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00:00A doubleheader of Monday night football to end out week number three of this 2024 NFL season.
00:07It starts in Western New York between the Buffalo Bills and the Jacksonville Jaguars.
00:12First game kicks at 7 30 p.m. Eastern time. About 45 minutes later we'll go to Cincinnati
00:18as the Bengals play host to the Commanders. And let's start first in Buffalo. The Bills,
00:23five and a half point favorite. Buffalo a perfect 2-0 straight up this year.
00:28One and one against the spread. Missing out on a cover week. One as the favorite despite
00:33storming back against Arizona. Did not cover as a six and a half point favorite. Winning 34-28.
00:40The Jags also one and one against the number. They did cover as an underdog despite also
00:47blowing an early two touchdown lead to Miami. They did not look good last week in their home
00:53opener in Duval County against the Cleveland Browns. Just 17 points in total for Jacksonville
01:00in that first game against Miami. 13 against Cleveland last week. The offense has been slow
01:07to start for the Jags. DRS how do you break down this matchup in Buffalo tonight?
01:12There's two angles that you're going to want to take a look at tonight. First if you start with
01:16the Buffalo Bills. 2-0 to start the season. You're right. Sluggish performance against Arizona who
01:20again I come full circle and say you know what preseason thoughts so now Arizona's a pretty
01:26competitive ball club at this point. Much better than I thought they would be. So maybe look at
01:30that Buffalo Bills game number one and say well that's a heck of a comeback against a pretty
01:33solid Arizona team. Release a team that's going to fight you to the finish. Week number two.
01:37Short week on the road and absolutely beat the heck out of the Miami Dolphins. Now granted we
01:42look at the Miami Dolphins and say to ourselves what are the actual Dolphins this year? Maybe
01:46we have to readjust and reevaluate at this point the way they look but also the Buffalo Bills.
01:50It feels like they haven't played for a month Ben. They played on that Thursday night. They've
01:53been off the entire time getting ready for the Jaguars and now the home game ender 2-0 in control
01:59of their own division. Now if you want to take a look at the Jaguars. Week number one. They probably
02:03should have beat the Miami Dolphins but blew that game late and also again what do we actually think
02:07of the Miami Dolphins and how sound they are even with two attack by Loa as the Buffalo Bills were
02:11blowing them out. Week two at home. Hey look at that. Cleveland responds. Played good defense and
02:16beat the Jaguars. Then you see Cleveland lose at home to the Giants and say boy is Cleveland even
02:22any good. So now you're taking a look at the Jaguars going 0-2 against two teams that basically
02:26look like bottom feeders potential right now in the AFC but also you have to remind yourself of
02:31this. I am a big proponent as well Ben. When you're 0-2 on the season you are fighting for jobs
02:37inside the building because if you go 0-3 the chances of making the playoffs are very
02:42minuscule at this point unless you go on incredible heater and as Bill Parcell says you are what your
02:47record says you are which means you'll be 0-3. That's a bad football team. You're also injured
02:52at the tight end position. Edvin Ingram had a great season last year. He's going to be down
02:56week number two. Now you're relying on younger rookie wide receivers on a team that hasn't played
03:00that great and the Buffalo Bills are flying in high and mighty. So which one are you going to
03:04take? The 0-3 like I played yesterday with the Baltimore Ravens knowing that obviously the
03:08Ravens are technically a better team than the Jaguars. They couldn't lose that football game
03:11on the road and they didn't. I don't have that same type of appeal here saying well Trevor Lawrence
03:15all of a sudden is going to get this offense moving and going forward. The Buffalo Bills
03:19are under a touchdown. If I think the Buffalo Bills are going to win this game which I do
03:23then I think they're going to win this game by seven points. That's the better angle for me.
03:26The Bills are better. The Bills are rested. The Bills are at home. Right. I mean DRS you're not
03:31wrong in your thought process of course there. When you look at the Jags again 0-2 since the
03:37postseason expanded in 2020 in the National Football League that additional wildcard team
03:43entering this week three slate in the past four years we had seen 32 teams start winless 0-2.
03:50Only two have made the playoffs back in 2022. It was the Bengals. We'll talk about them on another
03:550-2 start in 2024. And last year the Texans coming out of nowhere to win the AFC South in 2023.
04:03And again Jacksonville had the expectation entering last year to go back to back as an
04:08AFC South divisional champ with a young and promising quarterback in Trevor Lawrence.
04:13They got off to an 8-3 start the first 12 weeks. They lost five of their final six
04:18to allow the Texans to take the divisional crown. But Jacksonville despite this 0-2 start DRS
04:23and only averaging 15 points per game and oh by the way they were shut out in the second half by
04:28the Finns week one. So just 13 points in their last six quarters of football. I'm going to buy
04:35back in on the Jags. We've never seen or actually once since 2000 in this millennium an 0-3 team
04:42make the postseason after that kind of start. It was the Texans back in 2018. But I also buy in
04:49on the Jags for two more reasons. How great they have been as an underdog covering and on the road
04:55covering under Doug Peterson. 10-8 against the spread away from Duval County in the last now
05:01two plus years did cover on the road in Miami. 12-9 against the spread as an underdog.
05:08And Donnie we know this is the year of the dog. Teams that are a five and a half point underdog
05:1413-2 ATS. I think Buffalo wins tonight. I think Jacksonville keeps it within that five and a half
05:20point spread. So if we're looking at this game and trying to be optimistic right you have some
05:25talented players obviously on the Jacksonville Jaguars just hasn't come to fruition just yet
05:29this year. Travis Atien Jr. Bigsby's banged up coming into this game. So I look at like this
05:33what's going to be more likely here. Travis Atien who had 12 carries for 44 yards in game number one
05:38against the Browns 13 for 52. He's been serviceable scored touchdowns in both those games. You wish
05:42you would have held on to one of those extra touchdowns against Miami because they'd be one
05:46and one instead of you know oh and two at this point. So I say to myself if I like the Jacksonville
05:51Jaguars tonight I actually don't bet the Jags. This is a chance that they could get beat and get
05:54beat by more than seven points. But there's no way they're hanging around Ben unless Travis Atien
05:58has a solid performance. You take a look at the FanDuel Sportsbook today. You're not asking for
06:02like a Saquon Barkley 72 and a half or Jordan Mason over 80 yards. Take a look at this. Travis
06:06Atien in this game 49 and a half yards. If he doesn't get 50 yards there's no way the Jacksonville
06:13Jaguars win this football game. But there is a chance that he can get 50 plus yards and then
06:16lose this game and lose it by margin. Travis Atien is the key for me tonight. If you want to take
06:22Jacksonville he has to perform tonight and he should be the bell cow which means 15 plus carries
06:27which means he should be in the 50s win or lose tonight for me for the Jags. And Trevor Lawrence
06:33has to be a lot better. Last week threw for 220 but less than a 50 percent completion percentage.
06:38Not a touchdown. Only one touchdown week number one and just a buck 62. DRS if you think Buffalo
06:44is the better team how do you look at their prop outlook for this night? Again if you think they're
06:51going to win the football game I think James Cook's going to be a big part of that. Love the
06:54way the kids looked early in the season. It looks like they finally have that bell cow that they can
06:57trust but also just on the shoulders of Josh Allen. Like if they score three touchdowns tonight
07:03you know he's going to probably equate to at least two of those routines. He runs one in and throws
07:07one in maybe hands the football off to Cook. If you're looking at a Buffalo victory tonight it's
07:11right on the shoulders of Josh Allen. Can't lose with that guy. We'll talk a few more props from
07:16the opener on Monday and then we'll get to Cincinnati next. A few more props from the
07:21opener of our doubleheader on this Monday night to end out week number three in Buffalo. DRS
07:27completely agree with your assessment on James Cook. 61 and a half rushing yards. Jacksonville
07:32has been fine defensively in its first two games against Miami and then against Cleveland. It's the
07:38offense that needs to pick it up for the Jaguars if they are going to get their first win and avoid
07:44an 0-3 start. I find Buffalo incredibly interesting. Khalil Shakir is Buffalo's leading
07:51receiver this year but nobody on the bills has hit the century mark through two weeks. 96 yards is
07:59what Shakir has. He had more than 45 and a half with 50 plus in week number two on that short
08:06Thursday night in Miami. James Cook at least 95 scrimmage yards in each of the first two. Part of
08:12that could also be Donnie. Josh Allen in Buffalo so far ahead at the break. He picked six early
08:18in the third quarter against the Finns. They didn't need much. He was 13 of 19 for a buck 39
08:23and a touchdown. Has not thrown an interception so far the first two weeks of this season. But I do
08:30really want to see the number tonight for Dalton Kincaid. The second year tight end out of Utah
08:36who many people were very optimistic about his offensive role in this bill's offense. The number
08:43is now 37 and a half. I think it could be a by low spot not expecting Kincaid to be this bad
08:50through all 17 games for Buffalo this season. Yeah well also let's take a look at some wide
08:56receiving options here Ben for the Jacksonville Jaguars. And yesterday we loved this on the set
09:00and rightfully so. Stephon Diggs I think was like 45 and a half something in that range under 50
09:05yards. Goes back to Minnesota has a really nice day. They do get thumped in the effort but certainly
09:10he showed up. I take a look at Gabe Davis going back to his old stomping grounds in Buffalo at
09:1438 and a half. And again if I do think that Jacksonville is going to lose this game that
09:18means maybe some extra passes in the fourth quarter. That's not a huge number to go over.
09:22But also get back to the point of Travis Atien. If Bigsby is banged up heading into this game
09:26I'm looking at Travis Atien out of the back foot also at 20 and a half. That's two screen passes
09:31a couple dump downs here. I think we can make this work. So in a game I'm not in love with
09:35overall from like a side let's just say total perspective. I think there's a pretty good props
09:39market that you can make you know angles to this game that make a lot of sense. Granted you shouldn't
09:44just say hey Gabe Davis going back to Buffalo he's the centerpiece of that offense. Not necessarily
09:48but understand the points too. These guys are in the locker room. You don't think Trevor Lawrence
09:52ever comes up to him or these CJ Stroud yesterday or the day before during the week of practice. Hey
09:56man I know it's a big game for you. I'll take not I'll take care of you like you're going to be the
10:00center point but I'm not going to embarrass you by giving you one target for three yards and have
10:03the crowd constantly on you the whole game. He should be able to get over that number Gabe Davis
10:07and get it to the 40s. Yeah Gabe Davis 38 and a half only three catches in each of his first two
10:12games for the Jags but it's been over in both and was targeted seven times a week ago. All right so
10:19the Jacksonville Jaguars winless 0 and 2. The Bengals have been winless 0 and 2 each of the past
10:26three seasons but in the previous two in 2022 and 2023 they have won week number three. They have
10:32won four of their next five. They were trending in a positive direction last year before Joe Burrow
10:39got injured and missed the remainder of the season. Do we see something similar tonight
10:44in Cincinnati as the Bengals host the Commanders as more than a touchdown favorite? Yeah I do think
10:50we're having a bounce back performance tonight for Cincinnati. You take a look at that game number
10:54two. They were the better team. They were better than Kansas City but again Kansas City has Patrick
10:57Mahomes and you don't. Like Joe Burrow's a quarterback he's certainly not Patrick Mahomes
11:02but let's take a look in the focal point tonight that I want to look at here. That's Tee Higgins
11:05at wide receivers coming back into the fold. He does have the hamstring issues still but he is
11:10playing. Here's the reason why I bring that up. I'm not going to be betting Tee Higgins tonight
11:13and maybe he has a great performance but more of maybe a decoy playing half the snaps he typically
11:18does but certainly he'll be on the passing snaps much more than the running snaps as he was to have
11:22let's just say in a regular season game him being healthy but also Jamar Chase on the opposite side.
11:27Tonight's the night for Jamar Chase. Tonight's the night he goes over 100 yards. Tonight's the night
11:31he gets in the end zone. Why? Because even if Tee Higgins is out there basically as a decoy he still
11:36has to be accounted for. It can't be Yoshi Boston will let him run wild. Now Tee Higgins is there
11:42and you have to pay attention to him being an offensive red zone target which means a lot more
11:46targets might be coming for Jamar Chase and he gets single coverage as opposed to rolled over
11:51or double coverage here. I think tonight Joe Burrow shows up. Cincinnati's defense plays
11:55fantastic. It's a rookie on the road. That hook really is begging you to take the Washington
12:01Commanders. I'm not buying it. Cincinnati Bengals by double digits tonight on Monday Night Football.
12:06DRS I think the line is the line for a reason. What does any of that mean? Did I just quote
12:11Mike Tomlin and say the standard is the standard? What I mean by this is when this line opened up
12:17for week three I was like why are the commanders getting more than a touchdown against a winless
12:21Bengals team? Washington should keep this game competitive. They have looked halfway decent at
12:26least they did last week against the Giants but have they really and have the Bengals been as bad
12:33as the 0-2 record indicates? We'll talk about it up next when hour three begins with a question
12:38to all of you on the early line. Welcome to hour number three live right here on the early line
12:44on sports grid. It is a Monday. It starts off this new week but to end out week three we've
12:51got a doubleheader of Monday Night Football. In Buffalo it's the Bills and the Jaguars. In
12:56Cincinnati it's the Bengals and the Commanders. Both Cincy and Jacksonville have lost their
13:03opening two games of the year looking for win number one. Tonight the Bengals more than a
13:07touchdown favorite against the Commanders. The Jags a five and a half point road dog
13:12in western New York. We continue our preview of the doubleheader to end out week three on this
13:18Monday night. We'll hear from the pro football doc Dr. David Chow up next on the big injuries
13:23from the weekend that was around the National Football League and some prop perspective on
13:27this Monday from sports grids Tom Vecchio as well. All of that DRS in this final hour.
13:33Yeah boy we need the doc's advice. There are so many injuries already in the NFL.
13:37Timelines need to be set straight at this point but we are getting prepared
13:41for a doubleheader on Monday night. This is fantastic that the NFL does this. I believe
13:45four times during this season we're gonna have that doubleheader on Monday Night Football to
13:49get used to and quite frankly this should be an every week occurrence to be honest. I understand
13:54they like the Thursday Night Football package because it brings them in a lot of money even
13:57though sometimes it's bad football late in the season and teams that shouldn't be in prime time
14:00are in prime time but we still watch. Love the Sundays that we have but doubleheaders on Monday
14:05I do feel special and also I do like the fact that the doubleheaders basically are side by side
14:10in a staggered start so you don't have to wait up to 1 a.m. to watch that final game finish.
14:16When I was younger I would have loved the doubleheader. Hey look at that it used to be
14:18the early game then the Raiders game on the west coast to open the season. That's fantastic. I like
14:22that they're staggered here a 7.30 start an 8.15 start. It's awesome. Two games on, two games to
14:28bet, two games to handicap. This is what we do. Yeah it'll be great for you guys on NFL Football
14:33in-game live game day to have not just one game to belabor during commercial breaks or as things
14:39slow down you can go through two. That's Donnie, Joe Lisi and Kevin Walsh tonight live right here
14:45on Sports Grid for the Rare Doubleheader on this Monday night to end out week number three. Now DRS
14:51I did say on Thursday when we were last together that we would be tracking the public because
14:56oftentimes with the standalone prime time games on Monday and Thursday we ask the public what is
15:01your best bet for this NFL contest. The public on Thursday saying under 36 and a half or 38 and a
15:10half whatever it was between the Jets and the Patriots and they were spot on it was well under
15:15New York won that game comfortably 24 to 3. So now we get to hear what the public likes for this
15:23Monday night doubleheader. The public so far this year three and two and their overall five picks
15:29through the standalone games that we have asked is the good time continue for the public or will
15:35we be looking the other way? We find out together in Fade the Public.
15:46Now DRS you would expect when we have two spreads tonight that are at five and a half and seven and
15:51a half when we ask the public to just pick the straight up winner they're going to go with the
15:54favorites and it does make sense but in a year where many people are out of their survivor pools
16:00by week three in a year we have seen underdogs of at least five and a half points be 13 and two
16:06against the spread with nine outright victories including four underdogs of five and a half points
16:11or more winning outright on Sunday maybe it's a little bit of a tougher proposition for the public
16:18regardless the public still going overwhelmingly with the two heavy home favorites tonight the
16:23Bengals laying seven and a half against the Commanders the Bills laying five and a half
16:27against the Jaguars and taking them outright it's minus 125 to put those two hefty favorites together
16:34in a money line parlay more than 63 percent saying Cincy Buffalo getting dubs tonight DRS
16:41are you fading the public? No I'm not going to fade the public it seems too simple and you're
16:46right about this through the first two weeks of the season we've seen crazy upsets team we never
16:50thought would be in spots to win football games and ended up winning let alone winning the entire
16:54game like the Carolina Panthers and smoking the Raiders or if it's you're down 14-0 the Rams are
16:59dead in the water no way they can win their season it's over only see them come all the way back and
17:03kick a winning field goal at the end of the game and also we're not taking a look at bad football
17:07teams per se tonight yes you're looking at the Jaguars as a bad record 0-2 but there's still a
17:11lot of talent out there where they can beat the Buffalo Bills I don't think it's going to happen
17:16but certainly it's in the realm of you're not going to be oh my goodness I can't believe that
17:19happened and the same thing with the Washington Commanders maybe get a breakout game from Jaden
17:23Daniels there's a couple touchdown passes and puts the heat on an 0-2 Cincinnati Bengals team
17:27which quite frankly hasn't been that great to start the season losing game to the terrible
17:31New England Patriots then losing that game in a heartbreaking fashion to Kansas City I do think
17:36both of the favorites both of the home teams do have good performances tonight 63.5% of these
17:42votes already coming in on the Bengals and the Bills at a minus 125 parlay to win it I think
17:46that's the sound move and I do believe the public is right I won't fade them tonight so the Bengals
17:52are one of those 15 teams that were a five and a half point underdog or greater week two in Kansas
17:58City part of the 13 teams that have covered as a five and a half point dog or greater almost
18:04one of the what would have been ten to win outright unable to do so because of the defensive
18:09pass interference call at the end of the game last week in KC I think one of the reasons the
18:15rs you look at the Bengals laying seven and a hook tonight against Washington and think yourself
18:20why is the spread so large the last time the Bengals were more than a touchdown favorite
18:25against a perceived less than 500 team was week number one as the largest favorite of the slate
18:32against the Patriots and of course they lost outright again I said right before we hit the
18:38break into our third hour this game look to me where the line is telling us something you can
18:44learn from the line throw out your football handicap don't bring up the x's and o's and why
18:49Joe Burrow can expose a bad commander secondary as we have seen over the last year plus this line
18:57is seven and a half for a reason so let's break it down the Bengals right trying to avoid an 0
19:02and 3 start for the third consecutive year when they have started 0 and 2 they have one week three
19:09each of the past two they know with Super Bowl operation aspirations you cannot start
19:14winless 0 and 3 a Super Bowl champ in the NFL has never been 0 and 3 to their first three games and
19:21only won the 2018 Texans since the turn of the millennium in 2000 has even gone on to make the
19:28postseason so the Bengals have a decline that uphill battle once again I believe they do so
19:34but can they cover as a seven and a half point favorite the commanders the rs week number one
19:40blown out in Tampa 37 20 came nowhere close to covering as a three and a half point underdog
19:46and it was a late touchdown as Jaden Daniels and Washington were trying to get their groove going
19:51with their rookie quarterback to really even make that game three scores as opposed to four last
19:57week the commanders got their first win of the year great they did not score a touchdown seven
20:03field goals from Austin Seiberg who was signed in the week because of the Giants inability to elevate
20:10a kicker that's what cost New York the game and now a two and one start and the commanders in 0
20:17and 2 hole the Bengals feel like the very right side tonight and as you said maybe even winning
20:23by double digits covering is a seven and a half point favorite yeah Luan Aramo is one of the better
20:28defensive coordinators in the sport itself you know he's got to be licking his chops to get a
20:32rookie quarterback on the road especially the pressure environment that's going to be on tonight
20:36not with the Washington commanders they're waiting to see what they have their franchise quarterback
20:39which we certainly think they do but also from a Bengal look they need this game because you're
20:44right you're probably not making the playoffs and certainly a Super Bowl run is going to be out the
20:48window for this ultra talented team with that turmoil of the offseason the best way to get rid
20:52of the turmoil of the offseason start winning football games should have had one last week
20:55against Kansas City you blew that game late terrible play by your defensive back causing
20:59that pass interference directly caused lose and as you saw the cameras pan over to Joe Burrow
21:04soon as he saw that through his helmet on the bench knowing they were the better football team
21:07and didn't win they are the better football team once again tonight they just have to play that way
21:11so if I'm trying to attack this game that's seven and a half I'm not buying it there I think this
21:15could be a double digit win for the Bengals in a complete performance offense and defensively
21:20if you're looking some of those prop bets that you like on the board that I don't think for sure
21:23lose this way I think Burrow is going to throw a couple touchdown passes we'll get to that a little
21:26bit later in the show but from a wide receiver perspective Jamar Chase plus 110 price T Higgins
21:31plus 180 and I know T Higgins is coming back from a hamstring injury but you know what that means Ben
21:36maybe he's not on the field on the 40 and 50 yard line but he's definitely going to be in the field
21:41on the red zone there and the one of them that football with a chance for a jump ball give me
21:45one or two targets in the red zone he'll score Chase Higgins at least one of those guys is going
21:50to be in the end zone that's plus money live right here to start off this new week on the early line
21:55you know what that means it's the prop perspective on this Monday with sports grids Tom Vecchio when
22:02Vecchio signed in and during the commercial break we make our pleasantries and we say Vecchio how
22:07you doing man how was the weekend he hit us with an effing awesome so he's ready to go for this
22:11Monday and you will be as well Vecchio as always we appreciate the time thanks for being here
22:17yeah let's get this week started off on a good note we have two great games tonight obviously
22:22I'll be uh covering those for the pre-game show the halftime show with Casey Hudson,
22:27Dave Cherapan, Adam Kaplan we have a lot to get to I have some like really really
22:32interesting angles especially when it comes to some running back props and let's get to it
22:36a stack crew on this Monday Vecchio, Casey, Adam Kaufman and Cherapan leads you into the live
22:43reactions with Donny Rightside, Kevin Walsh and Joe Lisi let's start with the opening of the two
22:48games that we have Tom 7 30 p.m eastern time kick in western New York the bill is a five and a half
22:53point favorite perfect unbeaten 2 and 0 against the winless 0 and 2 Jacksonville Jaguars 45 and a
23:01half is the total Vecchio this year five and a half point underdogs or greater have been fantastic
23:07keeping game closer than expected 13 and 2 against the spread nine outright victories like we saw in
23:14four spots on the Sunday slate how close will this game be tonight in Buffalo?
23:20I think it has to be close for the Jaguars or they're going to be hitting like the red alert
23:24button as they will be 0 and 3 uh a spot that you'd like to say they could have competed for
23:30the division with the Texans we didn't know what we're going to be getting from uh the Colts like
23:34this is like dire scenario for the Jaguars and the bills would just be rolling at this point when
23:39the Dolphins are dealing with a million injuries and they would just ultimately have to compete
23:43with the Jets and the bills could be pushing towards the second seed in the AFC so like this
23:47is a massive massive game for uh playoff implications in the AFC I expect things to be
23:52close I expect a little bit of lack of scoring tonight and ultimately when I'm looking at some
23:56of the props I think there's a very very direct route we can be going I think there's a whole lot
24:00of correlation we can build into some of our bets. Tom let's start with the Jacksonville Jaguars side
24:06of things you take a look at tonight Trevor Lawrence's pass prop here 226 and a half Travis
24:10ATN 49 and a half is a rushing prop and Brian Thomas Jr. the good young wide receiver for the
24:15Jags at 45 and a half how are we attacking Jacksonville tonight from an offensive prop side
24:21uh this is one of the things I just noted with the correlation if Lawrence hits the under on
24:25this prop they lose this game like I think it's pretty clear I don't think they're gonna be able
24:29to run the ball effectively and if they are we're just gonna see Josh Allen hit the over on his so
24:34if if Lawrence ends the game with 190 yards at this point we just should be taking the bills at minus
24:40five and a half because they probably cover in that circumstance so this has to be a big game
24:44for Lawrence they gave him all that money they have all this talent around him with some of the
24:47wide receivers and the running backs like this is the time to show up and put up a big performance so
24:52he needs to have a big game tonight if the Jaguars want to have any chance
24:56under this number in both the first two games this year frankly Jacksonville's offense has
25:01been stagnant they scored 17 in the opening half against Miami they had a two touchdown lead in
25:06those first 30 minutes against the Dolphins from that point in the six quarters including
25:12last week against Cleveland 13 total points the Jags right now albeit in only two games
25:17tied for the third worst scoring offense in the National Football League on the other side
25:23for Buffalo 31 or more points in each of the first two part of the 31 last week against Miami
25:30was a pick six in the second half but Vecchio despite Buffalo's very strong start
25:36and a 2-0 beginning to this year still trying to figure things out offensively with that new
25:41cast and crew for the Bills who steps up for Buffalo at home in Western New York tonight
25:47uh like you said they're still trying to figure things out at least when it comes to the passing
25:50game James Cook is the guy in the backfield for the Bills that is standard we know what we're
25:53gonna be getting from them after that the passing game is where things are most interesting for the
25:58Bills we know they're returning really just two players I'm gonna say maybe three if you want to
26:01add in Dawson Knox but it's Khalil Shakir Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox as those options and
26:06adding in the rookie Keon Coleman this things uh this throws things for a bit of a loop where
26:10Coleman was great in week one he did absolutely nothing in week two and we're seeing like this
26:14I want to say up and down like yo-yoing we're like some players are gonna be bad some players
26:18will be good in terms of results and I think this does open a lot of opportunity so I'm looking for
26:23Kincaid to find the end zone for the first time this week we know he has a pretty red zone share
26:27even at least to start the season dating back to last year he has that consistency
26:31with Josh Allen so that's where I'm looking to start things off with a touchdown for Dalton and
26:35Kincaid and with that Bill's looking to go three and oh against the Jaguars dropping them to oh
26:41and three and then we take a look at the NFC action here which we're going to take a look at
26:45the commanders now going on the road to take on the AFC Cincinnati Bengals who are also looking
26:50to get up off the carpet with their first win of the season current spread here listed at the
26:54sportsbook minus seven and a half minus 105 on the juice and a total that's listed at 46 and a
26:59half Tom if we look right now at the fan blue sportsbook their betting statistics showed 65
27:03percent of the tickets on the Cincinnati Bengals and 77 percent of the money seven and a half
27:09point favorite here what gives tonight between the commanders and the Bengals for you I have a
27:14very tough time trusting the Bengals and I think this is going to be uh it could be a very slow
27:19I'm going to say this is could be a little bit like week one where week one team start
27:24off slow offenses and firing on all cylinders we saw that from the Bengals they're adding in
27:28Tee Higgins this week so they have to smooth things out not just from their offense overall
27:32which did look better in week two against the Chiefs they're adding in Tee Higgins so this is
27:35almost like a halfway between week one and week two where Chase wasn't in on full snap count on
27:40week one they look terrible granted was week one say what you want but now they have to add in Tee
27:44Higgins and he's a player that is going to command x amount of targets per game same thing with
27:48Jamar Chase so if they start off slow or this game has a lack of scoring I think the commanders
27:53are absolutely in a place to cover I would not be surprised if this game ends 23 to 20 I think
27:59the Bengals ultimately win but I do not expect it to be efficient at all the Bengals have started
28:04oh and two each of the past three NFL seasons including this one in the two prior of course
28:10they were victorious in week number three and then went on to win four of their next five games
28:16after the oh and two start so Vecchio before we get to Washington let's focus on that since the
28:21offense you express concern how does that show itself and how you will approach the prop market
28:27for the Bengals tonight yeah that comes down to fading the running backs I think things will be
28:33a little bit rocky when it comes to the passing game but that should be the point of emphasis
28:37that's what they need to figure out so let's go to Zach Moss under 15 and a half rushing yards
28:41he only has 21 carries and 78 yards through two games the Bengals have a 65.1 pass play percentage
28:46as a fourth highest in the league and again with T Higgins back they can't put him out there ready
28:51to go and then not pass the ball right that has to be the point of emphasis that is going to be
28:55their strong suit Burrow uh Piggins and Chase that's what they need to figure out so Zach Moss
29:00hasn't been good to start the year and I'm not expecting to play a massive role and then let's
29:04quickly turn to Chase Brown under nine and a half receiving yards that is a super super low line but
29:0933 and 20 percent snap share over the first two weeks he's a 4.7 percent target share which is
29:15extremely low he only has three receptions and 12 yards and that was all came in week one and again
29:19if T Higgins is back they're not going to be spending time throwing the ball to Chase Brown
29:24the point of emphasis is to get T Higgins and Jamar Chase on the same page so they're up so
29:28the offense can operate at 100 efficiency Chase Brown is not going to play a major factor tonight
29:34Tom looking at the Washington Commanders tonight Jaden Daniels under 200 as a passing profit
29:38solicited at 197 and a half on the fan blue sports book Brian Robinson 53 and a half rushing
29:42yards and Terry McLaurin 48 and a half receiving yards any angles you want to play from a commander's
29:48side yeah let's go to Daniels I like the over and honestly I like the over on his completions he has
29:54been really really efficient in terms of moving the ball they're not super long throws he's
30:00completing at over 70 percent uh he doesn't have a passing touchdown yet so like they're still
30:04working things uh some things out with the commander's offense I think he looks good I
30:08think there's some clear clear upside and if they do fall behind his combined rushing plus passing
30:14sitting at 249 and a half I think this is a clear spot where he does a get his first passing
30:19touchdown of the season it's the over on the combined and I think his completions uh prop is
30:24actually very very interesting again because they're they're like playing things kind of safe
30:27where he's being they're moving the ball if they're not big chunk plays but they get the ball they
30:31move the chains they get the ball they move the chains and they keep him in a good spot to avoid
30:35making mistakes which we saw a lot of young quarterbacks do yesterday night 18 and a half
30:39for his completions Jaden Daniels unlike his two rookie counterparts in Bo Nix and Caleb Williams
30:46and even the young Anthony Richardson actually really good completing the football this year
30:50better than a 75 completion percentage no touchdowns just yet Bo Nix zero touchdowns
30:57Caleb finally threw two yesterday albeit with two ints as well Tom Vecchio we will see you
31:04later tonight on this Monday here on sports grid for the doubleheader of action we'll look at the
31:09doubleheader and continue to give you some picks next it is time on this Monday with a doubleheader
31:15of Monday night football to end out week three of this NFL season to run the triple option like
31:21Michigan we establish the run like the Steelers we establish the run we make sure it looks good
31:28on this Monday it's our favorite side total and prompt for the two games that we have on this
31:34Monday night football doubleheader as we just learned as well or we had already learned it but
31:39we were reminded by our producer extraordinaire a strong end of the show as opposed to the start for
31:46we've got another Monday night doubleheader next week week number four DRS again you became the
31:52commissioner of injury updates last week and you were all over Jordan Love and that he was not
31:58going to play on Sunday in Tennessee it seems as though in your early application to become
32:04commissioner of Monday night football you're delivering with two consecutive doubleheaders
32:09yes it's going to be fun to let it play out and also the good part about that too is
32:13less like dead time right because primetime games you know gets more commercial breaks
32:17than the games over the weekend so at least you will have another game on for the majority of
32:22both of these games that you can just switch to and go back and forth with and also two opportunities
32:26to bet two different games at two different times it's fantastic it should happen more than just
32:30four times a season and we will at least have it tonight so let's go to our triple option again
32:36favorite side total and prop DRS your favorite side out of the two games is what yeah the Buffalo
32:44Bills turning the lights out on the Jacksonville Jaguars season and basically signing that death
32:49certificate for Doug Peterson as the head coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars it's a shame this team
32:54is way too talented Ben way too talented to be 0-3 on the season without a chance to make the
32:59playoffs that's going to be a reality tonight because the Buffalo Bills 2-0 already playing
33:04good football rested and ready at home that place in Buffalo Orchard Park is going to be
33:10electric tonight if the Buffalo Bills are going to win this football game the Buffalo Bills are
33:14going to win by margin give me the Bills as my favorite side tonight I'll lay the five and a
33:19half points rested and ready in Buffalo super ready in Buffalo as they have had a super amount
33:26of rest 11 days they played Thursday week number two on a short week a mini buy and then some
33:33on this Monday a little bit of contradiction here between the two hosts on the early line
33:39on this Monday Jacksonville plus five and a half is the way that I look at it one it's been the
33:46year of the underdog through the first three weeks and we might see it again here tonight
33:50two underdogs of at least five and a half points so far this year of the 15 games we have seen that
33:5713 and 2 against the spread are the underdogs with nine outright victories and Jacksonville
34:03not only hoping to partake in the trend as a five and a half point dog but also has been great
34:09underdog Peterson on the road 10 and 8 ATS and great as an underdog 12 and 9 against the spread
34:15covering albeit blowing a double digit first half lead to Miami in week number one Buffalo as a
34:23favorite 17 times since the beginning of last year just 7 and 10 against the spread I do think
34:29the bills eat this out but Jacksonville can ill afford an 0 and 3 start and Donnie this Jags team
34:35had aspirations to contend with the Texans for the top spot in the AFC South or maybe earn a
34:41wild card berth in the AFC they start 0 and 3 only once since the turn of the millennium since 2000
34:48has a team started winless 0 and 3 and made the postseason yeah you are what your record says you
34:53are if you're 0 and 3 you're a bad football team you don't deserve to make the playoffs and also
34:56from a Jacksonville side should have won week one should have won week number two now you're on the
35:00road against a team that has a rest advantage and a home field advantage going up against you that's
35:06not a great sign here but also that's the reason why it's five and a half and not eight and a half
35:09or nine and a half at this point we're expecting a tough game and also the 0 and 3 angle is real
35:14teams that would just what Ben just explained to you guys out there the teams are explaining to
35:18themselves here do you guys like your jobs do you like your nice houses you like your nice cars
35:22loses football game that's going to go away so there's a lot of emphasis in the building
35:26on Jacksonville in a must win situation tonight there is some play to that no doubt about it all
35:32right let's go to our favorite total of the weekend slight contradiction but is it really
35:37DRS start off with your favorite total this Monday night doubleheader I'm gonna go under
35:41today on the Bengals and the commanders we just had Tom Vecchio and I like the under last night
35:45in that game between Kansas City and Atlanta boy you had to hold on for dear life at the end of
35:49the game to cover that but it does come in until you have the over you don't have the over in your
35:53pocket I look for Luana Romo to have a great presence on defense tonight with that Cincinnati
35:58Bengals defense slowing down that offense for Washington who quite frankly isn't necessarily
36:03an aerial assault out there as we're waiting on touchdown passes for Jade Daniels the Bengals I
36:08think are locked in the most important thing for the Bengals tonight bent from eight not style
36:12points not getting Teagans in the end zone not getting Jamar Chastain in zone which I do think
36:15at least one of those guys gets in it's just right picking up the victory and moving forward on the
36:21season which means that defense is going to be the highlight tonight I think the game stays under 46
36:25and a half and the line is the line again seven and a half points in favor of a team who was
36:31winless and already blew a seven and a half point spread in its favor losing outright week number
36:38one I think the Bengals win comfortably tonight and I think they go over their first half team
36:42total of 13 and a half points I said slight contradiction between us Donnie but really
36:47not truly because I think both you and I expect this to be a Cincinnati affair at home the Bengals
36:55had 16 points in the opening half last week against Kansas City I think Joe Burrow comes
36:59out firing tonight I think Teagans helps and I think Jamar Chase has a big game which goes right
37:05into your favorite prop of this Monday night slate if you did not select it Donnie it would have been
37:09mine as well yeah it's a little bit juicy on this side but I think it makes a lot of sense because
37:14you are trying to get Jamar Chase and Teagans going you're trying to win a football game it's
37:18home it's in Cincinnati we're not in November Ben where it's 32 degrees with 20 mile an hour wind
37:22blowing tonight supposed to be 75 degrees a nice night here what a better way to start off your
37:27season even though technically they have started the season by getting a win at home in front of
37:31your crowd Joe Burrow cooking with this wide receivers tonight and we don't need four touchdowns
37:35we need two touchdowns and I do believe that happens tonight Joe Burrow over one and a half
37:39touchdown passes completely agree DRSC through two last week against Kansas City I think Jamar Chase
37:45and Teagans will be the beneficiaries 261 and a half is the number Washington the worst secondary
37:52in the NFL a year ago Daniel Jones threw for two Baker Mayfield threw for four in week number one
37:58and also threw for nearly 300 yards I'll go to the other game Buffalo James Cook over 83 and a half
38:05rushing plus receiving yards he's had 95 scrimmage yards at least in each of the first two Devon
38:10Achan had 74 receiving yards against Jacksonville in week number one DRS enjoy the Monday my friend
38:18we'll talk on Thursday amen let's get after tonight win some money out there people let's
38:24cash tickets go NFL football in game live game day and the money line starting in
38:30eight minutes or so on sports grid radio more here on the early line