Can Patriots UPSET Chiefs? + Week 15 NFL Picks | Powered by FanDuel Sportsbook - video Dailymotion

CLNS Media Sports Network

Prepare for an in-depth analysis of the Week 15 betting scene with our distinguished hosts, Taylor Kyles from CLNS Media and Mike Kadlick of WEEI.  In this wagering segment powered by FanDuel, Taylor and Mike will delve into the FanDuel Sportsbook odds for the match-up between the New England Patriots and the Kansas City Chiefs as well as other AFC East clashes.  SeatGeek! Use code DREAMERSPRO for $20 off your first SeatGeek order! Visit SeatGeek.com and use code DREAMERSPRO when you checkout! With NFL, NBA and NHL seasons in full swing and the NBA starting soon, you don’t want to miss out - SeatGeek has your tickets to every game!  FanDuel Sportsbook, the exclusive wagering parter of the CLNS Media NetworkRight now, NEW customers get ONE HUNDRED AND FIFTY DOLLARS in BONUS BETS with any winning FIVE DOLLAR MONEYLINE BET! So, visit https://FanDuel.com/BOSTON and kick off the NFL season. FanDuel, Official Partner of the NFL. 21+ and present in MA. Hope is here. First online real money wager only. $5 pregame moneyline wager required. First onlinereal money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as nonwithdrawable bonus bets that expire 7 days after receipt. See terms at sportsbook.fanduel.com. GamblingHelpLineMa.org or call (800)-327-5050 for 24/7 support. Play it smart from the start! GameSenseMA.com or call 1-800-GAM-1234. #patriotspresspass #clns #patriots

Transcript

00:00 All right, welcome back into Patriots Press Pass,

00:02 week 15 of the NFL.

00:05 It is myself, Mike Cadillac from WEI

00:07 with CLNS Media's Taylor Kyles,

00:09 as well as his cat, if you can't already see their tail,

00:13 poking up into the frame.

00:14 We have some fun.

00:15 We're having some pet fun today here on Press Pass.

00:18 As we get into, like I said, week 15 of the NFL

00:21 from the betting angle, as you know,

00:23 this segment is powered by and sponsored by FanDuel.

00:27 Go to fanduel.com/boston, and you get all your bonus bets

00:31 over there if you haven't signed up yet.

00:33 I know sports betting's been here for,

00:35 coming up on a year in Massachusetts,

00:37 but if you haven't signed up yet.

00:39 Yeah, coming up in March, I think.

00:40 So, fanduel.com/boston,

00:42 if you haven't got in on the action yet,

00:44 it'll give you a bunch of bonus bets over there.

00:46 So make sure you check it out and sign up through our link.

00:48 We're gonna go around the NFL like we always do.

00:52 We're gonna start with the Patriots,

00:53 who, Taylor, coming off a win last week

00:56 in Bailey Zappi's second start of the season.

00:58 They welcome in Pat Mahomes, Travis Kelsey, Taylor Swift,

01:03 to Foxborough this weekend,

01:04 and our eight and a half point underdogs at FanDuel.

01:08 The total is 37.

01:10 We've been down there all week,

01:12 checking out the vibes, watching some practice.

01:14 Chiefs coming off two losses, Patriots coming off the win.

01:19 What do you make of the matchup?

01:20 Do they have a chance?

01:21 Can they win their second in a row?

01:23 Can they catch the Chiefs, an off Chiefs team, I guess,

01:27 heading into the latter half or latter portion of the season,

01:29 or do the Chiefs, who are the Super Bowl champions,

01:32 continue to roll?

01:33 What do you make of the matchup?

01:35 - Yeah, man, I think that this is gonna be way too close.

01:39 'Cause one, you got the Patriots, obviously.

01:41 They have like the first half surge.

01:43 You're hoping, if you're on Team Tank,

01:44 that we're gonna see more of the second half

01:46 of what we saw than the first.

01:49 But one, the Chiefs' run defense

01:50 has not been good all season.

01:52 It's really the kind of scheme

01:53 where they try to take away the pass.

01:56 And if you wanna run,

01:56 they're just gonna wait until you get a negative play,

01:59 then they'll capitalize on that.

02:00 But I also think that the Chiefs' offense

02:03 just isn't in a place where you're scared

02:05 every time they touch the ball.

02:06 You're scared of Mahomes,

02:08 but you're not scared of his wide receivers.

02:09 You're scared of Kelsey.

02:11 But this isn't like the other matchups,

02:12 where first of all, Belichick plays Mahomes very well.

02:15 I love throwing out this stat any time they play.

02:18 Bill Belichick has shut Mahomes out.

02:20 Like, they've scored some rushing touchdowns,

02:21 but Patrick Mahomes has not thrown a touchdown

02:23 in one half of every game he's played against Belichick,

02:27 which is huge.

02:28 And I saw, I think Andrew Callahan even mentioned

02:30 that they allowed fewer points against Mahomes

02:32 every time they played.

02:33 So Belichick plays him very, very well.

02:34 - That's wild.

02:35 Yeah, he's getting better against him, which is insane.

02:36 Right.

02:37 - It's like the opposite of Josh Allen,

02:38 where Josh Allen just keeps getting better,

02:40 except for that last game.

02:42 But yeah, he's kind of,

02:43 that doesn't have Mahomes' number necessarily,

02:45 but they're two and two, so it's competitive.

02:46 And usually you have to worry about

02:49 Tyree Kill and Travis Kelsey.

02:50 That's usually been the big bugaboo.

02:52 And that's dictated a lot of their coverages

02:54 where they beat up Kelsey,

02:55 but they dedicate a lot of safety help

02:57 to making sure Tyree doesn't beat them.

02:59 So this is the first time we're going to see a Chiefs

03:01 in Mahomes' offense,

03:02 where Travis Kelsey is the only

03:04 really scary receiving threat.

03:06 I think it's going to be mostly Jalen Mills on him.

03:09 And we've seen Jalen Mills had trouble against Mesh,

03:12 where you have the two shallow crossers

03:14 trying to pick a guy off.

03:16 That's one where he had trouble against the Raiders

03:18 and the Chiefs, that's one of their main concepts.

03:20 And then against the scramble plays.

03:22 We saw against the Colts before the bye week,

03:25 there were three plays where Jalen Mills

03:27 kind of lost his guy on scramble drills.

03:29 And if that's Travis Kelsey,

03:30 that could end real bad for you with Mahomes.

03:32 So I think this is going to be a close game.

03:35 I think, what did it go down from like 10,

03:37 they were 10 point favorites,

03:38 now it's eight or something like that?

03:41 - It opened up at 10 and a half,

03:42 now it's eight and a half.

03:43 So Pats have gotten a couple of points

03:45 over the last few days, so.

03:46 - Yeah, so I think this one's going to be close.

03:48 I would take the Patriots honestly, I'd take the eight points

03:52 'cause I think that this defense is going to hold it

03:54 to like not a touchdown plus game.

03:57 That would be a little out of pocket, I think.

04:00 Then again, like maybe the Chiefs receivers

04:02 finally figure it out and turn it on.

04:03 I hope so, I hope they lose

04:05 because they have nothing to play for

04:06 but pride at this point.

04:07 And I told you I've had nightmares.

04:09 - And we want Drake May, yes.

04:11 - Like I've had nightmares

04:12 about them falling out of the top five.

04:14 So yeah, let's hope for a loss,

04:15 but realistically I do think this is going to be

04:17 a competitive one.

04:19 - Yeah, I've gone back and forth as far as the number.

04:21 Like, you mentioned it,

04:23 they've gone from 10 and a half point favorites

04:25 to the Chiefs to eight and a half.

04:26 I just think, we're high on Zappi,

04:29 we're high on how the offense looked

04:31 in that first half of the Steelers game.

04:32 And rightfully so, they did enough to win the football game

04:35 and he looked pretty good.

04:35 But at the end of the day,

04:37 it was like three or maybe four drives

04:39 where they put it together.

04:40 And other than that,

04:41 they went scoreless in the second half in Pittsburgh.

04:44 Zappi did make a mistake that turned into an almost pick six.

04:47 So like, yeah, he looked pretty good,

04:49 but can they really do it again against the Chiefs defense,

04:51 which is one of the better units in football.

04:53 So I don't think so.

04:55 I look at the number and I still think

04:57 the Chiefs can probably win this one by 10.

04:59 Like, yeah, it's not the Chiefs teams of before

05:01 where they're scoring 35 points a game.

05:02 But if they put up 24,

05:05 are the Patriots really going to score 21 again?

05:07 Like, I don't think so.

05:09 I look at and think about-

05:10 - Who on the Chiefs,

05:11 who on the Chiefs is scoring three touchdowns?

05:13 - Kelsey, I guess.

05:16 - I mean, you think the Patriots

05:17 always playing well too.

05:18 That's the thing.

05:20 They're not going to let it take the game over.

05:22 - I look at like Rasheed Rice too,

05:24 who's been pretty good.

05:24 I know he's a rookie

05:25 and Belichick will probably have an answer for him.

05:27 So I think it'll be close-ish.

05:31 I think it'll be low scoring.

05:32 I think I like under 37 or close to that.

05:35 Like, I don't think it's going to be terribly high scoring,

05:38 but at the end of the day,

05:39 if, you know, even if Butker puts in three field goals

05:42 or something and they hold Mahomes,

05:43 but they still get in range,

05:45 I think I'm still going to take the Chiefs at the point.

05:47 So I like the Chiefs minus eight and a half here.

05:49 I just, I don't know how much I trust that Patriots offense,

05:52 even after having a decent showing last week.

05:54 So that's the thought on Pat's Chiefs.

05:57 Let's move on, sticking in the AFC East.

06:00 We have the Jets versus the Dolphins.

06:02 The Dolphins are at home

06:04 and they are nine and a half point favorites.

06:07 The total in this one is, I want to say,

06:10 I just had it up and now I lost it.

06:11 The total is 37 and a half.

06:15 It's pretty low for a Dolphins game.

06:17 I thought I had a typo.

06:18 - And Zach Wilson, the forthcoming of Zach Wilson.

06:22 - Exactly, the AFC player of the week last week,

06:25 Zach Wilson.

06:26 The reason I went back to my FanDuel app

06:27 is because I had it written down on my sheet

06:29 and I thought it was a typo

06:30 because I thought 37 and a half was way too low.

06:32 But that is the case here.

06:35 So in Miami, Dolphins could put up 45 on their own.

06:39 They had quite the interesting game last week

06:42 where they kind of, it looked like they put it away

06:44 and then all of a sudden Will Levis and DeAndre Hopkins

06:46 and those guys came back and won the football game.

06:48 So Dolphins coming off a loss,

06:50 Jets coming off a big win,

06:51 where like I just mentioned,

06:52 Zach Wilson had his, like you said,

06:55 forthcoming AFC player of the week.

06:57 But nine and a half point favorites in the Dolphins,

07:00 37 and a half total.

07:02 What do you make of this matchup?

07:03 Did the Dolphins get the win?

07:04 Did the Jets keep rolling?

07:05 What do you think?

07:06 - Yeah, I wanna, you know, I'm trying,

07:08 I like to manifest on this show mostly.

07:10 I feel like a lot of my pictures,

07:11 things I want to happen.

07:12 And I'd like to say Zach Wilson's gonna keep it going,

07:15 but like this is, this big Fangio defense

07:17 is really finding its groove.

07:19 And obviously Jaylen Ramsey comes back.

07:21 That's a pretty big part of it

07:22 because he was a huge piece for you

07:23 and the familiarity with that system.

07:25 So yeah, I,

07:28 the Jets do have a pretty good defense,

07:31 but it's also, you wonder how their run defense

07:34 is gonna hold up this late in the season

07:35 against a really formidable Dolphins.

07:38 But then again, they lost so many offensive linemen too.

07:41 Oh man, this is tough.

07:42 I'll say this one is gonna be lower scoring.

07:47 I'll take the under in this one.

07:49 Just because it's really the Dolphins offensive line

07:51 that scares me.

07:52 It's like, I just remembered that.

07:53 And that's like, they really,

07:55 and that was a huge reason they gave up the game.

07:57 The two, as fast as his release is,

07:59 it's pretty tough when at times

08:01 you're allowing like instant pressure.

08:02 But again, you can't rely on the ground game,

08:04 which has been so good for them.

08:05 So I think they win, but what was the spread again?

08:09 - Eight and a half.

08:10 - Eight and a half.

08:12 I think they can cover that.

08:16 I'll take that, but I do think the point total

08:18 is gonna be lower than what we think.

08:20 - Oh, I'm sorry.

08:21 Nine and a half.

08:22 - Oh, nine and a half.

08:23 Oh, jeez, yeah.

08:23 I think they can win by 10.

08:26 - They still cover.

08:27 - So sure, yeah, yeah.

08:27 - Okay.

08:29 All right.

08:29 Yeah, I think the Dolphins come back in this one.

08:31 They're playing at home.

08:33 They like playing down in Miami.

08:34 They play better track meet football

08:36 down there at Miami Garden.

08:37 So I'm not gonna fall for the Zach Wilson juice

08:40 from last week.

08:41 I like him.

08:42 I think he's, you know, when he's good, he's fun to watch.

08:44 It kind of gives throwback vibes to him playing at BYU.

08:48 But at the end of the day,

08:48 the Dolphins are playing for more right now.

08:50 They're playing for seating.

08:51 Jets aren't playing for much besides the fact

08:53 that Aaron Rodgers could get cleared next week,

08:55 which I still find that incredibly hard to believe.

08:58 So I like the Dolphins minus, yeah,

09:01 Dolphins minus nine and a half.

09:03 And I like the over.

09:03 I think 37 and a half is way too low.

09:05 I'll probably be wrong there because, you know,

09:08 that's what happens to us on this show, but.

09:10 - Yeah.

09:11 - 37 and a half. - One of us is gonna be wrong.

09:12 - Yeah, exactly.

09:13 Yeah, we're picking opposite here.

09:15 So I like the over, Taylor likes the under,

09:17 and that's our picks for this AFC East matchup.

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10:15 Let's head, we're gonna stay in the AFC.

10:17 We're gonna go to the AFC South this time.

10:19 Just mentioned the Titans,

10:20 their comeback win against the Dolphins last week.

10:23 They are now headed to Houston to take on the Texans.

10:27 Oh, I'm sorry.

10:28 The Texans are going to Tennessee.

10:29 I'm sorry.

10:30 So they come back against the Dolphins.

10:31 Then they get to go home.

10:32 They welcome in the Texans who are also probably,

10:35 according to reports,

10:36 gonna be missing their starting star quarterback

10:39 in rookie CJ Stroud this week.

10:41 It sounds like Houston's getting Davis Mills ready to roll

10:43 as Stroud left last week's game with,

10:45 I believe what was a concussion.

10:47 So he's, yeah, so he's gonna be down and out.

10:50 He's been a stud.

10:51 He crept into not only the,

10:53 he's obviously the runaway rookie of the year,

10:55 but he crept into the MVP conversation

10:57 for a little while there as well.

10:59 Him and Bobby Slowick really have that offense going.

11:02 Titans, like I mentioned, comeback last week.

11:05 Sounds like Vrabel's not too happy there.

11:07 So that's, in my opinion,

11:09 gotta keep an eye on as this Patriots season

11:11 comes to a close.

11:12 I don't know if they're gonna try and swindle him

11:14 out of Nashville, but still games to play.

11:17 Titans are favorites with Davis Mills playing for Houston,

11:19 minus three, according to FanDuel,

11:21 another 37 and a half point total.

11:24 So Taylor, what do you make of this one?

11:26 Do Will Levis and the Titans continue to roll

11:29 after their comeback,

11:29 or does Davis Mills get stuff going

11:32 with Houston this week in Nashville?

11:34 - I'm buying stock in the Titans, man.

11:36 Like Will Levis, we said it last week.

11:38 Like he's a crazy person.

11:40 And you saw it when he had that last touchdown,

11:42 he goes to the sideline and I was like,

11:44 whoa, fired up Davis, or Will.

11:47 - Will Levis.

11:48 - Will Levis, fired up Will Levis is kind of scary.

11:51 But yeah, I'll go with the Titans.

11:54 That's the scary part.

11:56 Where like he gets excited and you see all the veins

11:58 and it's like, ah, ah, ah.

12:00 He's like, chest bumps the guy.

12:03 But yeah, I'll go with them.

12:04 Points, points, points.

12:07 Really, I think you said it a few weeks ago,

12:09 where as Patriots fans, we are just traumatized

12:11 at this point and we don't expect other teams can score.

12:14 That's really how I feel.

12:15 I'm like, oh, how do you do that?

12:17 - 37 points in a football game?

12:19 What the hell does that even mean?

12:21 - Yeah, man, we're down bad.

12:24 But yeah, I'll say, I'll go with the under

12:26 in this one as well.

12:27 Like I don't think it's gonna be fireworks necessarily.

12:29 Wasn't even fireworks against the Dolphins.

12:31 So yeah, modest, modest score.

12:33 - Yeah, I agree, modest score.

12:35 I'll go under 37 and a half as well.

12:37 I think I like the Titans too.

12:38 I think I like what they have.

12:39 I think Vrabel, as I mentioned before,

12:41 is a guy who people wanna continue to play for,

12:44 despite, like I saw there was a,

12:48 I don't think it was a mic'd up, but you read his lips.

12:50 And like, he was just, he was in the face

12:52 of his kicker Turner who like mopped the punt.

12:54 He was like trying to make excuses.

12:55 Like we don't effing care.

12:56 Like, I don't know.

12:57 I just, I like his fire.

12:59 I think people gravitate towards it down there.

13:01 And so I think they keep winning.

13:03 'Cause I don't trust, as much as I liked Davis Mills

13:06 for a while as sort of the Deshaun Watson

13:08 fill in down there, they're gonna certainly miss a beat

13:11 without CJ Stroud.

13:12 So I like the under, I like the Titans minus three.

13:15 Another AFC East game with the Cowboys heading

13:19 to Buffalo to take on the Bills.

13:21 This game, this one's gonna be fun.

13:23 This is gonna be a fun game.

13:25 - This game is gonna be the one that like gets Dak

13:28 the legitimate MVP of the talk.

13:30 Because I think it's already getting,

13:31 like it's getting generated,

13:33 but I feel like people still think that Dak isn't that dude.

13:36 When we've seen throughout his career

13:38 that he has these stretches of like,

13:39 you can't really stop him.

13:41 If he's locked in and he's not like,

13:43 his receivers are actually catching passes.

13:45 Like last year, all the interceptions during the year,

13:47 we're like, yeah, but he's getting tipped.

13:49 Like I watched all of his interceptions last year.

13:51 Most of them weren't on him.

13:53 Like there's some where you're like, maybe,

13:55 but I mean, yeah, he's bowing right now.

13:57 And especially with Josh Yowin on that stage,

13:59 if he wins, I really do think that it's gonna be like,

14:02 okay, yeah, you gotta start taking Dak seriously.

14:05 Not, you know, calling him a game manager or whatever.

14:07 I know it's not always an insult, but like he's a baller.

14:10 He's a game changer.

14:11 - Yeah, I'm completely with you.

14:13 I think he's the favorite to win MVP right now at Fandle.

14:16 It's him and Brock Purdy.

14:17 But if you wanna get some value in it,

14:20 I know, but Purdy's an insane one too.

14:22 But if you want some value on Dak,

14:23 like Taylor mentioned, if he wins and goes into Buffalo

14:26 and wins this one this week,

14:27 his numbers only gonna get shorter.

14:28 So if you think you can win MVP,

14:31 go take him now over at Fandle.

14:32 But they are underdogs in Buffalo.

14:35 Bills are one and a half point favorites,

14:37 a high total of 50 and a half,

14:39 both high flying offenses.

14:42 Bills had a little bit of a downtick

14:44 before they fired Ken Dorsey,

14:46 but now they've kind of rolled back in here with Joe Brady.

14:48 They win last week controversially, I guess, in Kansas City,

14:51 even though it wasn't really a controversy

14:53 because Kedarious Tony was offside.

14:55 We can talk about that.

14:56 That's another conversation for another day.

14:59 You mentioned it, Taylor.

15:00 Dak can get himself to be the MVP of the league

15:03 with a win in Buffalo.

15:04 So does he ultimately do that this weekend

15:07 at Highmark Stadium?

15:09 - I think so, 'cause I think the Cowboys are just a really,

15:11 and I think that's something

15:12 that people also take away from Dak,

15:14 is like you think of the defense.

15:15 It's like, sure, you think of the defense,

15:16 but also think of their offense.

15:18 Like it's all him.

15:19 If there's CD, obviously CD's a monster,

15:21 but every great quarterback has-

15:22 - Brandon Cooks always plays well too, everywhere he goes.

15:25 I love that guy. - But all these good

15:26 passing offenses have like a couple of those guys.

15:28 Brandon Cooks is a mortal pretty much,

15:30 and he's finally, now that he's healthy

15:32 and he's catching fire.

15:34 So yeah, I think that they're just so well-rounded.

15:36 I don't think the Bills have that to the same degree,

15:40 especially like in the trenches.

15:41 I think the Bills have a solid offensive line,

15:43 but like this is a bunch of game records for the Cowboys.

15:47 So I think they pull this one off,

15:49 and I think it's high scoring.

15:51 I think this is gonna be a game

15:52 where we see like two or three punts.

15:54 - Yeah, I think so too.

15:55 Last week, the Cowboys-Eagles game,

15:58 I bet the over in that one,

16:00 and it looked like it was gonna go,

16:01 and then it didn't because the Eagles just fell off,

16:03 and they didn't get the points for me.

16:05 But this week with Cowboys and Bills now,

16:09 with the Bills rolling on offense as well,

16:11 I like the over 50 and a half here.

16:13 And I think I'm with you.

16:14 I like the Cowboys.

16:15 I like what that team's doing.

16:16 I don't know if, they're weird,

16:18 and they, they'll shut themselves off in the playoffs,

16:21 probably like they always do.

16:22 But regular season Dak, regular season Mike McCarthy,

16:25 the way they're playing right now

16:26 with sort of that chip on their shoulder,

16:28 even though they're one of the best teams in the NFC,

16:31 I like them as underdogs in this one.

16:33 So Cowboys plus one and a half.

16:35 And me and Taylor both like the over 50 and a half.

16:38 We're gonna get into the last two games here,

16:41 Sunday night football and Monday night football.

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18:00 and Monday night football games,

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18:03 go DREAMERSPRO, give us some love there over at SeatGeek.

18:08 But interesting ticketing market thing from this week.

18:11 You can get into the Panthers game on Sunday for 45 cents.

18:16 45 freaking cents for that game.

18:18 Like, I don't know how, look, the Panthers stink

18:21 and they're not that fun to watch.

18:22 But if I was in Carolina and I had nothing to do on Sunday

18:25 and I needed to pay two freaking quarters

18:27 to get into that football game,

18:28 why the heck wouldn't you go?

18:30 - It's funny.

18:30 Literally you hand them two quarters

18:32 and they go, "Sir, this is too much."

18:34 (laughing)

18:35 - Yeah, they have to find change for two quarters.

18:38 So it's insane.

18:39 But I could do it.

18:40 - Do football stadiums have nickels?

18:41 Like, why?

18:42 - I don't know, literally.

18:43 Yeah, right.

18:44 - I would just make it free at that point

18:46 if I was a billionaire.

18:47 Like, it's way more embarrassing.

18:49 - Right.

18:50 - Just, at least you look good.

18:51 Right, like that's just wild.

18:53 - It's insane.

18:54 But anyway, moving on, Sunday night football.

18:57 Ravens at Jaguars.

18:58 Ravens minus three and a half.

19:01 42 and a half point total in this one.

19:03 The Jaguars, I love the Jaguars.

19:06 I love Trevor Lawrence.

19:07 I think we've talked about him on this show.

19:08 I don't think, I think he doesn't get as much love

19:11 as he really should.

19:12 Everyone tries to compare his numbers to Mac Jones's.

19:15 Like, they've had the same start to their careers.

19:17 Like, no, they haven't.

19:18 Sorry, just haven't done it.

19:20 - It's so different.

19:21 - And they're gonna make the playoffs

19:22 and they're, you know, a sneaky contender in the AFC

19:25 because they have a guy who can do just about everything

19:29 from the quarterback position.

19:30 On the other side of the football this weekend,

19:31 the Ravens, they add a quarterback to their room this week

19:34 with Malik Cunningham, former Patriot.

19:37 Malik Cunningham signed to their active roster this week.

19:39 I saw a pretty, pretty cool photo the Ravens posted

19:43 of Lamar and Malik at practice.

19:45 Malik rocking number 12 over there.

19:47 Kind of looks like, kind of looks like a baller,

19:49 not gonna lie.

19:50 A little Louisville reunion for them.

19:53 But they come into this one as underdogs.

19:55 Three and a half point dogs.

19:57 Like I said, 42 and a half points is the total at FanDuel.

20:01 Ravens at Jaguars, Taylor, a AFC East matchup

20:04 that has a lot of playoff implications in it.

20:06 What do you make of it?

20:07 Who wins it with the Jags at home on Sunday Night Football?

20:10 - I feel like I keep seeing the Jags defense get embarrassed

20:15 and just like not hold up very well.

20:17 And I don't think that's gonna change against the Ravens.

20:19 And then the Jaguars offense, like Trevor Lawrence is great,

20:22 but it always feels like there's something

20:23 holding them back, whether it's like the receivers

20:26 not doing enough, kind of like a Patrick Mahomes situation

20:29 or even Calvin Ridley.

20:30 Like sometimes I don't really know if they're

20:32 on the same page and he has his drop problem a little bit.

20:36 Usually you don't really care about drops

20:37 with great receivers because they give you more

20:39 than what their drops are, but he also has some big ones.

20:43 So I think I'm gonna take the Ravens just because I believe

20:47 in the Jaguars keeping competitive.

20:49 I think it'll be a relatively close game,

20:51 but I don't see the Jaguars pulling one out against them

20:55 while we're on the team like the Ravens.

20:56 - I am every week falling more and more in love

21:00 with this Ravens team and just how Lamar Jackson plays

21:03 and that offense clicks and goes and their defense is nasty.

21:06 And even without Mark Andrews, Isaiah likely playing well too

21:09 like I just, I really do.

21:12 Isaiah Flowers has been awesome for them as well lately.

21:14 Like I just, they're clicking at the right time.

21:17 And you're right, I mean, I don't think it's Lawrence's

21:19 fault, but even he's hurt.

21:20 So like they're a little down and out.

21:23 I still think they're gonna ultimately win the AFC South

21:25 and like, you know, that's all gonna play out

21:28 and they're gonna get a good seating and everything.

21:29 But yeah, I think I'm with you.

21:31 I think I gotta take the Ravens in this one.

21:33 And I like the over 42 and a half.

21:35 I think both offenses will sneaky score in this one.

21:38 So I think, yeah, Lamar gets going.

21:41 Lawrence with another week of sort of rehabbing his ankle

21:44 might get their offense going a little bit too.

21:46 But I think the Ravens ultimately get this one,

21:49 get this one done in Jacksonville this week.

21:51 So finally, Monday night football,

21:54 a slot with the Patriots where the Patriots

21:56 were supposed to play, but they got flexed out

21:59 for the Philadelphia Eagles taking on the Seattle Seahawks.

22:03 I think if the NFL could take it back,

22:05 they would probably have kept the Patriots and Chiefs

22:08 now that they kind of look at this one.

22:09 I think Patriots coming off a win,

22:12 Chiefs coming off of the controversy

22:15 and Mahomes and Reed flipping out, what have you.

22:17 Taylor Swift being in the building

22:19 versus an Eagles team that's lost two straight

22:21 and the Seahawks team that's fallen off

22:23 over the last month and a half.

22:24 I don't know.

22:24 I still think that Chiefs would put butts in seats

22:29 and put eyeballs on TV screens,

22:30 but I'm not an ESPN executive

22:33 and I don't make the decisions on the flex.

22:35 So we got to talk about Eagles versus Seahawks.

22:37 Eagles are three point favorites on the road.

22:39 The total is 47 and a half points.

22:41 Like I mentioned, Phillies lost two straight.

22:44 I think the Seahawks won last week,

22:46 but they've overall, I think they've lost

22:48 like three or four or four or five.

22:49 So they've fallen off a little bit.

22:51 Two birds on Monday Night Football.

22:53 Which one ekes it out in the end, Taylor?

22:55 - I'm gonna go with the Seahawks

22:58 just 'cause I know the Eagles defense has been really rough.

23:02 And just the firepower that the Seahawks have.

23:05 Obviously these are two pretty high power teams offensively,

23:07 but also Jalen Hurts is injured.

23:09 Their offensive line isn't quite as good as it usually is.

23:12 So these are teams I haven't followed their decline

23:15 super, super closely.

23:17 So I don't want to start getting

23:18 into like weird speculation territory.

23:20 - Sure.

23:21 - But I'll give this one to the Seahawks

23:23 since they do have a little more momentum.

23:25 Yeah, I'll go with them.

23:27 I'll go with them.

23:28 It's really the Eagles are going through it right now.

23:30 - Yeah, that's kind of why I think

23:32 I got to take the Eagles here.

23:33 I think they know that they're going through it.

23:35 I think they need to go get a win.

23:37 They can't afford to lose a third straight game

23:39 after they come in this season.

23:42 NFC defending champions and rolling at the beginning.

23:45 Like they need to get a win under their belt

23:47 and I think they know it.

23:48 So that's why I'm going to go Eagles minus three.

23:51 And I think I liked the over 47 and a half too.

23:53 You mentioned high powered offenses,

23:55 even with the Seahawks kind of falling off a little bit,

23:58 they're still scoring points.

24:00 And I just think the Eagles last week

24:02 couldn't find the end zone,

24:03 but that's going to change this week in Seattle.

24:06 So I'm going to take the over 47 and a half

24:08 and I'm going to take the Eagles minus three.

24:10 That's going to do it for myself.

24:11 And Taylor Kiles from Cionis Media here.

24:13 Make sure you follow him on Twitter @tkiles39

24:17 for all of his Patriots analysis.

24:18 You can check out all of his work

24:20 at cionismedia.com as well.

24:22 You can do the same for me @mikecadillac on Twitter,

24:24 weei.com for all your latest Patriots coverage.

24:28 Make sure you go to fandal.com/boston.

24:30 If you haven't already signed up

24:31 for sports betting in Massachusetts,

24:33 they'll give you $150 in bonus bets

24:35 and subscribe to Patriots PressFest on YouTube

24:38 to get all of our video content here.

24:41 Me and Taylor every week, him on Pat's Daily,

24:43 Pat the Beat, Andrew Callahan's Pat's Interference,

24:46 Greg Bedard podcast.

24:47 It's all here on Patriots PressFest.

24:48 So make sure you rate, review, subscribe

24:50 on the YouTube channel.

24:51 And thanks for watching.

24:52 And we will see you next week

24:53 for week 16 picks across the NFL.

24:56 (upbeat music)

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