• last month
Transcript
00:00Let's talk through our ticket, Alexa.
00:04Let's start in race number six.
00:06We have an optional $100,000 claimer.
00:09It just shows you how much money is up for grabs at Keeneland.
00:11It's a $130,000 purse.
00:13You're going to talk about the horse
00:15that we have to start things out in race number six.
00:17Yeah, we like the three Bromley, four and a half to one.
00:20He's had seven months off and then came back last month
00:23to run fastest race ever.
00:25He didn't win, but got second.
00:26And his trainer is really, really good with horses
00:29at this part in their form cycle.
00:31When they're on their second start off of a long layoff
00:33like that, he wins 32% of the time with over a $2 ROI.
00:36So that's a great stat.
00:37Also the number four, Giant Mischief.
00:40This should be the favorite in here.
00:41A little more than even money and has hit the board
00:45six out of seven lifetime starts.
00:47Most recently ran in the grade one Malibu
00:49and got third place.
00:51Whenever they've put him in graded stakes,
00:52it's been a little over his head,
00:54but he'll be very competitive in here.
00:56He's not run since last December.
00:58So huge layoff, but he's got fast workouts
01:01and trainer Brad Cox is good at having them ready
01:03for their first outs after these long layoffs.
01:07He also won on debut and won first
01:10after a seven month layoff before.
01:11So we know he can be ready to run after a break.
01:14In the Brad Cox barn in the last month,
01:16they're hitting at 32%, which is good even for them.
01:19Like everything they're sending out at every track
01:22has been live all over the place.
01:24The six Lofty Adjudicator has some speed
01:26and there's not that much early speed in here
01:29that we imagine Giant Mischief
01:30will probably be forwardly placed,
01:31but we're gonna throw the six in just because
01:34a horse that actually has that ability to sit close
01:36and not have to worry about coming from too far out of it.
01:39So we're gonna use three, four, and six
01:42in the first leg of our pick five sequence 3D
01:44to try to make it through race number six.
01:47Alexa, let's turn the page to race number seven.
01:50This one is a maiden special eight
01:51for two year old fillies going six furlongs on the dirt.
01:55Start us out and talk to us about some of the horses
01:57you like in this race.
01:59Yeah, I like the two a lot.
02:00Contemplate eight to one odds.
02:01She's an early pace horse and improved a lot
02:03from her first start to her second start.
02:05She set the pace in both races,
02:07but faded a lot in the first and then last month
02:10just barely got caught at the end.
02:12Her trainer's good with two year olds
02:13winning 23% of the time.
02:15And I do think she will be able to set the pace again today
02:18and can hopefully improve that stamina.
02:21The number 12, My Lil' Punky, fun name,
02:24five to one odds is the other big pace horse in here.
02:27She's fast early and of the horses that have run before
02:30has the fastest speed figures.
02:32She got second in her last start by seven and a half lengths
02:35but the horse that beat her by seven and a half lengths
02:38was Mujima, I think is how you pronounce it,
02:40Mujima, who was the first time starting that
02:42they purchased for over $700,000.
02:44So no shade at all for her losing that last start.
02:47I think she'll have a pretty good chance here.
02:49Shout out to Brewster, my favorite of the punkies.
02:52I also think that the four and the six
02:54are super logical horses.
02:55Alexa gave you a couple more of the prices.
02:57I'll give you two more of the horses
02:58that are probably gonna be shorter prices.
03:00Taverna could sit a really nice trip.
03:02She's gonna make her third career start.
03:04Her debut was great.
03:05She finished second.
03:06And then in her second start,
03:07she had to deal with a sloppy track.
03:08So maybe getting back to a fast track could really help her.
03:11The six keepsake, another horse for that Brad Cox barn
03:14that we just talked about, who's so hot right now.
03:16Like Hansel, this is a horse who's a first time starter
03:19though, who's training really well in the mornings.

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