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00:00The nightcap of a Saturday tripleheader in the first ever 12-team college football playoff.
00:09It's our 8-9 matchup in an invasion of volunteers in Columbus, Ohio.
00:17As number 8 Ohio State will host number 9 Tennessee.
00:22And I use host maybe in air quotes if you've been following some of the fan-based conversations
00:28entering the shoe on Saturday night.
00:30A lot of the tickets put on the resale market for a college football playoff game.
00:35Not just simply an Ohio State home football game inside the horseshoe.
00:40Tennessee fans have overwhelmed the system.
00:42They've bought nearly 42% of those tickets put back on the market.
00:48Might be a lot of orange in the crowd on Saturday night.
00:52But still Zeno the Buckeyes more than a touchdown home favorite inside the shoe.
00:58It is our lowest total of the opening round of the CFP that continues to plummet.
01:03Now down to 45 and a hook.
01:06How do you break down the matchup between the Bucs and the Vols?
01:10Well before I give you my play I will agree with you.
01:12And here's the interesting part about what's going to happen here on Saturday.
01:17And I'm sort of here for the chaos.
01:19If Tennessee goes up like 14-0 how restless will the natives in that stadium get?
01:24How quickly will they turn on Ryan Day?
01:28You might even see them walk out like honestly.
01:30Like I think that there's a world where they are that irritated
01:34with what has gone on at Ohio State and their inability to beat Michigan.
01:36And then win a national title that that may happen.
01:39Now to your point Ben.
01:40I took a different approach to this game than I have to the other ones.
01:44I took a first half under and I got it at 23 and a half.
01:46And that number is gone because as you mentioned the total is plummeting here.
01:50So we're down to 22 and a half and 22 in the first half.
01:53When I look at a game script of the way this first half is going to unfold.
01:56First of all you're going to have cold weather.
01:57Second of all you're going to have two defenses that are really really good.
02:00And for as much as we looked at Tennessee at the beginning of this year.
02:02When they were putting up all those points it's unstoppable on offense.
02:05Guess what?
02:05We found out their offense against good SEC teams is pretty pedestrian.
02:08So you're going to take Nico and you're going to put him in cold weather.
02:12Where he's never played before and ask him to run an offense.
02:14That hasn't really been scoring against good teams.
02:16I don't think it happens.
02:18I think there's a game script where both of these defenses show out early.
02:21And both of these offenses don't do much.
02:23I think there's a game script where Ohio State's defense shows out early.
02:27And shuts down Tennessee and their offense is good enough to get up.
02:29Score two touchdowns and be up 14 to three and a half.
02:32I think that one works.
02:33I think also the flip is true.
02:34Where if Tennessee gets a couple of early scores.
02:36When Ohio State's offense which is nothing to get excited about.
02:39Doesn't have the ability to come back against a stout Tennessee defense.
02:42Tennessee could be up 17 nothing at halftime.
02:45I think the least likely game script is where both of these offenses score a bunch.
02:48And score early a bunch.
02:49I think it's going to take them two quarters to get adjusted to each other.
02:52And figure out what each other's defense is doing.
02:55And how they're going to navigate through that.
02:57I think the cold weather certainly will limit Tennessee's offense.
02:59And I certainly don't trust Ohio State's Will Howard.
03:02So give me the first half under in this matchup.