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00:00Yes, the program will be free of charge, started by the government on Monday and a number of stocks were lifted.
00:11We will review it together with Mr. Muhammad Nafan Ajigusta, Senior Market Analyst, Mirai Asset Securities Indonesia.
00:18Good morning, Mr. Nafan.
00:20Good morning, Mrs. Prisana.
00:21Because we just met. Happy New Year.
00:24Happy New Year.
00:26The program will be free of charge, started by the government on Monday and a number of stocks were lifted,
00:31even though the index of joint stock prices has decreased by more than 1%.
00:34We will focus on the stocks that have the potential to be strengthened first.
00:40Like GOTO yesterday.
00:41Because before that, the Vice President, Gebran Raka Bumingraka, said that there is a potential to be related to transportation.
00:52What do you think about the related stocks?
00:57Technically, GOTO has successfully rebounded from the MA200 line when the body support was at 62.
01:08It has been strengthened for 4 trading days until it was closed at level 80.
01:15Because actually, GOTO has been priced in from the existence of positive catalysts,
01:20from the distribution of free lunch programs planned by the government in early January.
01:28It has been proven that GOTO also plays a role as a logistics distribution,
01:36especially in terms of food that is distributed to students, especially in schools.
01:48So, we see that GOTO has been strengthened above the MA200 line,
01:56even above the MA20 line.
01:59Indeed, I admit that GOTO is still bullish.
02:04Even from my indicator, it is still not overbought.
02:09So, even though GOTO has undergone a normal correction,
02:15it is still able to survive above the MA200 line.
02:19This means that GOTO is still in the uptrend category.
02:24Because there is no lower low yet.
02:27GOTO is still in the uptrend category.
02:30Yes, that's right.
02:31Okay, it will go down from the uptrend if there is a lower low.
02:34What is the next lower low, Mr. Nafan?
02:36Actually, the lower low was supported by the MA200 at 62.
02:40Don't let GOTO be below the MA200 or at level 62.
02:46Then, it can be below the price of 60.
02:51So, GOTO is already at level 80.
02:54The ideal target price is already at level 98.
02:57Because it is reflected in the inverted head and shoulders pattern on the daily chart.
03:01Okay.
03:02Besides GOTO, there is also FOOD.
03:06FOOD or Central Food Indonesia,
03:08which has experienced a boost even though it is not as big as GOTO,
03:11which increased by 2.5 percent.
03:13While Central Food only increased by almost 1 percent at 117.
03:17Yes, compared to GOTO,
03:22which experienced a significant boost trend in the last few days,
03:28FOOD's price movement synergy is still relatively underwhelming at the beginning of the year.
03:35But if you look at the daily chart,
03:37I see that it is different from GOTO,
03:40which tends to see the potential uptrend.
03:44While FOOD sees a random trend for its chart movement.
03:49So, for me, the support and resistance of FOOD is around 110.
03:56The closest resistance is at level 125.
04:00So, it is only between the range for FOOD.
04:03Besides that, there is Cisarua Mountain Dairy, CMRY, which increased by 2 percent.
04:07Is it more interesting than FOOD?
04:10Or what do you think about CMRY?
04:13Well, for Cimory,
04:15I see that it is a bearish consolidation.
04:17Fortunately, yesterday it experienced a rebound of around 2.04 percent.
04:24Because it is a positive sentiment from the free lunch provided by the government.
04:31But the problem is that Cimory has not yet broken above the resistance level of 5125.
04:38If Cimory can break above 5125,
04:41there will be a potential for a bearish consolidation phase to form.
04:45So, it will test not only the MA-60 line resistance,
04:50but also at 5400 as the last lower high resistance for Cimory.
04:57Okay.
04:58If we talk about the free lunch sentiment for the stock market,
05:02do you think this can be used as a reason not to invest in an METAN that we just mentioned?
05:09Or do you think this is just a temporary euphoria?
05:14Or what do you think about the President's excellent program?
05:19Well, if we look at the movement of Cimory and FOOD,
05:24I think the increase is only temporary.
05:30Because if FOOD is a consolidation,
05:33Cimory's movement is a relatively bearish consolidation.
05:36It's different from GOTO.
05:37If there is a hope for a future uptrend in GOTO,
05:42because GOTO has managed to achieve profitability from its EBITDA adjustment.
05:49So, even in the fourth quarter, it should be able to show such performance.
05:54Even so, the bottom line is still net loss.
05:56But at least there is improvement.
06:00If GOTO is a face correction,
06:03for example, it is brave to support MA-5 or MA-10,
06:06it can be considered as a buy weakness.
06:09As long as it doesn't go below 60, right?
06:11Yes, that's right, Ms. Prisca.
06:13Okay, let's leave the FOOD program,
06:15which is a free charity that raises several stocks.
06:19Let's move on to IHSG.
06:20Yesterday, it dropped by more than 1%.
06:22Mr. Navan, Nipicu, Perbankan Besar again.
06:25Then there is Alam Tri or ADRO.
06:27And maybe there is also PANI recently.
06:29Or in 2024, it was enough to draw attention with significant strength,
06:35I think more than 200% year-to-date.
06:38What do you think?
06:39Which of your analysis is more interesting,
06:41from the donor of this IHSG weakness?
06:43Perbankan, Alam Tri, or PANI?
06:47Fortunately, if I look at Perbankan,
06:50the condition of the price movement is more prone to bearish consolidation.
06:56So, it's just bearish consolidation for the time being.
07:00There are some that have a fairly undervalued performance.
07:07So, it's generally undervalued.
07:09But if you look at the weekly chart,
07:11of course, this is Perbankan, except BCA.
07:13For Perbankan, Bang Jumbo is generally in the major sideways,
07:18in the weekly chart.
07:19So, if it's undervalued,
07:21it should be quite ideal to be considered as a bottom fishing,
07:26if I save.
07:28If we look at Alam Tri,
07:31for example, Adaro,
07:33Adaro is also bearish consolidation,
07:37but the candlestick pattern is free inside down.
07:41The possibility of further correction can still be wide open.
07:45Hopefully, it can be limited,
07:47because if it is limited,
07:49there will be a potential limited downside for Adaro.
07:52Meanwhile, for PANI,
07:54if I save,
07:55PANI is also free inside down candlestick pattern.
07:58The possibility of further correction can still be wide open.
08:01Hopefully, it can be limited,
08:04because if I look at PANI,
08:06there is a minor uptrend line
08:08that is formed,
08:09it is supported at 16,200.
08:12So, at the moment, at 16,225,
08:14if it can still be sustained at 16,200,
08:16then it becomes a bottom fishing,
08:19the possibility will be a minor technical rebound.
08:24Because if I look at PANI at the moment,
08:26the price movement condition,
08:28if I look at the other MA20,
08:32okay, if it can,
08:34it is still a consolidation,
08:36it is still a consolidation.
08:38Still a consolidation.
08:40You haven't recommended for PANI,
08:42even though it is ahead of the IPO from its subsidiary, CPDK,
08:45to be in the middle of this race,
08:47by PANI?
08:48Well, for PANI, the key is like this,
08:50if it can pass the other MA20,
08:54at around 16,750,
08:58then I am more confident that
09:00this will be a bullish consolidation,
09:02so later it will test to the nearest resistance,
09:06at 17,600,
09:08while for the psychological resistance level,
09:12it is around 18,800 for PANI.
09:16So maybe it can be a treetop pattern
09:20in the resistance area.
09:24So how about the analysis of the shares
09:26that may be your main concern?
09:28We will review it in the next segment of Usai Jeda.
09:30We will be back soon.
09:32Stay tuned on MarketBas.