14 Day Outlook presented by Alex Deakin
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00:00Hello. This is the first 14-day outlook since the equinox. This time of year, well, it's
00:06often hard to predict much beyond about five or six days. But we'll have a look at some
00:11of the flavors in the weather into next week. Certainly, in the shorter term, we've got
00:15this dip in the jet stream and low pressure heading northward. So quite a big change through
00:20the weekend. Low pressure systems bringing much more cloud and some rain. It's been a
00:24very dry March so far, but we are going to see some wet weather through the weekend.
00:29Into the early part of next week, that low tends to disappear. The jet is trying to
00:33pick up more from the west. And we've got a ridge of high pressure sitting over us for
00:38Wednesday with low pressure sitting in next. And then behind that, a repeat of that weather
00:43pattern with ridge and low pressure. So we're likely to see things changing a bit day by
00:48day through the second half of next week. Fine weather one day, maybe some low pressure
00:53and weather fronts toppling in the next. This is the most likely weather pattern for Wednesday
00:58next week. Look at that percentage chance of 72%. So very high probability that we'll
01:04see this high pressure ridging in the south. We've got weather fronts and potentially some
01:08gusty winds further north and temperatures close to or slightly above average. That is
01:12also the most likely weather pattern as we head into Thursday. But notice how that chance
01:16has dropped down to 30%. Still quite a strong signal, however. But I think we'll see a weather
01:22front coming in from those low pressure systems at some point during Wednesday and Thursday.
01:28Weakening as it does so, but likely to bring some showery rain at some point across northern
01:32and western areas, whereas central and eastern parts most likely to stay fairly dry through
01:37this period. But as I say, the likelihood does drop off quite a bit during Wednesday
01:43and into Thursday. Beyond that, in the final weekend of March, well, the weather signals
01:48become pretty weak. The most likely pattern has low pressure up to the northeastern and
01:53northwesterly winds, but not far behind. Only one percentage point, so equally likely
01:58really still has that continuation of the high pressure building in and that will keep
02:03things mild, whereas that would turn things a little chillier. And even beyond that, through
02:09the following couple of days into that final weekend, the pressure patterns for Saturday
02:13and Sunday again. Look at these numbers. They are quite well down and there's no really
02:17strong signal. So we may well see that changing weather pattern continue through that final
02:23weekend of March. What about beyond that? Well, again, the weather signals looking pretty
02:29wishy washy, lots of different coloured blocks on here as the dates go along the bottom.
02:34But as we head towards the first few days of April, notice this red bar does become
02:38a little more prominent. There are some strong signals that we are more likely to see our
02:42weather patterns becoming more blocked or slow moving in that scenario with potentially
02:47higher pressure building to the north of the UK. So the likely pattern as we head towards
02:53the last day of March the 31st into those first few days of April is that with high
02:58pressure further north, that's where we'll see some drier conditions. But the weather
03:02patterns are likely to be pretty slow moving. And at this stage, extreme weather looks unlikely.
03:08But of course, things can change and those day to day weather stories, you need to keep
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