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00:29The Pro Football Show is powered by the all-electric Chevy Silverado.
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00:44Officially Wild Card Weekend.
00:46The playoffs are here. We've got John Gruden in this seat.
00:49We've got the boy Will Compton at the end.
00:51Will was late.
00:52He's the alpha dog. He took my seat, right?
00:54He did. He did.
00:55Very few rules. Don't be late. Don't be overweight.
00:57Use common sense. You broke all the rules.
00:59You're out. Out. I got your seat.
01:01We went through it, and Jerry's 0-3 on those rules.
01:03Yeah.
01:04He doesn't hit any of those rules.
01:06He was on time today.
01:07I thought Jerry was low-carb a couple weeks ago.
01:09Yeah, he's gone.
01:10He's gone.
01:11Done.
01:12Yeah.
01:13No more comments from the old lady?
01:14No. No, everything's been good.
01:16Big guy, you went 10-6 last week. Not bad.
01:1853.7% on the regular season against the spread.
01:22Some people would say I know ball.
01:24Just killed Will.
01:25I thought that you guys were much closer in the record.
01:27No.
01:28We were. Last few weeks, I knew I was going to the playoffs,
01:31so I didn't want to show too much going into the wild card weekend.
01:33Oh, so you think that this is where you're coming back.
01:35Yeah, this is where I start to unload the clip.
01:37I will say, in Will's defense,
01:39it doesn't really matter what you do in the regular season.
01:41It's the playoffs.
01:42So you've got to win in the playoffs.
01:44So I've got to win in the playoffs.
01:45Yeah.
01:46I've seen Compton at close range.
01:48I have very little confidence in your pickings.
01:53Let's go on the record here.
01:55I know that you've been on Bustin' with the Boys,
01:57but this is the first time you've been on this show with them.
01:59This ain't Bustin' with the Boys.
02:00This is the show right here.
02:02We're in Chicago now, man.
02:04This is where you can question his football knowledge.
02:06This is where the rubber meets the road.
02:08Let's get into it.
02:09He can't question it too much.
02:10He rolled me out there in starting base the very first week I got there,
02:13so he can't question it too much.
02:15Let's get to the Storyline Game of the Week
02:17presented by the Chevy Silverado.
02:19We're at the Saturday game with the Chargers at the Texans.
02:22The Chargers minus three.
02:23Coach, I will start with you.
02:24How are you feeling about these two teams?
02:26I like the Chargers in this game.
02:28I'm really just disappointed with what I've seen from the Texans
02:32with their offensive line.
02:33They struggle to pick up blitzes.
02:35They're not running the ball very well.
02:37And I like the fact that Herbert is healthy.
02:39Herbert, when he's healthy, he can get out of trouble.
02:42Quentin Johnston had 13 catches.
02:44Another option other than McConkie and J.K. Dobbins if he's healthy.
02:49That's my only concern.
02:50Is Dobbins healthy?
02:51If he is, the Chargers are going to win this game, I think,
02:54without a lot of problems.
02:56Yeah, the Dobbins thing is very important.
02:58If you look back at their season, they were 2-3 when he was hurt out
03:02or he got hurt in that Baltimore game.
03:04They were 9-3 when he was playing.
03:06He is the engine that goes out.
03:08Because you know Jim Harbaugh is going to run the ball,
03:10and you know they're going to try to play off of that.
03:14This game's tough.
03:15I'm going to take the Chargers.
03:16The Texans' defense is for real.
03:18But I just think that what we've seen from the Texans' offense,
03:20you can't flip a switch with how dysfunctional they've been.
03:23They're 31st in early passing downs.
03:26C.J. Stroud is the 31st quarterback against 2 high coverage,
03:29which I think they're going to do, the Chargers.
03:31I just don't.
03:32I think the Chargers' defense is going to stop the Texans enough
03:36that they're going to win this game.
03:38It's going to be a tight game, close game, low scoring,
03:40but I take the Chargers minus 3.
03:42I like the Chargers kind of big.
03:43Really?
03:44I just feel like the Chargers are built for playoff football.
03:46Yeah.
03:47The Texans have been so inconsistent all year long.
03:49And you look at the Chargers like if you look at the stats,
03:51they're never behind the chains.
03:53They run the football well.
03:54They play good defense.
03:55You got Harbaugh, absolutely J.K. Dobbins is a question mark.
03:58But between, like you said, Coach McConkie, Johnston, I like the Chargers.
04:02I like them going to Houston too.
04:04I don't think it's going to be a very hard environment for them to play in.
04:06They're playing indoors.
04:07I like the Chargers a lot.
04:09It's like Harbaugh.
04:10The first time he came into the NFL with the Niners, go to what?
04:13The NFL Championship.
04:14Yeah.
04:15You know they're ready to go.
04:16They're ready to go for this game.
04:17Can I make a personal request for a film breakdown?
04:19Yes.
04:20After this game, I'd like you to break down Lab McConkie
04:22versus Kamari Lassiter whenever Kamari Lassiter is on him
04:25because Lab McConkie has said they played together at Georgia,
04:28and Lab McConkie said that that's the best cornerback he's ever played against.
04:31So that would be a fun matchup.
04:33And the Texans do have two great corners.
04:35I just go back to the offensive line.
04:37I know.
04:38I mean, Stroud has been sacked almost as much as Caleb Williams.
04:42Yeah.
04:43Second in the league in sacks.
04:44Not only that, he's had his ass knocked off.
04:46He's been pressured on almost every pass.
04:48And what really makes me sick is a lot of the Houston runs
04:52get zero yards or negative yardage runs.
04:55And I think this is the game.
04:57You need to find out Khalil Mack, Joey Bosa, Bud Dupree.
05:01They got some guy named Tooley something.
05:03I mean, he's a badass.
05:04They can really rush the passer,
05:06and I want to see those guys really cut it loose in the playoffs.
05:09Yeah, and the Texans are down to just Nico Collins.
05:11Like, they don't have explosive guys other than him.
05:13Jim Harbaugh obviously recruited him at Michigan, knows him.
05:16So, yeah, Chargers.
05:17Yeah, and a player you're familiar with, Denzel Perryman,
05:20an absolute piss missile that'll knock your dick in the dirt.
05:22Like him on the second level, he's a terror.
05:25Chargers across the board.
05:26Excited for this game.
05:27Yeah, Chargers across the board.
05:28All right, let's get to Jerry's Picking Zoo presented by Cella Blue Coffee.
05:31Dan, you have a cool subscription thing going on this month.
05:33Yes.
05:34So, January 31st, if you sign up for the Cella Blue Coffee subscription,
05:37you get 20% off your first four orders, free shipping,
05:40and a chance to win one of ten Ninja Dual Brew Coffee Pro Systems.
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05:50Okay, everybody put your headset in.
05:51We've got Ruffles.
05:52We've got Jerry's dog.
05:54You said Ruffles doesn't like treats very much.
05:55Doesn't like treats.
05:56Funny story about Ruffles.
05:58Adopted her from Paul.
05:59Shout out, Dan, for making that connection there.
06:02Paul Chicago found Ruffles on the street sick with Parvo on May 11th,
06:07which is my birthday.
06:08Wow.
06:09That was destiny.
06:10Destiny.
06:11Shout out, Paul.
06:12Okay, so let's see what Ruffles picks for the Game of the Week,
06:14which is the Steelers and the Ravens.
06:17All right, welcome back, Pro Football Football Show, Game of the Week.
06:20I'm here with Ruffles.
06:22She's a sweet girl.
06:24She's a sweet girl.
06:25She's still very, a little bit timid still.
06:27You know what I mean.
06:28But she's a sweet, sweet girl.
06:30We rescued her from Paul Chicago.
06:32Anyway, Game of the Week.
06:35Okay, Jerry's Picking Zoo.
06:37We got the Steelers traveling to Baltimore to take on the Baltimore Ravens.
06:43Ruffles is going to make her pick.
06:45Shout out, Leia.
06:46We miss you.
06:47What a hot streak she went on.
06:49Ruffles is going to try and continue that today.
06:51Ruffles, Mama, listen.
06:53We've got to pick a game, okay?
06:55I know you're not a big fan of treats, but we're going to pick a game.
06:59So, come on.
07:02All right.
07:03So, Ruffles, she went to her water bowl over there.
07:07Seems like she's not going to be making a pick.
07:09Oh, she comes back.
07:10Have a treat.
07:11Come on.
07:15Have a treat.
07:16Come on.
07:20Oh, no.
07:21I don't know if that counts, but it seems like she picked the Ravens.
07:23She, like, just licked the treat and went away.
07:28Okay.
07:29All right.
07:30So, Ruffles went against Dad and is taking the Ravens.
07:32The game of the week.
07:33Again, the Steelers at the Ravens.
07:35The Ravens minus 9.5.
07:36Dan, I'll start with you here.
07:39The Steelers have not ended the season well, but like you mentioned,
07:42it doesn't matter.
07:43The playoffs are here.
07:44Who are you taking?
07:46I'm going to take the Steelers,
07:48and here's how I'm going to make an argument for them.
07:50So, Steelers' defense had a real rough stretch there
07:53where there was finger pointing.
07:55There was a lot of shit going on in their locker room.
07:57The game against Cincinnati, it feels like they figured it out
08:00because Cincinnati was one of the best offenses in the league.
08:02They scored on the first drive,
08:04kept them out of the end zone for the rest of the game.
08:06I think they'll keep it close,
08:08and I think Zay Flowers being out is massive for the Ravens
08:11because Lamar Jackson, we know his history in the playoffs.
08:14He's not elevated his game.
08:16Zay Flowers, 25% of the target share,
08:1825% of the receiving yards this year for the Ravens.
08:21That's a big, big weapon that you take away for them.
08:24I don't think the Steelers are going to be able to win this game
08:27because I think Russ is not good,
08:29but I think they'll be able to cover the 9.5.
08:31Coach, what do you think?
08:33Am I crazy?
08:35You can take your earpiece out, too.
08:37How are you feeling about the Steelers
08:39knowing that they've been in this spot
08:41as long as we can remember since Roethlisberger?
08:43Yeah.
08:45And they just are limping into the playoffs.
08:47You feel like you're not positioned well in the draft
08:49to have a quarterback. You feel like you're just stuck.
08:51Jerry, you feel like you're in purgatory?
08:53Yeah, for sure.
08:54Tom, when you get high on,
08:56then as this four-game losing streak happens,
08:58everybody starts calling for his head.
09:00Any other coach would be fired years ago.
09:02Hasn't won a playoff game in 10 years.
09:04What are your thoughts in the situation with Pittsburgh?
09:06You shouldn't be in the playoffs losing four games in a row.
09:09It's only happened a couple times in NFL history.
09:11We were 9-3 in Tampa in 2008 in first place.
09:15We lost our last four games.
09:17You know what happened to me? I got fired.
09:19You're not supposed to go celebrate and have a playoff game
09:21in Baltimore in lousy weather.
09:23I just don't see the Steelers going into Baltimore
09:25and winning this game.
09:26The Steelers, here's a stat for you.
09:28I really believe this.
09:30When you get into the playoffs, you've got to start fast.
09:32You've got to get a lead.
09:34You've got to really start taking over the game from the jump, man.
09:37In the four straight Pittsburgh Steeler losses in the playoffs,
09:41they've been outscored 56-0 in the first quarter.
09:44And this is the worst first-quarter offense in football this year.
09:48They just don't start games.
09:50They struggle to score a point in the first quarter.
09:52That's proven.
09:54And I'd see Baltimore at home on a cold, lousy night.
09:58Lamar Jackson is going to decide this game.
10:00And that's especially true with the Ravens.
10:02If you get behind on the Ravens,
10:03they're just going to pound the rock down your throat.
10:05Yeah. No, I agree with you.
10:06Going off that first-quarter set, they haven't scored a touchdown
10:08in their last six games in the first quarter.
10:11I feel like, too, the Ravens, yeah, they're the number-one defense
10:14as far as points given up.
10:15But the first half of the year, they were kind of shaky.
10:17The back half of the year, they've really picked it up.
10:19And a lot of it, too, if you watch how they utilize Kyle Hamilton,
10:21he's down in the box a lot more now.
10:23I feel like he's in the back end that helps with communication.
10:26Because when you're a Mike linebacker like Roquan Smith
10:29and you're breaking the huddle
10:31and you're trying to communicate all three levels of defense
10:33and you don't have that guy in the back end,
10:35he's more so next to you than he is behind you,
10:37when you're having to communicate everywhere,
10:39it hurts you when the formation is lining up
10:41because you can't play as fast, you can't play as smooth.
10:43Because your eyes are everywhere,
10:45you're trying to make sure everybody knows what to do.
10:47But when you have Hamilton going to the back end
10:49and he helps communicate as the pro bowler that he is,
10:51it helps free everything up because you save the call,
10:53you break the huddle, and then Hamilton or the safety
10:55is now telling it across the back end.
10:57So you're lining up, you're able to know what to do,
10:59how to do it, and play a lot, a lot faster when the ball lines up.
11:02And I feel like the Baltimore Ravens have done that very well as of late.
11:05I also like them offensively.
11:07They're going to have to do some play action and screens
11:09to kind of keep T.J. Watt at bay and just kind of not disrupt the game.
11:12So I like a big tight end there.
11:14That's why I got likely.
11:15I'm touched on that Willy Wonka parlay.
11:17The Hamilton thing is exactly right because the weeks 1 through 10,
11:20they were 30th against the pass in EPA.
11:23Weeks 11 to the end of the season, they were first.
11:26They have completely fixed that, and they're just a complete team.
11:30I'm still going to take the Steelers, though.
11:31I just think, look, the Steelers beat the Ravens once this year.
11:36That second game, Russ going in, and if he doesn't fumble there,
11:40they're up 14-7 in that game.
11:42Again, I don't know if they can win this game,
11:44but 9.5 is a lot in the playoffs.
11:46These two teams know each other very well,
11:48and Lamar's got a lot of pressure on his shoulders.
11:50I think 9.5 is just too much.
11:52You sound like you're doubting Lamar Jackson.
11:54In the history of football, there's one quarterback that has thrown
11:57for over 4,000 yards and run for 900.
12:00That's Mr. Jackson.
12:01The man threw for 41 touchdowns this year and 4 picks.
12:04He's not had a good year.
12:06He's had a great year.
12:07You don't stay the same in this business.
12:09You either get better or worse,
12:11and right now you're getting the best of Lamar Jackson.
12:13He's going to be a factor, man, throughout this whole tournament.
12:16I love the Ravens.
12:17Love them.
12:18I think my doubts of Lamar Jackson are fair, though.
12:20He's an incredible quarterback.
12:21Has he done it in the playoffs?
12:23He has not.
12:24He has not.
12:25He's not elevated his game.
12:26He's had okay playoff games.
12:27Well, either has the Steelers big game.
12:29I agree.
12:30I agree.
12:31In eight years.
12:32Listen, I'm picking at 9.5.
12:34I don't think the Steelers win.
12:35I just want to see it from Lamar to elevate his game to that next level
12:39where it's like, hey, you are the best player in the NFL.
12:42Go be it.
12:43Go be it in the playoffs.
12:44Answer me this, Mojo-wise, being an offensive-minded guy,
12:46the way the offense has performed as of late,
12:48what do you feel like the vibe or the pulse is going into,
12:51from a coaching perspective, going into this playoff game,
12:54hoping that the guys, whatever game plan you have in there,
12:56hoping that they execute it well before you get embarrassed again
12:59the way you have the last few weeks?
13:01You're talking the Ravens.
13:02No, I'm talking Steelers.
13:04Limping into the playoffs.
13:05You called them the walking dead before the show.
13:07You ever see the walking dead?
13:08That's what they look like on offense.
13:10They cannot score.
13:11Show me a walking dead zombie.
13:13It's a walking dead zombie.
13:16They just don't have any confidence in the red zone.
13:19They're 31st in the league in red zone production, man.
13:22You've got to score touchdowns.
13:24And right now I just don't feel any chemistry between Pickens and Wilson.
13:30And I don't know where Mike Williams is,
13:32and I don't know if Van Jefferson is even in the game plan.
13:34I just don't feel any passing game at all from Pittsburgh.
13:38Got to help them if they fall behind.
13:40Jerry, how are you feeling?
13:41Yeah, I feel good.
13:42I feel confident.
13:44So, with all that being said.
13:45Listen, I'm going to tell you why the Steelers win the game.
13:48This is exactly why they win the game.
13:50I don't think so.
13:51Nobody knows Lamar Jackson quite like the Pittsburgh Steelers.
13:54That's a fact.
13:55The Steelers, the four-game stretch, they lost.
13:57Fair.
13:59Nobody talks about both cornerbacks being injured, missing games,
14:03starting wide receiver missing games, Larry Ogunjobi missing games,
14:06offensive line missing games during that four-game stretch.
14:09I mean, they're not a bad football team.
14:11I think, honestly, this is the team the Ravens did not want to see in the first round.
14:16Jerry, they're like crumbs to you these last few years.
14:19Listen.
14:20I watch your social media.
14:21I see it.
14:22They hated them.
14:23They've been bad.
14:24I'm not saying they're a good football team.
14:25But nine and a half is hard.
14:27They're not a bad football team.
14:28They're pretty good.
14:29They're not.
14:30I'm not saying they're good.
14:31I mean, Dan is right.
14:32They stopped Joe Burrow.
14:33I mean, that team was red hot.
14:35They did.
14:37Sean Elliott missed games during that four-game stretch.
14:39Are all these guys healthy?
14:40Everybody's playing now.
14:41Everybody's healthy.
14:42Joe Burrow has his third string right tackle.
14:45And the left tackle has a broken fibula.
14:48I mean, let's not get ahead of ourselves.
14:50You lost four straight games to good teams.
14:53This is not a good team you're seeing.
14:55This is the Baltimore Ravens led by Mr. Jackson.
14:58Mr. Jackson.
14:59That's right.
15:00Derrick Henry.
15:01I believe in Russell Wilson.
15:04I've been a day one Russie rider.
15:06You have.
15:07What do you expect a guy to do with?
15:10Throw it over the middle of the field.
15:11Listen, but the offensive coordinator doesn't call the plays.
15:14No, they don't call the plays because he can't throw it over the middle of the field.
15:17Fair.
15:18But, I mean, he has nobody on.
15:21He has George Pickens who shows up once every four games.
15:24He better show up today.
15:25Van Jefferson.
15:26Who else does he have?
15:27He better show up on Saturday.
15:28Terrible offensive line.
15:29It's not all on Russell Wilson.
15:30He's still got it.
15:31He's still got it.
15:32And that speech to Cam Hayward, and I hope Tom can put this speech in there,
15:35that was an incredible speech he gave to Cam Hayward.
15:38We can do this.
15:39Don't doubt now.
15:41Let's go win the next four.
15:42Keep your head up.
15:43And then what happened?
15:44They lost.
15:45And if he was playing for any other team and he had that speech, you'd hate it.
15:48I've always been pro-Russell Wilson.
15:50There's no way that's true.
15:52Dan?
15:53Not always.
15:55Fair.
15:57Okay.
15:58All right.
15:59Let's get to the fireball rapid-fire game of the week, which is in Buffalo,
16:01which is going to be very, very cold,
16:03which means you need fireball to warm you up.
16:05And the rapid-fire game is presented by Fireball Whiskey.
16:07Grab your football buddy, buy a round, and reignite the rivalry flame,
16:11because, of course, I can't ever say rivalry.
16:13Rivalry flame.
16:14We'll, of course, take it.
16:16Everybody in Buffalo is going to need that this weekend.
16:18It's going to be freezing cold.
16:19The Broncos at the Bills.
16:20The Bills minus eight and a half.
16:22Will, I'll start with you.
16:23I know you just took that delicious fireball shot.
16:26You've been very high on Bo Nicks all year.
16:28You've been high on the Broncos, obviously.
16:30The Bills with Josh Allen.
16:31Are you feeling that same fire for the Broncos going into the playoffs?
16:35I think they've had a hell of a year.
16:36I think Buffalo wins this game.
16:38I also think they cover.
16:40You know they're ready to get to the AFC Championship game,
16:44because that's where they've got to prove it.
16:46I do think they're going to take care of business.
16:48When you look at the Broncos, they have a shot.
16:50They match up well with the Bills, because defensively,
16:53they're above and beyond way better than the Buffalo Bills defensively.
16:56You've got Sertain.
16:57Based on some of the things that the Bills are able to do offensively,
17:00where they get backside in three-by-one,
17:02create four-by-one situations to kind of work that backside slant,
17:05I can see them trying to get Sertain to bite a little bit early
17:09and then maybe hit him with a double move late.
17:11But the Broncos are going to have to play damn near perfect
17:14to stay in this game and win this game.
17:15They can.
17:16They obviously have the ability to.
17:17They have great defense.
17:18They can run the ball.
17:19Bo Nicks can manage the game well as long as he doesn't turn the ball over.
17:22I just think when you've got Josh Allen, you're out in Buffalo.
17:24You've got Bills Mafia.
17:25That team is salivating to do some real damage in the playoffs,
17:28and they're here now.
17:29I like the Bills a lot.
17:30Dan?
17:31Yeah, I'm with you.
17:32The Bills, their offense is so dynamic and so explosive.
17:35It all starts with Josh Allen.
17:37They were holding some stuff back the last couple weeks.
17:39They said that.
17:40I think it's going to be a blowout.
17:44Bo Nicks on the road as a rookie quarterback, that's a tough, tough task.
17:48The only thing that gives me pause, and I want your thoughts on this
17:51because this is, I know you embrace analytics, right?
17:54Oh, yeah.
17:55Yeah, yeah.
17:56You love analytics.
17:57Oh, we love it.
17:58Here's the only thing that gives me pause.
17:59Since 2017, Sean Payton is 30-12 against bald head coaches.
18:05That makes me a little nervous.
18:07Completely bald or going bald?
18:09Bald or balding, yeah.
18:11So I'm a little nervous about that.
18:12Sean McDermott does not have hair.
18:15Well, that's a good reason to pick Denver.
18:17I know.
18:18That's the only thing.
18:19Hey, how did you find that hair?
18:20I mean, I'm the coach on the field.
18:21I totally rely on analytics.
18:24What if Sean McDermott wore a toupee?
18:27Would it make you feel more confident?
18:28No.
18:29Okay.
18:30I don't know why I come on this show.
18:33It's my turn to talk, and you drop that bomb on me.
18:38Sean Payton's my friend.
18:39I coach with Sean, and we go way back.
18:42This is a trap game for Buffalo.
18:44I'll tell you.
18:45Last year, Denver went to Buffalo on Monday Night Football,
18:49and everybody was saying the same thing.
18:51Denver can't win this game.
18:52Denver went in there and beat their ass.
18:54That's true.
18:55This defense for Denver, I call it the anonymous crush.
18:59You remember the orange crush, right?
19:00Everybody remembers Gratischar and Mecklenburg, all these guys.
19:04The Denver Broncos have 63 sacks.
19:07They lead the NFL in sacks.
19:08They can rush the passer.
19:10They can get after your ass on defense now.
19:12And Sean Payton, he's not a virgin when it comes to the playoffs.
19:15He's been in some big games.
19:17I think Buffalo wins this game because Allen will make a play or two,
19:21but I do believe Denver's going to take Buffalo to the brink.
19:24They are not going to back down.
19:26It's going to be a tight game.
19:27They're not afraid of the cold weather.
19:29I like the way they're doing it.
19:31But he's got such a spicy way of talking.
19:33Hey, I saw.
19:34He's not a virgin coming at you.
19:35Did you guys see Buffalo?
19:36Did you see what Matt Stafford did to Buffalo's defense?
19:39Yeah.
19:40Did you see what Jared Koff did to them?
19:42Did you see what Buffalo's offense did to the Rams?
19:44Did you see what he did to the Lions?
19:45Yes, I did.
19:46They scored on every drive.
19:47I believe this is going to be a tight ball game.
19:50I agree that Buffalo defense is a very big concern.
19:52I can't wait for this game.
19:53Yeah.
19:54This is a good one.
19:55Yeah, well, when he said trap game, you lit up over there.
19:57You were like, now wait a minute.
19:58I know.
19:59He just gets that far.
20:00You guys know what I'm talking about.
20:01Oh, I know.
20:02He's no virgin in the playoffs.
20:03The Broncos now, they'll get after your ass.
20:05Hey, Sean Payton did an onside kick in the Super Bowl, okay?
20:08He could do anything in this game.
20:10I'm just telling you, be alert for trickery.
20:13Be alert for anything when it comes to the Broncos.
20:15Bills.
20:16Are you going to switch your pick?
20:17Bills.
20:18Will?
20:19No, Bills.
20:20You've been a Bo Nicks guy?
20:21I know.
20:22No.
20:23Bills.
20:24Bills.
20:25Okay.
20:26Are you sure?
20:27Yeah.
20:28Yeah, I can't be a homer.
20:29You know I'm not a homer for any of my squads.
20:30I've got to be objective.
20:31Maybe Sunday, like 12-50, you might switch?
20:32Maybe, yeah, yeah, yeah.
20:33Okay, all right.
20:34Let's go to the Packers at the Eagles.
20:35The Eagles, minus five and a half.
20:37Coach, I will start with you.
20:38How are you feeling about these two teams?
20:40These are your two teams?
20:41Yeah, this is my game.
20:42I love these two teams.
20:44I did a lot of work on this one.
20:45I love the Eagles in this game.
20:47I think the injury to Christian Watson is a concern.
20:50Yep.
20:51They played each other in the opening game in Brazil.
20:54Not that that really matters.
20:55But I'm really impressed with the way Philadelphia can run the ball.
20:59They can possess the ball.
21:00They have almost 33 minutes a game of clock time.
21:03And with Hertz healthy, the only question is, is he rusty?
21:07Right.
21:08But I really love A.J. Brown and Smith, and I like the weapons.
21:11Goddard is back.
21:12And Vic Fangio has done one hell of a job with this defense.
21:15I mean, these two linebackers, Compton, you've got to admit,
21:18N'Kobe Dean and this Zach Bond.
21:20Zach Bond should be an MVP candidate.
21:23When you look at what he has done.
21:25He's a badger.
21:26He is unbelievable.
21:27These two linebackers, man, they are badasses, man.
21:30Down to down, badasses.
21:32I like Philadelphia in this game, and I am concerned about Jordan Love.
21:36He's missed a lot of practice time.
21:38I don't know how healthy he is.
21:39Yeah.
21:40Dan, how are you feeling about that?
21:41I think on this, the Christian Watson injury is significant
21:43because that's your guy who stretches the fields.
21:45Whether he catches it or not,
21:46still you have to be worried when he's out there.
21:48The only thing that makes me nervous about this game,
21:50and you alluded to it earlier when we were talking about slow starts,
21:54the Eagles' first quarter offense is 21st in the league.
21:57The Packers are fourth.
21:58So the Eagles have started slow a lot this season.
22:02You can't start slow,
22:03especially with Jalen Hertz being concussion protocol the last two weeks.
22:06But I think in four quarters,
22:08the Eagles are going to assert their will and run the ball.
22:11And their defense, like you said, Vic Fangio,
22:13he's a wizard on defensive coordinator.
22:16I'm with you.
22:17You mentioned that a minute ago.
22:19I feel it's all about which team starts fast.
22:21If you look at the Packers, all 11 of their wins,
22:23they score a touchdown in the first quarter.
22:25When you look at the Eagles,
22:26when they've had slow starts against quality teams,
22:28all the playoff scenes I'm about to mention, the Ravens, the Rams,
22:31Washington, the Packers, the Bucks, and the outside looking in, the Bengals,
22:34they were scoreless in the first quarter.
22:36Now they did go 5-1.
22:37However, they did start slow.
22:39I'm taking the Packers because I'm rooting for the Packers to win.
22:42I want to see a little bit of chaos.
22:43I love this matchup a lot.
22:45But I'm going to go with the Packers.
22:47Again, I'm not very confident on it,
22:49but I do like the Packers as long as they start fast.
22:52And that's what it's going to come down to.
22:53Remember, they were a seven seed last year.
22:55They went to Dallas and they put it on.
22:58Only seven seed to win a playoff game.
23:00The Packers have Musgrave, another tight end, healthy.
23:04He missed almost the entire season.
23:06When you put Musgrave in there with Kraft, those two tight ends,
23:10they can run, man.
23:11I'm really looking for Musgrave to be a force in this game.
23:15But I agree with you.
23:16Green Bay's dangerous.
23:17I just like Philly's roster, man.
23:19I think they're better.
23:20Top to bottom, they're so good.
23:21They're so good.
23:22Let's go to the playbook pick presented by DraftKings.
23:24It is John Gruden's playbook pick of the week.
23:26And there's only a few weeks left of football,
23:28but we are in the thick of the best time on the football calendar.
23:30Obviously, the NFL playoffs.
23:32We've got the college football playoffs still in action.
23:34And right now, our partners at DraftKings,
23:36new customers get $200 in bonus bets instantly after betting just $5.
23:41Fade or follow all of your favorite Barstool personality picks
23:44in the Barstool betting group on the DraftKings Sportsbook app.
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23:53Okay, Coach, your playbook pick this week, the Commanders at the Bucs.
23:57Well, you know, I've been waiting for Will Compton, the ex-Washington.
24:01I don't know what you were, a redskin or a commander,
24:03but – Or a football team.
24:05The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, man, you know I love the Bucs.
24:08I spent seven years there.
24:10We got a home game against your Washington Commanders.
24:13We opened the season against you.
24:14We tore you up, man.
24:16I love Baker Mayfield.
24:17I love this Buccaneer offense.
24:19I think we have – I say we.
24:21I think we have as good an offensive line as there is in all of football.
24:24Gedeke and Wirfs are phenomenal.
24:26Our running game, we are balanced, man.
24:28Bucky Irvin, he could be the rookie of the year if it wasn't for your guy.
24:32But I think we win a high-scoring shootout in Tampa.
24:36It's going to be exciting.
24:38But we're going to win this game.
24:39Tampa Bay over the Commanders.
24:41That's my pick.
24:42I'm sticking by that, brother.
24:44Will?
24:45I think he wants me to resist that.
24:47I think Washington has had an incredible year.
24:49You look at what Coach Quinn has done.
24:51They have between, like, starters and alternates,
24:53like double-digit guys who made the Pro Bowl.
24:56I think they've had an awesome year,
24:57and I think the fan base is very excited about the future.
24:59I think Tampa Bay is excited about right now.
25:02Between their run game with Bucky Irvin coming alive in the back half of the year,
25:05you got Mike Evans, what is it, 11 seasons was the 1,000 plus?
25:08Yep.
25:09And the way Baker Mayfield's played, and just to talk about Baker for a second,
25:12like this dude is a fucking competitor.
25:14He's a dog.
25:15He's a dog.
25:16He's top five in several categories as a quarterback,
25:19and you hear all this stuff about him.
25:21He's fun to watch.
25:22Guys love the way he plays.
25:24He puts his shoulder in the guys.
25:26They rally around him.
25:27And as the competitor that Baker is,
25:29there's also a part of him that has that chip on his shoulder
25:32as a guy who transferred schools, coming out of college, went on to Heisman,
25:35having question marks coming out of the draft,
25:37kind of Cleveland kind of kicked him out.
25:39He bounces around to Carolina, to the Rams.
25:42He's got a home now at Tampa.
25:44Like, he's ready to etch his name into the quarterback conversation
25:47as guys who can be elite in winning this league.
25:49It starts with winning playoff games, and I think he is as excited as anybody,
25:52so I'm going with the Buccaneers.
25:53I'm with you.
25:54I'm going with the Bucs.
25:55Dan, where do you stand on this?
25:56Give me the Commanders plus three.
25:58I think Jaden Daniels is going to be phenomenal in this game,
26:00and I do think the Bucs defense is not elite.
26:04They have some holes.
26:05They've had some injuries.
26:06You saw even the Cowboys game, what was it, like three weeks ago?
26:10Cooper Rush went up and down the field on them.
26:12I just think it's going to be a really tight game,
26:14and I think Jaden Daniels is that special type of talent
26:16that he's going to keep him in this game.
26:18Probably running a lot too, having him run a lot.
26:21But, yeah, I think it's a, you know, give me the three.
26:25Might lose by a field goal, but that would be a push.
26:28I'm going to take the Commanders.
26:29I mean, yeah, I would love to see them play.
26:31Well, I just think their defense is shaky.
26:33Their defense is shaky.
26:34For sure.
26:35Barshawn Lattimore, though, is a full go.
26:36Barshawn Lattimore?
26:37He knows Mike Evans.
26:39What the hell has he done for the Commanders?
26:41I know.
26:42He's been injured.
26:43He's been drinking Deion Sanders.
26:44He plays one game, he has three PIs, and he pulls his hamstring.
26:47Is he going to cover Mike Evans?
26:49No.
26:50Okay.
26:51The game does have, as an ex-linebacker,
26:53two of my favorite all-time linebackers.
26:55You've got Levante David and Bobby Wagner.
26:58I mean, those two guys are going to have a big say in this thing too.
27:01Yeah.
27:02Come on, man.
27:03I'm just saying.
27:04It's also partially friendship.
27:05I'm backing PFT in this one.
27:06I think they're going to be in this game.
27:08I love the over in this game.
27:09I hope so.
27:10That's my real pick.
27:11The bet I'm going to make is the over in this game.
27:12Yeah, yeah, yeah.
27:13I like that.
27:14What's the over under right now?
27:15I think it's like 50 and a half.
27:16I love that over.
27:17Can you give me the over?
27:18Just give me the over.
27:19Yeah, give me the over.
27:20I'll take the over.
27:21I'll take the over.
27:22It's a friendship bet.
27:23Yeah, yeah.
27:24I'll take the over.
27:25I'm going to root for the Commanders.
27:26I'll take the over.
27:27It is 50 and a half right now.
27:28And you can't have Stephen Chey win.
27:29He's just the worst guy we've got.
27:32Are we streaming this game?
27:33Yeah.
27:34Oh, I brought Buccaneer gear.
27:35Me and Stephen Chey, we're going to go crazy.
27:38Woo!
27:39Yeah!
27:40You love Stephen Chey.
27:41I love the Bucs, but I love Stephen.
27:43You don't know him well enough.
27:44You'll learn more about him and you'll start to know him.
27:46I can't.
27:47I'll wait for this game.
27:48I'm going to stream this week.
27:49Yeah.
27:50All right, the last game, the Monday night football game of the wild card weekend,
27:53the Vikings at the Rams.
27:55The Vikings minus two and a half.
27:56Will, I will start with you.
28:00You've been high on the Vikings this year.
28:02I have.
28:03I have.
28:04The question mark that came up in my mind when they got their ass beat by Detroit,
28:06there's a few throws that Sam don't remain, but there's one in particular.
28:09It was fourth and goal and they were on the two.
28:11Justin Jefferson got open.
28:13He's clean in the pocket and he misses the throw high.
28:16I'm thinking to myself, this is that bar in the playoffs.
28:19Does Josh Allen miss that throw?
28:21Does Stafford miss that throw?
28:22Does Burrow miss that throw?
28:24Those are the plays to where it's like, are the Vikings going to do some damage in the playoffs?
28:29I don't want to be a prisoner in the moment because they've had a hell of a year and they have a salty defense.
28:33I'm going with the Vikings just because Stafford hasn't played that well this late in the season.
28:38I want to say his last three games he's played.
28:40Their offense has been not great.
28:41Yeah.
28:42They barely won some games.
28:43And even though they have the weapons that they're doing, they have a great young defensive line.
28:46It's what is it?
28:47Enter at your own fisk?
28:48Yeah.
28:49I'm going with the Vikings here.
28:50I'm going to stay with the Vikings.
28:52I'm not going to be a prisoner of the moment, but that throw is kind of like,
28:55this is the one that separates the playoff contenders from the Minnesota Vikings.
28:58Yeah.
28:59Coach?
29:00This is my upset.
29:01I don't even know if it's an upset, but I got the Rams winning this game.
29:04That's an upset.
29:05You know, the Rams beat Minnesota already on a Thursday night.
29:09You know I hate Thursday night.
29:10Yeah.
29:11But they're going to beat them again.
29:12I think the Viking defense, they live and die with the blitz.
29:16Yeah.
29:17And I think after about 15 or 16 weeks of that,
29:20teams start to get better at picking up blitzes and making plays.
29:24I thought the Viking defense hasn't been the same either the last five or six weeks.
29:29I'm not as in awe of them.
29:31But I like Sean McVay and Stafford.
29:34I think Stafford's going to make four or five throws, and you're going to go,
29:37holy shit, how did he do that?
29:39That damn Stafford.
29:40Stafford's going to win this game.
29:42And I think the Rams, with all that's going on in L.A.,
29:45I think there's going to be – with the fires,
29:47I think there's going to be a lot of emotion.
29:49Let's win this for our city, man.
29:51Let's keep L.A. in our thoughts, man.
29:54I think they're going to galvanize.
29:55I think they're going to be tough to beat.
29:56Yeah.
29:57Dan?
29:58Do you remember what I picked on advisors?
30:03I think you picked the Rams.
30:05All right, I picked the Rams.
30:06I feel like you picked the Rams.
30:07I don't know.
30:08The thing about this game is this is the game I have the least confidence in
30:10because it's – Stafford hasn't played well.
30:13Sam Darnold last week was very bad.
30:16Both these teams have vulnerabilities.
30:19I'm going to go with Coach.
30:20I'll take the Rams.
30:21Yeah.
30:22And Stafford is a gamer.
30:23He's a gamer.
30:24He's an absolute gamer.
30:25And Puka Nakula is just open.
30:27That guy.
30:28Oh, no, you took Puka over catches.
30:29Oh, yeah, Puka over catches.
30:30Doesn't the winner get the Lions?
30:31Yes.
30:32So I think Stafford, he'd like to go back to the way he was.
30:34Yeah.
30:35I think they got a lot to learn.
30:36Yeah.
30:37All right, man.
30:38It's time for hot takes.
30:39Do you have hot takes for the wild card weekend?
30:41No longer the super wild card.
30:42Yeah, you know – well, no, we still say super.
30:44I don't like that.
30:45The – my hot take.
30:49Steelers are going to win.
30:50Mm-hmm.
30:51Mm-hmm.
30:52Yup.
30:53Yup.
30:54It's a dumb take.
30:55Are you actually taking Steelers?
30:56I might take Steelers.
30:59Listen.
31:00He will buy.
31:01He will.
31:02I'm still the wild card weekend.
31:03Right.
31:04I'm in a game-by-game basis.
31:06If you ask me if I'm going to take the Steelers money line,
31:08just tell me what the score of the Chargers-Texans game was,
31:11and then I'll let you know.
31:12Okay.
31:13The Chargers went by seven.
31:15I'm taking the Steelers money line.
31:17Yeah, because it's like you have the Ravens winning that game,
31:20but you're going –
31:21I'm a game-by-game.
31:22I'm game-by-game.
31:23I'm thinking, do I just say Denver shocks the world?
31:25Yeah, just say it.
31:26I got the bills covered winning.
31:28Say it.
31:29If you're wrong, no one cares.
31:32If you're right, you can push the graphic and be like, look at this.
31:35Baker Mayfield throws for 304 touchdowns.
31:38304 touchdowns?
31:40300 yards.
31:41Oh, I was going to say, that's a lot of touchdowns.
31:43Comma.
31:44300 comma.
31:45300.
31:46Pause.
31:47And four touchdowns.
31:48Coach, you got any hot takes?
31:49Well, my wild take is, you know how my mind doesn't –
31:53you know, my mind's not normal.
31:54I see the Broncos.
31:56I can feel the Broncos heating up, man.
32:01I feel real uneasy about Buffalo at home against Denver.
32:05I think Denver could go in there and shock the world.
32:07Okay.
32:08That's a good hot take.
32:09That is a good hot take.
32:10That's a good one.
32:11That's fantastic.
32:12Okay, survivor pool.
32:13Dan, are all the teams back on the table for you guys?
32:15Yeah, we're all back.
32:16We're going to go against the spread.
32:17Yeah.
32:18Against the spread, playoffs.
32:19So, Will has two points.
32:20Dan and Jerry have one point.
32:22Yeah, we can't copy pick.
32:23So, Will, you're ahead.
32:24You get to pick first.
32:26Oh.
32:28This is all for a DraftKings bonus bet.
32:31Dollar amount unknown.
32:33I'm going to take the Chargers.
32:34Okay.
32:35Chargers.
32:36I was going to take the Chargers.
32:38Bucks?
32:39I know, but you got the –
32:40I have the over, yeah.
32:44I'll take the Eagles.
32:45I'll take the Eagles.
32:46And Jerry?
32:48Steelers.
32:49Steelers.
32:50Steelers.
32:51Okay.
32:52All right, anything else, guys?
32:53You guys will be streaming with Coach all weekend?
32:54Yeah, we're going to be – Coach will be here.
32:56Will will be here for Saturday.
32:58So, yeah, we're going to do some great streams.
33:00No phones on the streams.
33:01Okay.
33:02Try a new rule.
33:03All right.
33:04Really lock in.
33:05Are you going to put them in like a bucket or something?
33:06No, you just can't take them out.
33:07What about a live bet?
33:08If you want to tweet or do a live –
33:09That's a fair point.
33:10What if we do a live bet?
33:11If you want to tweet a live bet, just stand up and walk out.
33:13Very easy.
33:14So, just not sitting scrolling.
33:15Because you want to use your phones.
33:16Yeah, right, right.
33:17We just want – we don't want people sitting in commercial breaks.
33:19We're going to do stuff to try to make the streams better, not everyone just sitting on their own phone,
33:23which I'm the number one culprit of.
33:25Yeah.
33:26Coach, you're excited for these streams.
33:27I am.
33:28I love streaming.
33:29I do.
33:30I am.
33:31As long as Jerry's not dead, right?
33:32Yeah, don't sit next to Jerry.
33:33I'm not sitting next to Jerry.
33:34No.
33:35Or if you do, make sure he's got a pillow.
33:36During commercials, we should do challenges.
33:38And then during the – when the game's on, we should think about who we've got to vote out,
33:42like voting each other out, just like Survivor.
33:44You just had to do it.
33:46You couldn't do it.
33:47You had to do it.
33:48All right.
33:49We'll be back next week.
33:50Thanks, everybody.
33:51Have a great weekend.
33:53Bye.
33:54Bye.
33:55Bye.
33:56Bye.
33:57Bye.
33:58Bye.
33:59Bye.
34:00Bye.
34:01Bye.
34:02Bye.
34:03Bye.
34:04Bye.
34:05Bye.
34:06Bye.
34:07Bye.
34:08Bye.
34:09Bye.
34:10Bye.
34:11Bye.
34:12Bye.
34:13Bye.
34:14Bye.
34:15Bye.
34:16Bye.
34:17Bye.
34:18Bye.
34:19Bye.
34:20Bye.