Euro 2024, Di Lauro (Sisal): "Spagna favorita per il titolo continentale"
(Adnkronos) - La prima semifinale vede di fronte la Spagna, a caccia del suo quarto titolo continentale (record), e la Francia che non trionfa dal 2000. “Secondo gli esperti Sisal la Spagna, unica tra le quattro finaliste ad aver sempre vinto durante il torneo, è favorita al 31% con inglesi e transalpini entrambe al 27% mentre gli Oranje chiudono al 15%. Ma attenzione a dar per sconfitti i ragazzi di Koeman”. Così Ignazio Di Lauro, Betting Director Sisal, sul campionato europeo di calcio numero 17 in corso in Germania.
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00:00If we look at the semi-finalists of this European, apart from the Netherlands that took the place of Germany, the other three teams, so France, Spain and England, follow a little those that were the top favorites before the competition.
00:15But if we look at the performance of these teams, while on the one hand Spain and the Netherlands are absolutely convincing thanks to a sparkling game, on the other hand France and England are a little disappointing the expectations, even France have not yet scored a goal on action during this European.
00:30That is why our voters, in the ranking for the final victory, put Spain in first place with 31% of probability, followed by French and English with 27%, and in the tail 15% of the Netherlands, but watch out for the men of Koeman, because they have that enthusiasm that has drawn Italy in 2021 and we know very well that it could bring a great surprise.
00:51The semi-final between Spain and France is a bit ahead of what would have been the final of this European. According to our estimates, the Red Bulls have a 36% chance of winning the match in 90 minutes, compared to 33% of a draw, or 31% as a possibility that the Blues of Lechamp will win.
01:09But the balance of this match is reflected in the probability that the two teams can go extra or even penalties, according to our estimates there is a 3% chance that this will happen.
01:19The challenge of this evening will see a lot of talents on the field, but not necessarily to decide whether they will be the 22 starters on the field, in fact we see at 36% the possibility that a goal can come from a cross from the bench.
01:31And speaking of talents, for the lovers of numbers it will be a bit of a challenge between numbers 7 and 10, in fact on the one hand there is the pair of forwards Mbappe and Morata, both with a 26% chance of scoring a goal tonight, on the other hand the pair of numbers 10 with Dani Olbo and Griezmann who could be decisive with a goal or an assist, respectively at 29% to 31% of probability.
01:55The challenge between England and Holland in our opinion will certainly be a winning race, with the two teams that will not spare themselves and will play at very high intensity for all 90 minutes, and that is why we estimate at 51% the possibility that there may be more than 24 goals in the match.
02:11As for which of the two teams will reach the final next Sunday, the English are slightly ahead at 55%, but watch out for the Dutch who can't wait to relive the event that in 1988, led by Gullit and Van Basten, had given the Dutch an incredible joy.
02:29The second semi-final will also see many protagonists on the field, but in our opinion it will mainly be a challenge between bombs. On the one hand, Gak Poe will try to consolidate his title as captain, we estimate at 23% that he can go again to sign in this European. On the other hand, the usual Henry Kane will try to say his own, he is a little more disadvantaged than the Dutch at 26%, but we are convinced that experience can make the difference as usual.
02:55Attention also to Depay and Bellingham, both at 23% as markers in the match.