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MEDI1TV Afrique : LE GRAND JOURNAL MIDI - 04/11/2024

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00:00I am delighted to see you again in this great midday newscast.
00:21Let's go straight to the headlines of your newscast.
00:25To date, less than one, no poll has managed to distinguish between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
00:31Never the outcome of a presidential duel in the United States had been so unpredictable between two candidates that everything opposes.
00:42A Hamas official says that the Palestinian movement has not received an official proposal for a truce in the Gaza Strip.
00:50But the movement will study any project if it integrates a total Israeli withdrawal from the territory.
00:59Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu once again swore to hit the Hezbollah hard
01:04during a trip to the border with Lebanon, where his army intensified its murderous strikes on the members of the Lebanese movement.
01:20Let's go straight to the historical election campaign in the United States.
01:36I told you, never the outcome of a presidential duel in the United States had been so unpredictable between two candidates that everything opposes.
01:47Kamala Harris of Donald Trump, yesterday the Vice-President of the Democrats and the former President of the Republic
01:53have confirmed, have continued to poke the United States, who will decide whether America will open the doors of the White House for the first time to a woman
02:04or, on the contrary, to send the billionaire back there.
02:08Donald Trump has promised a sea of suffrage in his favor.
02:13As for Kamala Harris at the University of Michigan, she assured, I quote,
02:19the momentum is on our side, end of quote, in this state, where it risks losing the support of the Arab-origin population,
02:27some 200,000 people, because of Washington's support for Israel.
02:31And the Democrat has promised to do everything to stop the war in Gaza.
02:38I love that, George.
03:09In addition to Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, three other candidates are in the race to the White House.
03:19How can they have an impact on the outcome of this scrutiny?
03:25And what are their electorates?
03:30Jill Stein, Cornel West, or Chase Oliver.
03:34So who are these outsiders?
03:36They are called the candidates, the independents often presented as the fifth wheel of the carriage of the American presidential election,
03:42which has always been born, and with few exceptions,
03:45than a duel between two mastodons, the Democratic Party and the Republican Party.
03:49Jill Stein, a doctor of trade, Harvard graduate, is the candidate of the Green Party for the American presidential election,
03:56whose mantra is summarized in three words, people, planet, peace.
04:00This environmental activist wants to fight against climate change.
04:04She defends a charter of economic rights that would include universal access to health care and the right to employment.
04:10She is in favor of free public education and also wants to defend access to abortion and the rights of transgender people.
04:16Jill Stein is strongly committed to the war in Gaza and supports the Palestinian people.
04:21She also wants to withdraw American support for Ukraine.
04:24Robert Kennedy Jr., the independent who supports Trump,
04:27a smooth time for the Democratic Party's investment before giving up.
04:31Robert F. Kennedy Jr. had thought of joining the Libertarian Party
04:35before choosing to present himself under the label of an independent.
04:39This environmental law lawyer has been known in particular since the COVID-19 pandemic
04:44for his fight against vaccines and his interest in conspiracy theories.
04:47He has since been rejected by a large part of the Kennedy clan.
04:51Cornel West, another independent candidate,
04:53this university student who taught at Harvard and now Princeton,
04:57is a specialist in racial issues in the United States.
05:00He defines himself as a socialist, not a Marxist,
05:03and supported Senator Bernie Sanders' Democratic presidential primaries in 2016 and 2020.
05:08Cornel West would like to end the permanent fire in Gaza and the Israeli withdrawal from the Palestinian territory.
05:14He also said that he would cut all American aid to Ukraine and would like the end of NATO.
05:18He wants free health care for all American residents
05:21or wants to stop oil and gas projects on federal lands.
05:26Chase Oliver of the Libertarian Party,
05:28the one who joined the Libertarian Party in 2010,
05:31defines himself as a pro-weapon.
05:33He wants to withdraw the United States from any conflict abroad
05:36and thus reduce support for Ukraine and Israel.
05:38He wants to decriminalize the consumption and possession of drugs
05:42and wants to simplify the process of obtaining the citizenship of immigrants.
05:46Randall Terry or Peter Sonski,
05:48other candidates will appear on the ballot in some states,
05:52like Randall Terry of the Constitution Party.
05:54This 65-year-old man is an anti-abortion figure in the United States.
05:58Peter Sonski, a candidate of the American Solidarity Party, is also in LIS.
06:03He wants to defend the family and also fights against abortion.
06:06As many candidates as the conquest of the West,
06:09he will take more than a few days to know.
06:13And to win the presidential election tomorrow,
06:18Kamala Harris and Donald Trump put the famous Swing States
06:22on this decisive state.
06:25Back on the crucial role of these key states with Souheil Jalil.
06:29The Swing States, or the power to overthrow the American elections.
06:34Every four years, during the American presidential election,
06:37two types of states are distinguished.
06:39The first are those where the outcome of the vote is almost certain.
06:42The second, called Swing States, are those where the result is uncertain.
06:46In these states, the voters oscillate between the candidates
06:49and from one election to the other, Republicans and Democrats can win.
06:53These Swing States, sometimes nicknamed Purple States,
06:57in connection with purple, mix Democratic Blue and Republican Red.
07:01Or Battleground States, states of battle,
07:03have the ability to overturn an election.
07:06Indeed, if a candidate wins in one of these states,
07:09he wins all the votes of the major voters associated with him,
07:12according to the principle of the winner takes it all.
07:17However, there are two exceptions to this principle.
07:20The states of Maine and Nebraska apply a proportional distribution system
07:24of the major voters, which means that the number of major voters allocated
07:28is proportional to the number of votes obtained.
07:31This year, the states that will be decisive for the outcome of the poll are
07:34Arizona, North Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada,
07:40New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
07:43In 2020, Joe Biden had won all these states, except for North Carolina.
07:48However, this year, the situation is difficult for Democrats,
07:52especially in Arizona, where the firm positions of Donald Trump on issues
07:56such as immigration find an eco-favorable among some voters
08:00of this border state of Mexico.
08:02However, American political life can be full of surprises.
08:05In 2016, for example, Michigan was not considered a swing state.
08:10The top state in the automotive industry, around Detroit,
08:13had never been unfaithful to the Democratic Party since 1992,
08:17same thing in the neighboring Wisconsin.
08:19This year again, Donald Trump dreams of causing a surprise
08:23by overtaking, for example, the New Hampshire.
08:25On the contrary, Kamala Harris has not completely given up on Florida.
08:30In the last straight line, this presidential campaign
08:33looks like a chess game.
08:48News in the Middle East.
08:49Hamas assures not to have received official proposals for a strike
08:53in the Gaza Strip.
08:54A spokesman for the Palestinian movement claims, however,
08:57to want to study any project that would include a total withdrawal
09:01from the Palestinian territory.
09:04Hamas has also confirmed having held meetings
09:07on the request of mediators to discuss new proposals
09:11for a ceasefire and an exchange of prisoners.
09:14I remind you that the United States, Qatar and Egypt
09:17have been trying for months now to reach a truce
09:21coupled with the release of the hostages detained in Gaza.
09:30And while the Gaza Strip is plunged into a humanitarian disaster
09:34after more than a year of war,
09:36Israel has officially informed the UN today
09:39of the ban of UNRWA in the occupied Palestinian territories
09:43a week after the vote by the Israeli parliament
09:47on a law banning UNRWA activities.
09:52Israeli diplomacy has notified the UN
09:57of the cancellation of the agreement between Israel and UNRWA.
10:01This agreement dates back to 1967,
10:05the year of the beginning of the occupation by Israel
10:08of the Palestinian territories.
10:10UNRWA is considered the backbone
10:13of aid to the Palestinian refugees.
10:16It has declared that its ban in Israel
10:19could lead to the collapse of the aid system
10:22in the Gaza Strip.
10:28Meanwhile, the Palestinian Ministry of Health
10:31continues to provide data.
10:33According to it, two children were killed
10:36in the last hospital still in operation
10:39in the north of the Gaza Strip
10:41after a generator failure
10:43and shots from the Israeli army
10:46aimed at oxygen cylinders.
10:48UNRWA has alerted on a terrible report
10:52that in the last 48 hours
10:5550 Palestinian children have been killed
10:58in the Jabalia area in the north.
11:01In October 2023, UNRWA already declared
11:04that Gaza had become a cemetery for thousands of children.
11:08In December, UNICEF declared
11:10that the Gaza Strip is the most dangerous place
11:13in the world for a child.
11:15End of quote.
11:24In Spain, King Felipe VI and Queen Letizia
11:28were visiting Valencia,
11:31in the southeast of Spain,
11:33devastated by the floods
11:36that killed at least 217 people.
11:39The Prime Minister, Pedro Sanchez,
11:42was also there.
11:44He arrived at midday yesterday in Peyporta
11:47as one of the 25,000 inhabitants
11:50most affected by the tragedy.
11:52The Spanish authorities were greeted
11:55by residents of Valencia in anger.
11:58In the evening, the king said
12:00in a video posted on X
12:02that anger and frustration
12:04of the residents was increasing
12:06because of what they had experienced.
12:09He called to give them hope
12:11and to guarantee that the state
12:13was there to help them.
12:35He jammed with Ray Charles,
12:37conducted by Frank Sinatra,
12:39produced by Michael Jackson
12:41and launched by Will Smith.
12:43Quincy Jones died recently.
12:45He was 91 years old.
12:47We will remember this legend
12:49of American music,
12:51notably through this title,
12:53We Are The World,
12:55a charitable song
12:57for the fight against famine
12:59in Egypt.
13:01The title was one of the most sold
13:0345 tours in history,
13:05with more than 20 million copies
13:07sold.
13:09The path traveled by Quincy Jones
13:11is immense.
13:13The musician, I remind you,
13:15was born in the suburbs of Chicago
13:17on March 14, 1933.
13:19He died at the age of 81.
13:21He was a young musician
13:23who had just finished his studies
13:25at the University of Chicago
13:27at the time of his death.
13:29He died at the age of 91.
13:45And it's time to invite him
13:47to the big news at 24 hours
13:49of the American presidential election.
13:51We invite you today
13:53to explore the latest polls
13:55in the United States
13:57in this race to the White House
13:59which has never been so undecided
14:01according to some experts.
14:03So for what reason?
14:05What are the chances of Kamala Harris?
14:07What are the chances of Donald Trump?
14:0975 million Americans
14:11have already voted
14:13to elect their next president.
14:15This is Mr. Hassan Saoud,
14:17expert and political analyst,
14:19security specialist
14:21and strategist
14:23who is with us to talk about it.
14:25Hello and welcome.
14:27Hello Madam.
14:29Thank you for the invitation.
14:31What do you make of
14:33this American election campaign
14:35at 24 hours of the scrutin?
14:37A campaign that many experts
14:39qualify as unprecedented
14:41because Kamala Harris
14:43and Donald Trump
14:45are in a pocket bag.
14:47What is your analysis?
14:49Exactly
14:51what is said in the history
14:53of the American elections?
14:55A preferred election
14:57uncertain
14:59as you just said
15:01but also at the outset
15:03could influence
15:05the world affairs.
15:07The early votes
15:09are quite important
15:11and you just said
15:13for the 250 million
15:15there are already
15:17more than 75 million
15:19who voted prematurely.
15:21This decision is there
15:23but it must also be noted
15:25at the outset
15:27insofar as we
15:29assisted an election campaign
15:31brutal
15:33violent
15:35in terms of language elements
15:37and which then poured
15:39into the dominance of some and others
15:41even if the former president
15:43candidate put
15:45a little salt in his attacks.
15:47Today
15:49in spite of the uncertainty
15:51many think that there is
15:53a dynamic
15:55towards the
15:57democratic candidate
15:59and
16:01it would be necessary to wait
16:0324 hours because now
16:05the votes
16:07are decided by
16:09others. There is also
16:11something that is important
16:13is that there are
16:15dramas in the air
16:17that concern these elections.
16:19The former
16:21candidate president
16:23who does not always recognize
16:25the loss of the 2020 election
16:27has returned
16:29with a spirit of revenge
16:31and he absolutely wants
16:33to come to the White House.
16:35So if
16:37this candidate president
16:39had just failed in the elections
16:41there are dramas
16:43in the air, especially
16:45in the post-electoral
16:47situation
16:49which will be violent
16:51certainly but also
16:53and unfortunately
16:55which will open the door of the penalty
16:57to this candidate
16:59and it is all the drama
17:01of this election that must be
17:03monitored. We are
17:05today and more than before
17:07in an American society
17:09durable
17:11and that
17:13is no longer spoken of
17:15and certainly will not be spoken of
17:17in countries
17:19of presidents who will
17:21be elected.
17:23So in this
17:25American electoral campaign
17:27the polls
17:29are very present.
17:31What value,
17:33what credibility
17:35given to these last
17:37polls between the two candidates.
17:39Aren't the Americans
17:41safe from surprises?
17:43Professor Sarrout.
17:45There are always
17:47surprises in the American election
17:49because there is a proliferation
17:51of polling institutes
17:53and a hundred
17:55have just been created four or five months ago.
17:57So to aggregate
17:59all this data
18:01it is very difficult.
18:03Then there are obviously
18:05engaged institutes,
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22:49It's true, because in Michigan there is an emerging problem, the situation, the Israeli-Palestinian
23:09war is in the Middle East.
23:12There is an Arab-Muslim coalition that is against this war and against all the Israeli
23:24executions.
23:25And we witnessed a denunciation by the leaders, and they say they will vote against Kamala
23:34Harris, given that she is part of the government that derides the United States.
23:40We will see, the choice is difficult, but I think that Michigan is very important, and
23:48the opinion of this Arab-Muslim community will make the difference.
23:56So wait and see, it's always uncertainty, it's always in a handkerchief, and tomorrow
24:08will bring news, but it is above all, from my point of view, the outcome of this process
24:15that should be looked at with a lot of attention, given the consequences that could be generated
24:27by this election, which is quite violent and very brutal.
24:33Yes, and Kamala Harris was in fact in the last few hours in Michigan, and she promised
24:41voters to do everything to stop the war in Gaza.
24:46We remind you that there are actually 200,000 voters of Arab origin in this state.
24:53So Professor Hassan Saoud, what are, what would be the prospects for the United States,
25:00for each of the candidates, if they lost or if they won?
25:04You mentioned at the beginning of this interview the situation in particular for Donald Trump.
25:10Can we make the case of each of the two candidates, in both cases, of their victory or failure?
25:19Oui madame, il semblerait, la candidate démocrate l'a dit, elle prépare déjà son discours post-électoral au cas où elle chourait.
25:34Du côté de Trump, on sent malheureusement qu'il y a déjà des doutes sur la sincérité et l'intégrité de l'élection.
25:44Et qu'on parle de fraude, etc. Alors que toutes les enquêtes qui ont été effectuées jusqu'à présent par les FBI, notamment, ont démenti ces informations.
25:56Donc il y a là un doute, de mon point de vue, côté Trump, et qui préparerait à des manifestations ou autres, si jamais il ne serait pas élu.
26:09Et c'est ça le point qui est important. Les élections aux Etats-Unis se déroulent dans de bonnes conditions, surveillées, etc.
26:20Et donc parler de fraude, même s'il y a des mini-fraudes révélées, ne peuvent pas vraiment atteindre à toute l'intégrité du processus électoral aux Etats-Unis, il faut s'en rendre compte.
26:38Merci Professeur Hassan Saoud d'avoir été l'invité du Grand Journal. Merci d'avoir répondu à nos questions.
26:47Je rappelle que vous êtes expert et analyste politique, spécialiste en matière de sécurité et également en stratégie. Merci à vous.
26:56Merci beaucoup madame.
26:59Merci à vous. C'est la fin de ce journal. Vous restez connectés. L'actualité se poursuit sur notre antenne. A tout à l'heure.