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00:00Adam Kaplan is our NFL insider on SportsGrid.
00:03You can catch him across the board on all kinds of shows, and then again, he does the
00:07most damage on coast-to-coast, just like he ought to.
00:12And you can follow him on Axe at Kaplan NFL, almost 30 years covering the NFL.
00:17Who needs anyone else on this network?
00:19As I said earlier today, when we have Adam Kaplan handling our pro football for us, I've
00:24heard all of the experts, and they all bore me.
00:27Then there's Kaplan.
00:28And not only that, on Fridays, he does bust-a-capping-yo-ass spread picks for NFL games, which is unequaled
00:38by his peers on any network anywhere.
00:41The best show on TV, CBC.
00:42Here we go.
00:43Today, Adam busting out his moves for divisional picks.
00:48He's gonna give us all of his picks to win divisions.
00:50And we start in the NFC East, Adam, where, of course, your homerized milk toast, I'm
00:56sure, and taking your Eagles.
00:59It's funny.
01:00The Eagles were, about two months ago, minus 110 or minus 120.
01:04Now they're minus 150 to win the NFC East, and look, it's very clear.
01:08They're the best team in this division.
01:09I'm not saying they're the best team, or even close to it, in the NFC, but they're the best
01:14team in the NFC, and they're gonna try to win, and not only try to win, but just dominate
01:21this division, where we have not had a repeat winner since 2004.
01:26You got two new coordinators, right?
01:28That's the big thing.
01:29More professional.
01:30Guys, I'm told, are buying in.
01:33Eagles are the clear favorite at minus 150.
01:34The Cowboys, with all their turmoil with contracts, injuries in the secondary, they're plus 170.
01:40Yeah, but what does contract negotiation have to do with winning?
01:45The bottom line is, is that they win 12 games three years in a row, and they are loaded,
01:51and Lamb is unstoppable, and Prescott's better than Jalen Hurts.
01:56Lamb, you know, he holds out.
01:59He's back.
02:00Yes, he got his contract done.
02:02Jerry Jones takes his shots about what happened last year in the playoffs, at home against
02:07Green Bay, where they got blown out.
02:08Yeah, they're a good regular season team, but I worry about the drawn bland injury.
02:14They've got injuries in their secondary.
02:16Remember, Dick's coming back from the ACL injury.
02:19They've got problems in their secondary.
02:20Eagles are the clear winner here at minus 150.
02:22Why in God's name do you have faith in a team that melted like an ice cream cone last year?
02:28That was the worst.
02:29It was an abortion, is what it was.
02:32Lost six out of seven.
02:33Got embarrassed at Tampa Bay, but what they did is they got two new coordinators.
02:39They got guys who've been there and done it, with Vic Fangio on defense, and Kellen Moore
02:43on offense, and that's what they had to do.
02:45Get guys who've been there, done it, and been successful.
02:48Let's go to the NFC North, where you and I are in concert here.
02:54I'm not going with the chalk.
02:56The Lions are plus 130.
02:57They're the clear favorite.
02:59Everybody's darling.
03:00I get it.
03:01They've been phenomenal the last two seasons, but I like the Packers at plus 210.
03:05Why do I like them?
03:07Change in defensive coordinator.
03:08They're changing schemes under Jeff Halfley, the former Boston College head coach.
03:12They're going to a 43 front.
03:14I like it.
03:15I like their front.
03:16I think this actually helps them.
03:17They were very soft on Joe Barry, not aggressive enough.
03:20I was told to finesse.
03:22This is going to be exactly what they need.
03:24You know how great their offense is.
03:25We've been singing the praises of Jordan Love now since mid last season.
03:29They're going to shock the world at plus 210 and win that division.
03:33I couldn't agree with you more.
03:35Let's go to the South, where today Carver High broke the news to me that Joey Prawns,
03:43and go for the two, Joe Lisi, is calling for the Carolina Panthers to beat the Saints
03:50on Sunday in the game of the week in the NFL.
03:53I said, I would rather be in a Turkish prison than watch the Panthers and Saints game.
04:00I want to know, who do you like in the South?
04:02All right.
04:03Again, I'm not going with a chalk.
04:06Everybody's darling now.
04:08It's the Bears and the Falcons.
04:10The Falcons at minus 140.
04:11They're the clear favorite.
04:13I'm going with the repeat division winner here to be the Bucs at plus 300.
04:16They smoked the Eagles in the playoffs.
04:18I get it.
04:19They have a new coordinator.
04:21That head coach now is in Carolina.
04:22That coordinator was with the Bucs last year.
04:26Dave Canales is now the head coach of the Panthers.
04:29Liam Cohen comes in from Kentucky.
04:31You might remember him and Baker Mayfield worked together with the Rams for a brief
04:34period.
04:35They revamped their secondary.
04:36This is a well-coached team.
04:38This is another one.
04:39They're just a value, Scott, at plus 300.
04:42The Falcons are not a value at minus 140.
04:45I agree with you again with the Buccaneers.
04:48I said earlier on the show that they were an interception away from upsetting the Lions
04:54in the playoffs.
04:55Baker threw a bad pass and they lost.
04:57They could have won that game.
04:59Could have, would have, should have.
05:00Let's go to the West where you have who winning?
05:05Yeah.
05:06I like the Niners at minus 200.
05:08Trent Williams got his deal done today.
05:10He reported.
05:12It was structured down.
05:13They took care of him.
05:14Aiyuk's got his deal done.
05:16Everybody's there.
05:17They're actually going to be pretty healthy for week one against the Jets.
05:21They're minus 200.
05:23That one is clear to me.
05:24I don't see the Rams who overachieve every year without Aaron Donald, by the way, plus
05:27325.
05:28They're in second, but the Niners should be easy called minus 200.
05:32So he's the number two coach, allegedly, McVay in the NFL behind Andy Reid.
05:38And you say that they, uh, that they, uh, you know, I guess overstate or welcome winning
05:43games or something.
05:45All I know is I like the Rams at that fat price.
05:48I'll be counting money with my tongue when they take the division.
05:51Well, I'll say they're not, but here's what they will do.
05:53And we'll talk more about this on Thursday.
05:56You might like their overtotal and their win total.
05:58Nobody believes in the Rams this season.
06:01That's too bad.
06:02Uh, you know what I believe in the Niners having all kinds of injuries.
06:05That's what I believe in.
06:06Um, the AFC now, like all these grandiose people think it's just such a walk in the
06:12park for the Niners and chiefs, right?
06:14That a Superbowl.
06:15Yeah.
06:16Until, uh, until that injury bug comes around the corner and bites you in the ass.
06:20That's what I'm hoping for.
06:21Anything, but those two, anything, but those two, let's go to the AFC East, the jets.
06:28I know it.
06:29Carter doesn't like it.
06:30A lot of people don't agree with me.
06:32Jets have one of the best Rogers to the national football league.
06:34Their quarterback is back.
06:35If Rogers plays just 15 games, okay, he plays at least 15 games.
06:41They're winning that division.
06:42They are plus one 60.
06:44I love them.
06:45And by the way, it's tight.
06:46The bills are plus one 80, but I like the jets to win at a plus one 60.
06:49I'll tell you what I'll take, uh, Rogers to be able, I'll take the over that he can play
06:53over 15 minutes this year, uh, as opposed to 15 games, give me the dolphins at plus
06:59two 25 AFC North Ravens man.
07:03This one's also tight between them and the Bengals.
07:05The Ravens are plus one 25 families at plus one 65.
07:10I love the addition of Derek Henry.
07:11Now, am I going to pick them to get the screwball?
07:14No, but I like the Ravens at plus one 25.
07:16I like everything they've done.
07:18The only issue is a new defensive coordinator and Zach or at 31 years old, the former linebacker
07:23for them.
07:24That does worry me a little bit, but they're the clear favorite of plus one 25.
07:27I won't argue with you, but, um, when the Steelers win the division and at seven to
07:33one, I'm counting that money.
07:34I'll take you out for a steak.
07:36Um, the AFC South, the Texas at minus one Oh five, man, what a year it's been in this
07:43time.
07:44Last year, people were saying, well, they get over five and a half wins.
07:46Well, they've got the best roster in that division.
07:48And by the way, a tight division, very competitive Colts, Colts at plus three 25, the Jaguars
07:53who choked last five out of six, they should have won it.
07:56The plus 300, but the Texans, the obvious favorite, and that's my team at minus one
07:59Oh five.
08:00I'm not going to argue with the Texans.
08:03They're loaded.
08:04I think they'll win on the road in week one as well.
08:06Let's go to the West.
08:07Gee, who do you have here?
08:10Chiefs at minus 300.
08:11How are they not minus 500?
08:13They're so obvious, but so many people think the charges are going to go over that.
08:17You'd have in total charges of plus three 75.
08:20Now we'll talk more about them on Thursday.
08:23They're the hype team to go over their total at eight and a half.
08:25I don't see it.
08:26All sorts of injury issues and revamped defense, but the chiefs are the most obvious favorite
08:32of all divisions and minus 300.