Buffalo Bills: Primed for Victory or Facing Another Setback?
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00:00 [MUSIC]
00:02 >> Buffalo, New York, where I know the game is played tonight.
00:05 Better yet, Orchard Park, New York, between the Bills and the Broncos.
00:09 Monday Night Football, Buffalo a seven point home favorite, the over under 47 and
00:14 a half.
00:15 What is Donny Rightside's favorite play for
00:17 Monday Night Football to end out week number ten?
00:20 >> If we're going sides and totals here, I probably would like the side better.
00:23 And that's with the Denver Broncos.
00:24 A couple weeks ago, you said, you're crazy, man.
00:26 The Broncos is riding out the string here.
00:27 Peyton's gonna wonder why he shouldn't just retire at the end of the season.
00:30 And Russell Wilson is not gonna be the quarterback of the future for
00:33 the Broncos.
00:34 A lot of things can change here, and you just never know.
00:37 Are we anticipating an outright victory tonight for the Denver Broncos?
00:39 No, cuz the odds makers are giving a touchdown favor to the Bills,
00:42 who are a better football team.
00:44 But do we start talking about outside playoff opportunities here for
00:48 the Denver Broncos?
00:49 And keep in mind, already have the Chiefs out of the way,
00:51 both of those games, which they split.
00:53 And you wanna say this, cuz I'm usually of the same wavelength, Ben,
00:56 where I hear the grown back, they're like, no, that team stinks.
00:59 But when you take a look at the standing, it's just like, hmm,
01:02 they win tonight, a couple things go wrong in two weeks,
01:05 they might actually have the seven seed, things could change drastically.
01:08 I look for a good performance out of the Denver Broncos tonight, so
01:10 I think the best bet sidewise or total wise for
01:13 me would be to take the plus seven tonight.
01:15 And again, keep in mind,
01:16 fans will open this at an eight and a half price, now down to around seven.
01:19 It'll be interesting to see where it gets around game time, Ben.
01:21 >> Yeah, Donnie, I can't lay seven with the Buffalo Bills right now.
01:25 I think they're the better team,
01:26 I think they're gonna win this football game outright.
01:28 I think they'll improve to six and four.
01:30 The Broncos still only a three win team,
01:32 have only covered in their last two games that they won both of those outright.
01:37 But Donnie, Buffalo has really struggled as a favorite this year.
01:41 They've only covered three times in their eight games as a favorite,
01:44 as a touchdown or more favorite.
01:46 They are one in three, A-T-S, three and one, straight up.
01:51 Now, I am very interested in the total.
01:54 We know the prime time trends, 24 unders and 31 NFL prime time games here in 2023.
02:01 This one's pretty high though for a prime time game at 47 and a half.
02:05 We saw eight overs out of 13 NFL games so far in week number 10.
02:10 Might it be nine out of 14, which would be a drastic change to start
02:15 the second half from the 62% under clip hit rate that we saw in the first half
02:21 of this season, I'm not sure I would bet it, but I'm interested to see.
02:26 Dalton Kincaid, Donnie, is a good look for tonight, but 53 and
02:30 a half is a lot higher than he was just last week when the number was in the low
02:33 40s, or the week before when it was 35 in a hook.
02:36 That number has grown by nearly 20 yards.
02:38 Again, he's been over that in three straight for Buffalo.
02:42 But Donnie, I kind of love Russ to go along your rushing yards,
02:46 quarterback as you lined it up on the show tonight on PFT.
02:50 You can look at the lines for Russell Wilson, 19 and
02:54 a half, a number he has been over in three consecutive games.
02:57 Every time that Russell Wilson has been sacked four or more times this year,
03:02 he has been well over this rushing yards prop of 19 and a half.
03:06 In Buffalo, 29 sacks through nine weeks, top 10 in the NFL.
03:11 They like to get after the quarterback.
03:13 The Broncos have had issues keeping Russell Wilson upright in his year and
03:17 a half in the mile high city.
03:20 I kind of love Russ over 19 and a half rushing yards.
03:23 [MUSIC]