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Bagyong #PepitoPH, nasa Typhoon category na; epekto ng bagyo, mararamdaman na bukas

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Transcript
00:00The Philippine Area of Responsibility has not yet released the Ophel typhoon.
00:05Another typhoon is currently being reported in Par.
00:08This is the Tepito typhoon, which was feared to be a super typhoon as well.
00:14For the latest updates on the typhoon,
00:16let's find out from Weather Specialist Raymond Ordinario.
00:21Yes, good afternoon Ms. Angelica and all of our viewers.
00:26We are currently monitoring two typhoons.
00:30The first is the Ophel typhoon, which was a severe tropical storm.
00:35The last to hit was 215 km northwest of Calayan, Cagayan,
00:40or 125 km north of Itbayat, Batanes.
00:45The typhoon has a wind speed of 110 km per hour in the middle
00:49and a gust speed of 135 km per hour.
00:54This is a typhoon moving north-northwest at a speed of 20 km per hour.
00:59Because of the Ophel typhoon,
01:00two typhoons were reported in the province of Batanes.
01:04Meanwhile, the number one signal here in the northern portion of Cagayan,
01:08Paguyan Island, northern portion of Apayao,
01:11northern portion of Ilocos Norte.
01:14As we can see here at the Ophel,
01:16it will always be there at the end of the island.
01:19It is expected that it will leave our area of responsibility shortly
01:24and will enter again.
01:26It will arrive here in southern Taiwan
01:29and will remain until November 18, or Monday.
01:34We can see that it will become a low-pressure area.
01:40This is our update here at the safety people who are being monitored
01:44It is possible that we will experience an effect in the coming days.
01:52This is a typhoon with a wind speed of 130 km per hour in the middle
01:59and a gust speed of 160 km per hour.
02:03Again, it is expected that it will leave the eastern part of the island at a speed of 630 km per hour.
02:10Even if the typhoon Pepito is far away,
02:14the typhoon Babala has already passed twice
02:16here in the eastern portion of Northern Samar and northern portion of Eastern Samar.
02:23The number one signal in the southeastern portion of Quezon,
02:26Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur,
02:28Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, Matbate,
02:32rest of Northern Samar, rest of Eastern Samar, Samar, and Biliran.
02:36Even if the typhoon Babala has not yet experienced a direct effect in the Bicol region of Camarines,
02:44we will continue to monitor the typhoon Babala
02:46as a preparation for the possible effects of the typhoon
02:50that will be experienced tomorrow until Monday.
02:54Based on our forecast,
02:56the typhoon Catanduanes will hit the Bicol region
03:02and it is possible that there will be a second landfall in the Aurora-Quezon area
03:07and the typhoon Sambales will come out.
03:09This is what we see as a possible scenario
03:11but the typhoon Pepito is moving around.
03:15That is why we will continue our update regarding the typhoon Pepito.
03:21Ms. Angelique?
03:23Yes, just a few questions.
03:25Here in the typhoon Pepito,
03:27we will repeat the provinces that are expected to be affected
03:31so that our countrymen will be more prepared.
03:35Yes, Ms. Angelique, we will repeat that.
03:37As of now and from tomorrow,
03:39our countrymen will experience that in the Samar province and here in the Bicol region.
03:45This will be followed by the whole of Bicol and it is possible
03:49that there will be a second landfall in the Aurora-Quezon area
03:55and it is possible that the typhoon Sambales will come out.
03:59In that scenario, the typhoon Pepito can have an effect
04:05on Saturday until Monday here in the Bicol region, Calabarzon,
04:11Metro Manila, and the whole of Central Luzon.
04:15It is also possible that the areas here in the southern portion of Northern Luzon
04:20will still experience the rains brought by the typhoon Pepito.
04:25Okay, you said that the typhoon Pepito has not been felt yet,
04:28but when will it start to experience heavy rains and winds?
04:34As of now, by tomorrow afternoon or evening,
04:38our countrymen will experience that in the Samar province.
04:41Then, it will rise towards Catanduanes.
04:44So by Saturday and Sunday,
04:46these are the critical points or critical dates for the Samar Bicol region area.
04:52Then by Sunday, it will rise towards Quezon
04:56and we will experience it in Central Luzon by Sunday until Monday.
05:01So here in Metro Manila, we are also expecting heavy rains on Sunday and Monday.
05:06Okay, about the storm surge,
05:09are there places that have a storm surge warning?
05:14As of now, we are seeing storm surge areas
05:17because of the upcoming typhoon Pepito
05:20here in Southeastern Quezon, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Albay, Sorsogon, and Northern Mazbate.
05:27It is also included in Burrieta, Tikau Island,
05:30Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Samar, and Northern Diliran.
05:34So these are the areas, the mentioned places,
05:38where it is possible to experience a storm surge.
05:42We have a small update on La Niña.
05:46As you know, Ms. Angelito,
05:49based on our latest assessment from our climate division,
05:53we still have a 71% chance of having a La Niña or La Niña in light condition
05:59in the last quarter of 2024,
06:02and it will persist until January, February, and March.
06:06So in our month-of-day analysis,
06:09we can only see short-lived,
06:11that is to say, we can only expect a La Niña.
06:15Okay, but does La Niña have an effect on the formation of storms
06:19and on the strength of these storms?
06:22As of now, Ms. Angelito, we can see,
06:24we experienced this last week,
06:26that our storms persisted.
06:28This is one of the key signatures or key features of developing La Niña
06:33that is helpful because it has heat,
06:36this large part of the Pacific Ocean,
06:39and we have wind coming from the east,
06:43that is really helpful for our storms to persist.
06:47Okay, what is the expected number of storms in December?
06:52And can you already see if in the first part of 2025,
06:56there will be a storm surge?
06:58As of now, based on our assessment,
07:00when December arrives,
07:02there will be one or two storms.
07:04Then when January arrives,
07:06until April,
07:07we expect up to one storm
07:09that can form every month.
07:11So we are expecting at least six storms
07:14until April of 2025.
07:17Okay, thank you very much for the time you gave us,
07:20weather specialist Raymond Ordinario.

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