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NewsTranscript
00:00We will talk to Chris Perez, the Assistant Weather Services Chief of PAG-ASA. Good morning and welcome back to Balitang Hali.
00:08Good morning, Connie, and to all of our listeners.
00:12Yes, sir. Chris, what are we expecting to be the weather forecast for now that the Philippine area of responsibility, Bagyong Karina, has been released?
00:20Connie, even though the center of Bagyong Karina has been released from our air responsibility earlier at 6.20am,
00:27the strong winds reached up to 660 kilometers from its center.
00:33That's why the center is outside of the park, but it is still within the Batanes area of the strong winds.
00:39That's why we still have a tropical cyclone, wind signal number one, here in the province of Batanes.
00:44Where are our neighbors there? The rains and sometimes the gusts of wind.
00:50Meanwhile, the continuous winds of Bagyong Karina will continue to bring down the rainfall,
00:56even though the strong rains are still expected, especially in the provinces, here in the Kandurang part of Luzon, Connie.
01:02Okay. In your mentioned reports, the amount of rain reached 590.1 millimeters due to the loss of rainfall due to Bagyong Karina.
01:14What is the comparison that we should have here?
01:16Because you are saying that it should not be compared to Bagyong Ondoy, right?
01:20Because of the loss of rainfall. I think it was 2012, if I remember correctly.
01:25Well, Connie, first of all, we mentioned 593 millimeters of rain.
01:30It broke the monthly record of normal rainfall here in Science Garden, Quezon City.
01:36So it means that there was a lot of rainfall due to Bagyong Habagat here in Metro Manila,
01:42in this current episode of Bagyong Karina.
01:46Now, in terms of comparison, because we usually compare Bagyong Habagat to Bagyo,
01:52this is a different weather system, although it was still raining.
01:55Let's look at our historical data. In terms of Ondoy, let's go back to Ondoy.
02:02In 2012, it rained more than 300 millimeters of rain in just 6 hours.
02:07This current episode of Bagyong Habagat reached around 18 hours before it reached around 300 millimeters of rain.
02:16So if we look at the strength, the rain was stronger because it was Bagyong compared to Habagat.
02:22Now, the similarity with another Habagat episode that we saw,
02:26in 2012, there was a typhoon that had almost the same location as Typhoon Karina,
02:32and the enhancement of Habagat was almost the same.
02:35Although, that Habagat episode in 2012 and the Habagat episode in 2024 had almost the same scenario,
02:44there was still more rainfall, or the rainfall was still faster than Bagyong Ondoy in 2009.
02:50I see, okay. But is this going to be our new normal?
02:54Because it was said before that the strength and the amount of rain will not be repeated after Ondoy,
03:01and yet, we are here and we can see that it was only in Habagat in 2012, and again, it was repeated in 2024.
03:08Connie, extreme weather events such as heavy rain, wind, or typhoon,
03:14sometimes we call it a return period. It can be every 10 years, 20 years.
03:18So the return period of extreme weather events still varies.
03:22Sometimes, some of our countrymen call it a new normal.
03:25The best that we can do is to adapt. How can we adapt?
03:29We should always be aware of the weather and climate information released by the government,
03:34especially if this is what we need to improve, inclement weather, typhoon,
03:38or the upcoming typhoon during the second half of this year.
03:42So the key to survival or adaptation to the changing normal in terms of weather and climate
03:49is the information, the up-to-date information from the credible source that we can use for immediate action
03:58so that we can avoid any hazard of this extreme weather or climate event that might affect us in the future.
04:05Okay. Thank you very much for guiding us and for your update.
04:09As Assistant Weather Services Chief, Chris Perez.
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