:38250 and 280.
10:40So there is a first
10:42concern.
10:44The second concern is to know
10:46what will be the score of the left,
10:48that is to say the new political front.
10:50There too, it is far
10:52from the count with
10:54estimates that give
10:56130 and 150.
10:58Hence this difficulty
11:00that is to form
11:02a majority.
11:04Obviously, we will find ourselves in
11:06difficult situations, because whatever
11:08the majority is, the most
11:10probable hypothesis for the moment
11:12is the national assembly
11:14which arrives
11:16even below 289
11:18seats, at 278
11:20or 275,
11:22it will still be easy
11:24to have the support of a dozen
11:26of deputies. We will
11:28enter at this time in a
11:30cohabitation.
11:32It will be the fourth cohabitation of the
11:34Fifth Republic.
11:36A particular cohabitation
11:38because
11:40the party called
11:42to cohabit with
11:44the President of the Republic
11:46will be a new party,
11:48in any case an alliance of new parties,
11:50will be on one side the national assembly
11:52with allies,
11:54we will see which ones,
11:56notably the group of Ciotti, etc.
11:58On the other side,
12:00a cohabitation with the new Popular Front,
12:02that is to say
12:04the movement
12:06around
12:08the insoumise France of Mélenchon
12:10and the ecologists
12:12and also
12:14the Socialist Party
12:16of the Communist Party.
12:18This is an element of uncertainty
12:20because this total
12:22rupture with the institutional practice
12:24of the Fifth Republic
12:26will lead to
12:28difficulties of
12:30governability.
12:32I mean that
12:34after the results of July 7th
12:36there will be,
12:38I repeat, a cohabitation
12:40except that
12:42it will be manageable,
12:44that there will be an authority that will play
12:46the game of the institutions,
12:48especially that following the Constitution
12:50of 1958, there will be no
12:52possibility of dissolution
12:54for a year,
12:56there will be no dissolution in June 2024,
12:58the possible next
13:00dissolution will take place
13:02only in June 2025,
13:04and so it is a year surrounded
13:06by strong uncertainties
13:08and that will obviously weigh
13:10on the strategies of the actors
13:12and the political situation in France.
13:14So, these French legislatives
13:16are scrutinized closely,
13:18notably throughout Europe.
13:20What impact could the arrival
13:22of the far-right to power have
13:24on the foreign affairs of France?
13:26Obviously,
13:28you are right to note
13:30that the impact will be important
13:32if it is the far-right that is called
13:34to lead this government.
13:36First of all,
13:38internally,
13:40it will be necessary to know
13:42who will be the Foreign Affairs Minister,
13:44who will be the Prime Minister,
13:46we will see, but above all,
13:48as regards the positions
13:50that will be deployed
13:52in France,
13:54who will be the Foreign Affairs Minister,
13:56who will be the Minister of the Armed Forces.
13:58From these two insights,
14:00there will undoubtedly be
14:02a weakening of the foreign policy in France,
14:04especially as regards
14:06the attitude adopted
14:08about the air between Russia and Ukraine,
14:10where we know that the positions
14:12of the National Assembly
14:14are shifted
14:16compared to those of President Macron.
14:18There will also be
14:20questions and afflictions
14:22in other areas,
14:24notably the relations
14:26between a number of countries
14:28in the South,
14:30cooperation with Africa,
14:32how it will happen with the Maghreb
14:34and other issues.
14:36Obviously, the international public
14:38has a lot of concerns
14:40and questions
14:42because there are fundamentals
14:44as regards the foreign policy of France,
14:46despite the Presidents.
14:48There are historical and traditional
14:50axes,
14:52but there are also
14:54afflictions to be foreseen,
14:56and this is an element of questioning.
14:58Finally, the position of France
15:00in this diagram,
15:02with a government
15:04of the National Assembly,
15:06as regards European construction,
15:08we know that this party
15:10has very critical positions
15:12about the European Union
15:14and, as we know,
15:16about sovereignism,
15:18i.e. taking over
15:20a certain number of sovereignty
15:22between the hands of the French State
15:24to reduce
15:26the place and the role of European institutions.
15:28Thank you,
15:30Moustapha Schemi,
15:32for all these details.
15:34I remind you that you are a political scientist.
15:36Thank you.
15:38This concludes this special report
15:40on the legislative elections in France.
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17:40have targeted the city of Gaza in the north, as well as Rafa and Khan Younes in the south.
17:44These tensions also pose a threat to a conflict between Israel and the Lebanese Hezbollah.
17:58In Tunisia, the role of political parties has declined since the takeover of power by Qaysaid.
18:03So how to explain these trends?
18:05Here is an answer with Najwa Bechat.
18:08In Tunisia, there is a huge gap in relations between the Tunisian political class and those in power.
18:15Today, and a few months before the presidential elections, special organizations in electoral affairs
18:22claim that political parties, which are in principle the guarantors of diversity and political alternation,
18:28shine in Tunisia through their absence.
18:32The absence of political parties will certainly have a significant impact on the participation rates in the next elections.
18:40All the more so since it is the parties that mobilize, push the citizens towards the ballot box and carry out the vote.
18:48This is why the absence of parties today has created a great void,
18:53whether in terms of presidential elections or in terms of the discussion of decrees and laws.
19:02On the other hand, political analysts say that the problem of the political class
19:07is the black decade that has made it lose its credibility.
19:16The absurdity of the parties over the last decade is the reason that led them to this stage
19:22and to this situation.
19:24No party has proceeded to a process of self-criticism or revision.
19:29No law prevents the people from supporting the parties.
19:34But today there is a gap between the Tunisian people and the parties,
19:39in historical rupture with them.
19:42There are more than 220 political parties in Tunisia,
19:46but it would be difficult for anyone to name more than a dozen parties,
19:51most of which were created by adventurers after the revolution,
19:56taking advantage of the climate, freedom and revolutionary credulity.
20:01But almost all of the parties that exist today are the parties that already existed before the revolution
20:08or that emerged after the takeover of power by Kayser Said on July 25, 2021.
20:15They owe their notoriety to their media presence.
20:20On the ground, they feel non-existent.
20:25In Burkina Faso, more than 150 terrorists were recently killed in an operation
20:30carried out by the army in the east of the country.
20:32The Burkina Faso intelligence agency reported that on Tuesday,
20:36hundreds of terrorists attempted attacks in the Yamba locality.
20:40And since 2015, insecurity in this West African country has cost the lives of many people
20:46and caused thousands of people to be displaced.
20:54And to come back to the recent operations carried out by the Burkina Faso army,
20:58we are live with the Burkina Faso analyst Honoré Sawadogo from Ouagadougou.
21:03Hello.
21:05Hello Madam.
21:07The Burkina Faso army killed more than 150 terrorists in the east of the country.
21:11These recent operations carried out by the army began more than a week ago
21:15and are followed by other operations.
21:17What is the reason for this intensification of the offensive by the Burkina Faso army?
21:36The Burkina Faso army is attacking terrorist positions in the east and also in the Sahel
21:46and a little bit everywhere in the national territory.
21:52According to the IAEA, the number 20 BIR, which was advancing towards Gayiri,
22:06was attacked by terrorists on the 25th.
22:12So, operations, ground and aerial, carried out by the army,
22:18gave this result cited by the IAEA.
22:24So, this is not the first time that the army has shown its ability to neutralize terrorists
22:31and to face this scourge.
22:33What can we do about the global security situation in Burkina Faso?
22:39Globally, the security situation is still difficult.
22:44It is even worrying, despite the determination of the army
22:52and the volunteers for the defense of the country.
22:57On the 11th of June, a position of the army was attacked in Mansila
23:07and a reprisal operation was organized on the 24th of June
23:15which allowed to close the circle around this position of the army.
23:23So, the global situation, we can call it...
23:27Worrying.
23:31And to face this scourge, Burkina Faso can count on its allies
23:36and its neighboring countries in particular?
23:39Yes, within the framework of the IAEA, the Sahel States Alliance,
23:47there is a mutualization of efforts.
23:51But we have to note that before this regime, the MPSR-2,
23:58there were often joint operations at the borders of Mali and Niger.
24:08You know that since 2015, the attacks have been localized
24:16only at the border with Mali, especially in the Gibo region.
24:21And progressively, it has spread almost all over the territory of Burkina Faso.
24:28Now, for these last operations in Mansila and Yamba,
24:37from official sources, we don't know if there has been a mutualization of efforts
24:45with the Nigerian or Malian armies.
24:49We would be able to affirm it today.
24:53Well, thank you, Honoré Sawadogo, for these details.
24:57I remind you that you are an analyst from Burkina Faso,
24:59and that you have been with us since Ouagadougou.
25:03This is the end of this newscast.
25:05Thank you for following it, but stay with us.
25:07The information continues on Mediain TV.