IHSG -0,99% ke level 6.450,825 di sesi I Senin (17/3). Sektor teknologi -11,51%, saham DCII -19,99% kembali ARB dan jadi laggard utama IHSG di 47,76 indeks poin. Sektor keuangan -1,03%, BBCA-1,71% berkontribusi 8,13 indeks poin terhadap pelemahan IHSG. Sementara sektor barang baku +2,22% ditopang emiten emas di tengah harga komoditas tembus level new ATH di USD3.000, MDKA +7,84%, ANTM +3,46%, dan PSAB +24,17%. Sektor konsumen primer +0,63%, UNVR +3,85%.
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TVTranscript
00:00Thank you for joining us and in this segment we will review the trade path in the early
00:11months of March, where the share price continues to strengthen our domestic weaknesses and we
00:16hope you can still participate in interactive WhatsApp like the one on your television screen
00:21later.
00:22And right now we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Octavianus Audi, Vice President of PTQ
00:28Indonesia.
00:29We will start right away.
00:30Good afternoon, Mr. Audi.
00:31How are you, sir?
00:32Good afternoon, Mr. David.
00:33How are you?
00:34Thank you, sir.
00:35Yes, thank you too, Mr. Audi, for taking the time to be on the IDEA Channel.
00:39Mr. Audi, in the early months of March, the continuation of the weakening of the domestic
00:44share price was still happening and it was brought back to the level of 6,400, sir.
00:50But the good news is that the domestic share price today is able to break away from the
00:55weakening after being pushed to 0.99% in the first trading session earlier this afternoon.
01:00Your analysis?
01:01Yes.
01:02Yes.
01:03So, indeed, for this week, our concerns, we see that we call this week the Central Bank
01:10week.
01:11Indeed, there is a significant influence from the Central Bank, both from FED and from
01:16BI.
01:17Indeed, this week is quite significant and we also see that the market right now is
01:23more mixed.
01:24Earlier, although the pressure was quite strong on the one hand, now it has begun to hold
01:29a little, even though it is still moving below the psychological level of 6,500, but so far
01:34so good.
01:35We will try to see until later this week, because we can say that this is the key in
01:40the first quarter.
01:41How will the views of both FED and Bank Indonesia for policy in the future.
01:49And indeed, we still expect this to be a dopamine if the Central Bank can start
01:57relaxation.
01:58But on the other hand, we also see that the spread from the premium risk between Indonesia
02:03and the United States, we do expect the possibility that Bank Indonesia will still hold on
02:08to the current meeting.
02:09Maybe that's what makes our ESG still mixed today or until this weekend.
02:15Alright.
02:16Intraday, the SME index today touched the lowest level in the last quarter.
02:20What is the technical pattern, Mr. Audi, both in the short term and in the medium term?
02:27Yes, yes.
02:28So for now, we see there is the next level of support and indeed we expect the mixed
02:33movement is in the range of 6,400 to 6,600.
02:37So this week, the possibility of ESG fluctuation, if it is still strong enough, will move in
02:43that range.
02:44But for the trend, indeed if we are in the short term, yesterday it hit 6,500 again.
02:49Indeed, it shows that the pressure is still quite strong for the short term.
02:53But indeed, for the medium term, in the last few weeks, we are still moving above the
03:01low of the last few weeks.
03:03That is, if we look at it, we were the lowest at the level of maybe 6,270.
03:09And right now, it still shows a weakness in the short-term trend.
03:14Something like that, Mr. David.
03:15Alright, Mr. Audi.
03:16From the technology sector, once again today, the DCEI shares became a burden.
03:21Today, it experienced a low auto-rejection again.
03:23After the previous trading week, the low auto-rejection certainly experienced a positive
03:29direction.
03:30How do you see it from a technical point of view?
03:34The movement pattern from the DCEI and also from the recommendation side, sir.
03:39Yes, so if we look at it, last week or the last few weeks, these technology shares
03:46were indeed outperformed, compared to the share price index itself.
03:51And one of the shares that really rose high, one of them is from the DCEI.
03:57From the DCEI, if we look at it, there is a sentiment related to the data center project.
04:03If we look at the DCEI Hyperscale 3, which is estimated to be able to increase the data
04:09center power to 1,000 megawatts.
04:12So this is indeed a fairly positive response.
04:14But if we look at it technically, right now it's already broken.
04:18So indeed, the profit-taking action is very strong.
04:21We see that the volume of transactions today is very high.
04:24Previously, there was a strengthening, but in the end, it was closed with ARB.
04:29So for now, we see that it's over for the trend.
04:33For the short term, it's all closed.
04:35For the support, it's currently at the level of 128,000.
04:40This is one of the most expensive centers in the ISG, 128,000 per sheet.
04:45Or that's the moving average for 20 days.
04:47If it goes up again, we see the trend continues.
04:50Or the profit-taking action is very strong.
04:53That's it, Mr. David.
04:54Okay, so ARB opportunities will still be open for DCEI in the near future.
05:00Yes, we see that the volume of transactions is still very large.
05:04And earlier, the strengthening was not strong enough.
05:06So we see that the selling action is still quite hard.
05:10So there is a possibility or a tendency for weakness.
05:14Okay, from technology, we move to the P-CAP Bank.
05:17Today, you also joined as a heavyweight for the SEMKabungan industry, especially BBCA.
05:22Today, intraday, it was weakened by more than 2%.
05:26And BBCA was traded at 8,500.
05:30What is your analysis and recommendation for BBCA?
05:33After announcing the dividend a while ago.
05:38Actually, if we look at the trend,
05:40both the short-term and medium-term trend for BBCA,
05:43this is in a bearish phase.
05:45And indeed, we see that for now, the last level of support
05:48that will protect BBCA is at level 8,400 up to level 8,500.
05:55Which we see is quite strong.
05:57And it is a fairly strong demand area.
05:59So, can this last?
06:01If so, it can start to accumulate or buy on weakness in that area.
06:07Because we see one of the sentiments or sweeteners.
06:11In the midst of uncertainty, in the midst of fluctuating movements,
06:14the SEMKabungan price index is still very high.
06:16Indeed, this dividend is one of the quite interesting.
06:19Moreover, if we look at it, one of the most routine is from the SEMKabungan.
06:23With the resistance that we see, BBCA is gradually here.
06:27With the first target being 8,850.
06:30If it does reach, the next is up to 9,300.
06:34That's it.
06:35Okay, today's closing, BBCA at 8,600, weakened by 1.71%.
06:41From the heavyweight sector of the SEMKabungan price index,
06:45we move to the sector that has become a supporter of the SEMKabungan family.
06:49There is Bakuva, Sam Sam, a gold producer.
06:51Today, it seems to be quite fast.
06:53Even PSAB, today, auto-reject above 25%.
06:58Closing the global uncertainty.
07:00Gold as a safe haven seems to be an option for investors.
07:05How do you see the gold price prospect first from a technical point of view?
07:09Which has passed above the level of 3,000.
07:11Even though in today's trading, it weakened back to 2.9%.
07:15Profit-taking, it seems.
07:17Yes, yes, yes.
07:18So it's quite interesting, David.
07:20Indeed, we see the trend is losing.
07:23We are talking about historical.
07:25At a time of historical uncertainty, the economy is increasing.
07:28The most significant is usually the safe haven.
07:30One of them is gold.
07:32And indeed, the correlation is quite negative.
07:34So between the Bunga family and the stock market,
07:38gold is indeed a safer and more stable asset diversification.
07:41And indeed, yesterday, it touched the highest level at 3,000.
07:44But for now, it is more consolidated.
07:47With a fairly high increase.
07:49But indeed, we can see for now,
07:51is it possible to move up to 3,200?
07:54It is still very possible.
07:55We see the technical target.
07:57It is very open, the chance of gold up to 3,200.
08:01Until when?
08:02Indeed, the uncertainty is up to the tariff from Trump's policy.
08:06This is still ongoing.
08:07Then the second is the Bunga family vault has already started to be done.
08:10So there is already a bargain for gold.
08:13Then the third is the demand.
08:15So indeed, we see this is quite strong.
08:17And so, it makes my client's business significantly stronger.
08:22Okay, let's just go straight to PSAB, sir.
08:24In short, the Jakarta Author today at level 300.
08:28Yes.
08:29Yes, it's very interesting.
08:30At the moment, the resistance test is quite interesting.
08:34From 3,100 to 3,120 is quite a strong resistance.
08:39If it breaks out, we see a very significant chance of strengthening.
08:43Up to at least 350 is very open for PSAB.
08:47Okay, the closing today at level 300 strengthens at 25.00%.
08:51Jakarta Author has to review.
08:53And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the IDX Channel reviewer.
08:57Mr. Audi, it's interesting.
08:58We will pause for a moment.
09:00Later, we will try to see what samples are recommended.
09:03Later, we will try them one by one.
09:05And we will be back in a moment.