14 November - National weather forecast presented by Alex Deakin
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00:00Changes are on the way with our weather as you may have heard but certainly for
00:05the time being it is kind of all the same. We've had high pressure dominating
00:08for most of November keeping things pretty dry and that's how we go into
00:12Friday. But this weather front is starting to approach the northwest and
00:16that will really mix things up especially by the weekend. It will bring
00:20some rain into the far northwest but as I say if we rewind the clock and get
00:24through Thursday night most places still dry. There's an old weather front sitting
00:27across the Channel bringing some drizzly conditions to the Channel Isles
00:30maybe Cornwall the Isles of Scilly for a time but that tending to fizzle out. The
00:34cloud thickened up with some drizzly rain over the Isle of Man and at times
00:37southwest Scotland through the night. But most places dry staying fairly cloudy
00:41over southwest Scotland, Northern Ireland, northwest England that'll keep the
00:45temperatures up the cloud here and the cloud likely to return to parts of
00:48central and eastern England again keeping the temperatures up. But where we
00:52have holes in the cloud parts of northeast England, certainly northeast
00:56Scotland and especially southern parts of Wales and southern England we are
01:00going to see some pockets of frost. Towns and cities may just hover above freezing
01:03but rural spots could dip to two or three and particularly over parts of
01:06southwest England. Also some thick fog patches are likely to form through the
01:10early hours. They will take a while to clear on Friday morning but they should
01:15disappear and once they've gone much of southern England, south Wales, good chunk
01:19of the Midlands having a cracking day. Dry fine with sunny spells. The cloud
01:22tending to break up more over eastern England too. Some good spells of sun
01:26showing over eastern Scotland also but further north and west it is going to be
01:30quite a cloudy day. Some drizzle here and there especially over the Lake District
01:33and then we see that weather front coming into the far northwest bringing
01:37more rain here and also some pretty gusty winds as that arrives. Now that is
01:42a cold front. It will eventually introduce colder air but it's not with
01:45us yet. So again reasonably mild on Friday. Temperatures around or a touch
01:48above average. A little cooler in the south compared to today but of course
01:52with some sunshine, light winds, that'll feel fairly pleasant. Won't feel pleasant
01:57though this band of rain sinks south. A narrow band of rain so a short sharp
02:01blast of potentially heavy rain accompanied by some really lively winds.
02:04The winds will suddenly gust up and it's going to stay pretty lively in terms of
02:08the winds across the far north of Scotland. The Northern Isles getting very
02:11blustery through the early hours of Saturday morning. Further south most
02:15places again staying dry. A mixture of clouds, some mist and fog and where we
02:19keep the clearest skies in the south again temperatures could dip in rural
02:23spots for the start of the weekend close to freezing. That zone of cloudier
02:27weather in central areas keeping the temperatures up and the colder air
02:30further north we'll see temperatures dropping here but the strength of the
02:34wind will actually stop temperatures from dropping too far. So for Saturday
02:38we've got this line of rain kind of easing off as it sinks its way
02:42southwards but nevertheless a spell of some rain which we haven't seen much of
02:45recently crossing northern England through into parts of Wales and the
02:48Midlands. Much of the south of England generally just dry and cloudy again on
02:52Saturday and still mild here but further north to the north of this band of rain
02:57that's the cold front that's the colder air. So temperatures for many here
03:00sticking in single figures and feeling quite a bit colder in northern Scotland
03:03with the strength of the wind and yes just about make out some speckles of
03:07white there. The showers that are coming in here in that colder air will be
03:10falling as snow over the hills certainly. Now that cold front will
03:15continue to track southwards it's introducing the colder air as we go into
03:19Saturday even across the south through Saturday night and then well things get
03:24pretty complicated. Weather systems developing just to the west of the UK
03:28bringing in the moisture and it's how they interact with the colder air that's
03:32giving us the question marks about how much snow we see. A little bit more is
03:35possible mostly on the Scottish hills on Sunday but as we go into next week
03:40we are more likely to see these weather systems tracking into parts of the south
03:45and the colder air spreading more bodily across the UK. So again that does open
03:49the door to a little bit more in the way of wintriness in it in terms of the
03:53precipitation sleet and some hill snow is possible. Still five days away so some
03:58uncertainty about details at this stage but it's definitely one to watch. Keep up
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