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00:00The San Francisco 49ers with a win total of 11 and a half despite some shaky preseason
00:11play out of Brock Purdy to win more games in the Rams and Seahawks combined.
00:16That's a six to one number by itself or the Cowboys win the NFC East and the Eagles win
00:22less than nine games that would be eight or fewer at plus 550 DRS.
00:28As you look at this theoretical match bet, which side would you wager on?
00:32I think it's pretty easy here.
00:34So let's just take a look at both sides, right?
00:36The 49ers win more games than the Rams and the Seahawks combined, which you're saying
00:40horrendous football teams usually win five games in the NFL, which would mean that the
00:45Rams are horrendous.
00:47If you think that's the case, I necessarily don't think so.
00:49Or the Seahawks are horrendous, which again, if you think that's the case, I don't really
00:52think so.
00:53That's 10 wins here.
00:54So automatically the 49ers, we have to win more games, which means 11 from those teams.
00:59Let's just say the Rams are average eight and nine.
01:02The Seahawks are right around average seven and you know, 10 at that point, you know,
01:06as you line them up, what do we have to win 16, 17 games?
01:10That's not happening here.
01:11So the plus 600 will be off the table and they say, is there something better there?
01:15Absolutely.
01:16There is the Cowboys to win the NFC and the Eagles to win less than nine games.
01:21So if plus 550, the difference in price point, it's only 50 cents at that point, let's factor
01:25into this.
01:26If the Cowboys win the NFC East, they're probably going to win 10 plus games, which means a
01:31minimum of 10 and seven.
01:33You look at the Philadelphia Eagles winning less than nine games, which is eight and nine
01:36coming off the season where they absolutely imploded down the stretch.
01:39Now I'm an Eagle fan.
01:40Do I think it's necessarily going to happen?
01:42But what happens if Jalen Hurts doesn't play that well?
01:44What happens if Vic Fangio's defense is really bad this season?
01:47Again, we're not projecting it to be that way.
01:50But if you have a six to one price and a plus 550 price, it's very feasible to say the Cowboys
01:55will win the NFC East and the Eagles could finish with eight wins.
01:59That's feasible to me.
02:00So I'd rather bet that plus 550 price there on the Cowboys and the Eagles bet than the
02:0449ers combination with the Rams and the Seahawks.